Objective
Over the past years, the economic and financial systems have become increasingly globalized and vulnerable with important implications for risk management by commercial banks and other institutions. However, despite the fact that sophisticated models for quantifying credit risk have been developed, everyday practice has shown that risk, due to its inherent role in the economic system, is affected by both: (i) macroeconomic factors and (ii) financial factors. Hence, it would be extremely beneficial to generate scenario analyses, real-time simulations and forecasts based on a core set of variables.
For instance, a question of great importance is the following: “what is the impact of a sudden change, e.g. collapse of the Greek banking sector, on the financial services sector of another country, e.g. Austria?” Currently, standard models are not capable of addressing such questions, because such questions involve interdependence at the sectoral and country level, simultaneously.
It would be helpful to measure how vulnerable specific entities are, to shocks in other related entities of the system. This process would help in redesigning the system so as to be able to absorb shocks. Here, we make the assumption that most phenomena in the global economy are interdependent on each other. In this context, we will estimate - for the first time in the literature - the impact that a shock in a specific entity in a specific country can have on any other entity in any other country. The proposed approach will be based on the GVAR model and on Input-Output Tables for constructing the weight matrix, which is crucial in expressing the aforementioned relationships. To do so, we will make use of network theory to select the dominant entities in the system. Our findings will help develop relevant policies, public or private, designed to reduce the risk, which is inherent to the system.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences physical sciences theoretical physics particle physics
- social sciences sociology governance crisis management
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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H2020-EU.1.3. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions
MAIN PROGRAMME
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H2020-EU.1.3.2. - Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
MSCA-IF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF)
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) H2020-MSCA-IF-2016
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
WC2A 2AE London
United Kingdom
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.