Economic Policy in Complex Environments

Informations projet

EPOC

N° de convention de subvention: 956107

DOI

10.3030/956107

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 18 Août 2020

Date de début 1 Mars 2021

Date de fin 28 Février 2025

Financé au titre de

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Coût total

€ 3 982 061,52

Contribution de l’UE

€ 3 982 061,52

Coordonné par

UNIVERSITAET BIELEFELD
Germany

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Documents, reports (17)

Training programme completed
Analysis of policies fostering mitigation and low-carbon transitions
Stability of economic systems under decentralised market designs and advanced approaches for expectation formation and individual decision making
Analysis of innovation policy in complex environments
Defenses of theses and awarding of double degrees
Kick-off meeting

Kickoff meeting

Development of agent-based models capturing the interplay of market dynamics and the diffusion of behaviour and lifestyles
Inter-Sectoral Training Measures completed
Computational models of distributed technological search and diffusion of technologies
Advanced models for expectation formation and individual decision making in agent-based models
Research Training Schools completed
Framework for analysis of dynamic high-dimensional and functional data and change point detection
Supervisory Board

Constitution of the Supervisory Board

Network based analysis of emission allocation in value chains
Completed empirical estimation of medium-size and large agent-based models
Analysis of market dynamics with distributed ledger technologies
Secondments completed

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (4)

Policy Maker Meetings completed
Communication of research results (conferences, WPs, journals, social media)
ESR videos completed and online
Finalizing the programme webpage, flyers etc

Finalizing the programme webpage flyers etc

Other (2)

International doctoral workshop
Jamborees and international conference completed

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (21)

A dynamic analysis of criminal networks

Auteurs: Luca Colombo, Paola Labrecciosa, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Publié dans: Journal of Economic Theory, Numéro 223, 2025, Page(s) 105951, ISSN 0022-0531
Éditeur: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105951

Polytope Fraud Theory

Auteurs: Dongshuai Zhao, Zhongli Wang, Florian Schweizer-Gamborino, Didier Sornette
Publié dans: International Review of Financial Analysis, Numéro 97, 2025, Page(s) 103734, ISSN 1057-5219
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103734

Medoid splits for efficient random forests in metric spaces

Auteurs: Matthieu Bulté, Helle Sørensen
Publié dans: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Numéro 198, 2024, Page(s) 107995, ISSN 0167-9473
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2024.107995

Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Auteurs: Peter Ditlevsen, Susanne Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-39810-w

Frequentist Belief Update Under Ambiguous Evidence in Social Networks

Auteurs: Michel Grabisch, Muhammed Alperen Yasar
Publié dans: International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Numéro 172, 2024, Page(s) 109240, ISSN 0888-613X
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4715241

An Agent-Based Model of Cultural Change for a Low-Carbon Transition

Auteurs: Daniel Torren-Peraire, Ivan Savin, Jeroen van den Bergh
Publié dans: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Numéro 27, 2024, ISSN 1460-7425
Éditeur: University of Surrey
DOI: 10.18564/jasss.5291

High-Dimensional Cointegration and Kuramoto Inspired Systems

Auteurs: Jacob Stærk-Østergaard, Anders Rahbek, Susanne Ditlevsen
Publié dans: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Numéro 23, 2024, Page(s) 236-255, ISSN 1536-0040
Éditeur: Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
DOI: 10.1137/22m1509771

Risks on global financial stability induced by climate change: the case of flood risks

Auteurs: Antoine Mandel, Timothy Tiggeloven, Daniel Lincke, Elco Koks, Philip Ward, Jochen Hinkel
Publié dans: Climatic Change, Numéro 166, 2024, ISSN 0165-0009
Éditeur: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03092-2

New evidence on the spread in Catalonia of the invasive longhorn beetle, Xylotrechus chinensis, and the efficacy of abamectin control

Auteurs: Victor Sarto i Monteys, Ivan Savin, Glòria Torras Tutusaus, Mònica Bedós Balsach
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-78265-x

SHARE-ENV: A Data Set to Advance Our Knowledge of the Environment–Wellbeing Relationship

Auteurs: Catarina Midões, Enrica De Cian, Giacomo Pasini, Sara Pesenti, Malcolm N. Mistry
Publié dans: Environment & Health, Numéro 2, 2024, Page(s) 95-104, ISSN 2833-8278
Éditeur: ACS Publications
DOI: 10.1021/envhealth.3c00065

Degree centrality, von Neumann–Morgenstern expected utility and externalities in networks

Auteurs: René van den Brink, Agnieszka Rusinowska
Publié dans: European Journal of Operational Research, Numéro 319, 2024, Page(s) 669-677, ISSN 0377-2217
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.06.042

Strang splitting for parametric inference in second-order stochastic differential equations

Auteurs: Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson, Susanne Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Numéro 187, 2025, Page(s) 104650, ISSN 0304-4149
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104650

Income inequality in the uptake of environmentally friendly products

Auteurs: Martina Maglicic, Vítor V. Vasconcelos
Publié dans: iScience, Numéro 28, 2025, Page(s) 112277, ISSN 2589-0042
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112277

The network structure of global tax evasion evidence from the Panama papers

Auteurs: Garcia Alvarado Fernando, Mandel Antoine
Publié dans: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Numéro 197, 2024, Page(s) 660-684, ISSN 0167-2681
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.03.024

Sentiment-Driven Speculation in Financial Markets with Heterogeneous Beliefs: a Machine Learning approach

Auteurs: Tommaso Di Francesco, Cars Hommes
Publié dans: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2025, Page(s) 105092, ISSN 0165-1889
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105092

The green knowledge space: Climate change mitigation technologies in developing countries

Auteurs: Franziska Tinnefeld, Julia Swart, Elena Fumagalli
Publié dans: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Numéro 55, 2025, Page(s) 100944, ISSN 2210-4224
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2024.100944

Fake News and Asset Price Dynamics

Auteurs: Sarah Mignot, Paolo Pellizzari, Frank Westerhoff
Publié dans: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Numéro 244, 2024, Page(s) 351-379, ISSN 0021-4027
Éditeur: Lucius and Lucius Verlagsgesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2024-0019

Assumption-light and computationally cheap inference on inequality measures by sample splitting: the Student t approach

Auteurs: Catarina Midões, Denis de Crombrugghe
Publié dans: The Journal of Economic Inequality, Numéro 21, 2023, Page(s) 899-924, ISSN 1569-1721
Éditeur: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10888-023-09574-w

The emergence of discrimination due to miscategorization

Auteurs: M. Alperen Yasar
Publié dans: International Journal of Organization Theory & Behavior, 2024, ISSN 1093-4537
Éditeur: Emerald Publishing Limited
DOI: 10.1108/ijotb-08-2023-0168

Fleeting extinction? Unraveling the persistence of noise traders in financial markets with learning and replacement

Auteurs: Luca Gerotto, Paolo Pellizzari, Marco Tolotti
Publié dans: Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 2025, ISSN 0936-9937
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00191-025-00892-y

Parameter estimation in nonlinear multivariate stochastic differential equations based on splitting schemes

Auteurs: Predrag Pilipovic, Adeline Samson, Susanne Ditlevsen
Publié dans: The Annals of Statistics, Numéro 52, 2024, ISSN 0090-5364
Éditeur: Institute of Mathematical Statistics
DOI: 10.1214/24-aos2371

Book chapters (1)

The Equity Premium Puzzle: An Application of an Agent-Based Evolutionary Model

Auteurs: Luca Gerotto, Paolo Pellizzari, Marco Tolotti
Publié dans: Springer Proceedings in Complexity, Advances in Social Simulation, 2023, Page(s) 449-460
Éditeur: Springer Nature Switzerland
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-34920-1_36

Conference proceedings (1)

Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs

Auteurs: Aldo, Glielmo; Favorito, Marco; Chanda, Debmallya; Delli Gatti, Domenico
Publié dans: ICAIF '23: Proceedings of the Fourth ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, Numéro 12, 2023, ISBN 979-8-4007-0240-2
Éditeur: ICAIF
DOI: 10.1145/3604237.3626889