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Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs

Deliverables

Release of complete set of communication materials and tools, incl. the public website-V 1.0

First version of full project communication chain as described in Communication Activities sec 236

Four review reports on key overshoot adaptation challenges in Iconic Regions and Cities

Potential socioecological tipping points irreversible impacts and spatial opportunities and conditions for integrating future adaptation measures in Iconic Regions and Cities including insights from first set of stakeholder meetings

Policy brief on PROVIDE findings of adaptation and mitigation implications of overshoot risks as input into the Global Stocktake

Publications

Uncompensated claims to fair emission space risk putting Paris Agreement goals out of reach

Author(s): Gaurav Ganti, Matthew J Gidden, Christopher J Smith, Claire Fyson, Alexander Nauels, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

The zero emissions commitment and climate stabilization

Author(s): Palazzo Corner et al.
Published in: Frontiers in Science, Issue Volume 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

ire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100

Author(s): Quilcaille, Y., Batibeniz, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Padrón, R. S., and Seneviratne, S. I.
Published in: Earth Syst. Sci. Data, Issue 15, 2153–2177, 2023, ISSN 1866-3508
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Author(s): Santana-Falcon et al.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Volume 4, Number 343, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments

Author(s): Harrington, L.J., Schleussner, CF. & Otto, F.E.L.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12, Article number: 7140, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Ocean acidification in emission-driven temperature stabilization scenarios: the role of TCRE and non-CO2 greenhouse gases

Author(s): Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Fortunat Joos
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acaf91

Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters

Author(s): Rounce, D. R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., Farinotti, D., Menounos, B. and McNabb, R. W
Published in: Science, Issue Volume 379, Issue 6627, 2023, Page(s) 78–83, ISSN 1095-9203
Publisher: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abo1324

Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios

Author(s): Peter Pfleiderer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Jana Sillmann
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue Climate 3 015005, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45

Adaptive emission reduction approach to reach any global warming target

Author(s): Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Mathias T. Aschwanden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Fortunat Joos
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Volume 12, 2022, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01537-9

Understanding the carbon dioxide removal range in 1.5 °C compatible and high overshoot pathways

Author(s): Ruben Prütz, Jessica Strefler, Joeri Rogelj, and Sabine Fuss
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue Volume 5, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/accdba

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Author(s): Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 3, Article number: 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

A taxonomy to map evidence on the co-benefits, challenges, and limits of carbon dioxide removal

Author(s): Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Sarah Lück, Leon Stephan & Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, Article number: 197 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01365-z

A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE project

Author(s): Robin Lamboll; Joeri Rogelj; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Issue 1, 2022
Publisher: Climate Analytics
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10511875.1

Future evolution of glaciers

Author(s): Fabien Maussion, Zora Schirmeister and Lilian Schuster
Published in: 2023
Publisher: OGGM-Edu Developers

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