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Content archived on 2024-04-19

Theoretical research in earthquake prediction and identification of zones of high seismic potential

Objective

To undertake theoretical research in the long-to-short term
prediction of earthquakes, in both deterministic and
probabilistic conceptions, with regard to place, size and time of
strong earthquakes, and to contribute to seismic hazard
reduction. To identify possible zones of seismic potential for
future large earthquakes using historical and modern data and to
study the sociological response to earthquake occurrence.


Analysis of mathematical models and the simulation of earthquake
occurrence with stochastic processes and statistical methods.
Relevance of dynamics and seismicity features for prediction,
analysis of specific maps, and possible criteria for space and
time predictions from short to long term approaches. Specific
methodologies for the complex tectonic setting and diffuse
seismicity in and around EC countries (Greece, Italy, Portugal,
Azores-Gibraltar, Mediterranean and Adriatic Seas) will be
developed.

Updating and revisions of earthquake database and extraction of
historical and recent information for prediction of space time
and magnitude with the interpretation of tectonics of the areas.
Study of rupture process of larger earthquakes, moment rates,
seismic activity rates and b- values will be made. Critical
aspects and limitations of our actual knowledge about earthquake
prediction will be analyzed. Preparation of maps of seismicity
and seismic gaps for possible large earthquakes in the future
will be attempted.

The collective behaviour of people and memory of past events, and
the sociological response to earthquake occurrence, particularly
of destructive earthquakes, will provide new information for
earthquake countermeasures.

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Call for proposal

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Funding Scheme

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CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

JOHANN WOLFGANG GOETHE UNIVERSITAET FRANKFURT
EU contribution
No data
Address
Georg-Voigt-Strasse 14
60325 FRANKFURT AM-MAIN
Germany

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Total cost

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No data

Participants (6)

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