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Scanning Policy Scenarios for the Transition to Sustainable Economic Structures

Objective

The focus of this research project will be to scan a wide range of policy scenarios as to their relevance for the European Sustainable Development Strategy in view of Extended Impact Assessment. Embedded in the TranSust network of researchers, with its expertise in modelling the transition to sustainable economic structures, the project will link and expand an extensive set of available models. Using a scenario approach in cooperation with stakeholders, these models will address the strategic policy options.

In a first step, existing models will be extended to reflect the multi-functionality aspect of sustainability policies and their trade-offs with other policies. In addition to the traditional economic, environmental and social issues, the expanded models will address the new policy agenda as put forward by the Lisbon Strategy of the European Union and the World Summit for Economic Development. The models will therefore be able to deal with competitiveness, economic development, security, the preparations for Beyond-Kyoto policies, and interaction between technological change and the use of natural resources.

In a second step, this enhanced set of models will be used for a comprehensive analysis of a wide range of policy scenarios. In designing the scenarios, a participatory approach will emphasise close cooperation with stakeholders, Commission services, and international organisations. By back-casting the path dependency and by simulating the range of assumptions, the scenario analysis will reveal the sensitivity of forecasts.

The methodology and databases will be made available to institutions involved in policy decision-making. TranSust.Scan aims to enhance European competence and expertise for dealing with the emerging extended facets of sustainability and their implications for policy design. Besides supporting strategic policy preparation for the European Union, the dissemination activities will address non-European institutions.

Call for proposal

FP6-2004-SSP-4
See other projects for this call

Coordinator

WIFO OESTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FUR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG
Address
Arsenal Objekt 20
Wien
Austria

Participants (11)

CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain
Address
C/ Serrano 117
Madrid
ENERGIEONDERZOEK CENTRUM NEDERLAND
Netherlands
Address
Westerduinweg 3
PO Box 1 Petten
FONDAZIONE ENI ENRICO MATTEI
Italy
Address
Corso Magenta 63
Milano
INSTITUT FUER WELTWIRTSCHAFT AN DER UNIVERSITAET KIEL
Germany
Address
Duesternbrooker Weg 120
Kiel
LODZ INSTITUTE OF FORECASTS AND ECONOMIC ANALYSES
Poland
Address
Sienkiewicza 73/3
Lodz
SOCIETE DE MATHEMATIQUES APPLIQUEES ET DE SCIENCES HUMAINES
France
Address
9, Rue Duban
Paris
UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG
Germany
Address
Edmund-siemers-allee 1
Hamburg
UNIVERSITY COLLEGE DUBLIN, NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF IRELAND, DUBLIN
Ireland
Address
Belfield Campus
Dublin
VERENIGING VOOR CHRISTELIJK HOGER ONDERWIJS WETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK EN PATIËNTENZORG
Netherlands
Address
De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam
VYSOKA SKOLA EKONOMICKA PRAHA
Czechia
Address
Nam. W. Churchilla 4
Praha
ZENTRUM FUER EUROPAEISCHE WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG GMBH
Germany
Address
L 7, 1
Mannheim