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FROM CORRELATION TO CAUSATION: A First-Principles Framework for Predicting Heat Transfer Deterioration

Project description

Behind HTD in next-gen nuclear reactors

Next-generation nuclear reactors face a major challenge due to heat transfer deterioration (HTD), which threatens safety and efficiency and ultimately hampers the EU’s decarbonisation goals. Current models fail to predict HTD reliably, as they only correlate it with flow oscillations without establishing causation, limiting potential solutions. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the PREDICT-HT project is examining whether pressure variations induced by flow oscillations are the fundamental trigger of HTD. It will use theoretical analysis and targeted experiments. The findings will be used to develop a new predictive model of the pressure-driven mechanisms that destabilise coolant films and lead to HTD.

Objective

Heat Transfer Deterioration (HTD) is a critical, unresolved phenomenon that risks the safety and efficiency of next-generation nuclear reactors, directly impeding EU decarbonization goals. Current models fail predictively because they correlate HTD with flow oscillations without establishing causality. This project, “PREDICT-HT,” tests the central hypothesis that pressure variations caused by flow oscillations are the fundamental trigger for HTD. The experienced researcher (ER) will achieve this by integrating targeted experiments with advanced theoretical analysis, leveraging the host’s unique Spectral Element Method (SEM) solver to accurately simulate the transient physics of two-phase flow instabilities. This approach will: 1) quantify critical pressure-oscillation thresholds for HTD initiation, 2) establish a novel, physics-based stability criterion across boiling regimes, and 3) develop the first predictive model of the pressure-driven mechanisms that destabilize coolant films. Deciphering these mechanisms will enable stable operation of high-heat-flux systems, improving heat-transfer margins by 8–10% and reducing global CO2 emissions by tens of millions of tonnes annually by 2040. This fellowship, with secondments at Westinghouse Electric Sweden and Safetec Norway, will transform the ER's profile by providing decisive training in experimental methodology, complementing existing numerical expertise, to create a versatile leader in energy technology research.

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Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

NORGES TEKNISK-NATURVITENSKAPELIGE UNIVERSITET NTNU
Net EU contribution
€ 251 578,56
Address
HOGSKOLERINGEN 1
7491 Trondheim
Norway
Region
Norge Trøndelag Trøndelag
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost
No data

Partners (2)