Reining in the upper bound on Earth’s Climate Sensitivities

Project Information

highECS

Grant agreement ID: 770765

DOI 10.3030/770765

Project closed

EC signature date 29 May 2018

Start date 1 September 2018

End date 31 August 2023

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost € 1 998 653,75

EU contribution € 1 998 653,75

Coordinated by

STOCKHOLMS UNIVERSITET
Sweden

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Better-constrained climate sensitivity when accounting for dataset dependency on pattern effect estimates

Author(s): Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Crossref, Issue 22, 2023, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
DOI: 10.5194/acp-23-7535-2023

Shallow cumulus cloud feedback in large eddy simulations – bridging the gap to storm-resolving models

Author(s): Jule Radtke, Thorsten Mauritsen, Cathy Hohenegger
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/5, 2021, Page(s) 3275-3288, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-3275-2021

An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence

Author(s): S. C. Sherwood, M. J. Webb, J. D. Annan, K. C. Armour, P. M. Forster, J. C. Hargreaves, G. Hegerl, S. A. Klein, K. D. Marvel, E. J. Rohling, M. Watanabe, T. Andrews, P. Braconnot, C. S. Bretherton, G. L. Foster, Z. Hausfather, A. S. Heydt, R. Knutti, T. Mauritsen, J. R. Norris, C. Proistosescu, M. Rugenstein, G. A. Schmidt, K. B. Tokarska, M. D. Zelinka
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, Issue 58/4, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000678

Sensitivity of Tropical Extreme Precipitation to Surface Warming in Aquaplanet Experiments Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model

Author(s): Alejandro Uribe Cortes, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091371

Tuning the MPI‐ESM1.2 Global Climate Model to Improve the Match With Instrumental Record Warming by Lowering Its Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): Thorsten Mauritsen, Erich Roeckner
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/5, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002037

Reconciling Conflicting Accounts of Local Radiative Feedbacks in Climate Models

Author(s): Hedemann, Christopher; Mauritsen, Thorsten; Jungclaus, Johann; Marotzke, Jochem
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 4, 2022, ISSN 1520-0442
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0513.1

Hadley Cell Size and Strength Responses Depend on Turbulent Drag

Author(s): Clare Marie Flynn, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2023, ISSN 1520-0469
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jas-d-22-0153.1

A new global climate reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): James Annan; Julia Hargreaves; Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Crossref, Issue 18, 2022, ISSN 1814-9324
Publisher: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2022-12

Enhanced warming constrained by past trends in equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature gradient

Author(s): Watanabe, Masahiro; Dufresne, Jean-Louis; Kosaka, Yu; Mauritsen, Thorsten; Tatebe, Hiroaki
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 2, 2021, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00933-3

Early Development and Tuning of a Global Coupled Cloud Resolving Model, and its Fast Response to Increasing CO2

Author(s): Thorsten MauritsenEmail Thorsten Mauritsen Rene Redler Monika Esch Bjorn Stevens Cathy Hohenegger Daniel Klocke Renate Brokopf Helmuth Haak Leonidas Linardakis Niklas Röber Reiner Schnur
Published in: Tellus, 2022, ISSN 1600-0870
Publisher: Stockholm University Press
DOI: 10.31223/x5t933

On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback

Author(s): Timothy Andrews; Jonathan M. Gregory; Yue Dong; Kyle Armour; David Paynter; Pu Lin; Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen; Jason Cole; Brian Medeiros; James Benedict; Hervé Douville; Romain Roehrig; Tsuyoshi Koshiro; Hideaki Kawai; Tomoo Ogura; Jean-Louis Dufresne; Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo; Richard Philip Allan; Chunlei Liu
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 8, 2022, ISSN 2169-8996
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036675

Observed and CMIP6 Modeled Internal Variability Feedbacks and Their Relation to Forced Climate Feedbacks

Author(s): Alejandro Uribe, Frida A.-M. Bender, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl100075

Stronger Response to the Aerosol Indirect Effect Due To Cooling in Remote Regions

Author(s): Linnea Huusko, Angshuman Modak, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101184

On the climate sensitivity and historical warming evolution in recent coupled model ensembles

Author(s): Clare Marie Flynn, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/13, 2020, Page(s) 7829-7842, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-7829-2020

A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

Author(s): Martin Renoult; James D. Annan; Julia C. Hargreaves; Navjit Sagoo; Clare Flynn; Marie-Luise Kapsch; Qiang Li; Gerrit Lohmann; Uwe Mikolajewicz; Rumi Ohgaito; Xiaoxu Shi; Qiong Zhang; Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Climate of the Past, 16 . pp. 1715-1735., Issue 3, 2020, ISSN 1814-9324
Publisher: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-162

The changing nature of Earth's reflected sunlight

Author(s): Stephens, Graeme L. Hakuba, Maria Z. Kato, Seiji Gettleman, Andrew Dufresne, Jean-Louis Andrews, Timothy Cole, Jason N. S. Willem, Ulrika Mauritsen, Thorsten
Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society. Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2022, ISSN 1364-5021
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2022.0053

A new global surface temperature reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): James D. Annan, Julia C. Hargreaves, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Climates of the Past, 2022, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-18-1883-2022

What could we learn about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface temperature record

Author(s): Thorsten Mauritsen; James D. Annan; Bjorn Stevens; Julia C. Hargreaves
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5723

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

Author(s): N. Bellouin, J. Quaas, E. Gryspeerdt, S. Kinne, P. Stier, D. Watson‐Parris, O. Boucher, K. S. Carslaw, M. Christensen, A.‐L. Daniau, J.‐L. Dufresne, G. Feingold, S. Fiedler, P. Forster, A. Gettelman, J. M. Haywood, U. Lohmann, F. Malavelle, T. Mauritsen, D. T. McCoy, G. Myhre, J. Mülmenstädt, D. Neubauer, A. Possner, M. Rugenstein, Y. Sato, M. Schulz, S. E. Schwartz, O. Sourdeval, T. Store
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, Issue 58/1, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000660

Developments in the MPI‐M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) and Its Response to Increasing CO 2

Author(s): Thorsten Mauritsen, Jürgen Bader, Tobias Becker, Jörg Behrens, Matthias Bittner, Renate Brokopf, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Traute Crueger, Monika Esch, Irina Fast, Stephanie Fiedler, Dagmar Fläschner, Veronika Gayler, Marco Giorgetta, Daniel S. Goll, Helmuth Haak, Stefan Hagemann, Christopher Hedemann, Cathy Hohenegger, Tatiana Ilyina, Thomas Jahns, Diego Jimenéz‐de‐la‐Cuesta, Joh
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/4, 2019, Page(s) 998-1038, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001400

Climate Change Feedbacks in Aquaplanet Experiments With Explicit and Parametrized Convection for Horizontal Resolutions of 2,525 Up to 5 km

Author(s): M. H. Retsch, T. Mauritsen, C. Hohenegger
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/7, 2019, Page(s) 2070-2088, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001677

Arctic sea-ice variability is primarily driven by atmospheric temperature fluctuations

Author(s): Dirk Olonscheck, Thorsten Mauritsen, Dirk Notz
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 12/6, 2019, Page(s) 430-434, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0363-1

On simple representations of the climate response to external radiative forcing

Author(s): Tim Rohrschneider, Bjorn Stevens, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 53/5-6, 2019, Page(s) 3131-3145, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04686-4

Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity Estimated by Equilibrating Climate Models

Author(s): Maria Rugenstein, Jonah Bloch‐Johnson, Jonathan Gregory, Timothy Andrews, Thorsten Mauritsen, Chao Li, Thomas L. Frölicher, David Paynter, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Shuting Yang, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Long Cao, Gavin A. Schmidt, Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Olivier Geoffroy, Reto Knutti
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/4, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083898

Emergent constraints on Earth’s transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming

Author(s): Diego Jiménez-de-la-Cuesta, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 12/11, 2019, Page(s) 902-905, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0463-y

A New Perspective for Future Precipitation Change from Intense Extratropical Cyclones

Author(s): C. Kodama, B. Stevens, T. Mauritsen, T. Seiki, M. Satoh
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/21, 2019, Page(s) 12435-12444, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084001

New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES

Author(s): Norman G. Loeb, Hailan Wang, Richard P. Allan, Timothy Andrews, Kyle Armour, Jason N. S. Cole, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Piers Forster, Andrew Gettelman, Huan Guo, Thorsten Mauritsen, Yi Ming, David Paynter, Cristian Proistosescu, Malte F. Stuecker, Ulrika Willén, Klaus Wyser
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/5, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086705

Global variability in radiative-convective equilibrium with a slab ocean under a wide range of CO 2 concentrations

Author(s): Gabor Drotos, Tobias Becker, Thorsten Mauritsen, Bjorn Stevens
Published in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Issue 72/1, 2020, Page(s) 1-19, ISSN 1600-0870
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1699387

Causes of the weak emergent constraint on climate sensitivity at the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Jiang Zhu, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Climates of the Past, 2023, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-19-323-2023

A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

Author(s): Martin Renoult, James Douglas Annan, Julia Catherine Hargreaves, Navjit Sagoo, Clare Flynn, Marie-Luise Kapsch, Qiang Li, Gerrit Lohmann, Uwe Mikolajewicz, Rumi Ohgaito, Xiaoxu Shi, Qiong Zhang, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 16/5, 2020, Page(s) 1715-1735, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

The 2000-2012 global warming hiatus more likely with a low climate sensitivity

Author(s): Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4479915

Multiple drivers of the North Atlantic warming hole

Author(s): Paul Keil, Thorsten Mauritsen, Johann Jungclaus, Christopher Hedemann, Dirk Olonscheck, Rohit Ghosh
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10/7, 2020, Page(s) 667-671, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8

Negligible Unforced Historical Pattern Effect on Climate Feedback Strength Found in HadISST-Based AMIP Simulations

Author(s): Nicholas Lewis, Thorsten Mauritsen
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/1, 2021, Page(s) 39-55, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0941.1