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Innovative techniques for forecasting volcanic eruptions

Objective

Active volcanoes provide agricultural, residential and tourist benefits to the EU, but are also an ever-present threat to vulnerable populations. Project VOLCALERT aims to develop practical techniques for forecasting volcanic eruptions and for effectively communicating these forecasts to groups coordinating emergency responses. Field data, laboratory studies and theoretical models will be used to investigate the roles of magma pressure and edifice fracture on controlling short-term eruption precursors. Statistical methods will be developed for selecting the optimum precursor for forecasting, and for quantifying forecast uncertainties. The results will be combined with risk-perception analyses among decision makers to design best-practice guidelines for making and issuing objective, short-term eruption forecasts.

Funding Scheme

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON
Address
Gower Street 5
WC1E 6HA London
United Kingdom

Participants (3)

OSSERVATORIO VESUVIANO
Italy
Address
Via Alessandro Manzoni 249
80123 Napoli
UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH
United Kingdom
Address
West Mains Road Kings Buildings
EH9 3JW Edinburgh
UNIVERSITY OF HAMBURG
Germany
Address
Bundesstrasse 55
20146 Hamburg