The main aim of the project is the modeling of Neolithization in the south of Eastern Europe. The activities included the study of modeling methods, actualization of database, systematization of archaeological sources and getting empirical material through the field work, while the second year saw a finalization of chronological research on the selected microregions, systematic studies of ancient buried soils and modeling of the interactions of ancient farmers with past landscapes.
The systematization of archaeological material brought interesting additional results on which papers were published. Systematic dating efforts with an application of AMS radiocarbon dating highlighted some important chronological results: the Azov-Dnieper culture is an eastern contemporary of Linear Pottery Culture, the Early Trypillian expansion took place around 4700 calBC and was a leap-frog type rapid migration, the Late Criş settlements in Moldova ceased to exist by 5400 cal BC. The work on correlation of archaeological and paleoclimatic record was done jointly with the team of pollen analysts from Bern University. The results are promising: indicating dynamics of human impact around the peatbog situated by the Dnieper river mouth, thus, being of paramount importance for understanding Neolithization process in steppe.
The modelling activities included chronological modeling (mostly Bayessian (in OxCal software), paleoclimatic modeling in LandClim software, social networks analysis in UCINET and agent-based model in NetLogo.
The main scientific results of the project are:
1. Chronology of Neolithization and the preceding periods in Ukraine and Moldova was clarified by means of chronological modelling. The early Trypillian expansion was modelled for the first time as well as micro-chronologies were built for three micro-regions of interest: Southern Buh catchment, southern Moldova and the Lower Dnieper. The typo-chronologies were disputed and the event of ‘de-Neolithization’ – demise of LBK farmers was reconstructed in the region of study.
2. Soils of the early farmers and foragers were studied as buried soils on archaeological sites in the three micro-regions mentioned above. They appear to differ drastically from the modern-day soils. The differences between buried soils on the sites of foragers and those on the sites of early farmers highlighted the differences in the landscape utilization by groups with productive and extractive economies respectively.
3. The agricultural colonization of Steppe was shown to be late and punctuated phenomenon with limited chronological duration. The agent-based modeling demonstrated that not a moisture availability was the main limiting factor. These results are supported by deterministic modelling in LandClim software.
Material results of the project include: database, 24 new radiocarbon dates, descriptions of 10 soil profiles, chemical and micromorphological analyses done on 4 soil profiles. The main way of their exploitation is their publication in the scientific peer-reviewed journals, which was partially done, partially is on its way to be done (submitted papers and upcoming monograph).