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European Road Mobility Scenarios

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The potential for mobility and local freight services was evaluated against three future scenarios. The results of the data analysis, the scenarios process, and mobility service assessment all provide valuable insight. The project achieved its objectives by exploring the commonalties and differences in conurbation development, social and economic conditions, and the potential policy decisions that could lead to the market conditions for future mobility services.RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS Learning from scenariosThe scenarios have been detailed for the cities within the regarded conurbations.The results do not automatically cover the effects for the whole conurbation.Specially when having 'pressure' on the transportation subject within the city (e.g. strong traffic demand, scenario B) it must be remarked that the region outside the city, still a part of the overall conurbation, is independent of the city administration. The counties can react contradictory to the city.Transport policy must be regarded as an integrated subject covering the whole conurbation. The main city and the counties within the conurbation must work to achieve common goals, otherwise the regions within a conurbation are under competition. Concerning passenger servicesThe new services, which can be necessary in each of the regarded conurbations, are new forms of public transport enlarging the range of the traditional public transport service. These new forms need regulations and financial funds. To offer new on-demand services means to offer services between taxi and transit. Neither the regulatory nor the financial environment allow for a private entrepreneur to step into this business.On-demand services can be seen as a type of collective taxi, a form of public transport, widely spread over the world and very efficient. But it is not possible to offer such a service in Europe due to the competition with existing public transport and taxi services.The new transport /mobility services are close to the field of public transport.If these new forms are to succeed, the same financial funds must be available for those services as for the existing traditional public transport. In this context, additional operational, administrative and economic research is recommended. Concerning delivery services. Presently there is no scheme of modern city logistics implemented which could serve as "best case" or "good practice" for other cities. Nevertheless, the following can be recommended:- The main effect of improved city logistics is achieved through bundling transport activities. This presupposes that the actors are willing to co-operate. - A pure change of vehicle and communication technology will not solve existing problems. Technology change has to be embedded in a change of organization. - Coupled with town development policy, an integrated freight transport system can contribute to increase the attractiveness of central areas and foster economic competitiveness.Public/private partnerships are in general the means to stimulate a better co-ordination. The state is needed to provide the necessary institutions, to monitor the scheme and to promote the development by subsidisation in the first phase.

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