Reining in the upper bound on Earth’s Climate Sensitivities

Informazioni relative al progetto

highECS

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 770765

DOI

10.3030/770765

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 29 Maggio 2018

Data di avvio 1 Settembre 2018

Data di completamento 31 Agosto 2023

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Costo totale

€ 1 998 653,75

Contributo UE

€ 1 998 653,75

Coordinato da

STOCKHOLMS UNIVERSITET
Sweden

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I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Better-constrained climate sensitivity when accounting for dataset dependency on pattern effect estimates

Autori: Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Crossref, Numero 22, 2023, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
DOI: 10.5194/acp-23-7535-2023

Shallow cumulus cloud feedback in large eddy simulations – bridging the gap to storm-resolving models

Autori: Jule Radtke, Thorsten Mauritsen, Cathy Hohenegger
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero 21/5, 2021, Pagina/e 3275-3288, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-3275-2021

An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence

Autori: S. C. Sherwood, M. J. Webb, J. D. Annan, K. C. Armour, P. M. Forster, J. C. Hargreaves, G. Hegerl, S. A. Klein, K. D. Marvel, E. J. Rohling, M. Watanabe, T. Andrews, P. Braconnot, C. S. Bretherton, G. L. Foster, Z. Hausfather, A. S. Heydt, R. Knutti, T. Mauritsen, J. R. Norris, C. Proistosescu, M. Rugenstein, G. A. Schmidt, K. B. Tokarska, M. D. Zelinka
Pubblicato in: Reviews of Geophysics, Numero 58/4, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000678

Sensitivity of Tropical Extreme Precipitation to Surface Warming in Aquaplanet Experiments Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model

Autori: Alejandro Uribe Cortes, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091371

Tuning the MPI‐ESM1.2 Global Climate Model to Improve the Match With Instrumental Record Warming by Lowering Its Climate Sensitivity

Autori: Thorsten Mauritsen, Erich Roeckner
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 12/5, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002037

Reconciling Conflicting Accounts of Local Radiative Feedbacks in Climate Models

Autori: Hedemann, Christopher; Mauritsen, Thorsten; Jungclaus, Johann; Marotzke, Jochem
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 4, 2022, ISSN 1520-0442
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0513.1

Hadley Cell Size and Strength Responses Depend on Turbulent Drag

Autori: Clare Marie Flynn, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2023, ISSN 1520-0469
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jas-d-22-0153.1

A new global climate reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum

Autori: James Annan; Julia Hargreaves; Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Crossref, Numero 18, 2022, ISSN 1814-9324
Editore: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2022-12

Enhanced warming constrained by past trends in equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature gradient

Autori: Watanabe, Masahiro; Dufresne, Jean-Louis; Kosaka, Yu; Mauritsen, Thorsten; Tatebe, Hiroaki
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 2, 2021, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00933-3

Early Development and Tuning of a Global Coupled Cloud Resolving Model, and its Fast Response to Increasing CO2

Autori: Thorsten MauritsenEmail Thorsten Mauritsen Rene Redler Monika Esch Bjorn Stevens Cathy Hohenegger Daniel Klocke Renate Brokopf Helmuth Haak Leonidas Linardakis Niklas Röber Reiner Schnur
Pubblicato in: Tellus, 2022, ISSN 1600-0870
Editore: Stockholm University Press
DOI: 10.31223/x5t933

On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback

Autori: Timothy Andrews; Jonathan M. Gregory; Yue Dong; Kyle Armour; David Paynter; Pu Lin; Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen; Jason Cole; Brian Medeiros; James Benedict; Hervé Douville; Romain Roehrig; Tsuyoshi Koshiro; Hideaki Kawai; Tomoo Ogura; Jean-Louis Dufresne; Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo; Richard Philip Allan; Chunlei Liu
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero 8, 2022, ISSN 2169-8996
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036675

Observed and CMIP6 Modeled Internal Variability Feedbacks and Their Relation to Forced Climate Feedbacks

Autori: Alejandro Uribe, Frida A.-M. Bender, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl100075

Stronger Response to the Aerosol Indirect Effect Due To Cooling in Remote Regions

Autori: Linnea Huusko, Angshuman Modak, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101184

On the climate sensitivity and historical warming evolution in recent coupled model ensembles

Autori: Clare Marie Flynn, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero 20/13, 2020, Pagina/e 7829-7842, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-7829-2020

A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

Autori: Martin Renoult; James D. Annan; Julia C. Hargreaves; Navjit Sagoo; Clare Flynn; Marie-Luise Kapsch; Qiang Li; Gerrit Lohmann; Uwe Mikolajewicz; Rumi Ohgaito; Xiaoxu Shi; Qiong Zhang; Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, 16 . pp. 1715-1735., Numero 3, 2020, ISSN 1814-9324
Editore: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-162

The changing nature of Earth's reflected sunlight

Autori: Stephens, Graeme L. Hakuba, Maria Z. Kato, Seiji Gettleman, Andrew Dufresne, Jean-Louis Andrews, Timothy Cole, Jason N. S. Willem, Ulrika Mauritsen, Thorsten
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the Royal Society. Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2022, ISSN 1364-5021
Editore: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2022.0053

A new global surface temperature reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum

Autori: James D. Annan, Julia C. Hargreaves, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Climates of the Past, 2022, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-18-1883-2022

What could we learn about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface temperature record

Autori: Thorsten Mauritsen; James D. Annan; Bjorn Stevens; Julia C. Hargreaves
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5723

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

Autori: N. Bellouin, J. Quaas, E. Gryspeerdt, S. Kinne, P. Stier, D. Watson‐Parris, O. Boucher, K. S. Carslaw, M. Christensen, A.‐L. Daniau, J.‐L. Dufresne, G. Feingold, S. Fiedler, P. Forster, A. Gettelman, J. M. Haywood, U. Lohmann, F. Malavelle, T. Mauritsen, D. T. McCoy, G. Myhre, J. Mülmenstädt, D. Neubauer, A. Possner, M. Rugenstein, Y. Sato, M. Schulz, S. E. Schwartz, O. Sourdeval, T. Store
Pubblicato in: Reviews of Geophysics, Numero 58/1, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000660

Developments in the MPI‐M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) and Its Response to Increasing CO 2

Autori: Thorsten Mauritsen, Jürgen Bader, Tobias Becker, Jörg Behrens, Matthias Bittner, Renate Brokopf, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Traute Crueger, Monika Esch, Irina Fast, Stephanie Fiedler, Dagmar Fläschner, Veronika Gayler, Marco Giorgetta, Daniel S. Goll, Helmuth Haak, Stefan Hagemann, Christopher Hedemann, Cathy Hohenegger, Tatiana Ilyina, Thomas Jahns, Diego Jimenéz‐de‐la‐Cuesta, Joh
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 11/4, 2019, Pagina/e 998-1038, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001400

Climate Change Feedbacks in Aquaplanet Experiments With Explicit and Parametrized Convection for Horizontal Resolutions of 2,525 Up to 5 km

Autori: M. H. Retsch, T. Mauritsen, C. Hohenegger
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 11/7, 2019, Pagina/e 2070-2088, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001677

Arctic sea-ice variability is primarily driven by atmospheric temperature fluctuations

Autori: Dirk Olonscheck, Thorsten Mauritsen, Dirk Notz
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero 12/6, 2019, Pagina/e 430-434, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0363-1

On simple representations of the climate response to external radiative forcing

Autori: Tim Rohrschneider, Bjorn Stevens, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 53/5-6, 2019, Pagina/e 3131-3145, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04686-4

Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity Estimated by Equilibrating Climate Models

Autori: Maria Rugenstein, Jonah Bloch‐Johnson, Jonathan Gregory, Timothy Andrews, Thorsten Mauritsen, Chao Li, Thomas L. Frölicher, David Paynter, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Shuting Yang, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Long Cao, Gavin A. Schmidt, Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Olivier Geoffroy, Reto Knutti
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/4, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083898

Emergent constraints on Earth’s transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming

Autori: Diego Jiménez-de-la-Cuesta, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero 12/11, 2019, Pagina/e 902-905, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0463-y

A New Perspective for Future Precipitation Change from Intense Extratropical Cyclones

Autori: C. Kodama, B. Stevens, T. Mauritsen, T. Seiki, M. Satoh
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 46/21, 2019, Pagina/e 12435-12444, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084001

New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES

Autori: Norman G. Loeb, Hailan Wang, Richard P. Allan, Timothy Andrews, Kyle Armour, Jason N. S. Cole, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Piers Forster, Andrew Gettelman, Huan Guo, Thorsten Mauritsen, Yi Ming, David Paynter, Cristian Proistosescu, Malte F. Stuecker, Ulrika Willén, Klaus Wyser
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/5, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086705

Global variability in radiative-convective equilibrium with a slab ocean under a wide range of CO 2 concentrations

Autori: Gabor Drotos, Tobias Becker, Thorsten Mauritsen, Bjorn Stevens
Pubblicato in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Numero 72/1, 2020, Pagina/e 1-19, ISSN 1600-0870
Editore: Taylor and Francis
DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1699387

Causes of the weak emergent constraint on climate sensitivity at the Last Glacial Maximum

Autori: Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Jiang Zhu, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Climates of the Past, 2023, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-19-323-2023

A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

Autori: Martin Renoult, James Douglas Annan, Julia Catherine Hargreaves, Navjit Sagoo, Clare Flynn, Marie-Luise Kapsch, Qiang Li, Gerrit Lohmann, Uwe Mikolajewicz, Rumi Ohgaito, Xiaoxu Shi, Qiong Zhang, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 16/5, 2020, Pagina/e 1715-1735, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

The 2000-2012 global warming hiatus more likely with a low climate sensitivity

Autori: Angshuman Modak; Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4479915

Multiple drivers of the North Atlantic warming hole

Autori: Paul Keil, Thorsten Mauritsen, Johann Jungclaus, Christopher Hedemann, Dirk Olonscheck, Rohit Ghosh
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 10/7, 2020, Pagina/e 667-671, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8

Negligible Unforced Historical Pattern Effect on Climate Feedback Strength Found in HadISST-Based AMIP Simulations

Autori: Nicholas Lewis, Thorsten Mauritsen
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 34/1, 2021, Pagina/e 39-55, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0941.1