Objective
This research project attempts to resolve puzzling relations in the cross section of expected stock returns within a rational equilibrium framework. In particular, empirical work shows that expected stock returns are negatively correlated, both statistically and economically, with firm-level (i) dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts, (ii) idiosyncratic volatility, and (iii) credit risk. Such negative relations are apparently at odds with the important concept that systematic risk should always be positively associated with expected payoff. This project shows that the dispersion, idiosyncratic volatility, and credit risk effects naturally emerge in an economy in which the risk is higher when cash flows are weighted towards the longer run. Such economy is characterized by recursive preferences and persistent dividend and consumption growth rates. The equilibrium cross section of expected returns is driven by exposure to a single factor - economic growth. Moreover, firm level beta (factor loading) is time varying and evolves with the duration of cash flows. Ultimately, firms with high dispersion, high credit risk, and high volatility have relatively low cash flow duration and thus low beta. Therefore, such firms have low systematic risk and high idiosyncratic risk, which explains why they earn less. Indeed, the dispersion, idiosyncratic volatility, and credit risk effects are perfectly consistent with the risk-return tradeoff because only systematic risk is compensated in equilibrium asset pricing.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
This project has not yet been classified with EuroSciVoc.
Be the first one to suggest relevant scientific fields and help us improve our classification service
You need to log in or register to use this function
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
FP7-PEOPLE-2009-RG
See other projects for this call
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Coordinator
91904 JERUSALEM
Israel
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.