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CAScading Climate risks: towards ADaptive and resilient European Societies

Deliverables

CASCADES Strategy to disseminate, communicate and exploit results

CASCADES Strategy to disseminate, communicate and exploit results

Report presenting the selected set of impacts to be analyzed with and their specific implementation modes into the different modelling tools of WP3

Report presenting the selected set of impacts to be analyzed with and their specific implementation modes into the different modelling tools of WP3

Report on methodological set up of WP3. Protocol describing the role of each modelling tool and semi quantitative investigation approach, interaction channels between them and, when needed, model developments enabling the integrated analysis of impact tra

Report on methodological set up of WP3. Protocol describing the role of each modelling tool and semi quantitative investigation approach, interaction channels between them and, when needed, model developments enabling the integrated analysis of impact tra

Minutes of the kick-off meeting

Minutes of the kick-off meeting

Specification of Intellectual Property Rights

Specification of Intellectual Property Rights

Minutes of the third Project meeting

Minutes of the third Project meeting

Guidelines for publication and co-authorship rules

Guidelines for publication and co-authorship rules

Report from Core Workshop 1 delivered in Task 7.4

Report from Core Workshop 1 delivered in Task 7.4

Minutes of the second Project meeting

Minutes of the second Project meeting

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Publications

Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

Author(s): George C. Hurtt, Louise Chini, Ritvik Sahajpal, Steve Frolking, Benjamin L. Bodirsky, Katherine Calvin, Jonathan C. Doelman, Justin Fisk, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kees Klein Goldewijk, Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlik, Andreas Heinimann, Florian Humpenöder, Johan Jungclaus, Jed O. Kaplan, Jennifer Kennedy, Tamás Krisztin, David Lawrence, Peter Lawrence, Lei Ma, Ole Mertz, Julia Pongratz, Alexander Popp
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 13/11, 2020, Page(s) 5425-5464, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020

Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Author(s): Theresa Falkendal, Christian Otto, Jacob Schewe, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Matti Kummu, Ben Watkins, Michael J. Puma
Published in: Nature Food, 2/1, 2021, Page(s) 11-14, ISSN 2662-1355
Publisher: SpringerNature
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7

The ongoing nutrition transition thwarts long-term targets for food security, public health and environmental protection

Author(s): Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Eleonora Martinelli, Antonia Stenstad, Prajal Pradhan, Sabine Gabrysch, Abhijeet Mishra, Isabelle Weindl, Chantal Le Mouël, Susanne Rolinski, Lavinia Baumstark, Xiaoxi Wang, Jillian L. Waid, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-75213-3

Management induced changes of soil organic carbon on global croplands

Author(s): Karstens, K., Bodirsky, B. L., Dietrich, J. P., Dondini, M., Heinke, J., Kuhnert, M., Müller, C., Rolinski, S., Smith, P., Weindl, I., Lotze-Campen, H., and Popp, A.
Published in: Biogeosciences Discussions, 22 Dec 2020, 2020, ISSN 1726-4170
Publisher: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-468

Managing the financial risks of climate change and pandemics: What we know (and don't know)

Author(s): Ranger, N., Mahul, O., Monasterolo, I
Published in: One Earth, 2021, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.09.017

Roadmap to develop a stress test for forest ecosystem services supply

Author(s): Kramer, K., Bouriaud, L., Feindt, PH., van Wassenaer, L., Glanemann, N., Hanewinkel, M., van der Heide, M., Hengeveld, GM., Hoogstra, M., Ingram, V., Levermann, A., Lindner, M., Mátyás, C., Mohren, F., Muys, B., Nabuurs, GJ., Palahi, M., Polman, N., Reyer, CPO., Schulze, ED., Seidl, R., de Vries, W., Werners, SE., Winkel, G., Yousefpour, R.
Published in: One Earth, 2021, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.009

Accounting for finance is key for climate mitigation pathways

Author(s): Battiston S. Monasterolo, I., Riahi, K., and van Rujiven, B.
Published in: Science, 2021, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.abf3877

Compounding COVID-19 and climate risks: The interplay of banks lending and government's policy in the shock recovery

Author(s): Dunz, N, Essenfelder A.H., Mazzocchetti A., Monasterolo I., Raberto M
Published in: Journal of Banking and Finance, 2021, ISSN 0378-4266
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106306

Terrestrial biodiversity threatened by increasing global aridity velocity under high-level warming

Author(s): Shi, H., Tian, H., Lange, S., Yang, J., Pan, S., Fu, B., Reyer, C. P. O.
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Aug 30, 2021, 2021, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2015552118

Climate change, crops and commodity traders: subnational trade analysis highlights differentiated risk exposure

Author(s): Emilie Stokeld, Simon A. Croft, Jonathan M. H. Green, Christopher D. West
Published in: Climatic Change, 162/2, 2020, Page(s) 175-192, ISSN 0165-0009
Publisher: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02857-5

Assessing the cascading impacts of natural disasters in a multi-layer behavioral network framework

Author(s): Asjad Naqvi; Asjad Naqvi; Irene Monasterolo; Irene Monasterolo; Irene Monasterolo
Published in: Scientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021), 1, 2021, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-99343-4

Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation

Author(s): Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, Page Kyle, Jason F. L. Koopman, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Christoph Müller, Yuki Ochi, Ignacio Pérez Domínguez, Elke Stehfest, Timothy B. Sulser, Andrzej Tabeau, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Jun’ya Takakura, Hans van Meijl, Willem-Jan van Zeist, Keith Wiebe, P
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 10/5, 2020, Page(s) 420-421, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0767-3

Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

Author(s): Wim Thiery; Stefan Lange; Joeri Rogelj; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Lukas Gudmundsson; Sonia I. Seneviratne; Marina Andrijevic; Katja Frieler; Kerry Emanuel; Tobias Geiger; David N. Bresch; Fang Zhao; Sven Willner; Matthias Büchner; Jan Volkholz; Nico Bauer; Jinfeng Chang; Philippe Ciais; Marie Dury; Louis François; Manolis Grillakis; Simon N. Gosling; Naota Hanasaki; Thomas Hickler; Veronika Hu
Published in: Science, 2, 2021, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.abi7339

A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change

Author(s): Carter, T. R., Benzie, M., Campiglio, E., Carlsen, H., Fronzek, S., Hildén, M., Reyer, C. P. O., West, C.
Published in: Global Environmental Change, 2021, ISSN 0959-3780
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

Author(s): Brian C. O’Neill, Timothy R. Carter, Kristie Ebi, Paula A. Harrison, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Kasper Kok, Elmar Kriegler, Benjamin L. Preston, Keywan Riahi, Jana Sillmann, Bas J. van Ruijven, Detlef van Vuuren, David Carlisle, Cecilia Conde, Jan Fuglestvedt, Carole Green, Tomoko Hasegawa, Julia Leininger, Seth Monteith, Ramon Pichs-Madruga
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 10/12, 2020, Page(s) 1074-1084, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0

Europe's cross-border trade, human security and financial connections: A climate risk perspective

Author(s): West CD, Stokeld,E., Campiglio, E., Croft, S., Detges,A., Duranovic,A., von Jagow, A., Jarząbek,J., König, C., Knaepen H., Magnuszewski,P., Monasterolo,I., Reyer CPO
Published in: Climate Risk Management, 2021, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100382

Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales

Author(s): Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C. P. O., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Schewe, J., Bresch, D. N., Büchner, M., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Emanuel, K., Folberth, C., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Henrot, A., Hickler, T., Honda, Y., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Müller, C., Nishina, K., Os
Published in: Earth's Future, Volume 8, Issue 9, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU Advancing Earth and Space Science
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001616

Lessons from COVID-19 for managing transboundary climate risks and building resilience

Author(s): Ringsmuth, AK, Otto, I.,Van den Hurk, B., Lahn, G., Reyer CPO., Carter, TR, Magnuszewski, P., Monasterolo, I., Aerts,J.C.J.H., Benzie, M., Campiglio, E., Fronzek, S., Gaupp, F., Jarzabek, L., Klein, RJT, Knaepen, H., Mechler, R., Mysiak, J., Sillmann, J., Stuparu, D., West, C.
Published in: Climate Risk Management, 2022, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100395

Climate change reduces winter overland travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios

Author(s): Anne Gädeke, Moritz Langer, Julia Boike, Eleanor J Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Melissa Head, Christopher P O Reyer, Sibyll Schaphoff, Wim Thiery, Kirsten Thonicke
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 16/2, 2021, Page(s) 024049, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdcf2

Saturation of Global Terrestrial Carbon Sink Under a High Warming Scenario

Author(s): Shi, H., Tian, H., Pan, N., Reyer, C. P. O., Ciais, P., Chang, J., Forrest, M., Frieler, K., Fu, B., Gädeke, A., Hickler, T., Ito, A., Ostberg, S., Pan, S., Stevanović, M., & Yang, J.
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Volume 35, Issue 10, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006800

Promoting policy coherence: Lessons learned in EU development cooperation

Author(s): James Mackie
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Climate change and resilience in the Central Sahel

Author(s): Desmidt, S., Puig, O., Detges, A., van Ackern, P., Tondel, F.
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2021
Publisher: ECDPM

What can Covid-19 teach us about preparing for climate risks in Europe?

Author(s): Bart van den Hurk, Ilona M. Otto, Christopher P.O. Reyer, Jeroen Aerts, Magnus Benzie, Emanuele Campiglio, Timothy R. Carter, Stefan Fronzek, Franziska Gaupp, Lukasz Jarzabek, Richard J.T. Klein, Hanne Knaepen, Glada Lahn, Reinhard Mechler, Irene Monasterolo, Jaroslav Mysiak, Theodore G. Shepherd, Jana Sillmann, Dana Stuparu, Chris West
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Cascading climate impacts: a new factor in European policy-making

Author(s): Mikael Hildén, Glada Lahn, Timothy R. Carter, Richard J. T. Klein, Ilona M. Otto, Benjamin Pohl, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Fabien Tondel
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Climate Change and Violent Extremism in North Africa

Author(s): Bourekba, M.
Published in: CASCADES Spotlight Study, 2021
Publisher: CIDOB

Climate change, water and future cooperation and development in the Euphrates-Tigris basin

Author(s): Müller, A., Detges, A., Pohl, B., Reuter, MH., Rochowski, L., Volkholz, J., Woertz, E.
Published in: CASCADES Report, 2021
Publisher: adelphi

Looking back at the 5th European Climate Change Adaptation Conference (ECCA 2021)

Author(s): Knaepen, Hanne
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2022
Publisher: ECDPM

The EIB Group Climate Bank Roadmap 2021-2025: What does it mean for developing countries?

Author(s): Ahairwe, Pamella Eunice
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2021
Publisher: ECDPM

Climate-Resilient Trade and Production

Author(s): Kevin M. Adams, Katy Harris, Richard J. T. Klein, Frida Lager, Magnus Benzie
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Climate risks in Tunisia: Challenges to adaptation in the agri-food system

Author(s): Knaepen, H.
Published in: ECDPM Research Paper, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Climate change and security in North Africa

Author(s): Desmidt S.
Published in: ECDPM Research Paper, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Addressing climate-related financial risks and overcoming barriers to scaling-up sustainable investment

Author(s): Monasterolo, I., Volz, U.
Published in: G20 Insights, 2020
Publisher: G20 Insights

Climate Resilience in Cities of the EU’s Southern Neighbourhood: Opportunities for the EU Green Deal

Author(s): Abdullah, H., Elgendy, K., Knaepen, H.
Published in: CASCADES Report, 2021
Publisher: CIDOB

Climate, conflict and COVID-19: How does the pandemic affect EU policies on climate-fragility?

Author(s): Wolfmaier, S., Foong, A., König, C.
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2021
Publisher: adelphi

Rethinking human mobility in the face of global changes

Author(s): Mosello, B., König, C., Wright, E., Price, G.
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2021
Publisher: adelphi

Boosting EU climate finance

Author(s): Pamella Ahairwe and San Bilal (2019)
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

Foreign Policy Implications of Climate Change in Focus Regions of European External Action

Author(s): Detges, A., Foong, A.
Published in: CASCADES Report, 2022
Publisher: adelphi

Climate Change, Development and Security in the Central Sahel

Author(s): Puig, O., Desmidt, S., Detges, A., Tondel, F., van Ackern, P., Foong, A., Volkholz, J.
Published in: 2021
Publisher: CIDOB

Ten insights on climate impacts and peace

Author(s): Adrien Detges, Daniel Klingenfeld, Christian König, Benjamin Pohl, Lukas Rüttinger, Jacob Schewe, Barbora Sedova, Janani Vivekananda
Published in: CASCADES Policy Brief, 2020
Publisher: CASCADES

On the Dependence of Investor’s Probability of Default on Climate Transition Scenarios

Author(s): Stefano Battiston, Irene Monasterolo
Published in: SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020, ISSN 1556-5068
Publisher: SSRN
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3743647

The Importance of Compound Risk in the Nexus of Covid-19, Climate Change and Finance

Author(s): Irene Monasterolo, Monica Billio, Stefano Battiston
Published in: SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021, ISSN 1556-5068
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3635335

Macroeconomic and Financial Impacts of Compounding Pandemics and Climate Risks

Author(s): Nepomuk Dunz, Andrea Mazzocchetti, Irene Monasterolo, Arthur Hrast Essenfelder, Marco Raberto
Published in: SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021, ISSN 1556-5068
Publisher: SSRN
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3827853

Pandemics, Climate and Public Finance - How to Strengthen Socio-Economic Resilience across Policy Domains

Author(s): Stefano Battiston, Monica Billio, Irene Monasterolo
Published in: A New World Post COVID-19 - Lessons for Business, the Finance Industry and Policy Makers, 2020, ISBN 978-88-6969-442-4
Publisher: Fondazione Università Ca’ Foscari
DOI: 10.30687/978-88-6969-442-4/019

El Sahel: cambio climático, conflictos y migraciones

Author(s): Puig, O.
Published in: La Brújula de Africa, 2021
Publisher: Catarata

Chapter 4: Assessing Forward-Looking Climate Risks in Financial Portfolios: A Science-Based Approach for Investors and Supervisors

Author(s): Irene Monasterolo, Stefano Battiston
Published in: NGFS Occasional Paper, September 2020, 2020, Page(s) 52-73
Publisher: NGFS Central Banks and Supervisors Network for Green the Financial System

Climate change and livelihoods in the Sahel: revisiting nexus and focusing on endogeneus knowledge

Author(s): Puig-Cepero O.
Published in: 2021
Publisher: African Studies Centre Leiden, CODESRIA