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ATS Level Business Jet 2035 Forecast

Objective

The proposal addresses the topic: “ATS Level Business Jet 2035 forecast” (JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-03) and it is devoted to perform forecasts for business jet traffic, in terms of fleet and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035, with a detail at country/region/world levels. Where gaps exist, an estimate will be made based on the methodology. More in detail the Technology Evaluator has requested: “The global fleet development and the share of European (Clean Sky) Aircraft” and “the development of movements per country and between Origin and Destination airports”. The overall objective of the project is: to analyse existing forecasts about volume and movements of Business jets in the relevant years, to establish a new forecast about bizjet fleet up to 2035 and the number of bizjet movements at country/region/world levels, to estimate the market share of European products in the market.
Generally the forecast of business jet volumes depends on technology progress and the associated cost reductions, demand related to “Gross Domestic Product” development and accessibility. This means that the future of the bizjet transport also depends on developing new concepts of operation, aircraft concepts and business models and plans. After the assessment of the existing forecasts by different sources and CleanSky related actions and outcomes, the methodology of harmonization and improvement of the business jet forecast will be defined and finalized. The methodology based on a new dedicated demand equation will include: definition of the economic, technology and societal drivers, harmonized business models and business plan as well scenarios to create an improved forecast model. The outcomes will be completed in case of gaps and shared with the involved stakeholders and Clean Sky Topic Management. In this way, the forecasts will allow to make better characterisation of the measurable effects of technologies developed in CleanSky 2.

Coordinator

C.I.R.A. CENTRO ITALIANO RICERCHE AEROSPAZIALI SCPA
Net EU contribution
€ 42 595,00
Address
Via Maiorise
81043 Capua
Italy

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Region
Sud Campania Caserta
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 625,00

Participants (3)

DE GRAAFF ADRIAAN
Netherlands
Net EU contribution
€ 22 750,00
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
SIEC BADAWCZA LUKASIEWICZ-INSTYTUTLOTNICTWA
Poland
Net EU contribution
€ 25 525,00
Address
Ul. Al Krakowska 110/114
02 256 Warszawa

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Region
Makroregion województwo mazowieckie Warszawski stołeczny Miasto Warszawa
Activity type
Research Organisations
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00
REA-TECH MERNOKI ES EPITESZETI KFT.
Hungary
Net EU contribution
€ 28 450,00
Address
Iv Bela Kiraly Ut 44
2049 Diosd

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SME

The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.

Yes
Region
Közép-Magyarország Pest Pest
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Non-EU contribution
€ 0,00