Earth system models for the future

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Report on the improved representation of ocean—ice-sheet interactions in climate models
Report on the preliminary technical implementation of the coupling with dynamical ice sheet models in UKESM and IPSL-ESM

D8.1 Report on the preliminary technical implementation of the coupling with dynamical ice sheet models in UKESM and IPSL-ESM [UREAD, CNRS-IGE, DLR] (M24)

Report on the preliminary implementation and testing technical coupling of nitrogen cycle modules in ESMs

D6.1 Report on the preliminary implementation and testing technical coupling of nitrogen cycle modules in ESMs [UiB, Met Norway, MPG-MPI-M, ULB, MET OFFICE] (M24)

Intermediate report on initial policy engagement and dialogue with national and local decision makers
Intermediate report on initial policy engagement and dialogue with EU and international stakeholders to deliver science support for implementing the Paris Agreement
Technical report on the implementation of a coupled methane cycle in project ESMs

D4.1 Report on the preliminary implementation and testing of the technical coupling of CH4 in ESMs [MetNo, MET OFFICE, MF-CNRM, MPG-MPI-M/C, DLR, SMHI] (M24)

Intermediate Data management plan
Data management plan

Intermediate Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of results (PEDR) & communication strategy plan
Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of results (PEDR) & communication strategy plan

First session of the Climate education summer university

First session of the Climate education summer university (program and attendance list)

Alpha version of OS-MAGICC, reproducing current scientific configuration with restructured codebase

D11.1 Alpha version of OS-MAGICC, reproducing current scientific configuration with restructured codebase [M18, IIASA and UoM]

Publications

A machine learning approach targeting parameter estimation for plant functional type coexistence modeling using ELM-FATES (v2.0)

Author(s): Lingcheng Li, Yilin Fang, Zhonghua Zheng, Mingjie Shi, Marcos Longo, Charles D. Koven, Jennifer A. Holm, Rosie A. Fisher, Nate G. McDowell, Jeffrey Chambers, L. Ruby Leung
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 16, 2023, Page(s) 4017-4040, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4017-2023

Uncertain effectiveness of Miscanthus bioenergy expansion for climate change mitigation explored using land surface, agronomic and integrated assessment models

Author(s): Littleton, Emma W.; Shepherd, Anita; Harper, Anna B.; Hastings, Astley F.S.; Vaughan, Naomi E.; Doelman, Jonathan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Published in: GCB Bioenergy, 15, 303– 318, 2023, ISSN 1757-1693
Publisher: Wiley-VCH Verlag
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12982

Future land carbon removals in China consistent with national inventory

Author(s): Yue He, Shilong Piao, Philippe Ciais, Hao Xu, Thomas Gasser
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54846-2

Mismatch of N release from the permafrost and vegetative uptake opens pathways of increasing nitrous oxide emissions in the high Arctic

Author(s): Fabrice Lacroix; Sönke Zaehle; Silvia Caldararu; Jörg Schaller; Peter Stimmler; David Holl; Lars Kutzbach; Mathias Göckede
Published in: Global Change Biology, Volume 28, Issue 20, 5973– 5990, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16345

Harmonising the land-use flux estimates of global models and national inventories for 2000–2020

Author(s): Giacomo Grassi, Clemens Schwingshackl, Thomas Gasser, Richard A. Houghton, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Alessandro Cescatti, Philippe Ciais, Sandro Federici, Pierre Friedlingstein, Werner A. Kurz, Maria J. Sanz Sanchez, Raúl Abad Viñas, Ramdane Alkama, Selma Bultan, Guido Ceccherini, Stefanie Falk, Etsushi Kato, Daniel Kennedy, Jürgen Knauer, Anu Korosuo, Joana Melo, Matthew J. McGrath, Ju
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 15, 2025, Page(s) 1093-1114, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-1093-2023

Global agricultural ammonia emissions simulated with the ORCHIDEE land surface model

Author(s): Beaudor, M., Vuichard, N., Lathière, J., Evangeliou, N., Van Damme, M., Clarisse, L., and Hauglustaine, D.
Published in: Geoscientific model development, 16, 1053–1081, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-1053-2023

Seamless Integration of the Coastal Ocean in Global Marine Carbon Cycle Modeling

Author(s): M. Mathis, K. Logemann, J. Maerz, F. Lacroix, S. Hagemann, F. Chegini, L. Ramme, T. Ilyina, P. Korn, C. Schrum
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2021MS002789, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002789

A Synthesis of Global Coastal Ocean Greenhouse Gas Fluxes

Author(s): L. Resplandy, A. Hogikyan, J. D. Müller, R. G. Najjar, H. W. Bange, D. Bianchi, T. Weber, W.‐J. Cai, S. C. Doney, K. Fennel, M. Gehlen, J. Hauck, F. Lacroix, P. Landschützer, C. Le Quéré, A. Roobaert, J. Schwinger, S. Berthet, L. Bopp, T. T. T. Chau, M. Dai, N. Gruber, T. Ilyina, A. Kock, M. Manizza, Z. Lachkar, G. G. Laruelle, E. Liao, I. D. Lima, C. Nissen, C. Rödenbeck, R. Séférian, K.
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 38, 2024, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gb007803

Carbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized simulation and a scenario simulation of negative emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models

Author(s): Ali Asaadi, Jörg Schwinger, Hanna Lee, Jerry Tjiputra, Vivek Arora, Roland Séférian, Spencer Liddicoat, Tomohiro Hajima, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Chris D. Jones
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 21, 2024, Page(s) 411-435, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-411-2024

Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy

Author(s): Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 307-322, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-307-2024

Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks

Author(s): Matthew J. Gidden, Thomas Gasser, Giacomo Grassi, Nicklas Forsell, Iris Janssens, William F. Lamb, Jan Minx, Zebedee Nicholls, Jan Steinhauser, Keywan Riahi
Published in: Nature, Issue 624, 2024, Page(s) 102-108, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y

Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?

Author(s): Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, Philippe Peylin
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2025, Page(s) 1227-1253, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024

Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: the role of atmospheric forcing

Author(s): Lucas Hardouin, Christine Delire, Bertrand Decharme, David M Lawrence, Julia E M S Nabel, Victor Brovkin, Nathan Collier, Rosie Fisher, Forrest M Hoffman, Charles D Koven, Roland Séférian, Tobias Stacke
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac888d

Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models

Author(s): Josué Bock; Martine Michou; Pierre Nabat; Manabu Abe; Jane Mulcahy; Dirk Jan Leo Oliviè; Jörg Schwinger; Parvadha Suntharalingam; Jerry Tjiputra; Marco van Hulten; Michio Watanabe; Andrew Yool; Roland Séférian
Published in: Biogeosciences, 2021, 18 (12), pp.3823-3860, 2021, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-3823-2021

Thawing Permafrost as a Nitrogen Fertiliser: Implications for Climate Feedbacks

Author(s): Burke, E.; Chadburn, S.; Huntingford, C. Thawing
Published in: Nitrogen 2022, 3, 353-375, 2022, ISSN 2504-3129
Publisher: Basel: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/nitrogen3020023

Nutrient Dynamics in a Coupled Terrestrial Biosphere and Land Model (ELM‐FATES‐CNP)

Author(s): Ryan G. Knox, Charles D. Koven, William J. Riley, Anthony P. Walker, S. Joseph Wright, Jennifer A. Holm, Xinyuan Wei, Rosie A. Fisher, Qing Zhu, Jinyun Tang, Daniel M. Ricciuto, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Xiaojuan Yang, Lara M. Kueppers, Jeffrey Q. Chambers
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003689

A framework to evaluate and elucidate the driving mechanisms of coastal sea surface pCO2 seasonality using an ocean general circulation model (MOM6-COBALT)

Author(s): Roobaert, A., Resplandy, L., Laruelle, G. G., Liao, E., and Regnier, P.
Published in: Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144, 2022, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/os-18-67-2022

Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario

Author(s): Vaittinada Ayar, P., Bopp, L., Christian, J. R., Ilyina, T., Krasting, J. P., Séférian, R., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yool, A., and Tjiputra, J.
Published in: Earth System Dynamic, 13, 1097–1118, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022

Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry

Author(s): Wolfgang Alexander Obermeier, Clemens Schwingshackl, Ana Bastos, Giulia Conchedda, Thomas Gasser, Giacomo Grassi, Richard A. Houghton, Francesco Nicola Tubiello, Stephen Sitch, Julia Pongratz
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 16, 2025, Page(s) 605-645, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024

Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming

Author(s): Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Pierre Friedlingstein, Chris D. Jones, Nina Raoult, Joeri Rogelj, Rebecca M. Varney
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46137-7

Radiative and climate effects of aerosol scattering in long-wave radiation based on global climate modelling

Author(s): Thomas Drugé, Pierre Nabat, Martine Michou, Marc Mallet
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 25, 2025, Page(s) 11651-11671, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-11651-2025

Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model

Author(s): Minna Ma, Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Philippe Ciais, Pierre Regnier
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 16, 2025, Page(s) 841-867, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-16-841-2025

Assessing model predictions of carbon dynamics in global drylands

Author(s): Dominic Fawcett; Andrew M. Cunliffe; Stephen Sitch; Michael O’Sullivan; Karen Anderson; Richard E. Brazier; Timothy C. Hill; Peter Anthoni; Almut Arneth; Vivek K. Arora; Peter R. Briggs; Daniel S. Goll; Atul K. Jain; Xiaojun Li; Danica Lombardozzi; Julia E. M. S. Nabel; Benjamin Poulter; Roland Séférian; Hanqin Tian; Nicolas Viovy; Jean-Pierre Wigneron; Andy Wiltshire; Soenke Zaehle
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2022, 10, pp.790200, 2022, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers Media S.A.
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.790200

Synthesizing global carbon–nitrogen coupling effects – the MAGICC coupled carbon–nitrogen cycle model v1.0

Author(s): Gang Tang, Zebedee Nicholls, Alexander Norton, Sönke Zaehle, Malte Meinshausen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 2193-2230, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-2193-2025

Advanced climate model evaluation with ESMValTool v2.11.0 using parallel, out-of-core, and distributed computing

Author(s): Manuel Schlund, Bouwe Andela, Jörg Benke, Ruth Comer, Birgit Hassler, Emma Hogan, Peter Kalverla, Axel Lauer, Bill Little, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Francesco Nattino, Patrick Peglar, Valeriu Predoi, Stef Smeets, Stephen Worsley, Martin Yeo, Klaus Zimmermann
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 4009-4021, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-4009-2025

Representation of the terrestrial carbon cycle in CMIP6

Author(s): Bettina K. Gier, Manuel Schlund, Pierre Friedlingstein, Chris D. Jones, Colin Jones, Sönke Zaehle, Veronika Eyring
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 21, 2024, Page(s) 5321-5360, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-5321-2024

Drivers of persistent changes in the global methane cycle under aggressive mitigation action

Author(s): Gerd A. Folberth, Chris D. Jones, Fiona M. O’Connor, Nicola Gedney, Paul T. Griffiths, Andy J. Wiltshire
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00867-z

Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

Author(s): David M. Nielsen, Fatemeh Chegini, Joeran Maerz, Sebastian Brune, Moritz Mathis, Mikhail Dobrynin, Johanna Baehr, Victor Brovkin, Tatiana Ilyina
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 14, 2024, Page(s) 968-975, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02074-3

Climate change impacts the vertical structure of marine ecosystem thermal ranges

Author(s): Yeray Santana-Falcón, Roland Séférian
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2022, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01476-5

Why methane matters

Author(s): Fiona M. O’Connor
Published in: Frontiers in Science, Issue 2, 2025, ISSN 2813-6330
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2024.1462198

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Author(s): Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Anthoni, P., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Bopp, L., Chau, T. T. T., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Currie, K. I., Decharme, B., Djeutchouang, L. M., Dou, X., E
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 14, 1917–2005, 2022, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures

Author(s): Jarmo S. Kikstra, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jared Lewis, Robin D. Lamboll, Edward Byers, Marit Sandstad, Malte Meinshausen, Matthew J. Gidden, Joeri Rogelj, Elmar Kriegler, Glen P. Peters, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Bjørn H. Samset, Laura Wienpahl, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Piers M. Forster, Andy Reisinger, Roberto Schaeffer,
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development volume 15 issue 24 on pages 9075 to 9109, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022

Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario

Author(s): Pierre Mathiot, Nicolas C. Jourdain
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 1595-1615, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-1595-2023

Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks

Author(s): C. Burgard, N. C. Jourdain, P. Mathiot, R. S. Smith, R. Schäfer, J. Caillet, T. S. Finn, J. E. Johnson
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003829

Projected Climate‐Driven Changes of Water Table Depth in the World's Major Groundwater Basins

Author(s): Maya Costantini, Jeanne Colin, Bertrand Decharme
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 11, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef003068

Evaluation of native Earth system model output with ESMValTool v2.6.0

Author(s): Schlund, M., Hassler, B., Lauer, A., Andela, B., Jöckel, P., Kazeroni, R., Loosveldt Tomas, S., Medeiros, B., Predoi, V., Sénési, S., Servonnat, J., Stacke, T., Vegas-Regidor, J., Zimmermann, K., and Eyring, V.
Published in: Geoscientific model development, 16, 315–333, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-315-2023

Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios

Author(s): Koven, C. D., Arora, V. K., Cadule, P., Fisher, R. A., Jones, C. D., Lawrence, D. M., Lewis, J., Lindsay, K., Mathesius, S., Meinshausen, M., Mills, M., Nicholls, Z., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Swart, N. C., Wieder, W. R., and Zickfeld, K.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 885–909, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-885-2022

Effects of extreme meteorological conditions in 2018 on European methane emissions estimated using atmospheric inversions

Author(s): R. L. Thompson, C. D. Groot Zwaaftink, D. Brunner, A. Tsuruta, T. Aalto, M. Raivonen, M. Crippa, E. Solazzo, D. Guizzardi, P. Regnier and M. Maisonnier
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering SciencesVolume 380, Issue 221, 2021, ISSN 1364-503X
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0443

Stratospheric ozone response to sulfate aerosol and solar dimming climate interventions based on the G6 Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) simulations

Author(s): Tilmes, S., Visioni, D., Jones, A., Haywood, J., Séférian, R., Nabat, P., Boucher, O., Bednarz, E. M., and Niemeier, U.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22, 4557–4579, 2022, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-4557-2022

Detecting climate milestones on the path to climate stabilization

Author(s): Andrew H MacDougall, Joeri Rogelj, Chris D Jones, Spencer K Liddicoat, Giacomo Grassi
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 074065, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5ab1

National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

Author(s): Matthew W. Jones, Glen P. Peters, Thomas Gasser, Robbie M. Andrew, Clemens Schwingshackl, Johannes Gütschow, Richard A. Houghton, Pierre Friedlingstein, Julia Pongratz, Corinne Le Quéré
Published in: Scientific Data, Issue 10, 2023, ISSN 2052-4463
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets

Author(s): Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Edward Byers, Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 13, 2023, Page(s) 1360-1367, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios

Author(s): Chen, Y., Ji, D., Zhang, Q., Moore, J. C., Boucher, O., Jones, A., Lurton, T., Mills, M. J., Niemeier, U., Séférian, R., and Tilmes, S.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 14, 55–79, 2023, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023

Description and Evaluation of an Emission-Driven and Fully Coupled Methane Cycle in UKESM1

Author(s): G. A. Folberth, Z. Staniaszek, A. T. Archibald, N. Gedney, P. T. Griffiths, C. D. Jones, F. M. O’Connor, R. J. Parker, A. A. Sellar, A. Wiltshire
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth SystemsVolume 14, Issue 7, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002982

CMIP7 data request: impacts and adaptation priorities and opportunities

Author(s): Alex C. Ruane, Charlotte L. Pascoe, Claas Teichmann, David J. Brayshaw, Carlo Buontempo, Ibrahima Diouf, Jesus Fernandez, Paula L. M. Gonzalez, Birgit Hassler, Vanessa Hernaman, Ulas Im, Doroteaciro Iovino, Martin Juckes, Iréne L. Lake, Timothy Lam, Xiaomao Lin, Jiafu Mao, Negin Nazarian, Sylvie Parey, Indrani Roy, Wan-Ling Tseng, Briony Turner, Andrew Wiebe, Lei Zhao, Damaris Zurell
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 9497-9540, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-9497-2025

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Author(s): Yeray Santana-Falcón, Akitomo Yamamoto, Andrew Lenton, Chris D. Jones, Friedrich A. Burger, Jasmin G. John, Jerry Tjiputra, Jörg Schwinger, Michio Kawamiya, Thomas L. Frölicher, Tilo Ziehn, Roland Séférian
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 4, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Do Emergent Constraints on Carbon Cycle Feedbacks hold in CMIP6?

Author(s): Manuel Schlund; Sabrina Zechlau; Peter Cox; Pierre Friedlingstein; Veronika Eyring
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: BiogeosciencesVolume 127, Issue 12, 2022, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2022jg006985

ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth system and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales

Author(s): Hohenegger, C., Korn, P., Linardakis, L., Redler, R., Schnur, R., Adamidis, P., Bao, J., Bastin, S., Behravesh, M., Bergemann, M., Biercamp, J., Bockelmann, H., Brokopf, R., Brüggemann, N., Casaroli, L., Chegini, F., Datseris, G., Esch, M., George, G., Giorgetta, M., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jungclaus, J., Kern, M., Klocke, D., Kluft, L., Kölling, T., Kornblueh, L
Published in: Geoscientific model development, 16, 779–811, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023

Projected Global Temperature Changes After Net Zero Are Small But Significant

Author(s): Alex Borowiak, Andrew D. King, Josephine R. Brown, Chris D. Jones, Tilo Ziehn, Malte Meinshausen, Liam Cassidy
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl108654

The land-to-ocean loops of the global carbon cycle

Author(s): Regnier P, Resplandy L, Najjar RG, Ciais P.
Published in: Nature 603, 401–410, 2022, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-04339-9

Glacial Atlantic Carbon Storage Enhanced by a Shallow AMOC and Marine Aggregates Sinking

Author(s): Bo Liu, Joeran Maerz, Tatiana Ilyina
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109736

Integration of a Deep‐Learning‐Based Fire Model Into a Global Land Surface Model

Author(s): Rackhun Son, Tobias Stacke, Veronika Gayler, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Reiner Schnur, Lazaro Alonso, Christian Requena‐Mesa, Alexander J. Winkler, Stijn Hantson, Sönke Zaehle, Ulrich Weber, Nuno Carvalhais
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 16, 2024, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003710

Improving Antarctic Bottom Water precursors in NEMO for climate applications

Author(s): Katherine Hutchinson, Julie Deshayes, Christian Éthé, Clément Rousset, Casimir de Lavergne, Martin Vancoppenolle, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Pierre Mathiot
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development volume 16 issue 12 on pages 3629 to 3650, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-3629-2023

Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models

Author(s): Saloua Peatier, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Laurent Terray
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 987-1014, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-987-2024

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Author(s): Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment 3, 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

Including filter-feeding gelatinous macrozooplankton in a global marine biogeochemical model: model–data comparison and impact on the ocean carbon cycle

Author(s): Clerc, C., Bopp, L., Benedetti, F., Vogt, M., and Aumont, O.
Published in: Biogeosciences, 20, 869–895, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-869-2023

Adjustments to Climate Perturbations—Mechanisms, Implications, Observational Constraints

Author(s): Johannes Quaas, Timothy Andrews, Nicolas Bellouin, Karoline Block, Olivier Boucher, Paulo Ceppi, Guy Dagan, Sabine Doktorowski, Hannah Marie Eichholz, Piers Forster, Tom Goren, Edward Gryspeerdt, Øivind Hodnebrog, Hailing Jia, Ryan Kramer, Charlotte Lange, Amanda C. Maycock, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Gunnar Myhre, Fiona M. O’Connor, Robert Pincus, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Fabian Senf, Keith P. Shi
Published in: AGU Advances, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023av001144

Anthropogenic-driven perturbations on nitrogen cycles and interactions with climate changes

Author(s): Cheng Gong, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Current Opinion in Green and Sustainable Chemistry, Issue 46, 2025, Page(s) 100897, ISSN 2452-2236
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.cogsc.2024.100897

An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

Author(s): Burgard, C., Jourdain, N. C., Reese, R., Jenkins, A., and Mathiot, P.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 16, 4931–4975, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022

Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj, Robin D. Lamboll
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8

Potential impacts of pandemics on global warming, agricultural production, and biodiversity loss

Author(s): Yuankang Xiong (熊元康), Rong Wang (王戎), Thomas Gasser, Philippe Ciais, Josep Peñuelas, Jordi Sardans, James H. Clark, Junji Cao (曹军骥), Xiaofan Xing (邢晓帆), Siqing Xu (徐思清), Yifei Deng (邓艺菲), Lin Wang (王琳), Jianmin Chen (陈建民), Xu Tang (汤绪), Renhe Zhang (张人禾)
Published in: One Earth, Issue 7, 2024, Page(s) 697-713, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.012

Global net climate effects of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen

Author(s): Cheng Gong, Hanqin Tian, Hong Liao, Naiqing Pan, Shufen Pan, Akihiko Ito, Atul K. Jain, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Fortunat Joos, Qing Sun, Hao Shi, Nicolas Vuichard, Qing Zhu, Changhui Peng, Federico Maggi, Fiona H. M. Tang, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Nature, Issue 632, 2025, Page(s) 557-563, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-07714-4

Monitoring and benchmarking Earth system model simulations with ESMValTool v2.12.0

Author(s): Axel Lauer, Lisa Bock, Birgit Hassler, Patrick Jöckel, Lukas Ruhe, Manuel Schlund
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 1169-1188, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-1169-2025

Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data

Author(s): Gang Tang, Zebedee Nicholls, Chris Jones, Thomas Gasser, Alexander Norton, Tilo Ziehn, Alejandro Romero-Prieto, Malte Meinshausen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 2111-2136, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025

Rapid disintegration and weakening of ice shelves in North Greenland

Author(s): R. Millan, E. Jager, J. Mouginot, M. H. Wood, S. H. Larsen, P. Mathiot, N. C. Jourdain, A. Bjørk
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42198-2

Projecting future forest microclimate using a land surface model

Author(s): Gabriel Hes, Inne Vanderkelen, Rosie Fisher, Jérôme Chave, Jérôme Ogée, Edouard L Davin
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 024030, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1f04

Nitrogen cycle impacts on CO 2 fertilisation and climate forcing of land carbon stores

Author(s): Chris Huntingford, Eleanor J Burke, Chris D Jones, Elizabeth S Jeffers, Andrew J Wiltshire
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6148

Description and evaluation of the JULES-ES set-up for ISIMIP2b

Author(s): Mathison, C., Burke, E., Hartley, A. J., Kelley, D. I., Burton, C., Robertson, E., Gedney, N., Williams, K., Wiltshire, A., Ellis, R. J., Sellar, A. A., and Jones, C. D.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development volume 16 issue 14 on pages 4249 to 4264, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4249-2023

Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation

Author(s): Pierre Friedlingstein, Paulo Artaxo, Angela V. Gallego-Sala, Gensuo Jia, Chris D. Jones, Michio Kawamiya, Julie Loisel, Marie-France Loutre, Kira Rehfeld, Alessio Rovere, Chris Smith, Roland Séférian, Narelle van der Wel, Elisa Ziegler
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208

The representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle

Author(s): Planchat, A., Kwiatkowski, L., Bopp, L., Torres, O., Christian, J. R., Butenschön, M., Lovato, T., Séférian, R., Chamberlain, M. A., Aumont, O., Watanabe, M., Yamamoto, A., Yool, A., Ilyina, T., Tsujino, H., Krumhardt, K. M., Schwinger, J., Tjiputra, J., Dunne, J. P., and Stock, C.
Published in: Biogeosciences, 20, 1195–1257, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-1195-2023

Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Zebedee Nichols, Kalyn Dorheim, Xuanming Su, Junichi Tsutsui, Yeray Santana-Falcón
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x

How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N2O inventory?

Author(s): Berthet, S., Jouanno, J., Séférian, R., Gehlen, M., and Llovel, W.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 14, 399–412, 2023, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-399-2023

A Study of Dominant Vegetation Phenology in a <i>Sphagnum</i> Mountain Peatland Using In Situ and Sentinel‐2 Observations

Author(s): Raphael Garisoain, Christine Delire, Bertrand Decharme, Sylvain Ferrant, Franck Granouillac, Virginie Payre‐Suc, Laure Gandois
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Issue 128, 2023, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023jg007403

Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink

Author(s): Galen A McKinley; Val Bennington; Malte Meinshausen; Zebedee Nicholls
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Volume 18, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195

The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0

Author(s): J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, H. Schmidt, V. Brovkin, N. Brüggemann, F. Chegini, T. Crüger, P. De-Vrese, V. Gayler, M. A. Giorgetta, O. Gutjahr, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, M. Hanke, T. Ilyina, P. Korn, J. Kröger, L. Linardakis, C. Mehlmann, U. Mikolajewicz, W. A. Müller, J. E. M. S. Nabel, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, D. A. Putrasahan, T. Raddatz, L. Ramme, R. Redler, C. H. Re
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2021MS002813, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002813

Opinion: The role of AerChemMIP in advancing climate and air quality research

Author(s): Paul T. Griffiths, Laura J. Wilcox, Robert J. Allen, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Michael Prather, Alex Archibald, Florence Brown, Makoto Deushi, William Collins, Stephanie Fiedler, Naga Oshima, Lee T. Murray, Bjørn H. Samset, Chris Smith, Steven Turnock, Duncan Watson-Parris, Paul J. Young
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 25, 2025, Page(s) 8289-8328, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-8289-2025

Changes in IPCC scenario assessment emulators between SR1.5 and AR6 unravelled

Author(s): Zebedee R.J. Nicholls; Malte Alexander Meinshausen; Jared Lewis; Christopher J Smith; Piers Forster; Jan Sigurd Fuglestvedt; Joeri Rogelj; Jarmo Kikstra; keywan Riahi; Edward Anthony Byers
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 49, Issue 20, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099788

Coordination of rooting, xylem, and stomatal strategies explains the response of conifer forest stands to multi-year drought in the southern Sierra Nevada of California

Author(s): Junyan Ding, Polly Buotte, Roger Bales, Bradley Christoffersen, Rosie A. Fisher, Michael Goulden, Ryan Knox, Lara Kueppers, Jacquelyn Shuman, Chonggang Xu, Charles D. Koven
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 20, 2025, Page(s) 4491-4510, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-4491-2023

The consolidated European synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2019

Author(s): Petrescu, A. M. R., Qiu, C., McGrath, M. J., Peylin, P., Peters, G. P., Ciais, P., Thompson, R. L., Tsuruta, A., Brunner, D., Kuhnert, M., Matthews, B., Palmer, P. I., Tarasova, O., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Etiope, G., Aalto, T., Balsamo, G., Bastrikov, V., Berchet, A., Brockmann, P., Ciotoli, G., Conchedda, G., Crippa, M., Dentener, F., Gro
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 15, 1197–1268, 2023, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-1197-2023

Exploring ozone–climate interactions in idealized CMIP6 DECK experiments

Author(s): Jingyu Wang, Gabriel Chiodo, Blanca Ayarzagüena, William T. Ball, Mohamadou Diallo, Birgit Hassler, James Keeble, Peer Nowack, Clara Orbe, Sandro Vattioni, Timofei Sukhodolov
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 25, 2025, Page(s) 17819-17844, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-25-17819-2025

Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios

Author(s): Melnikova, I., Boucher, O., Cadule, P., Tanaka, K., Gasser, T., Hajima, T., Quilcaille, Y., Shiogama, H., Séférian, R., Tachiiri, K., Vuichard, N., Yokohata, T., and Ciais, P
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 779–794, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-779-2022

Apportionment of the Pre-Industrial to Present-Day Climate Forcing by Methane Using UKESM1: The Role of the Cloud Radiative Effect

Author(s): Fiona M. O’Connor, Ben T. Johnson, Omar Jamil, Timothy Andrews, Jane P. Mulcahy, James Manners
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2022MS002991, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms002991

Global changes alter the amount and composition of land carbon deliveries to European rivers and seas

Author(s): Haicheng Zhang; Ronny Lauerwald; Philippe Ciais; Kristof Van Oost; Bertrand Guenet; Pierre Regnier
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2022, 3 (1), pp.245. 10.1038/s43247-022-00575-7, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00575-7

Biogeophysical Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Not Detectable in Warmest Month

Author(s): Luke Grant, Lukas Gudmundsson, Edouard L. Davin, David M. Lawrence, Nicolas Vuichard, Eddy Robertson, Roland Séférian, Aurélien Ribes, Annette L. Hirsch, and Wim Thiery
Published in: Journal of Climate, 36, 1845–1861, 2023, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0391.1

Global analysis of the controls on seawater dimethylsulfide spatial variability

Author(s): Manville, G., Bell, T. G., Mulcahy, J. P., Simó, R., Galí, M., Mahajan, A. S., Hulswar, S., and Halloran, P. R.
Published in: Biogeosciences, 20, 1813–1828, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-1813-2023

Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink

Author(s): Mayot N., Le Quéré C., Rödenbeck C., Bernardello R., Bopp L., Djeutchouang L. M., Gehlen M., Gregor L., Gruber N., Hauck J., Iida Y., Ilyina T., Keeling R. F., Landschützer P., Manning A. C., Patara L., Resplandy L., Schwinger J., Séférian R., Watson A. J., Wright R. M. and Zeng J.
Published in: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society. Volume 381Issue 2249, 2023, ISSN 1471-2962
Publisher: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0055

Modeling radiative and climatic effects of brown carbon aerosols with the ARPEGE-Climat global climate model

Author(s): Thomas Drugé; Pierre Nabat; Marc Mallet; Martine Michou; Samuel Rémy; Oleg Dubovik
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2022, 22 (18), pp.12167-12205, 2022, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-12167-2022

Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): Ranjini Swaminathan, Jacob Schewe, Jeremy Walton, Klaus Zimmermann, Colin Jones, Richard A. Betts, Chantelle Burton, Chris D. Jones, Matthias Mengel, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Andrew G. Turner, Katja Weigel
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004901

RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections

Author(s): Chris D. Jones, Tilo Ziehn, Jatin Anand, Ana Bastos, Eleanor Burke, Josep G. Canadell, Manoel Cardoso, Yolandi Ernst, Atul K. Jain, Sujong Jeong, Elizabeth D. Keller, Masayuki Kondo, Ronny Lauerwald, Tzu‐Shun Lin, Guillermo Murray‐Tortarolo, Gert‐Jan Nabuurs, Mike O’Sullivan, Ben Poulter, Xiaoyu Qin, Celso von Randow, Marcos Sanches, Dmitry Schepaschenko, Anatoly Shvidenko, T. Luke Smallma
Published in: AGU Advances, Issue 4, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023av001024

Dynamic ecosystem assembly and escaping the “fire trap” in the tropics: insights from FATES_15.0.0

Author(s): Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Rosie A. Fisher, Charles Koven, Ryan Knox, Lara Kueppers, Chonggang Xu
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 4643-4671, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4643-2024

Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

Author(s): Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Phil
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 5197-5217, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

Climate‐Driven Projections of Future Global Wetlands Extent

Author(s): Lucas Hardouin, Bertrand Decharme, Jeanne Colin, Christine Delire
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004553

Diazotrophy as a key driver of the response of marine net primary productivity to climate change

Author(s): Bopp, L., Aumont, O., Kwiatkowski, L., Clerc, C., Dupont, L., Ethé, C., Gorgues, T., Séférian, R., and Tagliabue, A.
Published in: Biogeosciences, 19, 4267–4285, 2022, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/bg-19-4267-2022

Quantification of hydraulic trait control on plant hydrodynamics and risk of hydraulic failure within a demographic structured vegetation model in a tropical forest (FATES–HYDRO V1.0)

Author(s): Chonggang Xu, Bradley Christoffersen, Zachary Robbins, Ryan Knox, Rosie A. Fisher, Rutuja Chitra-Tarak, Martijn Slot, Kurt Solander, Lara Kueppers, Charles Koven, Nate McDowell
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 16, 2023, Page(s) 6267-6283, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-6267-2023

Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfiresin a warming climate

Author(s): Yuanyu Xie, Meiyun Lin, Bertrand Decharme, Christine Delire, Larry W. Horowitz, David M. Lawrence, Fang Li and Roland Séférian
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 119, Issue 14, 2022, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2111372119

Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change – progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP

Author(s): Stephanie Fiedler, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Christopher J. Smith, Paul Griffiths, Ryan J. Kramer, Toshihiko Takemura, Robert J. Allen, Ulas Im, Matthew Kasoar, Angshuman Modak, Steven Turnock, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Duncan Watson-Parris, Daniel M. Westervelt, Laura J. Wilcox, Alcide Zhao, William J. Collins, Michael Schulz, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M. Forster
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 2387-2417, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Global Surface Ocean Acidification Indicators From 1750 to 2100

Author(s): Li-Qing Jiang, John Dunne, Brendan R. Carter, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Jens Terhaar, Jonathan D. Sharp, Are Olsen, Simone Alin, Dorothee C. E. Bakker, Richard A. Feely, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, Patrick Hogan, Tatiana Ilyina, Nico Lange, Siv K. Lauvset, Ernie R. Lewis, Tomas Lovato, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Gary Strand, Neil Swart, Tos
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003563, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003563

Global Estimation of the Eddy Kinetic Energy Dissipation From a Diagnostic Energy Balance

Author(s): Romain Torres, Robin Waldman, Julian Mak, Roland Séférian
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl104688

Global Carbon Budget 2024

Author(s): Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O'Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, Robbie M. Andrew, Judith Hauck, Peter Landschützer, Corinne Le Quéré, Hongmei Li, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Are Olsen, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Clemens Schwingshackl, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Robert B. Jackson, Simone R. Alin, Almut Arneth, Vivek Arora, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Nicolas Be
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 965-1039, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025

Ocean Barotropic Vorticity Balances: Theory and Application to Numerical Models

Author(s): Waldman, R., & Giordani, H.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003276, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003276

Least-cost and 2 °C-compliant mitigation pathways robust to physical uncertainty, economic paradigms, and intergenerational cost distribution

Author(s): Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Franck Lecocq, Johannes Bednar, Katsumasa Tanaka, Philippe Ciais
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue 3, 2024, Page(s) 025005, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad34a8

On the chances of staying below the 1.5°C warming target

Author(s): Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Katsumasa Tanaka, Philippe Ciais
Published in: Cell Reports Sustainability, Issue 1, 2024, Page(s) 100127, ISSN 2949-7906
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.crsus.2024.100127

fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections

Author(s): Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, Antti-Ilari Partanen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2024, Page(s) 8569-8592, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024

The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization

Author(s): Sofia Palazzo Corner, Martin Siegert, Paulo Ceppi, Baylor Fox-Kemper, Thomas L. Frölicher, Angela Gallego-Sala, Joanna Haigh, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Chris D. Jones, Reto Knutti, Charles D. Koven, Andrew H. MacDougall, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, Jean Baptiste Sallée, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Merritt Turetsky, Richard G. Williams, Sönke Zaehle, Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Frontiers in Science, Issue 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

Net zero targets in science and policy

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Environmental Research Letters volume 18 issue 2 on page 021003, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae

Simulations of ocean deoxygenation in the historical era: insights from forced and coupled models

Author(s): Yohei Takano, Tatiana Ilyina, Jerry Tjiputra, Yassir A. Eddebbar, Sarah Berthet, Laurent Bopp, Erik Buitenhuis, Momme Butenschön, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Matthias Gröger, Hakase Hayashida, Jenny Hieronymus, Torben Koenigk, John P. Krasting, Mathew C. Long, Tomas Lovato, Hideyuki Nakano, Julien Palmieri, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Hiroaki Tatebe, Hiro
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 10, 2024, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1139917

Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance

Author(s): Sanderson, Benjamin M.; Rugenstein, Maria
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1715–1736, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1715-2022

A principle-based framework to determine countries’ fair warming contributions to the Paris Agreement

Author(s): Mingyu Li, Setu Pelz, Robin Lamboll, Can Wang, Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56397-6

A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)

Author(s): Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, G
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 4533-4559, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024

The sensitivity of the marine carbonate system to regional ocean alkalinity enhancement

Author(s): Burt DJ, Fröb F and Ilyina T
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.624075

Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model

Author(s): Zhang, H., Lauerwald, R., Regnier, P., Ciais, P., Van Oost, K., Naipal, V., Guenet, B., and Yuan, W.: Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model
Published in: Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144,, 2022, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Göttingen Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022

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Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01554-7

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Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 24, 2024, Page(s) 1587-1605, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/acp-24-1587-2024

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Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 14, 2023, Page(s) 1295-1315, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1295-2023

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