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Our common future ocean in the Earth system – quantifying coupled cycles of carbon, oxygen, and nutrients for determining and achieving safe operating spaces with respect to tipping points

Deliverables

Data Management Plan

The data management plan (DMP) will be conform with international standards as set by e.g. the Digital Curation Centre (DCC), address what data will be generated, what best practises will be followed and applied, how data will be curated, shared and accessed within the consortium, what measures are taking into account to protect Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) and when, how and where data will be long-term preserved and published.

Report on initial analysis of critical thresholds and rates of changes in selected physical-chemical stressors (pH, O2, NPP, temperature, salinity, saturation state for calcite & aragonite) based on current knowledge

Report on initial analysis of critical thresholds and rates of changes in selected physical-chemical stressors (pH, O2, NPP, temperature, salinity, saturation state for calcite & aragonite) based on current knowledge

List of communication contact points at all partner institutions

The list will enable smooth communications between partners and enable a smooth decision making progress (see also DoA section 3.2).

Additional high frequency ESM output

Related to task 6.1 (mainly for selected 2-D fields of model output).

Searching for OpenAIRE data...

Publications

Ocean planning for species on the move provides substantial benefits and requires few trade-offs

Author(s): M. L. Pinsky, L. A. Rogers, J. W. Morley, T. L. Frölicher
Published in: Science Advances, 6/50, 2020, Page(s) eabb8428, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abb8428

Contrasting drivers and trends of ocean acidification in the subarctic Atlantic

Author(s): Fiz F. Pérez, Jon Olafsson, Solveig R. Ólafsdóttir, Marcos Fontela, Taro Takahashi
Published in: Scientific Reports, 11/1, 2021, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-93324-3

Impact of Remineralization Profile Shape on the Air‐Sea Carbon Balance

Author(s): Jonathan Maitland Lauderdale, B. B. Cael
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 48/7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091746

Circulation timescales of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean determined from anthropogenic radionuclides

Author(s): Anne-Marie Wefing, Núria Casacuberta, Marcus Christl, Nicolas Gruber, John N. Smith
Published in: Ocean Science, 17/1, 2021, Page(s) 111-129, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-111-2021

Possible future scenarios for two major Arctic Gateways connecting Subarctic and Arctic marine systems: I. Climate and physical–chemical oceanography

Author(s): Drinkwater, Ken; Harada, Naomi; Nishino, Shigeto; Chierici, Melissa; Danielson, Seth L
Published in: ICES Journal od Marine Science, 3, 2021, ISSN 1095-9289
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsab182

Biogeochemical extremes and compound events in the ocean

Author(s): Gruber, N., Boyd, P. W., Frölicher, T. L., & Vogt, M.
Published in: Nature, 2022, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03981-7

Compound high-temperature and low-chlorophyll extremes in the ocean over the satellite period

Author(s): Natacha Le Grix, Jakob Zscheischler, Charlotte Laufkötter, Cecile S. Rousseaux, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Biogeosciences, 18/6, 2021, Page(s) 2119-2137, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2119-2021

Sharing the Burdens of Climate Mitigation and Adaptation: Incorporating Fairness Perspectives into Policy Optimization Models

Author(s): Żebrowski, P.; Dieckmann, U.; Brännström, Å.; Franklin, O.; Rovenskaya, E.
Published in: Sustainability, 1, 2022, ISSN 2071-1050
Publisher: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/su14073737

Improved Arctic Sea Ice Freeboard Retrieval From Satellite Altimetry Using Optimized Sea Surface Decorrelation Scales

Author(s): Jack C. Landy, Jerome Bouffard, Chris Wilson, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, Michel Tsamados
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2021, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021jc017466

Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Torres, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Matthew Chamberlain, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Andrew Lenton, Hongmei Li, Nicole S. Lovenduski, James C. Orr, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Charles A. Stock, Alessandro Tagliabue, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Katsuya Toyama, Hiroyu
Published in: Biogeosciences, 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3439-3470, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020

Log-skew-normality of ocean turbulence

Author(s): B. B. Cael; Ali Mashayek
Published in: Physical Review Letters, 2021, ISSN 1079-7114
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.126.224502

Information content of absorption spectra and implications for ocean color inversion

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Alison Chase, Emmanuel Boss
Published in: Applied Optics, 59/13, 2020, Page(s) 3971, ISSN 1559-128X
Publisher: OSA Publishing
DOI: 10.1364/AO.389189

Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C. Long, Jessica Y. Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Mic
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, 6/3, 2020, Page(s) 95-119, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0

Clarifying the Relation between AMOC and Thermal Wind: Application to the Centennial Variability in a Coupled Climate Model

Author(s): Robin Waldman, Joël Hirschi, Aurore Voldoire, Christophe Cassou, Rym Msadek
Published in: Journal of Physical Oceanography, 51/2, 2021, Page(s) 343-364, ISSN 0022-3670
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jpo-d-19-0284.1

Restructuring of plankton genomic biogeography in the surface ocean under climate change

Author(s): Paul Frémont, Marion Gehlen, Mathieu Vrac, Jade Leconte, Tom O. Delmont, Patrick Wincker, Daniele Iudicone & Olivier Jaillon
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2022, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01314-8

Constraining Global Marine Iron Sources and Ligand‐Mediated Scavenging Fluxes With GEOTRACES Dissolved Iron Measurements in an Ocean Biogeochemical Model

Author(s): Christopher J. Somes, Andrew W. Dale, Klaus Wallmann, Florian Scholz, Wanxuan Yao, Andreas Oschlies, Juan Muglia, Andreas Schmittner, Eric P. Achterberg
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35/8, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gb006948

Ocean Biogeochemical Signatures of the North Pacific Blob

Author(s): Samuel C. Mogen, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Allysa R. Dallmann, Luke Gregor, Adrienne J. Sutton, Steven J. Bograd, Nathali Cordero Quiros, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Elliott L. Hazen, Michael G. Jacox, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Stephen Yeager
Published in: Geophysical research Letters, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl096938

The Sensitivity of the Marine Carbonate System to Regional Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement

Author(s): Daniel J. Burt; Friederike Fröb; Tatiana Ilyina
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.624075

Timing and magnitude of climate-driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management

Author(s): Juliano Palacios-Abrantes, Thomas L. Frölicher, Gabriel Reygondeau, U. Rashid Sumaila, Alessandro Tagliabue, Colette C. C. Wabnitz, William W. L. Cheung
Published in: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16058

The rise of novelty in marine ecosystems: The Baltic Sea case

Author(s): Yosr Ammar, Susa Niiranen, Saskia A. Otto, Christian Möllmann, Walter Finsinger, Thorsten Blenckner
Published in: Global Change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15503

Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific

Author(s): William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z

Marine Ecosystem Changepoints Spread Under Ocean Warming in an Earth System Model

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Charlotte Begouen Demeaux, Stephanie Henson, Charles A. Stock, Fernando González Taboada, Jasmin G. John, Andrew D. Barton
Published in: Journal of Geophyscial Research: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 2169-8961
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021jg006571

North Atlantic Western Boundary Currents Are Intense Dissolved Organic Carbon Streams

Author(s): Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Herlé Mercier, Pascale Lherminier
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.593757

Reconciling the Size‐Dependence of Marine Particle Sinking Speed

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Emma L. Cavan, Gregory L. Britten
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 48/5, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091771

Feedbacks Between Ocean Productivity and Organic Iron Complexation in Reaction to Changes in Ocean Iron Supply

Author(s): Völker, Christoph; Ye, Ying
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.777334

OceanSODA-ETHZ: a global gridded data set of the surface ocean carbonate system for seasonal to decadal studies of ocean acidification

Author(s): Luke Gregor, Nicolas Gruber
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 13/2, 2021, Page(s) 777-808, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-777-2021

The Risk for Novel and Disappearing Environmental Conditions in the Baltic Sea

Author(s): Thorsten Blenckner, Yosr Ammar, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Susa Niiranen, Lars Arneborg, Qiang Li
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.745722

Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climate

Author(s): Stephanie A. Henson, B. B. Cael, Stephanie R. Allen, Stephanie Dutkiewicz
Published in: Nature Communications, 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25699-w

The Northeast Atlantic is running out of excess carbonate in the horizon of cold-water corals communities

Author(s): Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Lidia I. Carracedo, Xosé A. Padín, Antón Velo, Maribel I. García-Ibañez, Pascale Lherminier
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71793-2

Significant variability of structure and predictability of Arctic Ocean surface pathways affects basin-wide connectivity

Author(s): Chris Wilson, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stefanie Rynders, Stephen J. Kelly, Thomas Krumpen, Andrew C. Coward
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2/1, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00237-0

A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss

Author(s): Andreas Oschlies
Published in: Nature Communications, 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22584-4

Projecting coral responses to intensifying marine heatwaves under ocean acidification

Author(s): Shannon G. Klein, Nathan R. Geraldi, Andrea Anton, Sebastian Schmidt-Roach, Maren Ziegler, Maha J. Cziesielski, Cecilia Martin, Nils Rädecker, Thomas L. Frölicher, Peter J. Mumby, John M. Pandolfi, David J. Suggett, Christian R. Voolstra, Manuel Aranda, Carlos. M. Duarte
Published in: Global change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15818

Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development

Author(s): Vicky W. Y. Lam, Edward H. Allison, Johann D. Bell, Jessica Blythe, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher, Maria A. Gasalla, U. Rashid Sumaila
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1/9, 2020, Page(s) 440-454, ISSN 2662-138X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9

Open Ocean Particle Flux Variability From Surface to Seafloor

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Kelsey Bisson, Maureen Conte, Manon T. Duret, Christopher L. Follett, Stephanie A. Henson, Makio C. Honda, Morten H. Iversen, David M. Karl, Richard S. Lampitt, Colleen B. Mouw, Frank Muller-Karger, Corinne A. Pebody, Kenneth L. Smith Jr., David Talmy
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl092895

Cold-water corals in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean exposed to aragonite undersaturation if the 2 °C global warming target is not met

Author(s): Maribel I. García-Ibáñez, Nicholas R. Bates, Dorothee C.E. Bakker, Marcos Fontela, Antón Velo
Published in: Global and Planetary Change, 201, 2021, Page(s) 103480, ISSN 0921-8181
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103480

The climate sensitivity of northern Greenland fjords is amplified through sea-ice damming

Author(s): Christian Stranne, Johan Nilsson, Adam Ulfsbo, Matt O’Regan, Helen K. Coxall, Lorenz Meire, Julia Muchowski, Larry A. Mayer, Volker Brüchert, Jonas Fredriksson, Brett Thornton, Julek Chawarski, Gabriel West, Elizabeth Weidner, Martin Jakobsson
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2/1, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00140-8

Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): Frerk Pöppelmeier, Jeemijn Scheen, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Thomas F. Stocker
Published in: Climate of the Past, 17/2, 2021, Page(s) 615-632, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-17-615-2021

Hotter and Weaker Mediterranean Outflow as a Response to Basin-Wide Alterations

Author(s): Jesús García-Lafuente, Simone Sammartino, I. Emma Huertas, Susana Flecha, Ricardo F. Sánchez-Leal, Cristina Naranjo, Irene Nadal, María Jesús Bellanco
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.613444

Destabilisation of the Subpolar North Atlantic prior to the Little Ice Age

Author(s): Beatriz Arellano-Nava, Paul R. Halloran, Chris A. Boulton, James Scourse, Paul G. Butler, David J. Reynolds & Timothy M. Lenton
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32653-x

Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes

Author(s): Friedrich A. Burger, Jens Terhaar & Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32120-7

Riverine nitrogen supply to the global ocean and its limited impact on global marine primary production: a feedback study using an Earth system model

Author(s): Miriam Tivig, David P. Keller, Andreas Oschlies
Published in: Biogeosciences, 18/19, 2021, Page(s) 5327-5350, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-5327-2021

Persistent Uncertainties in Ocean Net Primary Production Climate Change Projections at Regional Scales Raise Challenges for Assessing Impacts on Ecosystem Services

Author(s): Alessandro Tagliabue; Lester Kwiatkowski; Laurent Bopp; Momme Butenschön; William W. L. Cheung; Matthieu Lengaigne; Jérôme Vialard
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.738224

Decadal acidification in Atlantic and Mediterranean water masses exchanging at the Strait of Gibraltar

Author(s): Susana Flecha, Fiz F. Pérez, Akihiko Murata, Ahmed Makaoui, I. Emma Huertas
Published in: Scientific Reports, 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-52084-x

Marine high temperature extremes amplify the impacts of climate change on fish and fisheries

Author(s): William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher, Vicky W. Y. Lam, Muhammed A. Oyinlola, Gabriel Reygondeau, U. Rashid Sumaila, Travis C. Tai, Lydia C. L. Teh, Colette C. C. Wabnitz
Published in: Science Advances, 7/40, 2021, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abh0895

A unified theory for organic matter accumulation

Author(s): Emily J. Zakem, B. B. Cael, Naomi M. Levine
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118/6, 2021, Page(s) e2016896118, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2016896118

Can we project changes in fish abundance and distribution in response to climate?

Author(s): Jose A. Fernandes, Louise Rutterford, Stephen D. Simpson, Momme Butenschön, Thomas L. Frölicher, Andrew Yool, William W. L. Cheung, Alastair Grant
Published in: Global Change Biology, 26/7, 2020, Page(s) 3891-3905, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15081

Reemergence of Anthropogenic Carbon Into the Ocean's Mixed Layer Strongly Amplifies Transient Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): K. B. Rodgers, S. Schlunegger, R. D. Slater, M. Ishii, T. L. Frölicher, K. Toyama, Y. Plancherel, O. Aumont, A. J. Fassbender
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089275

A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands

Author(s): Chunjing Qiu, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Bertrand Guenet, Jinfeng Chang, Nitin Chaudhary, Thomas Kleinen, XinYu Li, Jurek Mueuller, Yi Xi, Wenxin Zhang, Ashley Ballantyne, Simon C. Brewer, Victor Brovkin, Dan J. Charman, Adrian Gustafson, Angela V. Gallego-Sala, Thomas Gasser, Joseph Holden, Fortunat Joos, Min Jung Kwon, Ronny Lauerwald, Paul A. Miller, Shushi Peng, Susan Page, Benjamin Smith, Benja
Published in: One Earth, 2022, ISSN 1097-4172
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008

Abrupt shifts in 21st-century plankton communities

Author(s): B. B. Cael, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Stephanie Henson
Published in: Science Advances, 7/44, 2021, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abf8593

Quantitative modelling of the spatial dynamics of South Pacific and Atlantic albacore tuna populations

Author(s): Inna N. Senina, Patrick Lehodey, John Hampton, John Sibert
Published in: Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 175, 2020, Page(s) 104667, ISSN 0967-0645
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2019.104667

Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends

Author(s): Sarah Schlunegger, Keith B. Rodgers, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Dunne, Yohei Takano, James R. Christian, Matthew C. Long, Thomas L. Frölicher, Richard Slater, Flavio Lehner
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006453

Labrador Slope Water connects the subarctic with the Gulf Stream

Author(s): A L New, D A Smeed, A Czaja, A T Blaker, J V Mecking, J P Mathews, A Sanchez-Franks
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 16/8, 2021, Page(s) 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1293

Source apportionment of methane escaping the subsea permafrost system in the outer Eurasian Arctic Shelf

Author(s): Julia Steinbach, Henry Holmstrand, Kseniia Shcherbakova, Denis Kosmach, Volker Brüchert, Natalia Shakhova, Anatoly Salyuk, Célia J. Sapart, Denis Chernykh, Riko Noormets, Igor Semiletov, Örjan Gustafsson
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118/10, 2021, Page(s) e2019672118, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2019672118

Local Drivers of Marine Heatwaves: A Global Analysis With an Earth System Model

Author(s): Linus Vogt, Friedrich A. Burger, Stephen M. Griffies and Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, 2022, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.847995

Magnitude and uncertainty of nitrous oxide emissions from North America based on bottom-up and top-down approaches: Informing future research and national inventories

Author(s): Rongting Xu; Rongting Xu; Hanqin Tian; Naiqing Pan; Rona Thompson; Josep G. Canadell; Eric A. Davidson; Cynthia D. Nevison; Wilfried Winiwarter; Wilfried Winiwarter; Hao Shi; Shufen Pan; Jinfeng Chang; Philippe Ciais; Shree R. S. Dangal; Akihiko Ito; Robert B. Jackson; Fortunat Joos; Ronny Lauerwald; Sebastian Lienert; Taylor Maavara; Dylan B. Millet; Peter A. Raymond; Pierre Regnier; Francesco N.
Published in: Earth and Space Science Open Archive (ESSOAr), 6, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10507667.1

Iron and copper complexation in Macaronesian coastal waters

Author(s): V.Arnone, D.González-Santana, M.González-Dávila, A.G.González, J.M.Santana-Casiano
Published in: Marine Chemistry, 2022, ISSN 0304-4203
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.marchem.2022.104087

Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100

Author(s): Cara Nissen, Ralph Timmermann, Mario Hoppema, Özgür Gürses & Judith Hauck
Published in: Natue Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-30671-3

Anthropogenic CO2 and ocean acidification in Argentine Basin Water Masses over almost five decades of observations

Author(s): Marcos Fontela, Antón Velo, Miguel Gilcoto, Fiz F. Pérez
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, 779, 2021, Page(s) 146570, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146570

Stratification constrains future heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean between 30°S and 55°S

Author(s): Timothée Bourgeois, Nadine Goris, Jörg Schwinger & Jerry F. Tjiputra
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-27979-5

Trivial improvements of predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of global carbon cycle. In open review for Earth System Dynamics

Author(s): A. Spring; A. Spring; I. Dunkl; I. Dunkl; H. Li; V. Brovkin; V. Brovkin; T. Ilyina
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 11, 2021, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2021-4

Climate warming is predicted to enhance the negative effects of harvesting on high‐latitude lake fish

Author(s): Aslak Smalås, John F. Strøm, Per‐Arne Amundsen, Ulf Dieckmann, Raul Primicerio
Published in: Journal of Applied Ecology, 57/2, 2019, Page(s) 270-282, ISSN 0021-8901
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13535

Counteracting Contributions of the Upper and Lower Meridional Overturning Limbs to the North Atlantic Nutrient Budgets: Enhanced Imbalance in 2010

Author(s): L. I. Carracedo, H. Mercier, E. McDonagh, G. Rosón, R. Sanders, C. M. Moore, S. Torres‐Valdés, P. Brown, P. Lherminier, F. F. Pérez
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35/6, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006898

Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario

Author(s): Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Laurent Bopp, Jim R. Christian, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Krasting, Roland Séférian, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Andrew Yool, and Jerry Tjiputra
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 2190-4979
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022

Radiocarbon in the Land and Ocean Components of the Community Earth System Model

Author(s): Tobias Frischknecht, Altug Ekici, Fortunat Joos
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gb007042

Ocean Acidification Effect on the Iron-Gallic Acid Redox Interaction in Seawater

Author(s): Norma Pérez-Almeida, Aridane G. González, J. Magdalena Santana-Casiano and Melchor González-Dávila
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.837363

The Pan-Arctic Continental Slope as an Intensifying Conveyer Belt for Nutrients in the Central Arctic Ocean (1985–2015)

Author(s): L. Oziel, V. Schourup-Kristensen, C. Wekerle, J. Hauck
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2022, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gb007268

Arctic Ocean acidification over the 21st century co-driven by anthropogenic carbon increases and freshening in the CMIP6 model ensemble

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, Olivier Torres, Timothée Bourgeois, Lester Kwiatkowski
Published in: Biogeosciences, 18/6, 2021, Page(s) 2221-2240, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2221-2021

Failures to disagree are essential for environmental science to effectively influence policy development

Author(s): Jon Norberg, Thorsten Blenckner, Sarah E. Cornell, Owen L. Petchey, Helmut Hillebrand
Published in: Ecology Letters, 2022, ISSN 1461-0248
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13984

Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions

Author(s): Jörg Schwinger, Ali Asaadi, Nadine Goris & Hanna Lee
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5

The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6

Author(s): Jon Robson, Yevgeny Aksenov, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Oscar Dimdore‐Miles, Paul T. Griffiths, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Daniel L. R. Hodson, James Keeble, Claire MacIntosh, Alex Megann, Scott Osprey, Adam C. Povey, David Schröder, Mingxi Yang, Alexander T. Archibald, Ken S. Carslaw, Lesley Gray, Colin Jones, Brian Kerridge, Diane Knappett, Till Kuhlbrodt, Maria Russo, Alistair Sellar, Richard Siddans,
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002126

Characterizing Mean and Extreme Diurnal Variability of Ocean CO 2 System Variables Across Marine Environments

Author(s): Olivier Torres, Lester Kwiatkowski, Adrienne J. Sutton, Narimane Dorey, James C. Orr
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 48/5, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090228

Testing the Skill of a Species Distribution Model Using a 21st Century Virtual Ecosystem

Author(s): L. R. Bardon, B. A. Ward, S. Dutkiewicz, B. B. Cael
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093455

Strong Habitat Compression by Extreme Shoaling Events of Hypoxic Waters in the Eastern Pacific

Author(s): Eike E. Köhn, Matthias Münnich, Meike Vogt, Flora Desmet, Nicolas Gruber
Published in: Journal of Geophyscial Research: Oceans, 2022, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022jc018429

Global vulnerability of marine mammals to global warming.

Author(s): Albouy, Camille; Delattre, Valentine; Donati, Giulia; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Albouy-boyer, Severine; Rufino, Marta; Pellissier, Loïc; Mouillot, David; Leprieur, Fabien
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10 (1), 2, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000395835

Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): Jurek Müller and Fortunat Joos
Published in: Biogeosciences, 2021, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021

Climate Change-Induced Emergence of Novel Biogeochemical Provinces

Author(s): Gabriel Reygondeau, William W. L. Cheung, Colette C. C. Wabnitz, Vicky W. Y. Lam, Thomas Frölicher, Olivier Maury
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00657

Integrating environmental variability to broaden the research on coral responses to future ocean conditions

Author(s): Maren Ziegler; Andrea Anton; Shannon G. Klein; Nils Rädecker; Nathan R. Geraldi; Sebastian Schmidt‐Roach; Vincent Saderne; Peter J. Mumby; Maha J. Cziesielski; Cecilia Martin; Thomas L. Frölicher; John M. Pandolfi; David J. Suggett; Manuel Aranda; Carlos M. Duarte; Christian R. Voolstra
Published in: Global Change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15840

Pathways to sustaining tuna-dependent Pacific Island economies during climate change

Author(s): Johann D. Bell, Inna Senina, Timothy Adams, Olivier Aumont, Beatriz Calmettes, Sangaalofa Clark, Morgane Dessert, Marion Gehlen, Thomas Gorgues, John Hampton, Quentin Hanich, Harriet Harden-Davies, Steven R. Hare, Glen Holmes, Patrick Lehodey, Matthieu Lengaigne, William Mansfield, Christophe Menkes, Simon Nicol, Yoshitaka Ota, Coral Pasisi, Graham Pilling, Chis Reid, Espen Ronneberg, Alex Sen Gup
Published in: Nature Sustainability, 2021, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-021-00745-z

Freshwater in the Arctic Ocean 2010–2019

Author(s): Amy Solomon, Céline Heuzé, Benjamin Rabe, Sheldon Bacon, Laurent Bertino, Patrick Heimbach, Jun Inoue, Doroteaciro Iovino, Ruth Mottram, Xiangdong Zhang, Yevgeny Aksenov, Ronan McAdam, An Nguyen, Roshin P. Raj, and Han Tang
Published in: Ocean Science, 2021, ISSN 1812-0784
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-1081-2021

Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline?

Author(s): Angélique Hameau, Thomas L. Frölicher, Juliette Mignot, Fortunat Joos
Published in: Biogeosciences, 17/7, 2020, Page(s) 1877-1895, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1877-2020

Operationalizing Ocean Health: Toward Integrated Research on Ocean Health and Recovery to Achieve Ocean Sustainability

Author(s): Andrea Franke, Thorsten Blenckner, Carlos M. Duarte, Konrad Ott, Lora E. Fleming, Avan Antia, Thorsten B.H. Reusch, Christine Bertram, Jonas Hein, Ulrike Kronfeld-Goharani, Jan Dierking, Annegret Kuhn, Chie Sato, Erik van Doorn, Marlene Wall, Markus Schartau, Rolf Karez, Larry Crowder, David Keller, Anja Engel, Ute Hentschel, Enno Prigge
Published in: One Earth, 2/6, 2020, Page(s) 557-565, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.013

Exploring the Effects of Organic Matter Characteristics on Fe(II) Oxidation Kinetics in Coastal Seawater

Author(s): Santana-Casiano, J. Magdalena; González-Santana, David; Devresse, Quentin; Hepach, Helmke; Santana-González, Carolina; Quack, Birgit; Engel, Anja; González-Dávila, Melchor
Published in: Environmental Science & Technology, 3, 2022, ISSN 0013-936X
Publisher: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c04512

Seasonality of Dissolved Organic Carbon Exchange Across the Strait of Gibraltar

Author(s): X. A. Álvarez‐Salgado, J. Otero, S. Flecha, I. E. Huertas
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089601

Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning

Author(s): Tom R. Andersson, J. Scott Hosking, María Pérez-Ortiz, Brooks Paige, Andrew Elliott, Chris Russell, Stephen Law, Daniel C. Jones, Jeremy Wilkinson, Tony Phillips, James Byrne, Steffen Tietsche, Beena Balan Sarojini, Eduardo Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Yevgeny Aksenov, Rod Downie & Emily Shuckburgh
Published in: Nature Communications, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4

Increase in ocean acidity variability and extremes under increasing atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>

Author(s): Friedrich A. Burger, Jasmin G. John, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Biogeosciences, 17/18, 2020, Page(s) 4633-4662, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-4633-2020

Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget

Author(s): Judith Hauck, Moritz Zeising, Corinne Le Quéré, Nicolas Gruber, Dorothee C. E. Bakker, Laurent Bopp, Thi Tuyet Trang Chau, Özgür Gürses, Tatiana Ilyina, Peter Landschützer, Andrew Lenton, Laure Resplandy, Christian Rödenbeck, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.571720

Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO 2 emissions

Author(s): Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Thomas F Stocker, Fortunat Joos
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 15/12, 2020, Page(s) 124026, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc4af

The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points

Author(s): Christoph Heinze, Thorsten Blenckner, Helena Martins, Dagmara Rusiecka, Ralf Döscher, Marion Gehlen, Nicolas Gruber, Elisabeth Holland, Øystein Hov, Fortunat Joos, John Brian Robin Matthews, Rolf Rødven, Simon Wilson
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118/9, 2021, Page(s) e2008478118, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2008478118

Evaluation of Data‐Based Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean

Author(s): J. Terhaar, T. Tanhua, T. Stöven, J. C. Orr, L. Bopp
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125/6, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020JC016124

Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to Protracted Global Warming

Author(s): T. L. Frölicher, M. T. Aschwanden, N. Gruber, S. L. Jaccard, J. P. Dunne, D. Paynter
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006601

Tracking the Space-Time Evolution of Ocean Acidification Extremes in the California Current System and Northeast Pacific

Author(s): Flora Desmet; Nicolas Gruber; Eike E. Köhn; Matthias Münnich; Meike Vogt
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2, 2022, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000549160

ARIOS: a database for ocean acidification assessment in the Iberian upwelling system (1976–2018)

Author(s): Xosé Antonio Padin, Antón Velo, Fiz F. Pérez
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 2647-2663, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2647-2020

They Came From the Pacific: How Changing Arctic Currents Could Contribute to an Ecological Regime Shift in the Atlantic Ocean

Author(s): S. J. Kelly, E. Popova, Y. Aksenov, R. Marsh, A. Yool
Published in: Earth's Future, 8/4, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001394

Technical note: Interpreting pH changes

Author(s): Andrea J. Fassbender, James C. Orr, Andrew G. Dickson
Published in: Biogeosciences, 18/4, 2021, Page(s) 1407-1415, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-1407-2021

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Author(s): Pierre Friedlingstein, Matthew W. Jones, Michael O'Sullivan, Robbie M. Andrew, Dorothee, C. E. Bakker, Judith Hauck, Corinne Le Quéré, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Rob B. Jackson, Simone R. Alin, Peter Anthoni, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Nicolas Bellouin, Laurent Bopp, Thi Tuyet Trang Chau, Frédéric Chevallier, Louis
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 2022, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

Climate change increases marine heatwaves harming marine ecosystems

Author(s): Wernberg, Thomas; Smale, Dan A.; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Smith, Adam J. P.
Published in: ScienceBrief, 2021
Publisher: ScienceBrief
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5596820

Detection of Changepoints in Ocean Time Series

Author(s): Severin Kaderli; Thomas L. Frölicher; Friedrich Burger
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Univrsity of Bern
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4564623

Safer Operations in Changing Ice-Covered Seas: Approaches and Perspectives

Author(s): Yevgeny Aksenov, Stefanie Rynders, Danny L. Feltham, Lucia Hosekova, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, Laurent Bertino, Timothy D. Williams, Ekaterina Popova, Andrew Yool, A. J. George Nurser, Andrew Coward, Lucy Bricheno, Meric Srokosz & Harold Heorton
Published in: IUTAM Symposium on Physics and Mechanics of Sea Ice, 2022, ISBN 978-3-030-80439-8
Publisher: Springer Link