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Safety and Reliability Assesment; Risk Analysis Techniques (FORMENTOR & STARS Projects), 1988-1991

Objectif



To develop, in collaboration with other leading European research laboratories and companies, Knowledge Based Systems (KBS) for risk assessment, prevention and management, in a variety of industrial sectors. To constitute a reference centre in Europe for the development, exchange and cross fertilization of methods, models and tools in the risk analysis area.

Progress to end 1990

This activity covers JRC participation in two cooperative international projects: STARS (Software Tools for Analysis of Reliability and Safety) and FORMENTOR (Eureka #19). STARS focuses on the needs of off-line analysis, concentrating particularly on the process industries, while FORMENTOR aims at the construction of on-line operator aids for threat aversion in a wide variety of hazardous industries.

The JRC participation to the STARS project, as Project Leader, will aim at the following results:

1) the finalisation of the work-packages aimed at the implementation of the Fault Tree Editor (FTED) and of the Fault Tree Analyser (FTAN). Previous prototype versions have been completed and transcoded in X-Window for sake of portability on UNIX platforms;

2) the conceptual specification and early implementation of the Plant Editing Tool (PLED) for data collection and updating of the information; the tool is based on a CAD interface for drawing plants with the help of menus and data entry panels for specifying plant characteristics;

3) the contribution to the conceptual formalisation of the tools for the Qualitative Hazard Analysis (QUAL), for the substance KB, and for the Frame Management System being implemented by the other STARS partners VTT, RIS and TECSA.

The FORMENTOR project continued in 1990 the theoretical and methodological work started in 1989. Two pilot applications were also launched, one in cockpit operation of the A310 Airbus and the other, in the surveillance of a process control system in a chemical plant. Work was also started in two areas of commercial interest : in the cost-benefit analysis of a FORMENTOR system to a client, and in research on the market size and market share potentially available to FORMENTOR. The JRC contribution to FORMTOR activities was concentrated primarily in the methodology workstream and in the contacts with industrial partners.

Detailed description of work foreseen in 1991 (expected results)

In the STARS project the following main actions are foreseen:

- Specification and development of the inference engine of the Expert System for the Fault Tree Construction (FTCON) and its integration with the previously developed tools.

- Contribution to the conceptual formalisation of the tools for the Consequence Analysis and for the management of the knowledge bases on the chemical substances and dangerous reactions.

In the FORMENTOR project, 1990 will see the first results coming from the pilot applications, which are being implemented on existing KBS technology. These results along with further methodological and theoretical work, will form the basis for the development of the specific FORMENTOR tools.

Eventually analysis of critical (safety) computer systems will be initiated, which will interest both STARS and FORMENTOR projects.

Short description of evolution of work in 1992

The FORMENTOR pilot applications will be developed as commercial demonstrators; and the first version of the FORMENTOR generic system will be implemented STARS will be completed in its first version, according to the Project Agreement; further developments as suggested by the Project Affiliates 2

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Coordinateur

Joint Research Centre (JRC)
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Adresse

21020 Ispra
Italie

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