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Inventive forecasting tools for adapting water quality management to a new climate

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Launch of social media presence (Twitter) and website (including blog) (opens in new window)

Launch of social media presence Twitter and website including blog

ESRs blog entry on training activity 3 (opens in new window)

ESRs blog entry on training activity 3 Modelling water quality under global change

ESRs blog entry on training activity 1 (opens in new window)

ESRs blog entry on training activity 1 Welcome retreat

ESRs blog entry on training activity 2 (opens in new window)

ESRs blog entry on training activity 2 Big data for water quality management

Publications

Building trust in large-scale water quality models: 13 alternative strategies beyond validation (opens in new window)

Author(s): Maryna Strokal, Mengru Wang, Ilaria Micella, Annette B. G. Janssen
Published in: Discover Water, Issue 4, 2024, ISSN 2730-647X
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/s43832-024-00149-y

Synergistic Effects of Warming and Internal Nutrient Loading Interfere with the Long-Term Stability of Lake Restoration and Induce Sudden Re-eutrophication (opens in new window)

Author(s): Xiangzhen Kong; Maria Determann; Tobias Kuhlmann Andersen; Carolina Cerqueira Barbosa; Tallent Dadi; Annette B.G. Janssen; Ma. Cristina Paule-Mercado; Diego Guimarães Florencio Pujoni; Martin Schultze; Karsten Rinke
Published in: Water Research, 2022, ISSN 0043-1354
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2022.118721

Can Turbidity Data from Remote Sensing Explain Modelled Spatial and Temporal Sediment Loading Patterns? An Application in the Lake Tana Basin (opens in new window)

Author(s): Albert Nkwasa, Rediet Esayas Getachew, Katoria Lekarkar, Estifanos Addisu Yimer, Analy Baltodano Martínez, Ting Tang, Ann van Griensven
Published in: Environmental Modeling & Assessment, Issue 29, 2024, Page(s) 871-882, ISSN 1420-2026
Publisher: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10666-024-09972-y

A lightweight deepwater oxygen model for investigating lake responses to future climate (opens in new window)

Author(s): Mahtab Yaghouti, Ana I. Ayala, Jorrit P. Mesman, Don C. Pierson, Tom Shatwell, Lipa G.T. Nkwalale, Karsten Rinke, Haoran Shi, Eleanor Jennings, Peter Hunter, R. Iestyn Woolway, Ian D. Jones
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, Issue 200, 2026, Page(s) 106941, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106941

Bridging the gap: a new module for human water use in the Community Earth System Model version 2.2.1 (opens in new window)

Author(s): Sabin I. Taranu, David M. Lawrence, Yoshihide Wada, Ting Tang, Erik Kluzek, Sam Rabin, Yi Yao, Steven J. De Hertog, Inne Vanderkelen, Wim Thiery
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2024, Page(s) 7365-7399, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-7365-2024

Integrated models of nutrient dynamics in lake and reservoir watersheds: A systematic review and integrated modelling decision pathway (opens in new window)

Author(s): Floran Clopin, Ilaria Micella, Jorrit P. Mesman, Ma Cristina Paule-Mercado, Marina Amadori, Shuqi Lin, Lisette N. de Senerpont Domis, Jeroen J.M. de Klein
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, Issue 185, 2025, Page(s) 106321, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106321

Challenges of open data in aquatic sciences: issues faced by data users and data providers (opens in new window)

Author(s): Jorrit P. Mesman, Carolina C. Barbosa, Abigail S. L. Lewis, Freya Olsson, Stacy Calhoun-Grosch, Hans-Peter Grossart, Robert Ladwig, R. Sofia La Fuente, Karla Münzner, Lipa G. T. Nkwalale, Rachel M. Pilla, Keerthana Suresh, Danielle J. Wain
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1497105

Synergistic Effects of Warming and Internal Nutrient Loading Interfere with the Long-Term Stability of Lake Restoration and Induce Sudden Re-eutrophication (opens in new window)

Author(s): Xiangzhen Kong; Maria Determann; Tobias Kuhlmann Andersen; Carolina Cerqueira Barbosa; Tallent Dadi; Annette B.G. Janssen; Ma. Cristina Paule-Mercado; Diego Guimarães Florencio Pujoni; Martin Schultze; Karsten Rinke
Published in: Environmental Science and Technology, Issue 57, 2023, Page(s) 9, ISSN 1520-5851
Publisher: ACSPublications
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c07181

Near‐term lake water temperature forecasts can be used to anticipate the ecological dynamics of freshwater species (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ricardo Paíz, R. Quinn Thomas, Cayelan C. Carey, Elvira de Eyto, Ian D. Jones, Austin D. Delany, Russell Poole, Pat Nixon, Mary Dillane, Valerie McCarthy, Suzanne Linnane, Eleanor Jennings
Published in: Ecosphere, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2150-8925
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.70335

Contributions of stakeholder perspectives and biophysical mapping to assess ecosystem services in the Upper White Nile basin (opens in new window)

Author(s): Annika Schlemm, Mark Mulligan, Afnan Agramont, Benjamin Ssekamuli, Callist Tindimugaya, Godfrey Ogonda, Ann van Griensven
Published in: Ecosystem Services, Issue 71, 2025, Page(s) 101688, ISSN 2212-0416
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101688

Temperatures and hypolimnetic oxygen in German lakes: Observations, future trends and adaptation potential (opens in new window)

Author(s): Robert Schwefel, Lipa G. T. Nkwalale, Sylvia Jordan, Karsten Rinke, Michael Hupfer
Published in: Ambio, Issue 54, 2025, Page(s) 428-447, ISSN 0044-7447
Publisher: Kungliga Vetenskapsakademien/Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-024-02046-z

Accounting for model parameter uncertainty provides more robust projections of dissolved organic carbon dynamics to aid drinking water management (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ricardo Paíz, Donald C. Pierson, Klara Lindqvist, Pamela S. Naden, Elvira de Eyto, Mary Dillane, Valerie McCarthy, Suzanne Linnane, Eleanor Jennings
Published in: Water Research, Issue 276, 2025, Page(s) 123238, ISSN 0043-1354
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2025.123238

Future river exports of nutrients, plastics, and chemicals worldwide under climate-driven hydrological changes (opens in new window)

Author(s): Mirjam P Bak, Ilaria Micella, Edward R Jones, Rohini Kumar, Albert Nkwasa, Ting Tang, Michelle T H van Vliet, Mengru Wang, Maryna Strokal
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 20, 2025, Page(s) 094033, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adf860

Developing meaningful water-energy-food-environment (WEFE) nexus indicators with stakeholders: An Upper White Nile case study (opens in new window)

Author(s): Annika Schlemm, Mark Mulligan, Ting Tang, Afnan Agramont, Jean Namugize, Enos Malambala, Ann van Griensven
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 931, 2024, Page(s) 172839, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172839

Perspectives on total phosphorus response in rivers: Examining the influence of rainfall extremes and post-dry rainfall (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ammanuel B. Tilahun, Hans H. Dürr, Katrin Schweden, Martina Flörke
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 940, 2024, Page(s) 173677, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173677

A multi-model assessment of global freshwater temperature and thermoelectric power supply under climate change (opens in new window)

Author(s): Edward R Jones, Rens van Beek, Gabriel Cárdenas Belleza, Peter Burek, Stephen J Dugdale, Martina Flörke, Dor Fridman, Simon N Gosling, Rohini Kumar, Daniel Mercado-Bettin, Hannes Müller Schmied, Zeli Tan, Wim Thiery, Ammanuel B Tilahun, Niko Wanders, Michelle T H van Vliet
Published in: Environmental Research: Water, Issue 1, 2025, Page(s) 025002, ISSN 3033-4942
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/3033-4942/addffa

Causes of coastal waters pollution with nutrients, chemicals and plastics worldwide (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ilaria, Micella; Carolien, Kroeze; Mirjam P, Bak; Maryna, Strokal
Published in: Marine Pollution Bulletin, Issue 198, 2024, Page(s) 115902, ISSN 1879-3363
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115902

Future trajectories of total phosphorus loadings to the world’s major lakes: a perspective on sustainability and intensified development (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ammanuel B Tilahun, Hans H Dürr, Ellen Kynast, Maryna Strokal, Martina Flörke
Published in: Environmental Research: Water, Issue 1, 2025, Page(s) 025003, ISSN 3033-4942
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/3033-4942/adead8

High-frequency monitoring enables operational opportunities to reduce the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) load in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir (opens in new window)

Author(s): Qing Zhan, Xiangzhen Kong & Karsten Rinke
Published in: Inland Waters, 2021, ISSN 2044-2041
Publisher: Freshwater Biological Association
DOI: 10.1080/20442041.2021.1987796

Modeling carbon burial along the land to ocean aquatic continuum: Current status, challenges and perspectives (opens in new window)

Author(s): Daniela Henry, Núria Catalán, Biel Obrador, Rafael Marcé
Published in: Earth-Science Reviews, Issue 253, 2024, Page(s) 104791, ISSN 0012-8252
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104791

A simple model for predicting oxygen depletion in lakes under climate change (opens in new window)

Author(s): Lipa Nkwalale, Robert Schwefel, Mahtab Yaghouti, Karsten Rinke
Published in: Inland Waters, Issue 13, 2024, Page(s) 576-595, ISSN 2044-2041
Publisher: Freshwater Biological Association
DOI: 10.1080/20442041.2024.2306113

Future Scenarios for River Exports of Multiple Pollutants by Sources and Sub‐Basins Worldwide: Rising Pollution for the Indian Ocean (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ilaria Micella, Carolien Kroeze, Mirjam P. Bak, Ting Tang, Yoshihide Wada, Maryna Strokal
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004712

Historical climate impact attribution of changes in river flow and sediment loads at selected gauging stations in the Nile basin (opens in new window)

Author(s): Albert Nkwasa, Celray James Chawanda, Annika Schlemm, Job Ekolu, Katja Frieler, Ann van Griensven
Published in: Climatic Change, Issue 177, 2024, ISSN 0165-0009
Publisher: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03702-9

Global warming is projected to lead to increased freshwater growth potential and changes in pace of life in Atlantic salmon <scp><i>Salmo salar</i></scp> (opens in new window)

Author(s): Adrian Rinaldo, Elvira de Eyto, Thomas Reed, Karl Øystein Gjelland, Philip McGinnity
Published in: Journal of Fish Biology, Issue 104, 2024, Page(s) 647-661, ISSN 0022-1112
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/jfb.15603

How a reservoir modulates downstream water quality under declining upstream loading and progressing climate change (opens in new window)

Author(s): Faluku Nakulopa, Ilona Bärlund, Dietrich Borchardt
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 912, 2025, Page(s) 169460, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169460

Disinfection by-product formation potential in response to variability in dissolved organic matter and nutrient inputs: Insights from a mesocosm study (opens in new window)

Author(s): Angela Pedregal-Montes, Eleanor Jennings, Dolly Kothawala, Kevin Jones, Johanna Sjöstedt, Silke Langenheder, Rafael Marcé, Maria José Farré
Published in: Water Research, Issue 258, 2024, Page(s) 121791, ISSN 0043-1354
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2024.121791

Climate warming effects in stratified reservoirs: Thorough assessment for opportunities and limits of machine learning techniques versus process-based models in thermal structure projections (opens in new window)

Author(s): Chenxi Mi, Ammanuel B. Tilahun, Martina Flörke, Hans H. Dürr, Karsten Rinke
Published in: Journal of Cleaner Production, Issue 454, 2024, Page(s) 142347, ISSN 0959-6526
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142347

Mechanisms behind large-scale inconsistencies between regional and global climate model-based projections over Europe (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ioan Sabin Taranu, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, Julien Boé, Christine Delire
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 60, 2023, Page(s) 3813-3838, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06540-6

Integrating ecosystem services into the water-energy-food-environment (WEFE) nexus for informed conservation strategies and planning in the Upper White Nile basin (opens in new window)

Author(s): Annika Schlemm, Mark Mulligan, Afnan Agramont, Charles Brown, Jean Namugize, Ann van Griensven
Published in: Environmental Development, Issue 56, 2025, Page(s) 101272, ISSN 2211-4645
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envdev.2025.101272

Assessing eutrophication indicators in lake basins for water quality management

Author(s): Suresh, K.; Tang, T.; van Vliet, M.T.H.; Bierkens, M.F.P.; Strokal, M.; Wada, Y.
Published in: 2023
Publisher: GLEON

Recent advancement in water quality indicators for eutrophication in global freshwater lakes (opens in new window)

Author(s): Keerthana Suresh; Ting Tang; Michelle T H van Vliet; Marc F P Bierkens; Maryna Strokal; Florian Sorger-Domenigg; Yoshihide Wada
Published in: EGU General Assembly 2023, Issue 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9318
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7565

Comprehensive indicators for eutrophication in lakes

Author(s): Suresh, K.; Tang, T.; van Vliet, M.T.H.; Bierkens, M.F.P.; Strokal, M.; Sorger-Domenigg, F.; Wada, Y.
Published in: NAC 2023, Issue 1, 2023, Page(s) 23-24
Publisher: NAC

Fresh ideas on modeling water demand and allocation in Global Hydrological Models (opens in new window)

Author(s): Sabin Taranu
Published in: 2025
Publisher: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.31223/x5nh8h

Harmonizing past and future global sectoral water use data (opens in new window)

Author(s): Sabin Taranu, Inne Vanderkelen, Yoshihide Wada, Ting Tang, Steven Eisenreich, Ann Van Griensven
Published in: 2025
Publisher: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.31223/x5td9d

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