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Integrating Econometric and Mathematical Programming Models into an Amendable Policy and Market Analysis Tool using FADN Database

Objective

The design of effective and targeted CAP measures relies on a proper assessment of the impacts of EU policy changes and market developments on farmers and the whole economy. Uncertainty, instability and price volatility that relentlessly reshape agricultural markets today, call upon the development of new modelling tools able to scrutinise all relevant dynamics while also remaining easy to use and amend. The project improves and extends existing economic models that make use of the FADN informatics environment by developing a unique modelling framework that (i) encompasses all aspects of farmers’ production decisions (ii) targets the single farm but also consistently aggregates to regional, national and the EU level (iii) takes into consideration the effects of uncertainty and risk on farmers’ behaviour (iv) can be employed in different market environments, i.e. throughout the EU-27 and (v) can be amended and/or fine-tuned by EU and national FADN units. The project draws upon two major modelling tools (econometric and mathematical programming), while the validity of the employed theoretical models will be verified by their empirical application in each EU-27 country.
The project’s final outcome is the construction of a methodological framework comprised of state-of-the-art economic models custom-built for the FADN database that will provide to policy makers an inclusive impact analysis of the effects of alternative policy and market developments scenarios under a real-life, dynamic context. Given the complexity of this framework, a simplified version of the models will be developed, all consistently and operatively joined into an amendable interface that will be user-friendly and easy to operate and still allow for a concise replication of our policy simulation results, capable to target at the efficiency of CAP measures, i.e. the single farm payment, although the whole framework will be also applicable providing some acquaintance with modelling parameterisation.

Field of science

  • /natural sciences/computer and information sciences/databases
  • /social sciences/economics and business/economics/econometrics
  • /social sciences/economics and business/business and management/commerce

Call for proposal

FP7-KBBE-2010-4
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

CP-FP - Small or medium-scale focused research project

Coordinator

ARISTOTELIO PANEPISTIMIO THESSALONIKIS
Address
Kedea Building, Tritis Septemvriou, Aristotle Univ Campus
54636 Thessaloniki
Greece
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
EU contribution
€ 333 120
Administrative Contact
Georgia Petridou (Ms.)

Participants (12)

UNIVERSITE DE PERPIGNAN
France
EU contribution
€ 229 980
Address
Avenue Paul Alduy 52
66860 Perpignan
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Walter Briec (Dr.)
WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY
Netherlands
EU contribution
€ 255 000
Address
Droevendaalsesteeg 4
6708 PB Wageningen
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Ineke Van Driel (Ms.)
UNIVERSITY OF MACEDONIA
Greece
EU contribution
€ 255 120
Address
Egnatia Street 156
540 06 Thessaloniki
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Afroditi Papaasimakopoulou (Ms.)
UNIVERSITY OF CYPRUS
Cyprus
EU contribution
€ 178 260
Address
1, Panepistimiou Avenue, 2109, Aglantzia
1678 Nicosia
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Androulla Theofanous (Ms.)
RHEINISCHE FRIEDRICH-WILHELMS-UNIVERSITAT BONN
Germany
EU contribution
€ 227 880
Address
Regina Pacis Weg 3
53113 Bonn
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Daniela Hasenpusch (Ms.)
JOHANN HEINRICH VON THUENEN-INSTITUT, BUNDESFORSCHUNGSINSTITUT FUER LAENDLICHE RAEUME, WALD UND FISCHEREI
Germany
EU contribution
€ 218 700
Address
Bundesallee 50
38116 Braunschweig
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Alexander Gocht (Dr.)
SVERIGES LANTBRUKSUNIVERSITET
Sweden
EU contribution
€ 218 700
Address
Almas Alle 8
750 07 Uppsala
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Ingrid Ragnarsdotter Jajke (Ms.)
THE UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 177 180
Address
Kirby Corner Road - University House
CV4 8UW Coventry
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Peter Hedges (Dr.)
SZKOLA GLOWNA GOSPODARSTWA WIEJSKIEGO
Poland
EU contribution
€ 97 260
Address
Ul. Nowoursynowska 166
02 787 Warszawa
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Edward Majewski (Prof.)
UNIVERSITY OF NATIONAL AND WORLD ECONOMY
Bulgaria
EU contribution
€ 72 120
Address
Studentski Christo Botev
1700 Sofia
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Plamen Mishev (Prof.)
UNIVERSITA CATTOLICA DEL SACRO CUORE
Italy
EU contribution
€ 199 620
Address
Largo Gemelli 1
20123 Milano
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Mauro Balordi (Dr.)
JRC -JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE- EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 36 922
Address
Rue De La Loi 200
1049 Brussels
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Vincenzo Cardarelli (Mr.)