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Oasis Innovation Hub for Catastrophe and Climate Extremes Risk Assessment

Deliverables

D2.1.3.1 Analysis of current conditions

Analysis of the current climate and hydrological conditions

D 4.17 Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report 2018/19

Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report 2018/19

D 4.2 Communication material design and layout

Communication material design and layout – flyers, roll-ups, handouts

D2.3.1.4 Health risk report

Report about climate change impact on health risk in Berlin Center and Potsdam

D2.3.1.1 Analysis of health statistics

Analysis of health statistics for Berlin Center and Potsdam

D2.1.1.3 Report Cat Model Toolbox

Report about the Cat Model Toolbox

D2.3.2.1 Needs assessment report

Forest sector needs assessment report

D3.6 Report on dissemination and exploitation activities

Report on dissemination and exploitation activities

D2.2.1.1 Typhoon Catalogue

Typhoon Catalogue Southeast Asia

D5.5 Report on co-design and stakeholder feedback (insurance sector and beyond)

Report on co-design and stakeholder feedback (insurance sector and beyond) The Oasis Consortium have developed a strong policy of those working within the consortium must have end-user involvement/ codesign of tools. As an added enforcement of this our innovation our external innovation advisory board will do yearly reviews on projects to check for user application of products and to advise and ensure market application suitability of particular models and tools. Consistency in evaluating and measuring the added-value of the services for end-users will be made clear in the work plan and has been formalised in the deliverables under the Management section.

D 3.8 Report on Go-to-Market/Sales and Marketing Activities

Report on Go-to-Market/Sales and Marketing Activities

D 4.3 Demonstrator descriptions for online publishing

Initial demonstrator descriptions for online publishing

D1.5 Report on model integration

Report on complete integration of models into Oasis including certification

D 4.1 Communication and dissemination strategy

Communication and dissemination strategy

D 4.16 Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report 2017/18

Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report

D2.2.2.1 Report on the viability of the methodology

Report on the viability of the methodology for the Tanzanian cropping conditions

D 4.22 Inputs to public consultations of key relevant legislation

Inputs to public consultations of key relevant legislation

D1.6 Report on new user interface

Report on design of new user interface month

D2.1.2.4 Report on future fluvial and pluvial flood risk

Report on future fluvial and pluvial flood risk assessment for the Danube basin

D 4.19 Policy briefs on OASIS LMF

Policy briefs on OASIS LMF

D3.5 Dissemination and exploitation plan developed

Dissemination and exploitation plan developed

D5.7 Ethics and human participant and protection of personal data plan and reviews

Ethics and human participant and protection of personal data plan and reviews. Copies of opinion or confirmation by the competent Institutional Data Protection Officers and/or authorization or notification by the National Data Protection Authority will be submitted according to the EU Data Protection Regulations.

D2.3.2.3 Business model report forest sector

Business cases and business model report

D 4.4 Case studies developed

Case studies of demonstrator including final results for online publishing

D2.1.1.2 Report adaptation potential

Report on the adaptation potential (including synergies with mitigation) applied to cases.

D2.2.2.3 Micro crop insurance scheme

Development of a micro crop insurance scheme designed for the farming conditions in Tanzania

D2.3.1.5 Health cost benefit analysis

Cost benefit analysis of 2 specific adaptation measures (hospital equipment with room climatization and room climatization in patient residence)

D 4.18 Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report 2019/20

Communication and dissemination monitoring template and yearly report 2019/20

D2.1.3.2 Report on Novi Sad case study

Applicability of OASIS framework for the EU guidelines: Results of a case study - analysis of the climate risk for the treatment plant and possible adaptation measures

D2.2.2.2 Insurance design workshop

Insurance design workshop (WS) for local partners and stakeholder

D2.3.2.6 Final report forest fire

Final forest demonstration report

D 3.14 Investment secured in Oasis Hub

Investment secured in Oasis Hub

D 4.6 OASIS LMF event for insurance sector

A dedicated OASIS LMF event for insurance sector

D5.4 Report on coordination and synergies activities

Coordination and synergies with relevant EU projects and other initiatives Report on coordination activities Activities under this task include: • regular information on the progress of each project (invitation to meetings, participation in the Advisory board, etc.) • joint participation to meetings upon request of the European Commission to promote the outputs of the projects • potential alignment of activities (especially dissemination and communication activities i.e. joint policy recommendations) and meetings • exchange and consolidation of results when relevant, e.g. concerning barriers and incentives to the use of climate services The consortium will also consider the other relevant EU projects and other initiatives in the field of climates services and develop mutually beneficial synergies. Those include, but are not limited to Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), Climateurope, the JPI-Climate, and the EIT Climate-KIC.

D1.3 OASIS LMF Workshop

Workshops to be held

D1.2 OASIS LMF Workshop

Workshops to be held

D1.1 OASIS LMF Workshop

Workshops to be held

D5.2 First Project GA and second AB meeting minutes

First Project GA and second AB meeting minutes to be delivered.

D3.2 Recruitment of Technical Support Technician

Recruitment of Technical Support Technician

D 3.12 Revenue generation report

Revenue generation report

D1.4 Development of materials for workshops

Development of materials for workshops

D 4.14 Report on webinar sessions for H2020 community

Report on webinar sessions for H2020 community (sharing and learning activity)

D 4.21 Lunch-time seminar for EU Commission services

Lunch-time seminar for EU Commission services

D2.3.1.3 Health damage function

Health damage function for Berlin Center and Potsdam

D5.3 Second project GA and third AB meeting minutes

Second project GA and third AB meeting minutes to be delivered.

D2.3.1.2 Meteorological and environmental database

Meteorological and environmental database of Berlin and Potsdam

D3.1 Recruitment of Sales Manager

Recruitment of Sales Manager

D2.1.2.2 Damage data collection tool

D2.1.2.2 Damage data collection tool and exposure data base as services to acquire event related data and provide exposure and vulnerability related information for risk analysis.

D2.2.1.2 OASIS complient event set

Synthetic event set compatible with the OASIS software

D 3.16 Report on Educational webinars delivered

Report on Educational webinars delivered As a part of the eMarket development we are planning a range of webinars that illustrate the use and linkages of particular software and analytical tools hosted on the site to end-users. The webinars will show real use of a particular tools and how to collect information from the eMarket (now known as Oasis HUB) to place within tools to obtain desired results using a particular analytical tool or if more generalised tool that have their own data webinars will show how these work. The webinars will be part of an added value marketing package to members and we had added sessions as part of our deliverables.

D2.3.1.6 Testing of health damage function in eMarket and Oasis LMF

Testing of health damage function in eMarket and Oasis LMF. This will be done in cooperation with OASIS LMF, BetterPoints and with feedback from the health insurance partners.

D5.1 Kick-off meeting and first AB meeting minutes

This includes: Kick-off meeting arrangement and minutes Advisory Board meeting minutes

D4.11 Report on presentations and workshops at a relevant event

Report on presentations and workshops at a relevant event

D 4.5 Film and MOOC

A data visualisation film, potentially including interviews of stakeholders that showcases the tools/ demonstrators under development through using actual data will be developed to show potential users the application of the tools. The production of this film will be subcontracted. A MOOC will be developed that shows how the model development has proceeded using the Future Danube Model as an example for the scientific community- thus providing the potential to replicate the work of the programme widely. MOOC development would be subcontracted. The use of the Oasis Hub social media audiences will be used to disseminate/ advertise the MOOC.

D5.6 H2020_Insurance Web-pages

Ensure smooth internal communication and project visibility H2020_Insurance Web-pages embedded within Oasis Hub in high profile position - that can also be entered separately

D3.3 Technical development of sales infrastructure

Phase 2 Technical Development completed – specifically sales infrastructure launched

D2.1.1.1 Hazard and risk mapping

OASIS LMF compliant hazard and risk mapping in the Danube basin uploaded to the OASIS eMarket

D3.4 Technical Integration with LMF Platform

Technical Integration with LMF Platform

D2.1.3.3 Service offer for climate risk analysis

Service offer for climate risk analysis of large-scale infrastructure investments by using the OASIS modelling framework

D2.2.2.4 Integrated yield model for yield loss validation

Integrated yield model for yield loss validation and yield risk map available in the eMarket

D2.1.2.1 Probabilistic vulnerability functions for fluvial and pluvial floods

OASIS LMF compliant probabilistic vulnerability functions for fluvial and pluvial floods

D2.3.2.7 Go to market report

Go to market roadmap and report

D2.2.1.3 Report on seasonal forecasts of landfalling typhoons

Long range (more than 8 months) forecast will be made on a new statistical model recently developed by Imperial College. For forecast less than 8 months we will deploy a regional dynamical model.

D2.3.2.2 RiskFP-insurance prototype

Prototype of new RiskFP-insurance software for forest sector

D5.8 Data management plan

The report will describe how data management is organized in the project. This embraces intellectual properties, maintenance, storage etc.

Publications

Pacific subsurface ocean temperature as a long-range predictor of South China tropical cyclone landfall

Author(s): Nathan Sparks, Ralf Toumi
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 1/1, 2020, ISSN 2662-4435
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00033-2

On the seasonal and sub‐seasonal factors influencing East China tropical cyclone landfall

Author(s): Nathan Sparks, Ralf Toumi
Published in: Atmospheric Science Letters, 2020, ISSN 1530-261X
DOI: 10.1002/asl.1014

A probabilistic approach to estimating residential losses from different flood types

Author(s): Dominik Paprotny, Heidi Kreibich, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, Dennis Wagenaar, Attilio Castellarin, Francesca Carisi, Xavier Bertin, Bruno Merz, Kai Schröter
Published in: Natural Hazards, 2020, ISSN 0921-030X
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04413-x

A Consistent Approach for Probabilistic Residential Flood Loss Modeling in Europe

Author(s): Stefan Lüdtke, Kai Schröter, Max Steinhausen, Laura Weise, Rui Figueiredo, Heidi Kreibich
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 55/12, 2019, Page(s) 10616-10635, ISSN 0043-1397
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr026213

Exposure and vulnerability estimation for modelling flood losses to commercial assets in Europe

Author(s): Dominik Paprotny, Heidi Kreibich, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, Attilio Castellarin, Francesca Carisi, Kai Schröter
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 737, 2020, Page(s) 140011, ISSN 0048-9697
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140011

Robustly forecasting maize yields in Tanzania based on climatic predictors

Author(s): Rahel Laudien, Bernhard Schauberger, David Makowski, Christoph Gornott
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-76315-8

Simulation of flood hazard and risk in the Danube basin with the Future Danube Model

Author(s): Fred F. Hattermann, Michel Wortmann, Stefan Liersch, Ralf Toumi, Nathan Sparks, Christopher Genillard, Kai Schröter, Max Steinhausen, Miklós Gyalai-Korpos, Kinga Máté, Ben Hayes, María del Rocío Rivas López, Tibor Rácz, Marie R. Nielsen, Per S. Kaspersen, Martin Drews
Published in: Climate Services, Issue 12, 2018, Page(s) 14-26, ISSN 2405-8807
DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2018.07.001

Regional and Temporal Transferability of Multivariable Flood Damage Models

Author(s): Dennis Wagenaar, Stefan Lüdtke, Kai Schröter, Laurens M. Bouwer, Heidi Kreibich
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 54/5, 2018, Page(s) 3688-3703, ISSN 0043-1397
DOI: 10.1029/2017wr022233

Near Real-Time Biophysical Rice (Oryza sativa L.) Yield Estimation to Support Crop Insurance Implementation in India

Author(s): Ponraj Arumugam, Abel Chemura, Bernhard Schauberger, Christoph Gornott
Published in: Agronomy, Issue 10/11, 2020, Page(s) 1674, ISSN 2073-4395
DOI: 10.3390/agronomy10111674

Comparison of the impacts of urban development and climate change on exposing European cities to pluvial flooding

Author(s): Per Skougaard Kaspersen, Nanna Høegh Ravn, Karsten Arnbjerg-Nielsen, Henrik Madsen, Martin Drews
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 21/8, 2017, Page(s) 4131-4147, ISSN 1607-7938
DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-4131-2017

BANSHEE–A MATLAB toolbox for Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks

Author(s): Dominik Paprotny, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, Daniël T.H. Worm, Elisa Ragno
Published in: SoftwareX, Issue 12, 2020, Page(s) 100588, ISSN 2352-7110
DOI: 10.1016/j.softx.2020.100588