Objective
The provision of high quality and sustainable health care services and pension systems require an instrument to monitor and forecast demographic change. The aim of this proposal is to develop that instrument. The methodology consists of a macro-model MAC that models demographic changes at the population level and a micro-model MIC that models demographic events at the individual level. Mac extends the cohort-component model to a multistate model that considers transitions in life other than birth and death. The transitions determine the distribution of cohort members among functional states. The output of MAC consists of cohort biographies. The aggregate level of Mac is adequate for most regular demographic projections. MIC addresses demographic events and other life transitions at the individual level. It is a micro-simulation model that produces individual biographies. That level is required to project very detailed population categories and to assess the potential impact of policy interventions on the occurrence and timing of demographic events in life. MIC and MAC can work independently but they are more effective if they work as a team. They will be used to address policy questions such as the provision of health care services in an ageing population with morbidity expanding or compressing, or the provision of pensions in an ageing population with age at retirement declining or increasing. Methods are developed for estimating transition rates from census data, vital statistics and survey data. Data shortage will be overcome by parameterised projections using model schedules, i.e. mathematical models of age-specific rates of transition. User-friendly software will be developed, including a library of algorithms (objects) that are applied in the models. Hands-on training will be provided to forecasters from around Europe. The project is expected to produce a self-sustained European network on ageing.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences computer and information sciences software
- social sciences sociology demography census
- natural sciences mathematics applied mathematics mathematical model
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Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
FP6-2003-SSP-3
See other projects for this call
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Coordinator
DEN HAAG
Netherlands
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.