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Flash4CastImp: Identification, Monitoring, and Forecasting of Impactful Flash Droughts in Europe

Project description

Driving climate adaptation through real-time flash drought forecasting

Increasing threats posed by flash droughts in Europe put a strain on conventional observation methods and have significant hydrological, ecological and agricultural consequences. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the Flash4CastImp project is bringing together climate sciences and disaster management. Specifically, it will develop a database that will help reveal the atmospheric mechanisms involved and measure particular effects on different sectors caused by flash droughts. Using high-resolution remote sensing and climate modelling, Flash4CastImp intends to create a near-real-time monitoring and forecasting system for flash droughts. In this way, stakeholders will obtain valuable information that could inform adaptation measures to climate change.

Objective

Climate change has caused an increase in dry conditions which are severely depleting water resources across Europe. “Flash droughts” is the name given to these dry conditions that rapidly intensify over a short period of time, directly impacting ecosystems and society. Understanding their drivers and related impacts, as well as providing reliable forecasts of their occurrence, is essential with regard to formulating appropriate responses and adaptation strategies. Flash4CastImp aims 1) to establish a systematic database for flash drought events in Europe, incorporating the atmospheric circulation and land-atmosphere feedbacks; 2) to evaluate the role of flash drought duration and severity in triggering multisectoral impacts, particularly in the hydrological, ecological, and agricultural sectors; and 3) to develop and implement an operational near real-time monitoring system, as well as a short- to medium-term forecasting system for flash droughts at the European scale. We will address these objectives with the use of the latest advances in climate and environmental data, including a wide range of high-resolution reanalysis datasets, remote sensing technologies, and state-of-the-art forecasting models, to provide a comprehensive understanding of flash droughts. The fellow possesses broad expertise and background in climatic dynamics (synoptic climatology and land-atmosphere interactions) and computational methods. This can be combined with IPE-CSIC’s renowned research capabilities in relation to drought analysis and the assessment of its related impacts, as well as with valuable knowhow in the development of climate services. Flash4CastImp will equip policymakers, stakeholders, and the scientific community with actionable insights for effective flash drought adaptation strategies. Moreover, the project's impact extends beyond Europe, providing a benchmark for studies and applications at different geographical scales around the globe.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Net EU contribution
€ 194 074,56
Address
CALLE SERRANO 117
28006 Madrid
Spain
Region
Comunidad de Madrid Comunidad de Madrid Madrid
Activity type
Research Organisations
Links
Total cost
No data