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A spatial modelling tool for integrated environmental decision-making

Objectif



This project aims to:

1. Review existing scientific knowledge, models, and databases which have or will become available from recent 'EC Environment Programme' projects in the Northern Mediterranean region.
2. Integrate the models and embed them in a spatial Decision Support System meant for integrated environmental policy making in the fields of Land Degradation, Desertification and Sustainable Water Management. This integration will result in a new powerful instrument, but it will add value to each of the constituting models equally well.
3. Involve, from the start and for the duration of the exercise, potential end-users from local planning and decision-making authorities in this process, to explore the wider range of issues that preoccupy the end users, and to include in the models policy indicators and variables that are considered relevant by the end users in their practical policy work.
4. Carry out end-user based trials of the Decision Support System and its models in the Argolid (Greece), and Marina Baja (Spain) regions in association with the local policy makers and other end-users, and with researchers working in these regions for different EU Environment programmes.
5. Deliver a decision tool which can be readily applied for
socio-environmental policy exercises in the case regions.
This tool pemits the user to access spatial, complex and state of the art knowledge about his region, and supports the design and evaluation of policy options in a novel and very user friendly manner.

The work involves three main steps:

1.The common elements of existing models which include aspects of the complex processes involved, need to be assessed. This activity will focus on:
- Reviewing the common elements of models developed under the recent EU Environment and Climate programmes for:

1. the estimation of runoff, sediment yield and aquifer recharge from hillslopes (including MEDALUS, EFEDA, MEDRUSH, EUROSEM, ERMES, and EROD for example);

2. the study of changing natural vegetation cover (ModMED, PATTERN);
3. the understanding of socio-economic land use changes (ARCHAEOMEDES). - Reviewing the models with a view to:

4. clarify modelling strategies as well as intentions and assumptions of models (Paradigm mapping);

5. compare the technical features of models, as the basis for integrative potential.

2. The best of the various models will be considered with a view to implementing them in the existing GriDSS Decision Support System, and ways will be identified to:

- better integrate and visualize the research results and models obtained so far,
- better link dynamic models of socio-economic and natural systems to existing and new GIS information;
- better integrate models that operate at different temporal and spatial scales;
- better exploit the research material in practical policy making; - run the models with the aim of exploring and evaluating possible management alternatives in terms of their level of effectiveness on the path towards sustainability.

3. To formally integrate the selected models within the GRIDSS Decision Support System. This will enable to work with integrated, dynamic (simulation) models linked to realistically represent the many coupled processes, both human and natural, all acting upon the system at different spatial and temporal scales.
It will be made flexible and adaptable in nature, in order for it to be applicable in different situations and in different locations prone to or subject to land degradation and desertification.

4. After implementation of the models for both regions, the prototypes will be applied, tested and evaluated on actual policy problems in collaboration with the end-users.

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Coordinateur

RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR KNOWLEDGE SYSTEMS
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6,Papenstraat 8
6200 AL MAASTRICHT
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