Bayesian Networks and Non-Rational Expectations

Project Information

BAYNET

Grant agreement ID: 692995

DOI 10.3030/692995

Project closed

EC signature date 13 June 2016

Start date 1 July 2016

End date 30 June 2022

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost € 1 379 288,00

EU contribution € 1 379 288,00

Coordinated by

UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON
United Kingdom

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (11)

Bayesian networks and boundedly rational expectations

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2016, ISSN 0033-5533
Publisher: MIT Press
DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjw011

Strategic interpretations

Author(s): Kfir Eliaz; Ran Spiegler; Heidi Thysen
Published in: Journal of Economic Theory, 2021, ISSN 0022-0531
Publisher: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105192

On the behavioral consequences of reverse causality

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: European Economic Review, 2022, ISSN 0014-2921
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104258

Equilibrium contracts and boundedly rational expectations

Author(s): Heiner Schumacher; Heidi Thysen
Published in: Theoretical Economics, 2022, ISSN 1555-7561
Publisher: Society for Economic Theory
DOI: 10.3982/te4231

Modeling players with random data access

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: Journal of Economic Thory, 2021, ISSN 0022-0531
Publisher: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105374

Behavioral implications of causal misperceptions

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: Annual Review of Economics, 2020, ISSN 1941-1391
Publisher: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-072219-111921

“Data Monkeys”: A Procedural Model of Extrapolation from Partial Statistics*

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: The Review of Economic Studies, 2017, Page(s) rdx004, ISSN 0034-6527
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1093/restud/rdx004

Can Agents with Causal Misperceptions be Systematically Fooled?

Author(s): Ran Spiegler
Published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2019, ISSN 1542-4766
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
DOI: 10.1093/jeea/jvy057

Persuasion with endogenous misspecified beliefs

Author(s): Kfir Eliaz; Ran Spiegler; Heidi Thysen
Published in: European Economic Review, 2021, ISSN 0014-2921
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103712

Cheating with models

Author(s): Kfir Eliaz; Ran Spiegler; Yair Weiss
Published in: American Economic Review: Insights, 2021, ISSN 2640-205X
Publisher: AEA
DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20200635

A Model of Competing Narratives

Author(s): Kfir Eliaz; Ran Spiegler
Published in: American Economic Review, 2020, ISSN 0002-8282
Publisher: American Economic Association
DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191099