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ATS Level SAT 2035 Forecast

Objective

This proposal addresses the topic: “ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast“ (JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-05) and it is devoted to perform forecasts for small air transport traffic, in terms of fleet and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast will be detailed at country/region/world levels. Where gaps exist, an estimate will be made based on the methodology. More in detail the Technology Evaluator has requested: “The global fleet development and the share of European (Clean Sky) Aircraft” and “the development of movements per country between origin and destination airfields”.
The overall objective of the project is: to analyze existing forecasts about the volume and movements, to establish a new forecast about the air traffic and fleet of small air transport up to 2035 at country/region/world levels and to estimate the market share of European products in the market.
Generally the forecast of small air transport volumes depends on: technology progress and the associated cost reductions, demand related to “Gross Domestic Product” development and accessibility. This means that the future of the small air transport also depends on developing new concepts of operations, aircraft concepts business models and, business plans.
After the assessment of the existing forecasts by different sources and CleanSky related actions and outcomes, the methodology of harmonization and improvement of the small air transport forecast will be defined and finalized. The methodology based on a new dedicated demand equation will include: definition of the economic, technology and societal drivers, harmonized business models and business plan as well scenarios to create and improved forecast model. The outcomes derived by such methodology will be completed (in case of gaps) and shared with the involved stakeholders and CleanSky Topic Management in order to make an easier evaluation of the measurable effects of technologies developed in CleanSky 2.

Coordinator

C.I.R.A. CENTRO ITALIANO RICERCHE AEROSPAZIALI SCPA
Net EU contribution
€ 55 928,75
Address
Via Maiorise
81043 Capua
Italy

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Region
Sud Campania Caserta
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00

Participants (3)

DE GRAAFF ADRIAAN
Netherlands
Net EU contribution
€ 26 250,00
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
SIEC BADAWCZA LUKASIEWICZ-INSTYTUTLOTNICTWA
Poland
Net EU contribution
€ 33 608,75
Address
Ul. Al Krakowska 110/114
02 256 Warszawa

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Region
Makroregion województwo mazowieckie Warszawski stołeczny Miasto Warszawa
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
REA-TECH MERNOKI ES EPITESZETI KFT.
Hungary
Net EU contribution
€ 34 187,50
Address
Iv Bela Kiraly Ut 44
2049 Diosd

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SME

The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.

Yes
Region
Közép-Magyarország Pest Pest
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00