Project description
An integrative projection model towards ocean sustainability
The human induced drivers of climate change - including those that change the chemistry of the oceans - may lead to the crossing of tipping points in the ocean environment with adverse effects on marine organisms and the Earth system. These tipping points and the respective subsystems affected by them have so far been considered separately which ultimately makes timely and effective interventions difficult. Instead, the COMFORT project offers an integrative approach, examining in parallel factors contributing to tipping points in the key areas of marine carbon, oxygen, and nutrient cycles as well as marine ecosystems. COMFORT brings together experts from Earth system science, oceanography, fisheries science and ecology. The project consortium will combine data analysis and predictive models to create projections of the impact of human drivers including on ocean systems, allowing policymakers and stakeholders to intervene more effectively with mitigating measures.
Objective
COMFORT will close knowledge gaps for key ocean tipping elements under anthropogenic physical and chemical climate forcing through an interdisciplinary research approach. It will provide added value to decision and policy makers in terms of science based safe marine operating spaces, refined climate mitigation targets, and feasible long-term mitigation pathways. We will determine the consequences of passing tipping points in physical tipping elements for the marine carbon, oxygen, and nutrient cycles, as well as tipping points in biogeochemical tipping elements. The respective impact on marine ecosystems will be determined. Projections of the Earth system and impact studies have so far been carried out sequentially in a chain from scenarios to projections to off-line impact studies. This sequential workflow has hampered a quick response of the impact community back to revised scenarios and projections for tackling climate mitigation. COMFORT breaks new ground by bringing together experts from Earth system science, oceanography, fisheries science and ecology in a single integrated project who will work in parallel with a consistent set of analysis tools, scenarios, and interoperable models. The strength of COMFORT lies in the system-focused interdisciplinary approach as opposed to existing studies at the level of individual subsystems. The approach will be pursued with a firm link to stakeholders. COMFORT results will contribute to all four expected impacts for this call.
Fields of science
Keywords
Programme(s)
Funding Scheme
RIA - Research and Innovation actionCoordinator
5020 Bergen
Norway
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Participants (32)
10691 Stockholm
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2361 Laxenburg
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8092 Zuerich
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3012 Bern
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14473 Potsdam
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27570 Bremerhaven
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24148 Kiel
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28359 Bremen
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20148 Hamburg
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80539 Munchen
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35001 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria
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28006 Madrid
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75015 PARIS 15
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75230 Paris
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31520 Ramonville St Agne
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94165 Saint Mande Cedex
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220 Hafnarfjörður
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5817 Bergen
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9296 Tromsoe
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5838 Bergen
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5007 Bergen
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The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.
405 30 Goeteborg
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601 76 NORRKOEPING
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PL1 3DH Plymouth
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The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.
NR4 7TJ Norwich
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Participation ended
SN2 1FL Swindon
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EX4 4QJ Exeter
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LA1 4YW Lancaster
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B3H 4R2 Halifax
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0001 Pretoria
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682506 Kerala
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SO14 3ZH Southampton
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