Transitions pathways and risk analysis for climate change mitigation and adaption strategies

Informations projet

TRANSrisk

N° de convention de subvention: 642260

DOI 10.3030/642260

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 12 Mai 2015

Date de début 1 Septembre 2015

Date de fin 31 Decembre 2018

Financé au titre de

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Coût total € 7 974 242,50

Contribution de l’UE € 7 454 017,50

Coordonné par

THE UNIVERSITY OF SUSSEX
United Kingdom

Livrables

Documents, reports (28)

Stakeholder mapping (as part of D2.4)

Stakeholder mapping (as part of D2.4)

Communication& dissemination plan

Communication dissemination plan

Report on Social Discourse Analyses and Social Network Analyses
Ethics Requirements

Methodology to recruit and identify research participants informed consent forms and sheets These documents need to be supplied to EASME by month 1 to comply with the ethics requirements

Public and expert opinions on the importance of climate policy risks
Implications of different mitigation portfolios based on stakeholder preferences
Updated stakeholder engagement plan
Review of key uncertainties and risks for climate policy
Report on investigating agency at firms and individual household levels, including method/model documentation and analytical findings
Public acceptance report
Toolboxes for adaptation and mitigation policy pathways
A final brief of 15 country case studies
Report on Innovation Dynamics in Transition Pathways
Quantitative appraisal of climate policy risks
Stakeholder mapping document
Report describing key characteristics of Innovation Policy Options
The damage of inaction: the economic implications of “tipping points”

The damage of inaction the economic implications of tipping points

Conclusions from the events at participating countries, the final conference in Brussels
Matrix of technological innovation systems selected for 15 cases studies

Matrix of technological innovation systems selected for 15 case studies

Report on the comparisons of transition pathways
Report on stakeholder engagement tools (as part of D2.4)

Report on stakeholder engagement tools as part of D24

Report on the Portfolio Analysis of the transition pathways
Context of 15 country case studies (as part of final brief D3.3)

Context of 15 country case studies as part of final brief D33

Report on complementarity of participatory, stakeholder engagement tools with quantitative tools

Report on complementarity of participatory stakeholder engagement tools with quantitative tools

Implications of different “heterodox” mitigation policies

Implications of different heterodox mitigation policies

Appraisal of economic uncertainties associated with climate policy
Multi-criteria consideration of risk and uncertainty for climate policy
Synergies and conflicts of different transition pathways

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (2)

Newsletters, scientific publications and presentations
Website created

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan

To provide a first version of the Data Management Plan to support the data management life cycle for all data that will be collected processed or generated by the project The document will outline how research data will be handled during the project and after it is completed

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (22)

Evaluating consistency in environmental policy mixes through policy, stakeholder, and contextual interactions

Auteurs: Lieu, Jenny; Spyridaki, Niki A.; Alvarez-Tinoco, Rocio; van der Gaast, Wytze; Tuerk, Andreas; van Vliet, Oscar
Publié dans: Sustainability, Numéro 1, 2018, ISSN 2071-1050
Éditeur: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000269934

A group decision making tool for assessing climate policy risks against multiple criteria

Auteurs: Alexandros Nikas, Haris Doukas, Luis Martínez López
Publié dans: Heliyon, Numéro 4/3, 2018, Page(s) e00588, ISSN 2405-8440
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00588

The social profitability of photovoltaics in Germany

Auteurs: Javier López Prol, Karl W. Steininger
Publié dans: Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, Numéro 26/8, 2018, Page(s) 631-641, ISSN 1062-7995
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/pip.2988

Prospects for hydropower in Ethiopia: An energy-water nexus analysis

Auteurs: Bob van der Zwaan, Agnese Boccalon, Francesco Dalla Longa
Publié dans: Energy Strategy Reviews, Numéro 19, 2018, Page(s) 19-30, ISSN 2211-467X
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2017.11.001

Do Kenya’s climate change mitigation ambitions necessitate large-scale renewable energy deployment and dedicated low-carbon energy policy?

Auteurs: Francesco Dalla Longa, Bob van der Zwaan
Publié dans: Renewable Energy, Numéro 113, 2017, Page(s) 1559-1568, ISSN 0960-1481
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.06.026

The potential of behavioural change for climate change mitigation: a case study for the European Union

Auteurs: Dirk-Jan van de Ven, Mikel González-Eguino, Iñaki Arto
Publié dans: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Numéro 23/6, 2018, Page(s) 853-886, ISSN 1381-2386
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11027-017-9763-y

Implications of Switching Fossil Fuel Subsidies to Solar: A Case Study for the European Union

Auteurs: Jon Sampedro, Iñaki Arto, Mikel González-Eguino
Publié dans: Sustainability, Numéro 10/2, 2018, Page(s) 50, ISSN 2071-1050
Éditeur: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/su10010050

An integrated assessment of pathways for low-carbon development in Africa

Auteurs: Bob van der Zwaan, Tom Kober, Francesco Dalla Longa, Anouk van der Laan, Gert Jan Kramer
Publié dans: Energy Policy, Numéro 117, 2018, Page(s) 387-395, ISSN 0301-4215
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.03.017

Assessing the progress toward lower priced long range battery electric vehicles

Auteurs: Björn Nykvist, Frances Sprei, Måns Nilsson
Publié dans: Energy Policy, Numéro 124, 2019, Page(s) 144-155, ISSN 0301-4215
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.09.035

Managing stakeholder knowledge for the evaluation of innovation systems in the face of climate change

Auteurs: Alexandros Nikas, Haris Doukas, Jenny Lieu, Rocío Alvarez Tinoco, Vasileios Charisopoulos, Wytze van der Gaast
Publié dans: Journal of Knowledge Management, Numéro 21/5, 2017, Page(s) 1013-1034, ISSN 1367-3270
Éditeur: Emerald Group Publishing Ltd.
DOI: 10.1108/jkm-01-2017-0006

Risk-based analysis and policy implications for renewable energy investments in Greece

Auteurs: Dimitrios Angelopoulos, Haris Doukas, John Psarras, Giorgos Stamtsis
Publié dans: Energy Policy, Numéro 105, 2017, Page(s) 512-523, ISSN 0301-4215
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.048

Macroeconomic implications of switching to process-emission-free iron and steel production in Europe

Auteurs: Jakob Mayer, Gabriel Bachner, Karl W. Steininger
Publié dans: Journal of Cleaner Production, Numéro 210, 2019, Page(s) 1517-1533, ISSN 0959-6526
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.118

Advancing Energy Access Modelling with Geographic Information System Data

Auteurs: Francesco Dalla Longa, Teun Strikkers, Tom Kober, Bob van der Zwaan
Publié dans: Environmental Modeling & Assessment, Numéro 23/6, 2018, Page(s) 627-637, ISSN 1420-2026
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10666-018-9627-1

Financial de-risking to unlock Africa's renewable energy potential

Auteurs: Bart Sweerts, Francesco Dalla Longa, Bob van der Zwaan
Publié dans: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numéro 102, 2019, Page(s) 75-82, ISSN 1364-0321
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2018.11.039

Energy efficiency promotion in Greece in light of risk: Evaluating policies as portfolio assets

Auteurs: Aikaterini Forouli, Nikolaos Gkonis, Alexandros Nikas, Eleftherios Siskos, Haris Doukas, Christos Tourkolias
Publié dans: Energy, Numéro 170, 2019, Page(s) 818-831, ISSN 0360-5442
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.180

A semi-quantitative modelling application for assessing energy efficiency strategies

Auteurs: Alexandros Nikas, Emmanouil Ntanos, Haris Doukas
Publié dans: Applied Soft Computing, Numéro 76, 2019, Page(s) 140-155, ISSN 1568-4946
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.asoc.2018.12.015

Decision support models in climate policy

Auteurs: Haris Doukas, Alexandros Nikas
Publié dans: European Journal of Operational Research, 2019, ISSN 0377-2217
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.01.017

New Coal-Fired Plants Jeopardise Paris Agreement

Auteurs: Mikel González-Eguino, Antxón Olabe, Teresa Ribera
Publié dans: Sustainability, Numéro 9/2, 2017, Page(s) 168, ISSN 2071-1050
Éditeur: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/su9020168

Significant implications of permafrost thawing for climate change control

Auteurs: Mikel González_Eguino; Marc B. Neumann
Publié dans: Climatic Change, Numéro 136, 2016, Page(s) 381–388, ISSN 1573-1480
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5

Mitigation implications of an ice_free summer in the Arctic Ocean

Auteurs: Mikel González_Eguino; Marc B. Neumann; Iñaki Arto; Iñigo Capellán_Perez; Sérgio H. Faria
Publié dans: Earth’s Future, Numéro 5, 2017, Page(s) 59-66, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU Publications
DOI: 10.1002/2016EF000429

Towards a green energy economy? Tracking the employment effects of low_carbon technologies in the European Union

Auteurs: Anil Markandya; Iñaki Arto; Mikel González_Eguino; Maria V. Román
Publié dans: Applied Energy, Numéro 179, 2016, Page(s) 1342–1350, ISSN 0306-2619
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.122

Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study

Auteurs: Anil Markandya, Jon Sampedro, Steven J Smith, Rita Van Dingenen, Cristina Pizarro-Irizar, Iñaki Arto, Mikel González-Eguino
Publié dans: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numéro 2/3, 2018, Page(s) e126-e133, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30029-9

Non-peer reviewed articles (1)

Expert views on low-carbon transition strategies for the Dutch solar sector: A delay-based fuzzy cognitive mapping approach

Auteurs: Alexandros Nikas, Haris Doukas, Wytze van der Gaast, Krisztina Szendrei
Publié dans: IFAC-PapersOnLine, Numéro 51/30, 2018, Page(s) 715-720, ISSN 2405-8963
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.11.208

Monographic books (2)

Narratives of Low-Carbon Transitions - Understanding Risks and Uncertainties

Auteurs: Susanne Hanger-Kopp, Jenny Lieu, Alexandros Nikas
Publié dans: Narratives of Low-Carbon Transitions, 2019, ISBN 9780-429458781
Éditeur: Routledge
DOI: 10.4324/9780429458781

Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy - Multidisciplinary Methods and Tools for a Low Carbon Society

Auteurs: Doukas, Haris; Flamos, Alexandros; Lieu, Jenny
Publié dans: 2019, ISBN 978-3-030-03152-7
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-03152-7

Book chapters (1)

Developing Robust Climate Policies: A Fuzzy Cognitive Map Approach

Auteurs: Alexandros Nikas, Haris Doukas
Publié dans: Robustness Analysis in Decision Aiding, Optimization, and Analytics, 2016, Page(s) 239-263, ISBN 978-3-319-33121-8
Éditeur: Springer International Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-33121-8_11