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Dynamic Equivalencing using Machine Learning

Project description

Electromagnetic transient simulations for robust renewable energy

Following ongoing green transition and Green Deal efforts, we have reached a point where global renewable energy capacity is expected to increase by nearly 75 % from 2024 to 2030. Despite the benefits and opportunities created by this development, challenges arise, including reduced system inertia, time-varying operating conditions, stability concerns, and stochastic power output, which threaten grid flexibility, operation, and maintenance. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the DEML project will develop a physics-guided, data-driven solution that accelerates computationally intensive electromagnetic transient simulations (EMT) through deep learning-enabled model order reduction (MOR), enabling the analysis and optimisation of EU renewable energy systems and objectives.

Objective

Global renewable capacity is projected to increase by nearly 5,500 GW (about 75%) between 2024 and 2030. While this rapid expansion of decentralized generation brings opportunities, it also introduces significant challenges, such as reduced system inertia, stochastic power output, time-varying operating conditions, and stability concerns. A couple of power blackouts in recent years have highlighted that the stability of system operation is a critical issue. Together, these factors reduce grid flexibility and impose heavy computational demands for accurate analysis, estimation, and control. This proposal, dynamic equivalencing using machine learning (DEML), aims to address these challenges from a data-driven and physics-guided perspective. The objective is to accelerate computationally intense electromagnetic transient simulations (EMT) using deep learning-enabled model order reduction (MOR) technologies. Unlike traditional methods, DEML reframes the classical dynamic equivalencing task as an unsupervised machine learning problem with physics-informed constraints, addressing key limitations of the state-of-the-art nonlinear MOR approaches. Specifically, DEML will deliver dynamic equivalents (DEs) of utility-scale wind farms with doubly-fed induction generators (DFIGs) or permanent magnet synchronous generators (PMSGs), leveraging the Koopman operator framework. Such DEs are expected to accelerate EMT simulations by a factor of 2-3, while maintaining <5% error in system response. Validation will be performed using real-time hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) setups. The project is novel because it is discovery-based and fundamental to the overarching goal of analyzing large-scale power systems (LSPS) in line with the EU’s decarbonization, digitization, and energy reliance objectives.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE
Net EU contribution
€ 276 187,92
Address
SOUTH KENSINGTON CAMPUS EXHIBITION ROAD
SW7 2AZ London
United Kingdom
Region
London Inner London — West Westminster
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost
No data