The physics of Earthquake faulting: learning from laboratory earthquake prediCTiON to Improve forecasts of the spectrum of tectoniC failure modes: TECTONIC

Project Information

TECTONIC

Grant agreement ID: 835012

DOI

10.3030/835012

Project closed

EC signature date 22 July 2019

Start date 1 January 2020

End date 30 September 2025

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost

€ 3 459 750,00

EU contribution

€ 3 459 750,00

Coordinated by

UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI ROMA LA SAPIENZA
Italy

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan

We are not including the content of the Data Management Plan at grant preparation

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (46)

Common-mode signals and vertical velocities in the greater Alpine area from GNSS data

Author(s): Francesco Pintori, Enrico Serpelloni, Adriano Gualandi
Published in: Solid Earth, Issue 13, 2025, Page(s) 1541-1567, ISSN 1869-9529
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/se-13-1541-2022

A strainmeter array as the fulcrum of novel observatory sites along the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory

Author(s): Lauro Chiaraluce, Richard Bennett, David Mencin, Wade Johnson, Massimiliano Rinaldo Barchi, Marco Bohnhoff, Paola Baccheschi, Antonio Caracausi, Carlo Calamita, Adriano Cavaliere, Adriano Gualandi, Eugenio Mandler, Maria Teresa Mariucci, Leonardo Martelli, Simone Marzorati, Paola Montone, Debora Pantaleo, Stefano Pucci, Enrico Serpelloni, Mariano Supino, Salvatore Stramondo, Catherine Hanagan, Liz
Published in: Scientific Drilling, Issue 33, 2024, Page(s) 173-190, ISSN 1816-3459
Publisher: Scientific Drilling
DOI: 10.5194/sd-33-173-2024

Generalizable deep learning models for predicting laboratory earthquakes

Author(s): Chonglang Wang, Kaiwen Xia, Wei Yao, Chris Marone
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02200-9

Attention network forecasts time-to-failure in laboratory shear experiments

Author(s): Jaspereson, H., Bolton, D. C., Johnson, P. A., Guyer, R., Marone, C. and M. V. de Hoop
Published in: J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth, Issue 126, 2021, ISSN 2156-2202
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021jb022195

Frictional and Lithological Controls on Shallow Slow Slip at the Northern Hikurangi Margin

Author(s): Srisharan Shreedharan, Matt Ikari, Clay Wood, Demian Saffer, Laura Wallace, Chris Marone
Published in: Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, Issue 23, 2023, ISSN 1525-2027
Publisher: Geochemical Society
DOI: 10.1029/2021gc010107

Frictional Properties and Healing Behavior of Tectonic Mélanges: Implications for the Evolution of Subduction Fault Zones

Author(s): T.‐W. Chen, R. Affinito, C. Marone, D. Fisher, A. Smye, Y. Hashimoto
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 129, 2024, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023jb028472

Post-Seismic Deformation Related to the 2016 Central Italy Seismic Sequence From GPS Displacement Time-Series

Author(s): E. Mandler; Francesco Pintori; Adriano Gualandi; Letizia Anderlini; Enrico Serpelloni; Maria Elina Belardinelli
Published in: AGU Solid Earth, Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 2169-9356
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021jb022200

Comment on se-2021-136

Author(s): Francesco Pintori, Enrico Serpelloni, and Adriano Gualandi
Published in: Solid Earth, 2025, ISSN 1869-9529
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/se-2021-136-rc2

Frictional controls on the seismogenic zone: insights from the Apenninic basement, Central Italy

Author(s): Volpe, G., Pozzi, G., Carminati, E. Barchi, M. R., Scuderi, M. M., Tinti, E., Aldega, L., Marone, C. and C. Collettini
Published in: Earth and Plan. Sci. Lett, Issue 583, 2022, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117444

Frictional and lithological controls on shallow slow slip at the northern hikurangi margin

Author(s): Shreedharan, S., Ikari, M., Wood, C., Saffer, D., Wallace L. and C. Marone
Published in: Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst, 2022, ISSN 1525-2027
Publisher: Geochemical Society
DOI: 10.1029/2021gc0101072022

Earthquake energy dissipation in a fracture mechanics framework

Author(s): David S. Kammer, Gregory C. McLaskey, Rachel E. Abercrombie, Jean-Paul Ampuero, Camilla Cattania, Massimo Cocco, Luca Dal Zilio, Georg Dresen, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Chun-Yu Ke, Chris Marone, Paul Antony Selvadurai, Elisa Tinti
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47970-6

The Effect of Normal Stress Oscillations on Fault Slip Behavior Near the Stability Transition From Stable to Unstable Motion

Author(s): Federico Pignalberi, Carolina Giorgetti, Corentin Noël, Chris Marone, Cristiano Collettini, Marco Maria Scuderi
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 129, 2024, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023jb027470

Crustal permeability generated through microearthquakes is constrained by seismic moment

Author(s): Pengliang Yu, Ankur Mali, Thejasvi Velaga, Alex Bi, Jiayi Yu, Chris Marone, Parisa Shokouhi, Derek Elsworth
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46238-3

Deep learning for laboratory earthquake prediction and autoregressive forecasting of fault zone stress

Author(s): Laurenti, L., Tinti, E., Galasso, F., Franco, L., and C. Marone
Published in: EPSL, 2022, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117825

Deterministic and stochastic chaos characterise laboratory earthquakes

Author(s): Gualandi, A.; Faranda, D.; Marone, C.; Cocco, M.; Mengaldo, G.
Published in: EPSL, Issue 1, 2023, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2023.117995

The Role of Clay in Limiting Frictional Healing in Fault Gouges

Author(s): C. E. Seyler, S. Shreedharan, D. M. Saffer, C. Marone
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl104984

Probing the evolution of fault properties during the seismic cycle with deep learning

Author(s): Laura Laurenti, Gabriele Paoletti, Elisa Tinti, Fabio Galasso, Cristiano Collettini, Chris Marone
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54153-w

Frequency-Magnitude Statistics of Laboratory Foreshocks Vary With Shear Velocity, Fault Slip Rate, and Shear Stress

Author(s): David C. Bolton, Srisharan Shreedharan, Jacques Rivière, and Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 126, e2021JB022175., Issue 126, 2021, ISSN 2156-2202
Publisher: AGU Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2021jb022175

The Stability Transition From Stable to Unstable Frictional Slip With Finite Pore Pressure

Author(s): R. Affinito, C. Wood, S. Marty, D. Elsworth, C. Marone
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105568

Competition between preslip and deviatoric stress modulates precursors for laboratory earthquakes

Author(s): Srisharan Shreedharan, David Chas Bolton, Jacques Rivière, Chris Marone
Published in: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Issue 553, 2021, Page(s) 116623, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116623

Imaging Elastodynamic and Hydraulic Properties of In Situ Fractured Rock: An Experimental Investigation Exploring Effects of Dynamic Stressing and Shearing

Author(s): Clay E. Wood, Parisa Shokouhi, Prabhakaran Manogharan, Jacques Rivère, Derek Elsworth, Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 126, 2023, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2020jb021521

Acoustic Energy Release During the Laboratory Seismic Cycle: Insights on Laboratory Earthquake Precursors and Prediction

Author(s): David C. Bolton, Srisharan Shreedharan, Jacques Rivière, Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 125/8, 2020, Page(s) 1-17, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2019jb018975

Machine Learning Predicts the Timing and Shear Stress Evolution of Lab Earthquakes Using Active Seismic Monitoring of Fault Zone Processes

Author(s): Srisharan Shreedharan, David Chas Bolton, Jacques Rivière, Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 126/7, 2021, Page(s) 1-18, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020jb021588

Estimating Lab-Quake Source Parameters: Spectral Inversion from a Calibrated Acoustic System

Author(s): Federico Pignalberi, Giacomo Mastella, Carolina Giorgetti, Marco Maria Scuderi
Published in: Sensors, Issue 24, 2025, Page(s) 5824, ISSN 1424-8220
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/s24175824

Searching for Transient Slow Slips Along the San Andreas Fault Near Parkfield Using Independent Component Analysis

Author(s): Sylvain Michel, Romain Jolivet, Olivier Lengliné, Adriano Gualandi, Stacy Larochelle, Blandine Gardonio
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 127, 2023, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2021jb023201

The high-frequency signature of slow and fast laboratory earthquakes

Author(s): Bolton, D. C., Shreedharan, S., McLaskey, G. C., Rivière, J., Shokouhi, P., Trugman, D. T. and C. Marone
Published in: J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth, Issue 127, 2022, ISSN 2169-9356
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jb024170

Cold Diffusion Model for Seismic Denoising

Author(s): Daniele Trappolini, Laura Laurenti, Giulio Poggiali, Elisa Tinti, Fabio Galasso, Alberto Michelini, Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation, Issue 1, 2024, ISSN 2993-5210
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024jh000179

Using a physics-informed neural network and fault zone acoustic monitoring to predict lab earthquakes

Author(s): Prabhav Borate, Jacques Rivière, Chris Marone, Ankur Mali, Daniel Kifer, Parisa Shokouhi
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-39377-6

The role of fabric in frictional properties of phyllosilicate-rich tectonic faults

Author(s): Collettini, C., Tesei, T., Trippetta, F., Scuderi, M. M., Richardson, E., Marone, C., Pozzi, G and C. Viti
Published in: J. of Visualized Exps, Issue JoVE62821R3, 2021, ISSN 1940-087X
Publisher: MYJoVE Corporation
DOI: 10.3791/62821-v

Rheological heterogeneities at the roots of the seismogenic zone

Author(s): G. Volpe, G. Pozzi, M.E. Locchi, E. Tinti, M.M. Scuderi, C. Marone, C. Collettini
Published in: Geology, Issue 51, 2023, Page(s) 988-992, ISSN 0091-7613
Publisher: Geological Society of America
DOI: 10.1130/g51432.1

The Effect of Shear Displacement and Wear on Fault Stability: Laboratory Constraints

Author(s): Corentin Noël, Carolina Giorgetti, Marco M. Scuderi, Cristiano Collettini, Chris Marone
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 128, 2024, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2022jb026191

Geophysical downhole logging analysis within the shallow-depth ICDP STAR drilling project (central Italy)

Author(s): Paola Montone, Simona Pierdominici, M. Teresa Mariucci, Francesco Mirabella, Marco Urbani, Assel Akimbekova, Lauro Chiaraluce, Wade Johnson, Massimiliano Rinaldo Barchi
Published in: Solid Earth, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 1385-1406, ISSN 1869-9529
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/se-15-1385-2024

Foreshock properties illuminate nucleation processes of slow and fast laboratory earthquakes

Author(s): Bolton, David C; Marone, Chris; Saffer, Demian; Trugman, Daniel T
Published in: Nature Communications, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023), Issue 5, 2022, ISSN 1548-7105
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1918972/v1

DASEventNet: AI‐Based Microseismic Detection on Distributed Acoustic Sensing Data From the Utah FORGE Well 16A (78)‐32 Hydraulic Stimulation

Author(s): Pengliang Yu, Tieyuan Zhu, Chris Marone, Derek Elsworth, Mingzhao Yu
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 129, 2025, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024jb029102

The Permeability of Porous Volcanic Rock Through the Brittle‐Ductile Transition

Author(s): Michael J. Heap, Gabriel G. Meyer, Corentin Noël, Fabian B. Wadsworth, Patrick Baud, Marie E. S. Violay
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 127, 2023, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2022jb024600

Frictional and poromechanical properties of the Delaware Mountain Group: Insights into induced seismicity in the Delaware Basin

Author(s): David C. Bolton, Raphael Affinito, Katie Smye, Chris Marone, Peter Hennings
Published in: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Issue 623, 2024, Page(s) 118436, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2023.118436

Frictional Behavior Downdip Along the Subduction Megathrust: Insights From Laboratory Experiments on Exhumed Samples at In Situ Conditions

Author(s): S. A. M. den Hartog; C. Marone; D. M. Saffer
Published in: Crossref, Issue 2, 2023, ISSN 2169-9356
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jb024435

The effect of shear strain and shear localization on fault healing

Author(s): Corentin Noël, Carolina Giorgetti, Cristiano Collettini, Chris Marone
Published in: Geophysical Journal International, Issue 236, 2024, Page(s) 1206-1215, ISSN 0956-540X
Publisher: Geological Society by Blackwell Scientific
DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggad486

Comment on se-2021-136

Author(s): Francesco Pintori, Enrico Serpelloni, and Adriano Gualandi
Published in: EGU, 2025, ISSN 1680-7359
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/se-2021-136-rc1

Relating Hydro‐Mechanical and Elastodynamic Properties of Dynamically Stressed Tensile‐Fractured Rock in Relation to Applied Normal Stress, Fracture Aperture, and Contact Area

Author(s): Clay E. Wood, Prabhakaran Manogharan, Andy Rathbun, Jacques Rivière, Derek Elsworth, Chris Marone, Parisa Shokouhi
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Issue 129, 2024, ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023jb027676

Creep fronts and complexity in laboratory earthquake sequences illuminate delayed earthquake triggering

Author(s): Cebry, S. B. L., Ke, C. Y., Shreedharan, S., Marone, C., Kammer, D. S., and G. C. McLaskey,
Published in: Nat. Comm, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34397-0

Frictional instabilities in clay illuminate the origin of slow earthquakes

Author(s): Giuseppe Volpe, Cristiano Collettini, Jacopo Taddeucci, Chris Marone, Giacomo Pozzi
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 10, 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: Science Magazine
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adn0869

Deep Learning Can Predict Laboratory Quakes From Active Source Seismic Data

Author(s): Parisa Shokouhi, Vrushali Girkar, Jacques Rivière, Srisharan Shreedharan, Chris Marone, C. Lee Giles, Daniel Kifer
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/12, 2021, Page(s) 1-12, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093187

Deciphering aseismic deformation along submarine fault branches below the eastern Sea of Marmara (Turkey): Insights from seismicity, strainmeter, and GNSS data

Author(s): V. Durand; A. Gualandi; S. Ergintav; G. Kwiatek; M. Haghshenas; M. Motagh; G. Dresen; P. Martínez-Garzón
Published in: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Issue 1, 2022, ISSN 0012-821X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117702

Laboratory earthquake forecasting: a machine learning competition

Author(s): Johnson, P.A., Rouet-Leduc, B., Pyrak-Nolte, L.J., Berozac, G.C., Marone, C., Hulbert, C., Howard, A., Singer, P., Gordeev, D., Karaflos, D., Levinsong, C.J., Pfeiffer, P., Puk, K. M, and W. Reade
Published in: Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci, Issue 118, 2021, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011362118

Physics informed neural network can retrieve rate and state friction parameters from acoustic monitoring of laboratory stick-slip experiments

Author(s): Prabhav Borate, Jacques Rivière, Samson Marty, Chris Marone, Daniel Kifer, Parisa Shokouhi
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-75826-y

Thesis and dissertations (1)

Application of AI to seismology and earthquake physics. Investigating propagation path variations and denoising, and paving the way for foundation models

Author(s): LAURENTI, LAURA
Published in: Thesis, Issue 5, 2024
Publisher: Sapienza