Project description
Induced seismicity forecasting in geo-energy projects
Urgent action is needed for a climate-neutral society. This includes expanding geothermal energy and using carbon storage to reduce CO2 emissions by 20 %. However, projects may face challenges from induced earthquakes, which have led to cancellations and financial losses. The ERC-funded NOSHAKE project will improve forecasting and management of induced seismicity in geo-energy projects. By integrating physical processes and site characterisation, it seeks to enable the safe use of geo-energy to address climate change. The project will enhance its approach by incorporating thermal effects and fluid injection into porous media. It plans to communicate results to stakeholders, patent the concept, and establish partnerships that may lead to commercialisation and a potential spin-off.
Objective
NOSHAKE aims at proving the effectiveness of an innovative concept to forecast and manage induced seismicity in geo-energy projects. Humans need to take urgent action to achieve a climate-neutral society. Among the necessary actions, deployment of geothermal energy projects to produce renewable energy, geologic carbon storage to decarbonize the hard-to-abate industry, and subsurface energy storage, like hydrogen storage, are estimated to reduce 20% of the current CO2 emissions, i.e. 8 Gt/yr. This reduction implies scaling up the current capacity of geo-energies in two orders of magnitude by 2050. Yet, this massive deployment of geo-energies may be hindered by felt induced earthquakes. Current concepts to manage induced seismicity have failed in some occasions, leading to felt earthquakes that have ended up in project cancellation with millionaire loses. NOSHAKE proposes a change of paradigm in the way injection-induced seismicity is forecasted and managed by incorporating the physical processes that induce seismicity and basing the analysis on site characterization. The high gain of NOSHAKE is the safe deployment of geo-energies to mitigate the climate emergency. Nevertheless, forecasting induced seismicity is a grand challenge that contains high risks. In particular, the concept may not be effective for all geo-energy applications. To address this, developments will be made to the proposed concept to enhance its effectiveness, by adding thermal effects and/or fluid injection into a porous media instead of into a fault. We will disseminate and communicate the project outcomes to stakeholders and end users. We plan to (1) patent the NOSHAKE concept and establish consultancy agreements to assess energy companies in managing induced seismicity of geo-energy projects and (2) define a commercialization roadmap with the advice of industrial collaborators and experts in knowledge transfer that eventually may end up in the creation of a spin-off.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences geology seismology
- engineering and technology environmental engineering energy and fuels renewable energy geothermal energy
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Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.1 - European Research Council (ERC)
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Topic(s)
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-ERC-POC - HORIZON ERC Proof of Concept Grants
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) ERC-2025-POC
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28006 Madrid
Spain
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