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Our common future ocean in the Earth system – quantifying coupled cycles of carbon, oxygen, and nutrients for determining and achieving safe operating spaces with respect to tipping points

Deliverables

Data Management Plan

The data management plan (DMP) will be conform with international standards as set by e.g. the Digital Curation Centre (DCC), address what data will be generated, what best practises will be followed and applied, how data will be curated, shared and accessed within the consortium, what measures are taking into account to protect Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) and when, how and where data will be long-term preserved and published.

Report on initial analysis of critical thresholds and rates of changes in selected physical-chemical stressors (pH, O2, NPP, temperature, salinity, saturation state for calcite & aragonite) based on current knowledge

Report on initial analysis of critical thresholds and rates of changes in selected physical-chemical stressors (pH, O2, NPP, temperature, salinity, saturation state for calcite & aragonite) based on current knowledge

List of communication contact points at all partner institutions

The list will enable smooth communications between partners and enable a smooth decision making progress (see also DoA section 3.2).

Additional high frequency ESM output

Related to task 6.1 (mainly for selected 2-D fields of model output).

Searching for OpenAIRE data...

Publications

Ocean planning for species on the move provides substantial benefits and requires few trade-offs

Author(s): M. L. Pinsky, L. A. Rogers, J. W. Morley, T. L. Frölicher
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 6/50, 2020, Page(s) eabb8428, ISSN 2375-2548
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abb8428

Impact of Remineralization Profile Shape on the Air‐Sea Carbon Balance

Author(s): Jonathan Maitland Lauderdale, B. B. Cael
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091746

Circulation timescales of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean determined from anthropogenic radionuclides

Author(s): Anne-Marie Wefing, Núria Casacuberta, Marcus Christl, Nicolas Gruber, John N. Smith
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 17/1, 2021, Page(s) 111-129, ISSN 1812-0792
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-111-2021

Compound high-temperature and low-chlorophyll extremes in the ocean over the satellite period

Author(s): Natacha Le Grix, Jakob Zscheischler, Charlotte Laufkötter, Cecile S. Rousseaux, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/6, 2021, Page(s) 2119-2137, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2119-2021

Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Torres, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Matthew Chamberlain, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Andrew Lenton, Hongmei Li, Nicole S. Lovenduski, James C. Orr, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Charles A. Stock, Alessandro Tagliabue, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Katsuya Toyama, Hiroyu
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3439-3470, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020

Information content of absorption spectra and implications for ocean color inversion

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Alison Chase, Emmanuel Boss
Published in: Applied Optics, Issue 59/13, 2020, Page(s) 3971, ISSN 1559-128X
DOI: 10.1364/AO.389189

Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C. Long, Jessica Y. Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Mic
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 6/3, 2020, Page(s) 95-119, ISSN 2198-6061
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0

Clarifying the Relation between AMOC and Thermal Wind: Application to the Centennial Variability in a Coupled Climate Model

Author(s): Robin Waldman, Joël Hirschi, Aurore Voldoire, Christophe Cassou, Rym Msadek
Published in: Journal of Physical Oceanography, Issue 51/2, 2021, Page(s) 343-364, ISSN 0022-3670
DOI: 10.1175/jpo-d-19-0284.1

The rise of novelty in marine ecosystems: The Baltic Sea case

Author(s): Yosr Ammar, Susa Niiranen, Saskia A. Otto, Christian Möllmann, Walter Finsinger, Thorsten Blenckner
Published in: Global Change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15503

Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific

Author(s): William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z

North Atlantic Western Boundary Currents Are Intense Dissolved Organic Carbon Streams

Author(s): Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Herlé Mercier, Pascale Lherminier
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.593757

OceanSODA-ETHZ: a global gridded data set of the surface ocean carbonate system for seasonal to decadal studies of ocean acidification

Author(s): Luke Gregor, Nicolas Gruber
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 13/2, 2021, Page(s) 777-808, ISSN 1866-3516
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-777-2021

The Northeast Atlantic is running out of excess carbonate in the horizon of cold-water corals communities

Author(s): Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Lidia I. Carracedo, Xosé A. Padín, Antón Velo, Maribel I. García-Ibañez, Pascale Lherminier
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71793-2

A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss

Author(s): Andreas Oschlies
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22584-4

Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development

Author(s): Vicky W. Y. Lam, Edward H. Allison, Johann D. Bell, Jessica Blythe, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher, Maria A. Gasalla, U. Rashid Sumaila
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Issue 1/9, 2020, Page(s) 440-454, ISSN 2662-138X
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9

Cold-water corals in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean exposed to aragonite undersaturation if the 2 °C global warming target is not met

Author(s): Maribel I. García-Ibáñez, Nicholas R. Bates, Dorothee C.E. Bakker, Marcos Fontela, Antón Velo
Published in: Global and Planetary Change, Issue 201, 2021, Page(s) 103480, ISSN 0921-8181
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103480

Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): Frerk Pöppelmeier, Jeemijn Scheen, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Thomas F. Stocker
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 17/2, 2021, Page(s) 615-632, ISSN 1814-9332
DOI: 10.5194/cp-17-615-2021

Decadal acidification in Atlantic and Mediterranean water masses exchanging at the Strait of Gibraltar

Author(s): Susana Flecha, Fiz F. Pérez, Akihiko Murata, Ahmed Makaoui, I. Emma Huertas
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-52084-x

A unified theory for organic matter accumulation

Author(s): Emily J. Zakem, B. B. Cael, Naomi M. Levine
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 118/6, 2021, Page(s) e2016896118, ISSN 0027-8424
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2016896118

Can we project changes in fish abundance and distribution in response to climate?

Author(s): Jose A. Fernandes, Louise Rutterford, Stephen D. Simpson, Momme Butenschön, Thomas L. Frölicher, Andrew Yool, William W. L. Cheung, Alastair Grant
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 26/7, 2020, Page(s) 3891-3905, ISSN 1354-1013
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15081

Reemergence of Anthropogenic Carbon Into the Ocean's Mixed Layer Strongly Amplifies Transient Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): K. B. Rodgers, S. Schlunegger, R. D. Slater, M. Ishii, T. L. Frölicher, K. Toyama, Y. Plancherel, O. Aumont, A. J. Fassbender
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089275

Quantitative modelling of the spatial dynamics of South Pacific and Atlantic albacore tuna populations

Author(s): Inna N. Senina, Patrick Lehodey, John Hampton, John Sibert
Published in: Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, Issue 175, 2020, Page(s) 104667, ISSN 0967-0645
DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2019.104667

Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends

Author(s): Sarah Schlunegger, Keith B. Rodgers, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Dunne, Yohei Takano, James R. Christian, Matthew C. Long, Thomas L. Frölicher, Richard Slater, Flavio Lehner
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006453

Source apportionment of methane escaping the subsea permafrost system in the outer Eurasian Arctic Shelf

Author(s): Julia Steinbach, Henry Holmstrand, Kseniia Shcherbakova, Denis Kosmach, Volker Brüchert, Natalia Shakhova, Anatoly Salyuk, Célia J. Sapart, Denis Chernykh, Riko Noormets, Igor Semiletov, Örjan Gustafsson
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 118/10, 2021, Page(s) e2019672118, ISSN 0027-8424
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2019672118

Climate warming is predicted to enhance the negative effects of harvesting on high‐latitude lake fish

Author(s): Aslak Smalås, John F. Strøm, Per‐Arne Amundsen, Ulf Dieckmann, Raul Primicerio
Published in: Journal of Applied Ecology, Issue 57/2, 2019, Page(s) 270-282, ISSN 0021-8901
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13535

Arctic Ocean acidification over the 21st century co-driven by anthropogenic carbon increases and freshening in the CMIP6 model ensemble

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, Olivier Torres, Timothée Bourgeois, Lester Kwiatkowski
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/6, 2021, Page(s) 2221-2240, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2221-2021

The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6

Author(s): Jon Robson, Yevgeny Aksenov, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Oscar Dimdore‐Miles, Paul T. Griffiths, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Daniel L. R. Hodson, James Keeble, Claire MacIntosh, Alex Megann, Scott Osprey, Adam C. Povey, David Schröder, Mingxi Yang, Alexander T. Archibald, Ken S. Carslaw, Lesley Gray, Colin Jones, Brian Kerridge, Diane Knappett, Till Kuhlbrodt, Maria Russo, Alistair Sellar, Richard Siddans,
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002126

Characterizing Mean and Extreme Diurnal Variability of Ocean CO 2 System Variables Across Marine Environments

Author(s): Olivier Torres, Lester Kwiatkowski, Adrienne J. Sutton, Narimane Dorey, James C. Orr
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/5, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090228

Global vulnerability of marine mammals to global warming.

Author(s): Albouy, Camille; Delattre, Valentine; Donati, Giulia; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Albouy-boyer, Severine; Rufino, Marta; Pellissier, Loïc; Mouillot, David; Leprieur, Fabien
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10 (1), Issue 2, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000395835

Climate Change-Induced Emergence of Novel Biogeochemical Provinces

Author(s): Gabriel Reygondeau, William W. L. Cheung, Colette C. C. Wabnitz, Vicky W. Y. Lam, Thomas Frölicher, Olivier Maury
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00657

Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline?

Author(s): Angélique Hameau, Thomas L. Frölicher, Juliette Mignot, Fortunat Joos
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/7, 2020, Page(s) 1877-1895, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1877-2020

Operationalizing Ocean Health: Toward Integrated Research on Ocean Health and Recovery to Achieve Ocean Sustainability

Author(s): Andrea Franke, Thorsten Blenckner, Carlos M. Duarte, Konrad Ott, Lora E. Fleming, Avan Antia, Thorsten B.H. Reusch, Christine Bertram, Jonas Hein, Ulrike Kronfeld-Goharani, Jan Dierking, Annegret Kuhn, Chie Sato, Erik van Doorn, Marlene Wall, Markus Schartau, Rolf Karez, Larry Crowder, David Keller, Anja Engel, Ute Hentschel, Enno Prigge
Published in: One Earth, Issue 2/6, 2020, Page(s) 557-565, ISSN 2590-3322
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.013

Seasonality of Dissolved Organic Carbon Exchange Across the Strait of Gibraltar

Author(s): X. A. Álvarez‐Salgado, J. Otero, S. Flecha, I. E. Huertas
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089601

Increase in ocean acidity variability and extremes under increasing atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>

Author(s): Friedrich A. Burger, Jasmin G. John, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/18, 2020, Page(s) 4633-4662, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-4633-2020

Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget

Author(s): Judith Hauck, Moritz Zeising, Corinne Le Quéré, Nicolas Gruber, Dorothee C. E. Bakker, Laurent Bopp, Thi Tuyet Trang Chau, Özgür Gürses, Tatiana Ilyina, Peter Landschützer, Andrew Lenton, Laure Resplandy, Christian Rödenbeck, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.571720

Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO 2 emissions

Author(s): Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Thomas F Stocker, Fortunat Joos
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/12, 2020, Page(s) 124026, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc4af

The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points

Author(s): Christoph Heinze, Thorsten Blenckner, Helena Martins, Dagmara Rusiecka, Ralf Döscher, Marion Gehlen, Nicolas Gruber, Elisabeth Holland, Øystein Hov, Fortunat Joos, John Brian Robin Matthews, Rolf Rødven, Simon Wilson
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 118/9, 2021, Page(s) e2008478118, ISSN 0027-8424
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2008478118

Evaluation of Data‐Based Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean

Author(s): J. Terhaar, T. Tanhua, T. Stöven, J. C. Orr, L. Bopp
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 125/6, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2020JC016124

Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to Protracted Global Warming

Author(s): T. L. Frölicher, M. T. Aschwanden, N. Gruber, S. L. Jaccard, J. P. Dunne, D. Paynter
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006601

ARIOS: a database for ocean acidification assessment in the Iberian upwelling system (1976–2018)

Author(s): Xosé Antonio Padin, Antón Velo, Fiz F. Pérez
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 2647-2663, ISSN 1866-3516
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2647-2020

They Came From the Pacific: How Changing Arctic Currents Could Contribute to an Ecological Regime Shift in the Atlantic Ocean

Author(s): S. J. Kelly, E. Popova, Y. Aksenov, R. Marsh, A. Yool
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 8/4, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001394

Technical note: Interpreting pH changes

Author(s): Andrea J. Fassbender, James C. Orr, Andrew G. Dickson
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/4, 2021, Page(s) 1407-1415, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-1407-2021