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Content archived on 2024-05-14

Annual to decadal variability in climate in Europe

Objective


To enhance and analyse climatic data for instrumental and early instrumental period in Europe.


The main focus will be on the combination of the early instrumental period (EIP: 1780 to 1860) and the more
recent instrumental period from 1860 and the analyses of circulation patterns in these two periods and over the
full 215 years from 1780 to present.
Monthly climatic charts for the early decades of the EIP reconstructed from documentary information will be
compared with charts from instrumental data, and using also tree ring data. For selected 'anomalous' periods
in the EIP daily synoptic maps will be reconstructed, and with this methodology reconstructions of climate on
monthly basis and on (1-5) daily basis will be done for the Late Maunder Minimum (1675 to 1715).
The basic dataset for the climatic reconstructions will be reconstructed monthly mean sea level pressure maps,
and the existing datasets will be extended to cover a wider area, by incorporating previously unused surface
pressure observations from the periphery of the European area: Iceland, Iberia, Italy, the Balkans and the near
East. The European-wide circulation patterns will be classified on monthly basis for the LMM and the EIP,
and compared with the modern climatology.
Periods of strongly anomalous circulation will be identified, and European-wide temperature and precipitation
distributions reconstructed, in order to examine the temporal behaviour between circulation and surface variables
and extreme events. A number of periods will be chosen for analysis at the daily level.
Modelling studies will be performed with the ARPEGE/IFS model. These studies will use the longest available
records of observed SST and and sea-ice data as boundary conditions, with a specific focus on the Icelandic
sea-ice conditions. The model will be used to model climate during the EIP and the LMM, and comparisons
will be done with the reconstructed data.

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Funding Scheme

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CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA
EU contribution
No data
Total cost

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No data

Participants (8)

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