Earth system models for the future

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Report on the improved representation of ocean—ice-sheet interactions in climate models
Report on the preliminary technical implementation of the coupling with dynamical ice sheet models in UKESM and IPSL-ESM

D8.1 Report on the preliminary technical implementation of the coupling with dynamical ice sheet models in UKESM and IPSL-ESM [UREAD, CNRS-IGE, DLR] (M24)

Report on the preliminary implementation and testing technical coupling of nitrogen cycle modules in ESMs

D6.1 Report on the preliminary implementation and testing technical coupling of nitrogen cycle modules in ESMs [UiB, Met Norway, MPG-MPI-M, ULB, MET OFFICE] (M24)

Intermediate report on initial policy engagement and dialogue with national and local decision makers
Intermediate report on initial policy engagement and dialogue with EU and international stakeholders to deliver science support for implementing the Paris Agreement
Technical report on the implementation of a coupled methane cycle in project ESMs

D4.1 Report on the preliminary implementation and testing of the technical coupling of CH4 in ESMs [MetNo, MET OFFICE, MF-CNRM, MPG-MPI-M/C, DLR, SMHI] (M24)

Intermediate Data management plan
Data management plan

Intermediate Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of results (PEDR) & communication strategy plan
Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of results (PEDR) & communication strategy plan

First session of the Climate education summer university

First session of the Climate education summer university (program and attendance list)

Alpha version of OS-MAGICC, reproducing current scientific configuration with restructured codebase

D11.1 Alpha version of OS-MAGICC, reproducing current scientific configuration with restructured codebase [M18, IIASA and UoM]

Publications

A machine learning approach targeting parameter estimation for plant functional type coexistence modeling using ELM-FATES (v2.0)

Auteurs: Lingcheng Li, Yilin Fang, Zhonghua Zheng, Mingjie Shi, Marcos Longo, Charles D. Koven, Jennifer A. Holm, Rosie A. Fisher, Nate G. McDowell, Jeffrey Chambers, L. Ruby Leung
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 16, 2023, Page(s) 4017-4040, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4017-2023

Uncertain effectiveness of Miscanthus bioenergy expansion for climate change mitigation explored using land surface, agronomic and integrated assessment models

Auteurs: Littleton, Emma W.; Shepherd, Anita; Harper, Anna B.; Hastings, Astley F.S.; Vaughan, Naomi E.; Doelman, Jonathan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Publié dans: GCB Bioenergy, 15, 303– 318, 2023, ISSN 1757-1693
Éditeur: Wiley-VCH Verlag
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12982

Future land carbon removals in China consistent with national inventory

Auteurs: Yue He, Shilong Piao, Philippe Ciais, Hao Xu, Thomas Gasser
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54846-2

Mismatch of N release from the permafrost and vegetative uptake opens pathways of increasing nitrous oxide emissions in the high Arctic

Auteurs: Fabrice Lacroix; Sönke Zaehle; Silvia Caldararu; Jörg Schaller; Peter Stimmler; David Holl; Lars Kutzbach; Mathias Göckede
Publié dans: Global Change Biology, Volume 28, Numéro 20, 5973– 5990, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16345

Harmonising the land-use flux estimates of global models and national inventories for 2000–2020

Auteurs: Giacomo Grassi, Clemens Schwingshackl, Thomas Gasser, Richard A. Houghton, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Alessandro Cescatti, Philippe Ciais, Sandro Federici, Pierre Friedlingstein, Werner A. Kurz, Maria J. Sanz Sanchez, Raúl Abad Viñas, Ramdane Alkama, Selma Bultan, Guido Ceccherini, Stefanie Falk, Etsushi Kato, Daniel Kennedy, Jürgen Knauer, Anu Korosuo, Joana Melo, Matthew J. McGrath, Ju
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, Numéro 15, 2025, Page(s) 1093-1114, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-1093-2023

Global agricultural ammonia emissions simulated with the ORCHIDEE land surface model

Auteurs: Beaudor, M., Vuichard, N., Lathière, J., Evangeliou, N., Van Damme, M., Clarisse, L., and Hauglustaine, D.
Publié dans: Geoscientific model development, 16, 1053–1081, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-1053-2023

Seamless Integration of the Coastal Ocean in Global Marine Carbon Cycle Modeling

Auteurs: M. Mathis, K. Logemann, J. Maerz, F. Lacroix, S. Hagemann, F. Chegini, L. Ramme, T. Ilyina, P. Korn, C. Schrum
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2021MS002789, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002789

A Synthesis of Global Coastal Ocean Greenhouse Gas Fluxes

Auteurs: L. Resplandy, A. Hogikyan, J. D. Müller, R. G. Najjar, H. W. Bange, D. Bianchi, T. Weber, W.‐J. Cai, S. C. Doney, K. Fennel, M. Gehlen, J. Hauck, F. Lacroix, P. Landschützer, C. Le Quéré, A. Roobaert, J. Schwinger, S. Berthet, L. Bopp, T. T. T. Chau, M. Dai, N. Gruber, T. Ilyina, A. Kock, M. Manizza, Z. Lachkar, G. G. Laruelle, E. Liao, I. D. Lima, C. Nissen, C. Rödenbeck, R. Séférian, K.
Publié dans: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numéro 38, 2024, ISSN 0886-6236
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gb007803

Carbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized simulation and a scenario simulation of negative emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models

Auteurs: Ali Asaadi, Jörg Schwinger, Hanna Lee, Jerry Tjiputra, Vivek Arora, Roland Séférian, Spencer Liddicoat, Tomohiro Hajima, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Chris D. Jones
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Numéro 21, 2024, Page(s) 411-435, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-411-2024

Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy

Auteurs: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 15, 2024, Page(s) 307-322, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-307-2024

Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks

Auteurs: Matthew J. Gidden, Thomas Gasser, Giacomo Grassi, Nicklas Forsell, Iris Janssens, William F. Lamb, Jan Minx, Zebedee Nicholls, Jan Steinhauser, Keywan Riahi
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 624, 2024, Page(s) 102-108, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y

Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?

Auteurs: Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, Philippe Peylin
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 15, 2025, Page(s) 1227-1253, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024

Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: the role of atmospheric forcing

Auteurs: Lucas Hardouin, Christine Delire, Bertrand Decharme, David M Lawrence, Julia E M S Nabel, Victor Brovkin, Nathan Collier, Rosie Fisher, Forrest M Hoffman, Charles D Koven, Roland Séférian, Tobias Stacke
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac888d

Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models

Auteurs: Josué Bock; Martine Michou; Pierre Nabat; Manabu Abe; Jane Mulcahy; Dirk Jan Leo Oliviè; Jörg Schwinger; Parvadha Suntharalingam; Jerry Tjiputra; Marco van Hulten; Michio Watanabe; Andrew Yool; Roland Séférian
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 2021, 18 (12), pp.3823-3860, 2021, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-3823-2021

Thawing Permafrost as a Nitrogen Fertiliser: Implications for Climate Feedbacks

Auteurs: Burke, E.; Chadburn, S.; Huntingford, C. Thawing
Publié dans: Nitrogen 2022, 3, 353-375, 2022, ISSN 2504-3129
Éditeur: Basel: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/nitrogen3020023

Nutrient Dynamics in a Coupled Terrestrial Biosphere and Land Model (ELM‐FATES‐CNP)

Auteurs: Ryan G. Knox, Charles D. Koven, William J. Riley, Anthony P. Walker, S. Joseph Wright, Jennifer A. Holm, Xinyuan Wei, Rosie A. Fisher, Qing Zhu, Jinyun Tang, Daniel M. Ricciuto, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Xiaojuan Yang, Lara M. Kueppers, Jeffrey Q. Chambers
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003689

A framework to evaluate and elucidate the driving mechanisms of coastal sea surface pCO2 seasonality using an ocean general circulation model (MOM6-COBALT)

Auteurs: Roobaert, A., Resplandy, L., Laruelle, G. G., Liao, E., and Regnier, P.
Publié dans: Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144, 2022, ISSN 1812-0792
Éditeur: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/os-18-67-2022

Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario

Auteurs: Vaittinada Ayar, P., Bopp, L., Christian, J. R., Ilyina, T., Krasting, J. P., Séférian, R., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yool, A., and Tjiputra, J.
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamic, 13, 1097–1118, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022

Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry

Auteurs: Wolfgang Alexander Obermeier, Clemens Schwingshackl, Ana Bastos, Giulia Conchedda, Thomas Gasser, Giacomo Grassi, Richard A. Houghton, Francesco Nicola Tubiello, Stephen Sitch, Julia Pongratz
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, Numéro 16, 2025, Page(s) 605-645, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024

Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming

Auteurs: Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Pierre Friedlingstein, Chris D. Jones, Nina Raoult, Joeri Rogelj, Rebecca M. Varney
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46137-7

Radiative and climate effects of aerosol scattering in long-wave radiation based on global climate modelling

Auteurs: Thomas Drugé, Pierre Nabat, Martine Michou, Marc Mallet
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numéro 25, 2025, Page(s) 11651-11671, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-11651-2025

Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model

Auteurs: Minna Ma, Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Philippe Ciais, Pierre Regnier
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 16, 2025, Page(s) 841-867, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-16-841-2025

Assessing model predictions of carbon dynamics in global drylands

Auteurs: Dominic Fawcett; Andrew M. Cunliffe; Stephen Sitch; Michael O’Sullivan; Karen Anderson; Richard E. Brazier; Timothy C. Hill; Peter Anthoni; Almut Arneth; Vivek K. Arora; Peter R. Briggs; Daniel S. Goll; Atul K. Jain; Xiaojun Li; Danica Lombardozzi; Julia E. M. S. Nabel; Benjamin Poulter; Roland Séférian; Hanqin Tian; Nicolas Viovy; Jean-Pierre Wigneron; Andy Wiltshire; Soenke Zaehle
Publié dans: Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2022, 10, pp.790200, 2022, ISSN 2296-665X
Éditeur: Frontiers Media S.A.
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.790200

Synthesizing global carbon–nitrogen coupling effects – the MAGICC coupled carbon–nitrogen cycle model v1.0

Auteurs: Gang Tang, Zebedee Nicholls, Alexander Norton, Sönke Zaehle, Malte Meinshausen
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, Page(s) 2193-2230, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-2193-2025

Advanced climate model evaluation with ESMValTool v2.11.0 using parallel, out-of-core, and distributed computing

Auteurs: Manuel Schlund, Bouwe Andela, Jörg Benke, Ruth Comer, Birgit Hassler, Emma Hogan, Peter Kalverla, Axel Lauer, Bill Little, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Francesco Nattino, Patrick Peglar, Valeriu Predoi, Stef Smeets, Stephen Worsley, Martin Yeo, Klaus Zimmermann
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, Page(s) 4009-4021, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-4009-2025

Representation of the terrestrial carbon cycle in CMIP6

Auteurs: Bettina K. Gier, Manuel Schlund, Pierre Friedlingstein, Chris D. Jones, Colin Jones, Sönke Zaehle, Veronika Eyring
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Numéro 21, 2024, Page(s) 5321-5360, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-5321-2024

Drivers of persistent changes in the global methane cycle under aggressive mitigation action

Auteurs: Gerd A. Folberth, Chris D. Jones, Fiona M. O’Connor, Nicola Gedney, Paul T. Griffiths, Andy J. Wiltshire
Publié dans: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numéro 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00867-z

Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

Auteurs: David M. Nielsen, Fatemeh Chegini, Joeran Maerz, Sebastian Brune, Moritz Mathis, Mikhail Dobrynin, Johanna Baehr, Victor Brovkin, Tatiana Ilyina
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 14, 2024, Page(s) 968-975, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02074-3

Climate change impacts the vertical structure of marine ecosystem thermal ranges

Auteurs: Yeray Santana-Falcón, Roland Séférian
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, 2022, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01476-5

Why methane matters

Auteurs: Fiona M. O’Connor
Publié dans: Frontiers in Science, Numéro 2, 2025, ISSN 2813-6330
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2024.1462198

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Auteurs: Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Anthoni, P., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Bopp, L., Chau, T. T. T., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Currie, K. I., Decharme, B., Djeutchouang, L. M., Dou, X., E
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, 14, 1917–2005, 2022, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures

Auteurs: Jarmo S. Kikstra, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jared Lewis, Robin D. Lamboll, Edward Byers, Marit Sandstad, Malte Meinshausen, Matthew J. Gidden, Joeri Rogelj, Elmar Kriegler, Glen P. Peters, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Bjørn H. Samset, Laura Wienpahl, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Piers M. Forster, Andy Reisinger, Roberto Schaeffer,
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development volume 15 issue 24 on pages 9075 to 9109, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022

Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario

Auteurs: Pierre Mathiot, Nicolas C. Jourdain
Publié dans: Ocean Science, Numéro 19, 2024, Page(s) 1595-1615, ISSN 1812-0792
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-1595-2023

Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks

Auteurs: C. Burgard, N. C. Jourdain, P. Mathiot, R. S. Smith, R. Schäfer, J. Caillet, T. S. Finn, J. E. Johnson
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numéro 15, 2024, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003829

Projected Climate‐Driven Changes of Water Table Depth in the World's Major Groundwater Basins

Auteurs: Maya Costantini, Jeanne Colin, Bertrand Decharme
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 11, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef003068

Evaluation of native Earth system model output with ESMValTool v2.6.0

Auteurs: Schlund, M., Hassler, B., Lauer, A., Andela, B., Jöckel, P., Kazeroni, R., Loosveldt Tomas, S., Medeiros, B., Predoi, V., Sénési, S., Servonnat, J., Stacke, T., Vegas-Regidor, J., Zimmermann, K., and Eyring, V.
Publié dans: Geoscientific model development, 16, 315–333, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-315-2023

Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios

Auteurs: Koven, C. D., Arora, V. K., Cadule, P., Fisher, R. A., Jones, C. D., Lawrence, D. M., Lewis, J., Lindsay, K., Mathesius, S., Meinshausen, M., Mills, M., Nicholls, Z., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Swart, N. C., Wieder, W. R., and Zickfeld, K.
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 885–909, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-885-2022

Effects of extreme meteorological conditions in 2018 on European methane emissions estimated using atmospheric inversions

Auteurs: R. L. Thompson, C. D. Groot Zwaaftink, D. Brunner, A. Tsuruta, T. Aalto, M. Raivonen, M. Crippa, E. Solazzo, D. Guizzardi, P. Regnier and M. Maisonnier
Publié dans: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering SciencesVolume 380, Numéro 221, 2021, ISSN 1364-503X
Éditeur: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0443

Stratospheric ozone response to sulfate aerosol and solar dimming climate interventions based on the G6 Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) simulations

Auteurs: Tilmes, S., Visioni, D., Jones, A., Haywood, J., Séférian, R., Nabat, P., Boucher, O., Bednarz, E. M., and Niemeier, U.
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22, 4557–4579, 2022, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-4557-2022

Detecting climate milestones on the path to climate stabilization

Auteurs: Andrew H MacDougall, Joeri Rogelj, Chris D Jones, Spencer K Liddicoat, Giacomo Grassi
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 19, 2024, Page(s) 074065, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5ab1

National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

Auteurs: Matthew W. Jones, Glen P. Peters, Thomas Gasser, Robbie M. Andrew, Clemens Schwingshackl, Johannes Gütschow, Richard A. Houghton, Pierre Friedlingstein, Julia Pongratz, Corinne Le Quéré
Publié dans: Scientific Data, Numéro 10, 2023, ISSN 2052-4463
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets

Auteurs: Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Edward Byers, Joeri Rogelj
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 13, 2023, Page(s) 1360-1367, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios

Auteurs: Chen, Y., Ji, D., Zhang, Q., Moore, J. C., Boucher, O., Jones, A., Lurton, T., Mills, M. J., Niemeier, U., Séférian, R., and Tilmes, S.
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 14, 55–79, 2023, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023

Description and Evaluation of an Emission-Driven and Fully Coupled Methane Cycle in UKESM1

Auteurs: G. A. Folberth, Z. Staniaszek, A. T. Archibald, N. Gedney, P. T. Griffiths, C. D. Jones, F. M. O’Connor, R. J. Parker, A. A. Sellar, A. Wiltshire
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth SystemsVolume 14, Numéro 7, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002982

CMIP7 data request: impacts and adaptation priorities and opportunities

Auteurs: Alex C. Ruane, Charlotte L. Pascoe, Claas Teichmann, David J. Brayshaw, Carlo Buontempo, Ibrahima Diouf, Jesus Fernandez, Paula L. M. Gonzalez, Birgit Hassler, Vanessa Hernaman, Ulas Im, Doroteaciro Iovino, Martin Juckes, Iréne L. Lake, Timothy Lam, Xiaomao Lin, Jiafu Mao, Negin Nazarian, Sylvie Parey, Indrani Roy, Wan-Ling Tseng, Briony Turner, Andrew Wiebe, Lei Zhao, Damaris Zurell
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, Page(s) 9497-9540, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-9497-2025

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Auteurs: Yeray Santana-Falcón, Akitomo Yamamoto, Andrew Lenton, Chris D. Jones, Friedrich A. Burger, Jasmin G. John, Jerry Tjiputra, Jörg Schwinger, Michio Kawamiya, Thomas L. Frölicher, Tilo Ziehn, Roland Séférian
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Numéro 4, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Do Emergent Constraints on Carbon Cycle Feedbacks hold in CMIP6?

Auteurs: Manuel Schlund; Sabrina Zechlau; Peter Cox; Pierre Friedlingstein; Veronika Eyring
Publié dans: Journal of Geophysical Research: BiogeosciencesVolume 127, Numéro 12, 2022, ISSN 2169-8953
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2022jg006985

ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth system and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales

Auteurs: Hohenegger, C., Korn, P., Linardakis, L., Redler, R., Schnur, R., Adamidis, P., Bao, J., Bastin, S., Behravesh, M., Bergemann, M., Biercamp, J., Bockelmann, H., Brokopf, R., Brüggemann, N., Casaroli, L., Chegini, F., Datseris, G., Esch, M., George, G., Giorgetta, M., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jungclaus, J., Kern, M., Klocke, D., Kluft, L., Kölling, T., Kornblueh, L
Publié dans: Geoscientific model development, 16, 779–811, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023

Projected Global Temperature Changes After Net Zero Are Small But Significant

Auteurs: Alex Borowiak, Andrew D. King, Josephine R. Brown, Chris D. Jones, Tilo Ziehn, Malte Meinshausen, Liam Cassidy
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl108654

The land-to-ocean loops of the global carbon cycle

Auteurs: Regnier P, Resplandy L, Najjar RG, Ciais P.
Publié dans: Nature 603, 401–410, 2022, ISSN 1476-4687
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-04339-9

Glacial Atlantic Carbon Storage Enhanced by a Shallow AMOC and Marine Aggregates Sinking

Auteurs: Bo Liu, Joeran Maerz, Tatiana Ilyina
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 51, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109736

Integration of a Deep‐Learning‐Based Fire Model Into a Global Land Surface Model

Auteurs: Rackhun Son, Tobias Stacke, Veronika Gayler, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Reiner Schnur, Lazaro Alonso, Christian Requena‐Mesa, Alexander J. Winkler, Stijn Hantson, Sönke Zaehle, Ulrich Weber, Nuno Carvalhais
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numéro 16, 2024, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003710

Improving Antarctic Bottom Water precursors in NEMO for climate applications

Auteurs: Katherine Hutchinson, Julie Deshayes, Christian Éthé, Clément Rousset, Casimir de Lavergne, Martin Vancoppenolle, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Pierre Mathiot
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development volume 16 issue 12 on pages 3629 to 3650, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-3629-2023

Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models

Auteurs: Saloua Peatier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Laurent Terray
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 15, 2024, Page(s) 987-1014, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-987-2024

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Auteurs: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment 3, 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

Including filter-feeding gelatinous macrozooplankton in a global marine biogeochemical model: model–data comparison and impact on the ocean carbon cycle

Auteurs: Clerc, C., Bopp, L., Benedetti, F., Vogt, M., and Aumont, O.
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 20, 869–895, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-869-2023

Adjustments to Climate Perturbations—Mechanisms, Implications, Observational Constraints

Auteurs: Johannes Quaas, Timothy Andrews, Nicolas Bellouin, Karoline Block, Olivier Boucher, Paulo Ceppi, Guy Dagan, Sabine Doktorowski, Hannah Marie Eichholz, Piers Forster, Tom Goren, Edward Gryspeerdt, Øivind Hodnebrog, Hailing Jia, Ryan Kramer, Charlotte Lange, Amanda C. Maycock, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Gunnar Myhre, Fiona M. O’Connor, Robert Pincus, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Fabian Senf, Keith P. Shi
Publié dans: AGU Advances, Numéro 5, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023av001144

Anthropogenic-driven perturbations on nitrogen cycles and interactions with climate changes

Auteurs: Cheng Gong, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Sönke Zaehle
Publié dans: Current Opinion in Green and Sustainable Chemistry, Numéro 46, 2025, Page(s) 100897, ISSN 2452-2236
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.cogsc.2024.100897

An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

Auteurs: Burgard, C., Jourdain, N. C., Reese, R., Jenkins, A., and Mathiot, P.
Publié dans: The Cryosphere, 16, 4931–4975, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022

Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget

Auteurs: Joeri Rogelj, Robin D. Lamboll
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Numéro 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8

Potential impacts of pandemics on global warming, agricultural production, and biodiversity loss

Auteurs: Yuankang Xiong (熊元康), Rong Wang (王戎), Thomas Gasser, Philippe Ciais, Josep Peñuelas, Jordi Sardans, James H. Clark, Junji Cao (曹军骥), Xiaofan Xing (邢晓帆), Siqing Xu (徐思清), Yifei Deng (邓艺菲), Lin Wang (王琳), Jianmin Chen (陈建民), Xu Tang (汤绪), Renhe Zhang (张人禾)
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 7, 2024, Page(s) 697-713, ISSN 2590-3322
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.012

Global net climate effects of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen

Auteurs: Cheng Gong, Hanqin Tian, Hong Liao, Naiqing Pan, Shufen Pan, Akihiko Ito, Atul K. Jain, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Fortunat Joos, Qing Sun, Hao Shi, Nicolas Vuichard, Qing Zhu, Changhui Peng, Federico Maggi, Fiona H. M. Tang, Sönke Zaehle
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 632, 2025, Page(s) 557-563, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-07714-4

Monitoring and benchmarking Earth system model simulations with ESMValTool v2.12.0

Auteurs: Axel Lauer, Lisa Bock, Birgit Hassler, Patrick Jöckel, Lukas Ruhe, Manuel Schlund
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, Page(s) 1169-1188, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-1169-2025

Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data

Auteurs: Gang Tang, Zebedee Nicholls, Chris Jones, Thomas Gasser, Alexander Norton, Tilo Ziehn, Alejandro Romero-Prieto, Malte Meinshausen
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, Page(s) 2111-2136, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025

Rapid disintegration and weakening of ice shelves in North Greenland

Auteurs: R. Millan, E. Jager, J. Mouginot, M. H. Wood, S. H. Larsen, P. Mathiot, N. C. Jourdain, A. Bjørk
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42198-2

Projecting future forest microclimate using a land surface model

Auteurs: Gabriel Hes, Inne Vanderkelen, Rosie Fisher, Jérôme Chave, Jérôme Ogée, Edouard L Davin
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 19, 2024, Page(s) 024030, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1f04

Nitrogen cycle impacts on CO 2 fertilisation and climate forcing of land carbon stores

Auteurs: Chris Huntingford, Eleanor J Burke, Chris D Jones, Elizabeth S Jeffers, Andrew J Wiltshire
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6148

Description and evaluation of the JULES-ES set-up for ISIMIP2b

Auteurs: Mathison, C., Burke, E., Hartley, A. J., Kelley, D. I., Burton, C., Robertson, E., Gedney, N., Williams, K., Wiltshire, A., Ellis, R. J., Sellar, A. A., and Jones, C. D.
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development volume 16 issue 14 on pages 4249 to 4264, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4249-2023

Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation

Auteurs: Pierre Friedlingstein, Paulo Artaxo, Angela V. Gallego-Sala, Gensuo Jia, Chris D. Jones, Michio Kawamiya, Julie Loisel, Marie-France Loutre, Kira Rehfeld, Alessio Rovere, Chris Smith, Roland Séférian, Narelle van der Wel, Elisa Ziegler
Publié dans: Frontiers in Climate, Numéro 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208

The representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle

Auteurs: Planchat, A., Kwiatkowski, L., Bopp, L., Torres, O., Christian, J. R., Butenschön, M., Lovato, T., Séférian, R., Chamberlain, M. A., Aumont, O., Watanabe, M., Yamamoto, A., Yool, A., Ilyina, T., Tsujino, H., Krumhardt, K. M., Schwinger, J., Tjiputra, J., Dunne, J. P., and Stock, C.
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 20, 1195–1257, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-1195-2023

Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models

Auteurs: Roland Séférian, Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Zebedee Nichols, Kalyn Dorheim, Xuanming Su, Junichi Tsutsui, Yeray Santana-Falcón
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Numéro 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x

How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N2O inventory?

Auteurs: Berthet, S., Jouanno, J., Séférian, R., Gehlen, M., and Llovel, W.
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 14, 399–412, 2023, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-399-2023

A Study of Dominant Vegetation Phenology in a <i>Sphagnum</i> Mountain Peatland Using In Situ and Sentinel‐2 Observations

Auteurs: Raphael Garisoain, Christine Delire, Bertrand Decharme, Sylvain Ferrant, Franck Granouillac, Virginie Payre‐Suc, Laure Gandois
Publié dans: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Numéro 128, 2023, ISSN 2169-8953
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023jg007403

Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink

Auteurs: Galen A McKinley; Val Bennington; Malte Meinshausen; Zebedee Nicholls
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Volume 18, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195

The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0

Auteurs: J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, H. Schmidt, V. Brovkin, N. Brüggemann, F. Chegini, T. Crüger, P. De-Vrese, V. Gayler, M. A. Giorgetta, O. Gutjahr, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, M. Hanke, T. Ilyina, P. Korn, J. Kröger, L. Linardakis, C. Mehlmann, U. Mikolajewicz, W. A. Müller, J. E. M. S. Nabel, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, D. A. Putrasahan, T. Raddatz, L. Ramme, R. Redler, C. H. Re
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2021MS002813, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002813

Opinion: The role of AerChemMIP in advancing climate and air quality research

Auteurs: Paul T. Griffiths, Laura J. Wilcox, Robert J. Allen, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Michael Prather, Alex Archibald, Florence Brown, Makoto Deushi, William Collins, Stephanie Fiedler, Naga Oshima, Lee T. Murray, Bjørn H. Samset, Chris Smith, Steven Turnock, Duncan Watson-Parris, Paul J. Young
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numéro 25, 2025, Page(s) 8289-8328, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-8289-2025

Changes in IPCC scenario assessment emulators between SR1.5 and AR6 unravelled

Auteurs: Zebedee R.J. Nicholls; Malte Alexander Meinshausen; Jared Lewis; Christopher J Smith; Piers Forster; Jan Sigurd Fuglestvedt; Joeri Rogelj; Jarmo Kikstra; keywan Riahi; Edward Anthony Byers
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 49, Numéro 20, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099788

Coordination of rooting, xylem, and stomatal strategies explains the response of conifer forest stands to multi-year drought in the southern Sierra Nevada of California

Auteurs: Junyan Ding, Polly Buotte, Roger Bales, Bradley Christoffersen, Rosie A. Fisher, Michael Goulden, Ryan Knox, Lara Kueppers, Jacquelyn Shuman, Chonggang Xu, Charles D. Koven
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Numéro 20, 2025, Page(s) 4491-4510, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-4491-2023

The consolidated European synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2019

Auteurs: Petrescu, A. M. R., Qiu, C., McGrath, M. J., Peylin, P., Peters, G. P., Ciais, P., Thompson, R. L., Tsuruta, A., Brunner, D., Kuhnert, M., Matthews, B., Palmer, P. I., Tarasova, O., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Etiope, G., Aalto, T., Balsamo, G., Bastrikov, V., Berchet, A., Brockmann, P., Ciotoli, G., Conchedda, G., Crippa, M., Dentener, F., Gro
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, 15, 1197–1268, 2023, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-1197-2023

Exploring ozone–climate interactions in idealized CMIP6 DECK experiments

Auteurs: Jingyu Wang, Gabriel Chiodo, Blanca Ayarzagüena, William T. Ball, Mohamadou Diallo, Birgit Hassler, James Keeble, Peer Nowack, Clara Orbe, Sandro Vattioni, Timofei Sukhodolov
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numéro 25, 2025, Page(s) 17819-17844, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-17819-2025

Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios

Auteurs: Melnikova, I., Boucher, O., Cadule, P., Tanaka, K., Gasser, T., Hajima, T., Quilcaille, Y., Shiogama, H., Séférian, R., Tachiiri, K., Vuichard, N., Yokohata, T., and Ciais, P
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 779–794, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-779-2022

Apportionment of the Pre-Industrial to Present-Day Climate Forcing by Methane Using UKESM1: The Role of the Cloud Radiative Effect

Auteurs: Fiona M. O’Connor, Ben T. Johnson, Omar Jamil, Timothy Andrews, Jane P. Mulcahy, James Manners
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2022MS002991, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms002991

Global changes alter the amount and composition of land carbon deliveries to European rivers and seas

Auteurs: Haicheng Zhang; Ronny Lauerwald; Philippe Ciais; Kristof Van Oost; Bertrand Guenet; Pierre Regnier
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2022, 3 (1), pp.245. 10.1038/s43247-022-00575-7, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00575-7

Biogeophysical Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Not Detectable in Warmest Month

Auteurs: Luke Grant, Lukas Gudmundsson, Edouard L. Davin, David M. Lawrence, Nicolas Vuichard, Eddy Robertson, Roland Séférian, Aurélien Ribes, Annette L. Hirsch, and Wim Thiery
Publié dans: Journal of Climate, 36, 1845–1861, 2023, ISSN 0894-8755
Éditeur: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0391.1

Global analysis of the controls on seawater dimethylsulfide spatial variability

Auteurs: Manville, G., Bell, T. G., Mulcahy, J. P., Simó, R., Galí, M., Mahajan, A. S., Hulswar, S., and Halloran, P. R.
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 20, 1813–1828, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-1813-2023

Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink

Auteurs: Mayot N., Le Quéré C., Rödenbeck C., Bernardello R., Bopp L., Djeutchouang L. M., Gehlen M., Gregor L., Gruber N., Hauck J., Iida Y., Ilyina T., Keeling R. F., Landschützer P., Manning A. C., Patara L., Resplandy L., Schwinger J., Séférian R., Watson A. J., Wright R. M. and Zeng J.
Publié dans: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society. Volume 381Numéro 2249, 2023, ISSN 1471-2962
Éditeur: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0055

Modeling radiative and climatic effects of brown carbon aerosols with the ARPEGE-Climat global climate model

Auteurs: Thomas Drugé; Pierre Nabat; Marc Mallet; Martine Michou; Samuel Rémy; Oleg Dubovik
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2022, 22 (18), pp.12167-12205, 2022, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-12167-2022

Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity

Auteurs: Ranjini Swaminathan, Jacob Schewe, Jeremy Walton, Klaus Zimmermann, Colin Jones, Richard A. Betts, Chantelle Burton, Chris D. Jones, Matthias Mengel, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Andrew G. Turner, Katja Weigel
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004901

RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections

Auteurs: Chris D. Jones, Tilo Ziehn, Jatin Anand, Ana Bastos, Eleanor Burke, Josep G. Canadell, Manoel Cardoso, Yolandi Ernst, Atul K. Jain, Sujong Jeong, Elizabeth D. Keller, Masayuki Kondo, Ronny Lauerwald, Tzu‐Shun Lin, Guillermo Murray‐Tortarolo, Gert‐Jan Nabuurs, Mike O’Sullivan, Ben Poulter, Xiaoyu Qin, Celso von Randow, Marcos Sanches, Dmitry Schepaschenko, Anatoly Shvidenko, T. Luke Smallma
Publié dans: AGU Advances, Numéro 4, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023av001024

Dynamic ecosystem assembly and escaping the “fire trap” in the tropics: insights from FATES_15.0.0

Auteurs: Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Rosie A. Fisher, Charles Koven, Ryan Knox, Lara Kueppers, Chonggang Xu
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 4643-4671, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4643-2024

Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

Auteurs: Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Phil
Publié dans: The Cryosphere, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 5197-5217, ISSN 1994-0424
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

Climate‐Driven Projections of Future Global Wetlands Extent

Auteurs: Lucas Hardouin, Bertrand Decharme, Jeanne Colin, Christine Delire
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004553

Diazotrophy as a key driver of the response of marine net primary productivity to climate change

Auteurs: Bopp, L., Aumont, O., Kwiatkowski, L., Clerc, C., Dupont, L., Ethé, C., Gorgues, T., Séférian, R., and Tagliabue, A.
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 19, 4267–4285, 2022, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/bg-19-4267-2022

Quantification of hydraulic trait control on plant hydrodynamics and risk of hydraulic failure within a demographic structured vegetation model in a tropical forest (FATES–HYDRO V1.0)

Auteurs: Chonggang Xu, Bradley Christoffersen, Zachary Robbins, Ryan Knox, Rosie A. Fisher, Rutuja Chitra-Tarak, Martijn Slot, Kurt Solander, Lara Kueppers, Charles Koven, Nate McDowell
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 16, 2023, Page(s) 6267-6283, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-6267-2023

Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfiresin a warming climate

Auteurs: Yuanyu Xie, Meiyun Lin, Bertrand Decharme, Christine Delire, Larry W. Horowitz, David M. Lawrence, Fang Li and Roland Séférian
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 119, Numéro 14, 2022, ISSN 0027-8424
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2111372119

Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change – progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP

Auteurs: Stephanie Fiedler, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Christopher J. Smith, Paul Griffiths, Ryan J. Kramer, Toshihiko Takemura, Robert J. Allen, Ulas Im, Matthew Kasoar, Angshuman Modak, Steven Turnock, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Duncan Watson-Parris, Daniel M. Westervelt, Laura J. Wilcox, Alcide Zhao, William J. Collins, Michael Schulz, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M. Forster
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 2387-2417, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Global Surface Ocean Acidification Indicators From 1750 to 2100

Auteurs: Li-Qing Jiang, John Dunne, Brendan R. Carter, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Jens Terhaar, Jonathan D. Sharp, Are Olsen, Simone Alin, Dorothee C. E. Bakker, Richard A. Feely, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, Patrick Hogan, Tatiana Ilyina, Nico Lange, Siv K. Lauvset, Ernie R. Lewis, Tomas Lovato, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Gary Strand, Neil Swart, Tos
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003563, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003563

Global Estimation of the Eddy Kinetic Energy Dissipation From a Diagnostic Energy Balance

Auteurs: Romain Torres, Robin Waldman, Julian Mak, Roland Séférian
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl104688

Global Carbon Budget 2024

Auteurs: Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O'Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, Robbie M. Andrew, Judith Hauck, Peter Landschützer, Corinne Le Quéré, Hongmei Li, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Are Olsen, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Clemens Schwingshackl, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Robert B. Jackson, Simone R. Alin, Almut Arneth, Vivek Arora, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Nicolas Be
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 965-1039, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025

Ocean Barotropic Vorticity Balances: Theory and Application to Numerical Models

Auteurs: Waldman, R., & Giordani, H.
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003276, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003276

Least-cost and 2 °C-compliant mitigation pathways robust to physical uncertainty, economic paradigms, and intergenerational cost distribution

Auteurs: Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Franck Lecocq, Johannes Bednar, Katsumasa Tanaka, Philippe Ciais
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Climate, Numéro 3, 2024, Page(s) 025005, ISSN 2752-5295
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad34a8

On the chances of staying below the 1.5°C warming target

Auteurs: Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Katsumasa Tanaka, Philippe Ciais
Publié dans: Cell Reports Sustainability, Numéro 1, 2024, Page(s) 100127, ISSN 2949-7906
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.crsus.2024.100127

fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections

Auteurs: Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, Antti-Ilari Partanen
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2024, Page(s) 8569-8592, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024

The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization

Auteurs: Sofia Palazzo Corner, Martin Siegert, Paulo Ceppi, Baylor Fox-Kemper, Thomas L. Frölicher, Angela Gallego-Sala, Joanna Haigh, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Chris D. Jones, Reto Knutti, Charles D. Koven, Andrew H. MacDougall, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, Jean Baptiste Sallée, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Merritt Turetsky, Richard G. Williams, Sönke Zaehle, Joeri Rogelj
Publié dans: Frontiers in Science, Numéro 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

Net zero targets in science and policy

Auteurs: Joeri Rogelj
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters volume 18 issue 2 on page 021003, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae

Simulations of ocean deoxygenation in the historical era: insights from forced and coupled models

Auteurs: Yohei Takano, Tatiana Ilyina, Jerry Tjiputra, Yassir A. Eddebbar, Sarah Berthet, Laurent Bopp, Erik Buitenhuis, Momme Butenschön, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Matthias Gröger, Hakase Hayashida, Jenny Hieronymus, Torben Koenigk, John P. Krasting, Mathew C. Long, Tomas Lovato, Hideyuki Nakano, Julien Palmieri, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Hiroaki Tatebe, Hiro
Publié dans: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numéro 10, 2024, ISSN 2296-7745
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1139917

Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance

Auteurs: Sanderson, Benjamin M.; Rugenstein, Maria
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1715–1736, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
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A principle-based framework to determine countries’ fair warming contributions to the Paris Agreement

Auteurs: Mingyu Li, Setu Pelz, Robin Lamboll, Can Wang, Joeri Rogelj
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
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A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)

Auteurs: Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, G
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 4533-4559, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
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The sensitivity of the marine carbonate system to regional ocean alkalinity enhancement

Auteurs: Burt DJ, Fröb F and Ilyina T
Publié dans: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.624075

Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model

Auteurs: Zhang, H., Lauerwald, R., Regnier, P., Ciais, P., Van Oost, K., Naipal, V., Guenet, B., and Yuan, W.: Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model
Publié dans: Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144,, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Göttingen Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022

Fire weakens land carbon sinks before 1.5 °C

Auteurs: Chantelle A. Burton, Douglas I. Kelley, Eleanor Burke, Camilla Mathison, Chris D. Jones, Richard A. Betts, Eddy Robertson, João C. M. Teixeira, Manoel Cardoso, Liana O. Anderson
Publié dans: Nature Geoscience, Numéro 17, 2024, Page(s) 1108-1114, ISSN 1752-0894
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
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Cloud properties and their projected changes in CMIP models with low to high climate sensitivity

Auteurs: Lisa Bock, Axel Lauer
Publié dans: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numéro 24, 2024, Page(s) 1587-1605, ISSN 1680-7324
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-24-1587-2024

Scenario choice impacts carbon allocation projection at global warming levels

Auteurs: Lee de Mora, Ranjini Swaminathan, Richard P. Allan, Jerry C. Blackford, Douglas I. Kelley, Phil Harris, Chris D. Jones, Colin G. Jones, Spencer Liddicoat, Robert J. Parker, Tristan Quaife, Jeremy Walton, Andrew Yool
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 14, 2023, Page(s) 1295-1315, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1295-2023

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