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Artificial intelligence for yield estimations at fruit orchards

Project description

Computers to count crops

Crop yield estimation is a central function in fruit production since it determines the part of the crop that is suitable for consumption and commercialisation. Yield estimation, which is crucial for apple production, needs to be reliable, quick and cost-effective. Today, fruit is counted manually by farm workers. Not only does this take a lot of time, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed especially for large yields. The EU-funded AGERPIX project is developing a solution based on artificial intelligence algorithms. It aims to offer reliable and fast predictions while considerably reducing operation and management costs. It provides growers with information on the size and quality of fruits and yield production. It calculates the labour force needed and offers logistical planning.


"Crop yield estimation is an important task in apple orchard management. The current practice of yield estimation is based on manual counting of fruits by workers. It is extremely time-consuming, labour-intensive, highly inaccurate, and it is not practical for large fields. Agerpix provides accurate predictions to help growers improve fruit quality and reduce operating costs by making better decisions on intensity of fruit thinning and plant nutrients and treatments (mid-season), size of the harvest labour force, machinery and materials and logistical planning of storage, packing and cold warehouses, not to mention the development of a commercialization strategy tailored to the expected production, achieving a 50% cost reduction in orchard management operations. Artificial Intelligence algorithms are used to identify, measure diameter ranges, and envision the fruit leafiness and vigour, providing yield estimations over the plant heights and plant health variables.
Several piloting projects for the yield estimation system at top apple producers (Nurfri - #1 Spanish and Blue Whale #1 French among others) have been deployed with +140ha analysed with a precision of 90-95%. AGERPIX system has been adapted to four different apple varieties. After successful validation activities, CODESIAN is developing a customer portfolio worth 38M€ in five years. However, because AGERPIX is offering as a B2B service and because the technology can be easily replicated to other fruits (ongoing validations with table grapes and peach with minor AI/sensor adaptations), a careful scale-up design to strengthen the business plan towards covering global needs fruit markets (apple: 517 M€; table grape: 124 M€; peach: 160M€; tangerine: 299 M€; avocado: 54 M€) is needed. After further data gathering through extensive validations across new fruits, CODESIAN projects +7,9M€ revenues with +4,5M€ EBIT and +60 new jobs created by 2024.


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Net EU contribution
€ 50 000,00

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The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.

Centro (ES) Castilla y León Soria
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Total cost
€ 71 429,00