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Moving Towards Adaptive Governance in Complexity: Informing Nexus Security

Deliverables

Interactive Project Website

Interactive project website including: (i) a Discussion Forum open to the general public; (ii) a helpdesk section to handle initial enquiries and provide advice; (iii) reports of the project results from WPs 3, 4, 5, 6; (iv) Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) introductory materials section; (v) Videos and broadcast media, to be developed in the form of e-learning material on nexus aspects along the themes of the mixed groups, for online courses and webinars; (vi) teaching material to be used for a course at academic level. The website will be gradually developed and expanded during the course of the project to form the Nexus Knowledge Hub.

Online journal The Nexus Times

An online journal “The Nexus Times” linked to social media platforms to be used to disseminate the results of the project to the EU staff involved and to supranational organizations interested.

Permanent platform

Permanent platform (website) ensuring that the materials generated for the engagement with policy-makers and for the dissemination to academia and general public have a life beyond the end of the project. The platform will build on the Nexus Knowledge Hub and Nexus Information Space, which are part of the project website, and include videos and teaching and training material.

Educational nexus game

An educational nexus game, to be delivered in the form of an online pedagogical tool where users can experiment creating scenarios to test the feasibility, viability and desirability of the nexus.

Data Management Plan

Data Management Plan on the structured metadata repository maintained by the consortium, the various methods of formalization used in the different case studies proposed in WP4, WP5, WP6, and the management of the data generated during the project.

Data Management Plan - First Update

The first update of the Data Management Plan.

Data Management Plan - Final Update

The second and final update of the Data Management Plan.

Report on Nexus Security using Quantitative Story-Telling

Report on the structuring of the perception and representation of the nexus in relation to the concept of Nexus Security that can be implemented using the concept of Quantitative Story-Telling.

Report on Quality Check of Biofuels Assessment

Report on the quality check of current assessments of the pros and cons of Biofuels, when considering this innovation in relation to the nexus.

Report on final conference

Report on the outcome of the final conference aimed at reflecting on and disseminating the results of the project.

Report on NIS Visualization Methods

Report on the visualization methods developed in the Nexus Information Space (NIS).

Dissemination Plan - Update

Update of the Dissemination Plan.

Report on Narratives behind Directives Protecting the Environment

Report on quality check on the robustness of the narratives behind the directives having the goal of protecting the environment (habitat and soil protection) carried out in the three phases

Report on the quality of the assessment of technical innovations

Report on lessons learned about the quality of the process of assessment of technical innovations, policy solutions and interventions relevant for the nexus based on the experience done in the seven groups.

Report on Quality Check of Green Bonds Assessment

Report on the quality check of the assessment done so far over the pros and cons of Green Bonds, when considering this policy solution in relation to the nexus

Report on Quality Check of Assessment of Intervention Directed towards Environmental Protection

Report on the quality check of current assessments of the pros and cons of Intervention Directed towards Environmental Protection, when considering this intervention in relation to the nexus.

Report on Quality Check of Shale Gas Extraction Assessment

Report on the quality check of the assessment done so far over the pros and cons of Shale Gas Extraction, when considering this innovation in relation to the nexus

Minutes of Second Progress Meeting

Minutes of the second progress meeting scheduled for M24, including the minutes of the meeting of the General Assembly. The minutes will be made available to the Consortium members and the PA within two weeks after the meeting and posted on the project website.

Report on Quality Check of Alternative Water Sources Assessment

Report on the quality check of the assessment done so far over the pros and cons of Alternative Water Sources, when considering this innovation in relation to the nexus

Training and Continuing Professional Development (CPD) course – Teaching material

Organization of a Training and Continuing Professional Development (CPD) course on Quantitative Story Telling.

Synergy Exploitation Plan

Plan on exploitation of synergies and clustering with related projects.

Minutes of First Progress Meeting

Minutes of the first progress meeting scheduled for M12, including the minutes of the meeting of the General Assembly and Advisory Board. The minutes will be made available to the Consortium members, the Advisory Board members, and the PA within two weeks after the meeting and posted on the project website.

Report on Narratives behind Energy Directives

Report on quality check on the robustness of the narratives behind the energy directives carried out in the three phases.

Dissemination Plan

Comprehenisve strategy for communication, dissemination and exploitation of results, including the creation of the permanent platform beyond the project duration.

Report on Narratives behind Water Directive

Report on quality check on the robustness of the narratives behind the water directives carried out in three phases.

Report on Datasets and Tools Supporting Quantitative Story Telling

Report on the datasets and tools used to support the applications of Quantitative Story Telling.

Report on EU sustainability goals

Report on the degree and nature of change that would be required for the policy narratives to be coherent with EU sustainability goals at the PanEuropean level considering the five policy themes.

Minutes of Final Project Meeting

Minutes of the final project meeting scheduled for M46, including the minutes of the meeting of the General Assembly. The minutes will be made available to the Consortium members and the PA within two weeks after the meeting and posted on the project website.

Report on Narratives behind Circular Economy concept

Report on quality check on the robustness of the narratives behind the circular economy concept carried out in the three phases

First report on fact sheets and policy briefs

Compilation and coherent presentation of the set of fact sheets and policy briefs produced during the second reporting period of the project (M13-M30).

Minutes of Third Progress Meeting

Minutes of the third progress meeting scheduled for M36, including the minutes of the meeting of the General Assembly and Advisory Board. The minutes will be made available to the Consortium members, the Advisory Board members, and the PA within two weeks after the meeting and posted on the project website.

Report on Quality Check of Electric Vehicle & Storage Assessment

Report on the quality check of current assessments of the pros and cons of the innovation Electric Vehicle & Storage, when considering this innovation in relation to the nexus.

Project Leaflet

Informative leaflet describing the project.

Report on EU climate change goals

Report on the degree and nature of change that would be required for the policy narratives to be coherent with EU climate change goals at the PanEuropean level considering the five policy themes.

Report on the experience of applications of NIS and QST

Report on the experience done by generating different applications of Nexus Information Space (NIS) and Quantitative Story-telling (QST) to the different case studies carried out in WP5 and WP6.

Report on EU socio-ecological systems

Report on the implementation of the Quantitative Story-Telling framing the issue of nexus security in relation to EU socio-ecological systems at the level of the whole Europe by NUTS1 and 2 regions.

EU Learn training material

Teaching and training material, based on the MAGIC toolkit and quantitative story-telling approach, for the engagement with EU staff through the EU Learn scheme (compilation).

Second report on fact sheets and policy briefs

Compilation and coherent presentation of the set of fact sheets and policy briefs produced during the third and last reporting period of the project.

Report on scientific publications and conference presentations

Report on academic and professional publications, and Nexus-Focusing events at conferences and international meetings.

Report on: (i) global drivers; (ii) planetary boundaries; and (iii) the effect of externalization

Report on the use of NIS and QST to study the implications of: (i) global drivers; (ii) planetary boundaries; and (iii) the effect of externalization of pressure and impact to other SES by EU imports.

Report on the theoretical and methodological framework for the Nexus Dialogue Space

Report on the theoretical and methodological framework for the Nexus Dialogue Space, also to be published as a research article.

Lessons Learned in Operation of Nexus Dialogue Space

Report on lessons learned in the 4 years of operation of the Nexus Dialogue Space.

Report on Quality Check of Saving Water in Irrigation Assessment

Report on the quality check of current assessments of the pros and cons of the Innovation Saving Water in Irrigation, when considering this innovation in relation to the nexus.

Report on Narratives behind CAP

Report on quality check on the robustness of the narratives behind the CAP carried out in the three phases

Report on the carbon-intensity of case-study technologies

Report on the cross-cutting analysis of carbon-intensity of case-study technologies, relation to EU low-carbon strategy and upscaling potentials and effects.

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Publications

Environmental pressure of the European agricultural system: Anticipating the biophysical consequences of internalization

Author(s): Ansel Renner, Juan José Cadillo-Benalcazar, Lorenzo Benini, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Ecosystem Services, Issue 46, 2020, Page(s) 101195, ISSN 2212-0416
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101195

Balancing biodiversity and agriculture: Conservation scenarios for the Dutch dairy sector

Author(s): A. Kok, V.J. Oostvogels, E.M. de Olde, R. Ripoll-Bosch
Published in: Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, Issue 302, 2020, Page(s) 107103, ISSN 0167-8809
DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2020.107103

The energy metabolism of post-industrial economies. A framework to account for externalization across scales

Author(s): M. Ripa, L.J. Di Felice, M. Giampietro
Published in: Energy, Issue 214, 2021, Page(s) 118943, ISSN 0360-5442
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.118943

A becoming China and the assisted maturity of the EU: Assessing the factors determining their energy metabolic patterns

Author(s): Raúl Velasco-Fernández, Laura Pérez-Sánchez, Lei Chen, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Energy Strategy Reviews, Issue 32, 2020, Page(s) 100562, ISSN 2211-467X
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2020.100562

A distribution-free soft-clustering method for preference rankings

Author(s): Antonio D’Ambrosio, Willem J. Heiser
Published in: Behaviormetrika, Issue 46/2, 2019, Page(s) 333-351, ISSN 0385-7417
DOI: 10.1007/s41237-018-0069-5

Food, energy or biomaterials? Policy coherence across agro-food and bioeconomy policy domains in the EU

Author(s): A. Muscat, E.M. de Olde, Z. Kovacic, I.J.M de Boer, R. Ripoll-Bosch
Published in: Environmental Science & Policy, Issue 123, 2021, Page(s) 21-30, ISSN 1462-9011
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.05.001

Why does the European Union produce biofuels? Examining consistency and plausibility in prevailing narratives with quantitative storytelling

Author(s): Cadillo-Benalcazar, J.J.; Bukkens, S.G.F.; Ripa, M.; Giampietro, M.
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue 71, 2021, Page(s) 101810, ISSN 2214-6296
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2020.101810

Environmental accounting for ecosystem conservation: Linking societal and ecosystem metabolisms

Author(s): Pedro L. Lomas, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Ecological Modelling, Issue 346, 2017, Page(s) 10-19, ISSN 0304-3800
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.12.009

Multi-Scale Integrated Analysis of Charcoal Production in Complex Social-Ecological Systems

Author(s): Rafael González-López, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 5, 2017, Page(s) Article 54, ISSN 2296-665X
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2017.00054

Perception and Representation of the Resource Nexus at the Interface between Society and the Natural Environment

Author(s): Mario Giampietro
Published in: Sustainability, Issue 10/7, 2018, Page(s) 2545, ISSN 2071-1050
DOI: 10.3390/su10072545

Deep Decarbonisation from a Biophysical Perspective: GHG Emissions of a Renewable Electricity Transformation in the EU

Author(s): Louisa Di Felice, Maddalena Ripa, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Sustainability, Issue 10/10, 2018, Page(s) 3685, ISSN 2071-1050
DOI: 10.3390/su10103685

The metabolism of oil extraction: A bottom-up approach applied to the case of Ecuador

Author(s): Rony Parra, Louisa Jane Di Felice, Mario Giampietro, Jesus Ramos-Martin
Published in: Energy Policy, Issue 122, 2018, Page(s) 63-74, ISSN 0301-4215
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.07.017

Ecosystem services as the products of land system dynamics: lessons from a longitudinal study of coupled human–environment systems

Author(s): Richard Aspinall, Michele Staiano
Published in: Landscape Ecology, 2018, ISSN 0921-2973
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-018-0752-7

An alternative to market-oriented energy models: Nexus patterns across hierarchical levels

Author(s): Louisa Jane Di Felice, Maddalena Ripa, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Energy Policy, Issue 126, 2019, Page(s) 431-443, ISSN 0301-4215
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.002

A note on depth-based classification of circular data

Author(s): Pandolfo, Giuseppe; D'Ambrosio, Antonio; Porzio, Giovanni C.
Published in: Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis, Issue 11 (02), 2018, Page(s) 447-462, ISSN 2070-5948
DOI: 10.1285/i20705948v11n2p447

Median constrained bucket order rank aggregation

Author(s): Antonio D’Ambrosio, Carmela Iorio, Michele Staiano, Roberta Siciliano
Published in: Computational Statistics, 2019, ISSN 0943-4062
DOI: 10.1007/s00180-018-0858-z

Complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity: Implications for European Union energy governance

Author(s): Zora Kovacic, Louisa Jane Di Felice
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue 53, 2019, Page(s) 159-169, ISSN 2214-6296
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2019.03.005

The water footprint of wood for energy consumed in the European Union

Author(s): Schyns, Joep F.; Vanham, Davy
Published in: Water, Issue 11 (2), 206, 2019, ISSN 2073-4441
DOI: 10.3390/w11020206

On the Circular Bioeconomy and Decoupling: Implications for Sustainable Growth

Author(s): Mario Giampietro
Published in: Ecological Economics, Issue 162, 2019, Page(s) 143-156, ISSN 0921-8009
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.05.001

Land, water and carbon footprints of circular bioenergy production systems

Author(s): B. Holmatov, A.Y. Hoekstra, M.S. Krol
Published in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Issue 111, 2019, Page(s) 224-235, ISSN 1364-0321
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2019.04.085

Mind the gap: A social sciences review of energy efficiency

Author(s): Tessa Dunlop
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue 56, 2019, Page(s) 101216, ISSN 2214-6296
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2019.05.026

Informative trees by visual pruning

Author(s): Carmela Iorio, Massimo Aria, Antonio D’Ambrosio, Roberta Siciliano
Published in: Expert Systems with Applications, Issue 127, 2019, Page(s) 228-240, ISSN 0957-4174
DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2019.03.018

Relational analysis of the resource nexus in arid land crop production

Author(s): Violeta Cabello, Ansel Renner, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Advances in Water Resources, Issue 130, 2019, Page(s) 258-269, ISSN 0309-1708
DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.06.014

Structuring an integrated water-energy-food nexus assessment of a local wind energy desalination system for irrigation

Author(s): Tarik Serrano-Tovar, Baltasar Peñate Suárez, Ana Musicki, Juan A. de la Fuente Bencomo, Violeta Cabello, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 689, 2019, Page(s) 945-957, ISSN 0048-9697
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.422

Socio-technical discourses of European electricity decarbonization: Contesting narrative credibility and legitimacy with quantitative story-telling

Author(s): Ansel Renner, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue 59, 2020, Page(s) 101279, ISSN 2214-6296
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2019.101279

Indicator development as a site of collective imagination? The case of European Commission policies on the circular economy

Author(s): Thomas Völker, Zora Kovacic, Roger Strand
Published in: Culture and Organization, 2017, Page(s) 1-18, ISSN 1475-9551
DOI: 10.1080/14759551.2019.1699092

Technical and Agronomical Assessment of the Use of Desalinated Seawater for Coastal Irrigation in an Insular Context

Author(s): Adrián Monterrey-Viña, Ana Musicki-Savic, Francisco J. Díaz-Peña, Baltasar Peñate-Suárez
Published in: Water, Issue 12/1, 2020, Page(s) 272, ISSN 2073-4441
DOI: 10.3390/w12010272

Facing the tragedy of change in the semiotic process: the role of science

Author(s): Mario Giampietro, Zora Kovacic
Published in: International Journal of Sustainable Development, Issue 22/1/2, 2019, Page(s) 88, ISSN 0960-1406
DOI: 10.1504/IJSD.2019.104729

Fallacies of energy efficiency indicators: Recognizing the complexity of the metabolic pattern of the economy

Author(s): Raúl Velasco-Fernández, Tessa Dunlop, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Energy Policy, Issue 137, 2020, Page(s) 111089, ISSN 0301-4215
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111089

The Environmental Footprint of Transport by Car Using Renewable Energy

Author(s): Bunyod Holmatov, Arjen Y. Hoekstra
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 8/2, 2020, Page(s) Article No. e2019EF001428, ISSN 2328-4277
DOI: 10.1029/2019EF001428

European biodiversity assessments in livestock science: A review of research characteristics and indicators

Author(s): A. Kok, E.M. de Olde, I.J.M. de Boer, R. Ripoll-Bosch
Published in: Ecological Indicators, Issue 112, 2020, Page(s) 105902, ISSN 1470-160X
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105902

From elite folk science to the policy legend of the circular economy

Author(s): Mario Giampietro, Silvio O. Funtowicz
Published in: Environmental Science & Policy, Issue 109, 2020, Page(s) 64-72, ISSN 1462-9011
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.04.012

The battle for biomass: A systematic review of food-feed-fuel competition

Author(s): A. Muscat, E.M. de Olde, I.J.M. de Boer, R. Ripoll-Bosch
Published in: Global Food Security, Issue 25, 2020, Page(s) 100330, ISSN 2211-9124
DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2019.100330

A multiscale integrated analysis of the factors characterizing the sustainability of food systems in Europe

Author(s): Juan José Cadillo-Benalcazar, Ansel Renner, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Journal of Environmental Management, Issue 271, 2020, Page(s) 110944, ISSN 0301-4797
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110944

The international division of labor and embodied working time in trade for the US, the EU and China

Author(s): Perez-Sanchez, L.; Velasco-Fernandez, R.; Giampietro, M.
Published in: Ecological Economics, 2020, ISSN 0921-8009
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106909

Exploration of the environmental implications of ageing conventional oil reserves with relational analysis

Author(s): Rony Parra, Sandra G.F. Bukkens, Mario Giampietro
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 749, 2020, Page(s) 142371, ISSN 0048-9697
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142371

Cutting through the biofuel confusion: A conceptual framework to check the feasibility, viability and desirability of biofuels

Author(s): M. Ripa, J.J. Cadillo-Benalcazar, M. Giampietro
Published in: Energy Strategy Reviews, Issue 35, 2021, Page(s) 100642, ISSN 2211-467X
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2021.100642

The Nexus Times

Author(s): The MAGIC Consortium
Published in: 2020
DOI: 10.24994/2020/nexustimes

The Circular Economy in Europe - Critical Perspectives on Policies and Imaginaries

Author(s): Zora Kovacic, Roger Strand, Thomas Völker
Published in: 2019
DOI: 10.4324/9780429061028

Exploratory GIS analysis via spatially weighted regression trees

Author(s): Iorio, C.; Pandolfo, G.; Staiano, M.; Siciliano, R.
Published in: Book of Short Papers SIS 2018, Issue 1, 2018
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4024136

¿Qué historias cuentan sobre la directiva marco del agua?

Author(s): Violeta Cabello, Zora Kovacic, Thomas Völker, Angela Guimarães Pereira, Maarten S. Krol, Keith Matthews, Kirsty Blackstock
Published in: Libro de actas del X Congreso Ibérico de Gestión y Planificación del Agua, Coimbra, Portugal, 6-8 September 2018, 2018
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.1451744

Exploratory GIS Analysis via Spatially Weighted Regression Trees

Author(s): Iorio C, Pandolfo G, Staiano M, Siciliano R
Published in: Book of short Papers SIS 2018, proceedings of the 49th Scientific meeting of the Italian Statistical Society, Palermo, 20-22 June 2018, 2018, Page(s) 1012-1017

A closer look at national energy metabolism: multiscale integrated analysis of energy end uses

Author(s): Ripa M, Velasco-Fernández R, Manfroni M, Giampietro M
Published in: Proceedings of the 10th Biennial International Workshop Advances in Energy Studies (BIWAES): Energy Futures, Environment and Well-being, Naples, Italy, 25-28 September 2017, 2017, Page(s) 211-218
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.2558224

Electric vehicles in the EU: between narrative and quantification

Author(s): Di Felice LJ, Ripa M, Giampietro M
Published in: Proceedings of the 10th Biennial International Workshop Advances in Energy Studies (BIWAES): Energy Futures, Environment and Well-being, Naples, Italy, 25-28 September 2017, 2017, Page(s) 25-28
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.2558212

Striving for Reflexive Science

Author(s): Roger Strand
Published in: "fteval Journal for Research and Technology Policy Evaluation Issue 48/July 2019 - Proceedings of the Conference ""Impact of Social Sciences and Humanities for a European Research Agenda Valuation of SSH in mission-oriented research""", Issue vol. 48 /July 2019, 2019, Page(s) 56-61, ISSN 1726-6629
DOI: 10.22163/fteval.2019.368

"Delivering more than the ""Sum of the Parts"": using Quantitative Storytelling to address the challenges of conducting science for policy in the EU land, water and energy nexus"

Author(s): Matthews KB, Blackstock KL, Rivington M, Waylen K, Miller DG, Wardell-Johnson D, Kovacic Z, Renner AF, Ripa M, Giampietro M
Published in: Syme G Hatton MacDonald D Fulton B and Piantadosi J (eds) MODSIM2017 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, 2017, Page(s) 15-21
DOI: 10.36334/modsim.2017.Keynote.matthews

Science for Sustainability: Using Societal Metabolism Analysis to check the robustness of European Union policy narratives in the water, energy and food nexus

Author(s): Matthews, K.B., Waylen, K.A., Blackstock, K.L., Juarez-Bourke, A., Miller, D.G., Wardell-Johnson, D.H., Rivington, M., Giampietro, M.
Published in: El Sawah, S. (ed.) MODSIM2019, 23rd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation., 2019, Page(s) 877–883
DOI: 10.36334/modsim.2019.J5.matthews

Using deliberative societal metabolism analysis to analyse CAP's delivery of EU sustainability and climate change objectives

Author(s): Matthews, K.B.; Blackstock, K.L.; Waylen, K.A.; Juarez-Bourke, A.; Rivington, M.; Miller, D.G.; Wardell-Johnson, D; Cabello, V.; Kovacic, Z.; Renner, A.F.; Ripa, M.; Giampietro, M.
Published in: 2019
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.289806

A better characterization of biophysical performance using the transformation matrix: The case of the paper and pulp industry from a nexus perspective

Author(s): Velasco-Fernández, Raúl; Giampietro, Mario; Pérez-Sánchez, Laura
Published in: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Energy & Environment: bringing together Engineering and Economics, 2019, Page(s) 507-513
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3763085