Descripción del proyecto
Determinación de la repercusión de los refugiados en las comunidades de acogida
A escala mundial, una de cada cien personas es actualmente un refugiado, un desplazado interno o un solicitante de asilo. Dado que se espera que aumente la cifra de refugiados en Europa con el recrudecimiento de los conflictos en varios países, especialmente en el África subsahariana, los investigadores están estudiando sus repercusiones. El proyecto REFUGEDEV, financiado con fondos europeos, trabajará para cuantificar los efectos en el mercado laboral de los refugiados en las comunidades de acogida en los países en desarrollo. Examinará cómo responden dichos efectos a los cambios exógenos en la distribución de la competencia, los ingresos y los bienes de los refugiados y las comunidades de acogida. El proyecto determinará asimismo la repercusión de la integración de los refugiados en lo relativo a la atracción de posteriores oleadas de refugiados e inmigrantes económicos. Identificará la repercusión a largo plazo del desplazamiento forzoso en los resultados socioeconómicos de los refugiados repatriados una vez disminuyen los conflictos.
Objetivo
Globally, nearly one in every 100 humans is now either a refugee or internally displaced. Over 95% of the refugee population is concentrated in the developing world, 60% of which are in fragile states. The 36 most fragile countries in the world account for 2.6% of global GDP but host 71% of the world’s population of forcibly displaced people. This stands in contrast to the 4% of world refugees currently hosted by the US or the 5% of refugees seeking asylum in Europe.
The number of refugees in the developing world is only expected to increase with worsening conflict in several countries, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. This trend poses dramatic and immediate economic challenges to low-income, fragile states in the developing world, while increasing the threat of economic and political instability in the developed world due to growing immigration and demand for asylum. Recent events have showcased that managing refugee flows may be a defining challenge of our time. At the heart of this challenge is the (lack of) economic integration of refugees into the country of first asylum in the short-run, and into their country of origin in the long-run.
The main objectives of REFUGEDEV are to: 1) quantify labor market effects of refugees on host communities in the developing world; 2) examine how these effects respond to exogenous changes in the distribution of skill, income and assets of refugees and host communities; 3) measure the impact of refugee integration on attracting subsequent waves of refugees and economic migrants; 4) identify the long-term impact of forced displacement on the socioeconomic outcomes of repatriated refugees once conflict subsides.
REFUGEDEV will generate new datasets from archival, administrative and primary survey data on the economic trajectories of refugees and of host communities; and it will combine experimental and quasi-experimental empirical strategies to identify causal relationships between forced displacement, poverty and growth.
Ámbito científico
Palabras clave
Programa(s)
Régimen de financiación
ERC-STG - Starting GrantInstitución de acogida
WC2A 2AE London
Reino Unido