Currently Subfailtec has been tested in laboratory and in the field, with excellent results. During the next 24 months of development PDP will continue developing Subfailtec to further increase its precision through Algorithm & Software development, complete system integration, field testing and set up of industrial production. At the end of these activities, PDP plan to launch Subfailtec into the market.
PDP will initially target 0,33 % of the potential Dry Transformers market in the above mentioned 6 initial commercialization countries, and 3,5% in the fifth year. With an initial market price of 3.600 €, payback time for Subfailtec customers is estimated at less than two years; return on Investment for the EC investment in Subfailtec Project is estimated at a 2 years and a half. Revenues are estimated at 1,5M € in the first year, reaching 16M€ in the fifth year into the market.
Subfailtec has made its proof in laboratory and field tests. During the next development phase, further development and testing in real industrial conditions will be carried out in order to further demonstrate the readiness of Subfailtec before its launch into the market. Breaking down by component:
Antenna: The Vivaldi antenna bandwidth of ultra-wide band (UWB) has proven itself as the optimal choice for a wide variety of applications; however, in some MV market segments the antenna will have to be incorporated into the equipment enclosure, which will dictate a more compact. For these specific cases, PDP will design and test alternative antenna configurations.
Algorithm and Operational Software: On the basis of the already developed basic version, a versatile and adaptive (self-learning) algorithms will be developed to handle the diversity of MV equipment that Subfailtec will monitor, including decision support algorithms. Improvements will also be made in the operational SW (UX) and to obtain a user friendly man machine interface.
Hardware: MV version needs to be further developed with a design-to-cost in mind. In particular, replacing the PC platform with an embedded platform that will help reduce costs without affecting the system’s performance.
Communication: Both wired and wireless communication will be developed, based on cellular infrastructure or Wi-Fi, to enable maximal flexibility for the customer.
Currently, Subfailtec is in Technology Readiness (TRL) 6. The next major milestones in Subfailtec development will be:
1) In 18 months, a prototype will have been tested in an operational environment reaching TRL 7 for Subfailtec
2) At the end of month 22, five Subfailtec pilots installed in five different industrial facilities will have confirmed Subfailtec’s performances on the field, reaching TRL 8.
3) After 24 months, PDP will have sent applications in order to obtain TUV, CE, ISO and CSA certifications, and the production file will be completed.
Subfailtec will be ready to be produced in series and launched into the market.