Objective
Marine regime shifts can be defined as sudden, large-scale changes in the abundance of species on several trophic levels. It seems that one of the main reasons for regime shifts is that ecosystems respond non-linearly to changes in the environment, so that a gradual environmental change (e.g. temperature increase) may lead to a sudden ecosystem response when some threshold is reached. Regime shifts may have large consequences for fisheries (as documented for the North Pacific) and consequently for the society.
Therefore, understanding of regime shifts is of utmost importance to predict the ecosystem effects of global climate change and research on this topic is strongly encouraged by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. There is strong evidence th at a regime shift took place in the North Sea around the late-1980s. Recent studies have shown a step-wise change in the abundance of many species belonging to different trophic levels. Although these biological changes have been found related to the atmospheric and hydrographic forcing, the causative mechanisms of interaction between them are not fully understood.
In this project we propose to investigate the North Sea shift by applying non-parametric techniques (able to account for environment thresholds) to the plankton time-series of the North Sea from which the shift was reported. To do so, this proposal establishes collaboration between two top European research centres, the Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis at the University of Oslo, which will provide the modelling background, and the Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science in Plymouth, which will provide the taxonomic time-series and ecological knowledge, necessary to develop the mathematical modelling. Thus, this project has the potential to clarify how internal ecosystem forces and external environmental forcing interacts to produce regime shifts, which is an extremely important question for marine ecosystems.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- agricultural sciences agriculture, forestry, and fisheries fisheries
- natural sciences biological sciences ecology ecosystems
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences oceanography
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences climatology climatic changes
- natural sciences mathematics applied mathematics mathematical model
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
FP6-2005-MOBILITY-5
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Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Coordinator
OSLO
Norway
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.