Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs | PROVIDE | Project | Results | H2020 | CORDIS

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Policy brief on climate and sectoral overshoot impacts and reversibility assessments, and implications for adaptation
Report on biodiversity impacts of overshoot

This deliverable report summarizes the final results of Task 2.4.

First overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Four review reports on key overshoot adaptation challenges in Iconic Regions and Cities

Potential socioecological tipping points irreversible impacts and spatial opportunities and conditions for integrating future adaptation measures in Iconic Regions and Cities including insights from first set of stakeholder meetings

Second overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Co-developed iconic overshoot adaptation scenario narratives and high-resolution maps

Include assessments of options to avoid adverse tipping points and allow for future reverse adaptation

Policy brief on Overshoot Proofing
Four overshoot proofing reports for Iconic Regions and Cities

Multiscale (regional and urban) proposals for overshoot-proofed adaptation strategies produced, and internal meeting held to ensure coherence with WP3 methodology.

Policy brief on PROVIDE findings of adaptation and mitigation implications of overshoot risks as input into the Global Stocktake
Policy brief on assessment of GHG emissions implied by the latest round of NDCs under the Paris Agreement, their plausible temperature implications, and CDR deployment scales in associated pathways

Release of complete set of communication materials and tools, incl. the public website-V 1.0

First version of full project communication chain as described in Communication Activities sec 236

Capacity-building resources and webinars on application of climate impact information for overshoot proofing

Final version of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information and reversibility assessments, and the Overshoot Proofing Module
Version 1 of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information as well as a first version of the Regional Module
Version 0 of the CS Dashboard providing information on few variables with global coverage

Publications

High resolution modelling of the urban heat island of 100 European cities

Author(s): Dirk Lauwaet, Julie Berckmans, Hans Hooyberghs, Hendrik Wouters, Guy Driesen, Filip Lefebre, Koen De Ridder
Published in: Urban Climate, Issue Volume 54, March 2024, 101850, 2024, ISSN 2212-0955
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101850

Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections

Author(s): Kai Kornhuber, Corey Lesk, Carl F. Schleussner, Jonas Jägermeyr, Peter Pfleiderer & Radley M. Horton
Published in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38906-7

Uncompensated claims to fair emission space risk putting Paris Agreement goals out of reach

Author(s): Gaurav Ganti, Matthew J Gidden, Christopher J Smith, Claire Fyson, Alexander Nauels, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

Modelling marine heatwaves impact on shallow and upper mesophotic tropical coral reefs

Author(s): Nicolas Colombi, Chahan M Kropf, Friedrich A Burger, David N Bresch, Thomas L Frölicher
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 124053, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad89df

Representing natural climate variability in an event attribution context: Indo-Pakistani heatwave of 2022

Author(s): Shruti Nath a b, Mathias Hauser b, Dominik L. Schumacher b, Quentin Lejeune a, Lukas Gudmundsson b, Yann Quilcaille b, Pierre Candela c, Fahad Saeed a, Sonia I. Seneviratne b, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner a d
Published in: Weather and Climate Extremes, Issue Volume 44, June 2024, 100671, 2024, ISSN 2212-0947
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100671

The zero emissions commitment and climate stabilization

Author(s): Palazzo Corner et al.
Published in: Frontiers in Science, Issue Volume 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

Infrastructure failure cascades quintuple risk of storm and flood-induced service disruptions across the globe

Author(s): Evelyn Mühlhofer David N. Bresch Elco E. Koks
Published in: One Earth, Issue VOLUME 7, ISSUE 4, P714-729, APRIL 19, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.03.010

Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments

Author(s): Andrijevic, M., Schleussner, CF., Crespo Cuaresma, J. et al.
Published in: Nat. Clim. Chang., Issue 13, 778–787 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1

Net zero targets in science and policy

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae

Assessment of a tiling energy budget approach in a land surface model, ORCHIDEE-MICT (r8205)

Author(s): Yi Xi, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Dan Zhu, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Jinfeng Chang, Elodie Salmon, and Philippe Ciais
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4727-2024

The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7

Author(s): Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ben B. B. Booth, John Dunne, Veronika Eyring, Rosie A. Fisher, Pierre Friedlingstein, Matthew J. Gidden, Tomohiro Hajima, Chris D. Jones, Colin G. Jones, Andrew King, Charles D. Koven, David M. Lawrence, Jason Lowe, Nadine Mengis, Glen P. Peters, Joeri Rogelj, Chris Smith, Abigail C. Snyder, Isla R. Simpson, Abigail L. S. Swann, Claudia Tebaldi, Tatiana Ilyina, Carl-Friedric
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2024, Page(s) 8141-8172, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024

Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives

Author(s): Gaurav Ganti, Thomas Gasser, Mai Bui, Oliver Geden, William F. Lamb, Jan C. Minx, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Matthew J. Gidden
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making

Author(s): Jana Sillmann, Timothy H. Raupach, Kirsten L. Findell, Markus Donat, Lincoln M. Alves, Lisa Alexander, Leonard Borchert, Pablo Borges de Amorim, Carlo Buontempo, Erich M. Fischer, Christian L. Franzke, Bin Guan, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ed Hawkins, Daniela Jacob, Roché Mahon, Douglas Maraun, Monica A. Morrison, Benjamin Poschlod, Alex C. Ruane, null Shampa, Tannecia Stephenson, Narelle van der Wel, Zh
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers in Climate
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Fire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100

Author(s): Quilcaille, Y., Batibeniz, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Padrón, R. S., and Seneviratne, S. I.
Published in: Earth Syst. Sci. Data, Issue 15, 2153–2177, 2023, ISSN 1866-3508
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Author(s): Santana-Falcon et al.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Volume 4, Number 343, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj & Robin D. Lamboll
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, Article number: 35 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8

Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments

Author(s): Harrington, L.J., Schleussner, CF. & Otto, F.E.L.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12, Article number: 7140, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways

Author(s): Jonas Schwaab, Mathias Hauser, Robin D. Lamboll, Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, Yann Quilcaille, Quentin Lejeune, Sarah Schöngart, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Joeri Rogelj, Zebedee Nicholls, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Scientific Data, Issue 11, 2024, ISSN 2052-4463
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1

Introducing the MESMER-M-TPv0.1.0 module: spatially explicit Earth system model emulation for monthly precipitation and temperature

Author(s): Sarah Schöngart, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Peter Pfleiderer, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2024, Page(s) 8283-8320, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8283-2024

Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate

Author(s): Luca G. Severino, Chahan M. Kropf, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Christopher Fairless, Andries Jan de Vries, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, David N. Bresch
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Issue 24, 2024, Page(s) 1555-1578, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

Author(s): Tessa Möller, Annika Ernest Högner, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Samuel Bien, Niklas H. Kitzmann, Robin D. Lamboll, Joeri Rogelj, Jonathan F. Donges, Johan Rockström, Nico Wunderling
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0

Ocean acidification in emission-driven temperature stabilization scenarios: the role of TCRE and non-CO2 greenhouse gases

Author(s): Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Fortunat Joos
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acaf91

Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations

Author(s): Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David R. Rounce, Rodrigo Aguayo, Nicolas Champollion, Loris Compagno, Romain Hugonnet, Ben Marzeion, Seyedhamidreza Mojtabavi, Daniel Farinotti
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 18, 2024, Page(s) 5045-5066, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5045-2024

Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled

Author(s): Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, C. J. Smith, P. M. Forster, J. S. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, J. S. Kikstra, K. Riahi, E. Byers
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Volume49, Issue20, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099788

CICERO Simple Climate Model (CICERO-SCM v1.1.1) – an improved simple climate model with a parameter calibration tool

Author(s): Marit Sandstad, Borgar Aamaas, Ane Nordlie Johansen, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Glen Peters, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-196

Coupling a large-scale glacier and hydrological model (OGGM v1.5.3 and CWatM V1.08) – towards an improved representation of mountain water resources in global assessments

Author(s): Sarah Hanus, Lilian Schuster, Peter Burek, Fabien Maussion, Yoshihide Wada, and Daniel Viviroli
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-5123-2024

Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections

Author(s): Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004575

Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters

Author(s): Rounce, D. R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., Farinotti, D., Menounos, B. and McNabb, R. W
Published in: Science, Issue Volume 379, Issue 6627, 2023, Page(s) 78–83, ISSN 1095-9203
Publisher: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abo1324

Hydrologic interpretation of machine learning models for 10-daily streamflow simulation in climate sensitive upper Indus catchments

Author(s): Haris Mushtaq, Taimoor Akhtar, Muhammad Zia ur Rahman Hashmi, Amjad Masood & Fahad Saeed
Published in: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2024, ISSN 0177-798X
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-024-04932-8

Global protection from tropical cyclones by coastal ecosystems—past, present, and under climate change

Author(s): Sarah Hülsen, Robert I McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, David N Bresch, Richard Sharp, Thomas Worthington and Chahan M Kropf
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Volume 18, Number 12, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad00cd

Climate-resilient strategy planning using the SWOT methodology: A case study of the Japanese wind energy sector

Author(s): Lisa Bachmann, Ricarda Lex, Florian Regli, Saira Vögeli, Evelyn Mühlhofer, Jamie W. McCaughey, Susanne Hanger-Kopp, David N. Bresch, Chahan M. Kropf
Published in: Climate Risk Management, Issue 46, 2025, Page(s) 100665, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Climate Risk Management
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100665

Mapping the climate risk to urban forests at city scale

Author(s): Esperon-Rodriguez, M.; Gallagher, R.V.; Souverijns, N.; Lejeune, Q.; Schleussner, C.-F.; Tjoelker, M.G.
Published in: Landscape and Urban Planning, 2024, ISSN 1872-6062
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2024.105090

Glacier projections sensitivity to temperature-index model choices and calibration strategies

Author(s): Lilian Schuster; David R. Rounce; Fabien Maussion
Published in: Annals of Glaciology,, Issue 6, 2023, Page(s) Pp 1-16, ISSN 1727-5644
Publisher: University of Lethbridge, Canada
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.57

Overconfidence in climate overshoot

Author(s): Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Quentin Lejeune, Biqing Zhu, Peter Pfleiderer, Ruben Prütz, Philippe Ciais, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Thomas Gasser, Matthew J. Gidden, Chahan M. Kropf, Fabrice Lacroix, Robin Lamboll, Rosanne Martyr, Fabien Maussion, Jamie W. McCaughey, Malte Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel, Zebedee Nicholls, Yann Quilcaille, Benjamin Sanderson, Sonia I. Seneviratn
Published in: Nature, Issue 634, 2024, Page(s) 366-373, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9

Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios

Author(s): Peter Pfleiderer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Jana Sillmann
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue Climate 3 015005, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45

Arctic rivers tell tales of change

Author(s): Fabrice Lacroix
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 16, 2023, Page(s) 760-761, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-023-01248-6

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Author(s): Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1432654

Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots

Author(s): Fabrice Lacroix, Friedrich A. Burger, Yona Silvy, Carl‐F. Schleussner, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004862

Estimating vanishing allowable emissions for 1.5 °C

Author(s): Benjamin M. Sanderson
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 13, 2023, Page(s) 1284-1285, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01846-7

Adaptive emission reduction approach to reach any global warming target

Author(s): Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Mathias T. Aschwanden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Fortunat Joos
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Volume 12, 2022, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01537-9

Understanding the carbon dioxide removal range in 1.5 °C compatible and high overshoot pathways

Author(s): Ruben Prütz, Jessica Strefler, Joeri Rogelj, and Sabine Fuss
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue Volume 5, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/accdba

Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change

Author(s): Lukas Gudmundsson; Josefine Kirchner; Anne Gädeke; Jeannette Noetzli; Boris K Biskaborn
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol 17, Iss 9, p 095014 (2022), 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2

Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways

Author(s): Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka Balu Narayan, Ryan Sebastian Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 1055-1071, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024

A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges.

Author(s): van de Ven, DJ., Mittal, S., Gambhir, A. et al.
Published in: Nat. Clim. Chang., Issue 13, 570–578 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01661-0

Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S)

Author(s): Rodrigo Aguayo, Fabien Maussion, Lilian Schuster, Marius Schaefer, Alexis Caro, Patrick Schmitt, Jonathan Mackay, Lizz Ultee, Jorge Leon-Muñoz, Mauricio Aguayo
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 18, 2024, Page(s) 5383-5406, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5383-2024

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Author(s): Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 3, Article number: 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

Credibility gap in net-zero climate targets leaves world at high risk

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj, Taryn Fransen, Michel G. J. den Elzen, Robin D. Lamboll, Clea Schumer, Takeshi Kuramochi, Frederic Hans, Silke Mooldijk, Joana Portugal-Pereira
Published in: Science, Issue 380, 2024, Page(s) 1014-1016, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.adg6248

Tropical cyclone risk for global ecosystems in a changing climate

Author(s): Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 15, 2025, Page(s) 92-100, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02194-w

A taxonomy to map evidence on the co-benefits, challenges, and limits of carbon dioxide removal

Author(s): Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Sarah Lück, Leon Stephan & Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, Article number: 197 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01365-z

Why half a degree matters so much

Author(s): Grete K. Hovelsrud; Helena Gonzales Lindberg
Published in: The Circle, 2024, Page(s) 14-16
Publisher: WWF

Climate Risk Dashboard

Author(s): Lilian Schuster, Patrick Schmitt and Fabien Maussion.
Published in: 2024
Publisher: OGGM-Edu

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Author(s): Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia Seneviratne
Published in: Preprint, 2024
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4796598/v1

Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5°C

Author(s): Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David Rounce, Lizz Ultee, Patrick Schmitt, Fabrice Lacroix, Thomas Frölicher, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: preprint is Under Review at Nature Portfolio, 2024
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5045894/v1

Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Snow Avalanche-Induced Risk in Alpine Regions

Author(s): Gregor Ortner, Adrien Michel, Chahan M. Kropf, Michael Bründl, David N. Bresch
Published in: preprint, 2023, ISSN 2693-5015
Publisher: Research Square Platform LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3475066/v1

Imputation of missing IPCC AR6 data on land carbon sequestration

Author(s): Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], 2024, ISSN 1866-3508
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-2024-68

Fire Weather Compromises Large-scale Afforestation Scenarios

Author(s): Jäger, Felix; Schwaab, Jonas; Quilcaille, Yann ; Windisch, Michael; Doelman, Jonathan C.; Frank, Stefan; Gusti, Mykola; Havlik, Petr; Humpenöder, Florian; Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Andrey; Müller, Christoph; Narayan, Kanishka, B.; Padrón Flasher, Ryan ; Popp, Alexander; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Wögerer, Michael; Seneviratne, Sonia I.
Published in: 2023
Publisher: ETHZ
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000614820

How to minimise the risks from overshooting the 1.5C limit

Author(s): Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Prof Joeri Rogelj
Published in: Issue 9 October 2024, 2024
Publisher: Carbon Brief

Inter-model differences in 21st Century Glacier Runoff for the World’s Major River Basins

Author(s): Finn Wimberly, Lizz Ultee, Lilian Schuster, Matthias Huss, David R. Rounce, Fabien Maussion, Sloan Coats, Jonathan Mackay, Erik Holmgren
Published in: preprint (under review), 2024
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1778

Long-term impacts of global temperature stabilization and overshoot on exploited marine species

Author(s): Anne L. Morée, Fabrice Lacroix, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Published in: Preprint, 2024
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090

A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE project

Author(s): Robin Lamboll; Joeri Rogelj; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Issue 1, 2022
Publisher: Climate Analytics
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10511875.1

Recent observations and glacier modeling point towards near complete glacier loss in western Austria (Ötztal and Stubai mountain range) if 1.5 °C is not met

Author(s): Lea Hartl, Patrick Schmitt, Lilian Schuster, Kay Helfricht, Jakob Abermann, Fabien Maussion
Published in: Preprint: The EGU interactive community platform, 2024
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3146

What 1.5C overshoot would mean for climate impacts and adaptation

Author(s): Dr Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Prof Rachel Warren; Dr Fabien Maussion; Dr Niels Souverijns; Dr Quentin Lejeune
Published in: 2024
Publisher: Carbon Brief

Future evolution of glaciers

Author(s): Fabien Maussion, Zora Schirmeister and Lilian Schuster
Published in: 2023
Publisher: OGGM-Edu Developers

A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)

Author(s): Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, G
Published in: Geosci. Model Dev., Issue 17, 4533–4559, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024

Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy

Author(s): Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 307–322, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-307-2024

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Published in: Earth Syst. Dynam., Issue 14, 1333–1362, 2023, 2023
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1333-2023

The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty

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Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 2023
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023

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Published in: Frontiers for Young Minds, Issue 11, 2023, ISSN 2296-6846
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frym.2023.1248929

Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information

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Published in: Preprint for Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.31223/x5r088

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Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs

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