Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs | PROVIDE | Proyecto | Resultados | H2020 | CORDIS

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Policy brief on climate and sectoral overshoot impacts and reversibility assessments, and implications for adaptation
Report on biodiversity impacts of overshoot

This deliverable report summarizes the final results of Task 2.4.

First overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Four review reports on key overshoot adaptation challenges in Iconic Regions and Cities

Potential socioecological tipping points irreversible impacts and spatial opportunities and conditions for integrating future adaptation measures in Iconic Regions and Cities including insights from first set of stakeholder meetings

Second overshoot proofing reports for sectoral adaptation strategies
Co-developed iconic overshoot adaptation scenario narratives and high-resolution maps

Include assessments of options to avoid adverse tipping points and allow for future reverse adaptation

Policy brief on Overshoot Proofing
Four overshoot proofing reports for Iconic Regions and Cities

Multiscale (regional and urban) proposals for overshoot-proofed adaptation strategies produced, and internal meeting held to ensure coherence with WP3 methodology.

Policy brief on PROVIDE findings of adaptation and mitigation implications of overshoot risks as input into the Global Stocktake
Policy brief on assessment of GHG emissions implied by the latest round of NDCs under the Paris Agreement, their plausible temperature implications, and CDR deployment scales in associated pathways

Release of complete set of communication materials and tools, incl. the public website-V 1.0

First version of full project communication chain as described in Communication Activities sec 236

Capacity-building resources and webinars on application of climate impact information for overshoot proofing

Final version of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information and reversibility assessments, and the Overshoot Proofing Module
Version 1 of the CS Dashboard, providing climate and sectoral impact information as well as a first version of the Regional Module
Version 0 of the CS Dashboard providing information on few variables with global coverage

Publicaciones

High resolution modelling of the urban heat island of 100 European cities

Autores: Dirk Lauwaet, Julie Berckmans, Hans Hooyberghs, Hendrik Wouters, Guy Driesen, Filip Lefebre, Koen De Ridder
Publicado en: Urban Climate, Edición Volume 54, March 2024, 101850, 2024, ISSN 2212-0955
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101850

Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections

Autores: Kai Kornhuber, Corey Lesk, Carl F. Schleussner, Jonas Jägermeyr, Peter Pfleiderer & Radley M. Horton
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38906-7

Uncompensated claims to fair emission space risk putting Paris Agreement goals out of reach

Autores: Gaurav Ganti, Matthew J Gidden, Christopher J Smith, Claire Fyson, Alexander Nauels, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

Modelling marine heatwaves impact on shallow and upper mesophotic tropical coral reefs

Autores: Nicolas Colombi, Chahan M Kropf, Friedrich A Burger, David N Bresch, Thomas L Frölicher
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2024, Página(s) 124053, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad89df

Representing natural climate variability in an event attribution context: Indo-Pakistani heatwave of 2022

Autores: Shruti Nath a b, Mathias Hauser b, Dominik L. Schumacher b, Quentin Lejeune a, Lukas Gudmundsson b, Yann Quilcaille b, Pierre Candela c, Fahad Saeed a, Sonia I. Seneviratne b, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner a d
Publicado en: Weather and Climate Extremes, Edición Volume 44, June 2024, 100671, 2024, ISSN 2212-0947
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100671

The zero emissions commitment and climate stabilization

Autores: Palazzo Corner et al.
Publicado en: Frontiers in Science, Edición Volume 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744

Infrastructure failure cascades quintuple risk of storm and flood-induced service disruptions across the globe

Autores: Evelyn Mühlhofer David N. Bresch Elco E. Koks
Publicado en: One Earth, Edición VOLUME 7, ISSUE 4, P714-729, APRIL 19, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2590-3322
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.03.010

Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments

Autores: Andrijevic, M., Schleussner, CF., Crespo Cuaresma, J. et al.
Publicado en: Nat. Clim. Chang., Edición 13, 778–787 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1

Net zero targets in science and policy

Autores: Joeri Rogelj
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae

Assessment of a tiling energy budget approach in a land surface model, ORCHIDEE-MICT (r8205)

Autores: Yi Xi, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Dan Zhu, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Jinfeng Chang, Elodie Salmon, and Philippe Ciais
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4727-2024

The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7

Autores: Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ben B. B. Booth, John Dunne, Veronika Eyring, Rosie A. Fisher, Pierre Friedlingstein, Matthew J. Gidden, Tomohiro Hajima, Chris D. Jones, Colin G. Jones, Andrew King, Charles D. Koven, David M. Lawrence, Jason Lowe, Nadine Mengis, Glen P. Peters, Joeri Rogelj, Chris Smith, Abigail C. Snyder, Isla R. Simpson, Abigail L. S. Swann, Claudia Tebaldi, Tatiana Ilyina, Carl-Friedric
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 17, 2024, Página(s) 8141-8172, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024

Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives

Autores: Gaurav Ganti, Thomas Gasser, Mai Bui, Oliver Geden, William F. Lamb, Jan C. Minx, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Matthew J. Gidden
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making

Autores: Jana Sillmann, Timothy H. Raupach, Kirsten L. Findell, Markus Donat, Lincoln M. Alves, Lisa Alexander, Leonard Borchert, Pablo Borges de Amorim, Carlo Buontempo, Erich M. Fischer, Christian L. Franzke, Bin Guan, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ed Hawkins, Daniela Jacob, Roché Mahon, Douglas Maraun, Monica A. Morrison, Benjamin Poschlod, Alex C. Ruane, null Shampa, Tannecia Stephenson, Narelle van der Wel, Zh
Publicado en: Frontiers in Climate, Edición 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Editor: Frontiers in Climate
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Fire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100

Autores: Quilcaille, Y., Batibeniz, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Padrón, R. S., and Seneviratne, S. I.
Publicado en: Earth Syst. Sci. Data, Edición 15, 2153–2177, 2023, ISSN 1866-3508
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023

Irreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot

Autores: Santana-Falcon et al.
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición Volume 4, Number 343, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01002-1

Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget

Autores: Joeri Rogelj & Robin D. Lamboll
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 5, Article number: 35 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8

Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments

Autores: Harrington, L.J., Schleussner, CF. & Otto, F.E.L.
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 12, Article number: 7140, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways

Autores: Jonas Schwaab, Mathias Hauser, Robin D. Lamboll, Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, Yann Quilcaille, Quentin Lejeune, Sarah Schöngart, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Joeri Rogelj, Zebedee Nicholls, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publicado en: Scientific Data, Edición 11, 2024, ISSN 2052-4463
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1

Introducing the MESMER-M-TPv0.1.0 module: spatially explicit Earth system model emulation for monthly precipitation and temperature

Autores: Sarah Schöngart, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Peter Pfleiderer, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 17, 2024, Página(s) 8283-8320, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publication
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-8283-2024

Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate

Autores: Luca G. Severino, Chahan M. Kropf, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Christopher Fairless, Andries Jan de Vries, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, David N. Bresch
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Edición 24, 2024, Página(s) 1555-1578, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

Autores: Tessa Möller, Annika Ernest Högner, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Samuel Bien, Niklas H. Kitzmann, Robin D. Lamboll, Joeri Rogelj, Jonathan F. Donges, Johan Rockström, Nico Wunderling
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0

Ocean acidification in emission-driven temperature stabilization scenarios: the role of TCRE and non-CO2 greenhouse gases

Autores: Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Fortunat Joos
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición Volume 18, Number 2, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acaf91

Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations

Autores: Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David R. Rounce, Rodrigo Aguayo, Nicolas Champollion, Loris Compagno, Romain Hugonnet, Ben Marzeion, Seyedhamidreza Mojtabavi, Daniel Farinotti
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 18, 2024, Página(s) 5045-5066, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5045-2024

Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled

Autores: Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, C. J. Smith, P. M. Forster, J. S. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, J. S. Kikstra, K. Riahi, E. Byers
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición Volume49, Edición20, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099788

CICERO Simple Climate Model (CICERO-SCM v1.1.1) – an improved simple climate model with a parameter calibration tool

Autores: Marit Sandstad, Borgar Aamaas, Ane Nordlie Johansen, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Glen Peters, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-196

Coupling a large-scale glacier and hydrological model (OGGM v1.5.3 and CWatM V1.08) – towards an improved representation of mountain water resources in global assessments

Autores: Sarah Hanus, Lilian Schuster, Peter Burek, Fabien Maussion, Yoshihide Wada, and Daniel Viviroli
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-5123-2024

Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections

Autores: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004575

Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters

Autores: Rounce, D. R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., Farinotti, D., Menounos, B. and McNabb, R. W
Publicado en: Science, Edición Volume 379, Edición 6627, 2023, Página(s) 78–83, ISSN 1095-9203
Editor: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abo1324

Hydrologic interpretation of machine learning models for 10-daily streamflow simulation in climate sensitive upper Indus catchments

Autores: Haris Mushtaq, Taimoor Akhtar, Muhammad Zia ur Rahman Hashmi, Amjad Masood & Fahad Saeed
Publicado en: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2024, ISSN 0177-798X
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-024-04932-8

Global protection from tropical cyclones by coastal ecosystems—past, present, and under climate change

Autores: Sarah Hülsen, Robert I McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, David N Bresch, Richard Sharp, Thomas Worthington and Chahan M Kropf
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición Volume 18, Number 12, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad00cd

Climate-resilient strategy planning using the SWOT methodology: A case study of the Japanese wind energy sector

Autores: Lisa Bachmann, Ricarda Lex, Florian Regli, Saira Vögeli, Evelyn Mühlhofer, Jamie W. McCaughey, Susanne Hanger-Kopp, David N. Bresch, Chahan M. Kropf
Publicado en: Climate Risk Management, Edición 46, 2025, Página(s) 100665, ISSN 2212-0963
Editor: Climate Risk Management
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100665

Mapping the climate risk to urban forests at city scale

Autores: Esperon-Rodriguez, M.; Gallagher, R.V.; Souverijns, N.; Lejeune, Q.; Schleussner, C.-F.; Tjoelker, M.G.
Publicado en: Landscape and Urban Planning, 2024, ISSN 1872-6062
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2024.105090

Glacier projections sensitivity to temperature-index model choices and calibration strategies

Autores: Lilian Schuster; David R. Rounce; Fabien Maussion
Publicado en: Annals of Glaciology,, Edición 6, 2023, Página(s) Pp 1-16, ISSN 1727-5644
Editor: University of Lethbridge, Canada
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.57

Overconfidence in climate overshoot

Autores: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Quentin Lejeune, Biqing Zhu, Peter Pfleiderer, Ruben Prütz, Philippe Ciais, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Thomas Gasser, Matthew J. Gidden, Chahan M. Kropf, Fabrice Lacroix, Robin Lamboll, Rosanne Martyr, Fabien Maussion, Jamie W. McCaughey, Malte Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel, Zebedee Nicholls, Yann Quilcaille, Benjamin Sanderson, Sonia I. Seneviratn
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 634, 2024, Página(s) 366-373, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9

Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios

Autores: Peter Pfleiderer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Jana Sillmann
Publicado en: Environmental Research: Climate, Edición Climate 3 015005, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45

Arctic rivers tell tales of change

Autores: Fabrice Lacroix
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 16, 2023, Página(s) 760-761, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-023-01248-6

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Autores: Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Publicado en: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Edición 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1432654

Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots

Autores: Fabrice Lacroix, Friedrich A. Burger, Yona Silvy, Carl‐F. Schleussner, Thomas L. Frölicher
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2024ef004862

Estimating vanishing allowable emissions for 1.5 °C

Autores: Benjamin M. Sanderson
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 13, 2023, Página(s) 1284-1285, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01846-7

Adaptive emission reduction approach to reach any global warming target

Autores: Jens Terhaar; Thomas L. Frölicher; Mathias T. Aschwanden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Fortunat Joos
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición Volume 12, 2022, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01537-9

Understanding the carbon dioxide removal range in 1.5 °C compatible and high overshoot pathways

Autores: Ruben Prütz, Jessica Strefler, Joeri Rogelj, and Sabine Fuss
Publicado en: Environmental Research Communications, Edición Volume 5, Number 4, 2023, ISSN 2515-7620
Editor: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/accdba

Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change

Autores: Lukas Gudmundsson; Josefine Kirchner; Anne Gädeke; Jeannette Noetzli; Boris K Biskaborn
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición Vol 17, Iss 9, p 095014 (2022), 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2

Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways

Autores: Felix Jäger, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Michael Windisch, Jonathan Doelman, Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Christoph Müller, Kanishka Balu Narayan, Ryan Sebastian Padrón, Alexander Popp, Detlef van Vuuren, Michael Wögerer, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 15, 2024, Página(s) 1055-1071, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024

A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges.

Autores: van de Ven, DJ., Mittal, S., Gambhir, A. et al.
Publicado en: Nat. Clim. Chang., Edición 13, 570–578 (2023), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01661-0

Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S)

Autores: Rodrigo Aguayo, Fabien Maussion, Lilian Schuster, Marius Schaefer, Alexis Caro, Patrick Schmitt, Jonathan Mackay, Lizz Ultee, Jorge Leon-Muñoz, Mauricio Aguayo
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 18, 2024, Página(s) 5383-5406, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-5383-2024

An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives

Autores: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Gaurav Ganti; Joeri Rogelj; Matthew Gidden
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 3, Article number: 135 (2022), 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w

Credibility gap in net-zero climate targets leaves world at high risk

Autores: Joeri Rogelj, Taryn Fransen, Michel G. J. den Elzen, Robin D. Lamboll, Clea Schumer, Takeshi Kuramochi, Frederic Hans, Silke Mooldijk, Joana Portugal-Pereira
Publicado en: Science, Edición 380, 2024, Página(s) 1014-1016, ISSN 0036-8075
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.adg6248

Tropical cyclone risk for global ecosystems in a changing climate

Autores: Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 15, 2025, Página(s) 92-100, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02194-w

A taxonomy to map evidence on the co-benefits, challenges, and limits of carbon dioxide removal

Autores: Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Sarah Lück, Leon Stephan & Joeri Rogelj
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 5, Article number: 197 (2024), 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01365-z

Why half a degree matters so much

Autores: Grete K. Hovelsrud; Helena Gonzales Lindberg
Publicado en: The Circle, 2024, Página(s) 14-16
Editor: WWF

Climate Risk Dashboard

Autores: Lilian Schuster, Patrick Schmitt and Fabien Maussion.
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: OGGM-Edu

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Autores: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia Seneviratne
Publicado en: Preprint, 2024
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4796598/v1

Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5°C

Autores: Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David Rounce, Lizz Ultee, Patrick Schmitt, Fabrice Lacroix, Thomas Frölicher, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: preprint is Under Review at Nature Portfolio, 2024
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5045894/v1

Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Snow Avalanche-Induced Risk in Alpine Regions

Autores: Gregor Ortner, Adrien Michel, Chahan M. Kropf, Michael Bründl, David N. Bresch
Publicado en: preprint, 2023, ISSN 2693-5015
Editor: Research Square Platform LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3475066/v1

Imputation of missing IPCC AR6 data on land carbon sequestration

Autores: Ruben Prütz, Sabine Fuss, Joeri Rogelj
Publicado en: Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], 2024, ISSN 1866-3508
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-2024-68

Fire Weather Compromises Large-scale Afforestation Scenarios

Autores: Jäger, Felix; Schwaab, Jonas; Quilcaille, Yann ; Windisch, Michael; Doelman, Jonathan C.; Frank, Stefan; Gusti, Mykola; Havlik, Petr; Humpenöder, Florian; Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Andrey; Müller, Christoph; Narayan, Kanishka, B.; Padrón Flasher, Ryan ; Popp, Alexander; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Wögerer, Michael; Seneviratne, Sonia I.
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: ETHZ
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000614820

How to minimise the risks from overshooting the 1.5C limit

Autores: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Prof Joeri Rogelj
Publicado en: Edición 9 October 2024, 2024
Editor: Carbon Brief

Inter-model differences in 21st Century Glacier Runoff for the World’s Major River Basins

Autores: Finn Wimberly, Lizz Ultee, Lilian Schuster, Matthias Huss, David R. Rounce, Fabien Maussion, Sloan Coats, Jonathan Mackay, Erik Holmgren
Publicado en: preprint (under review), 2024
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1778

Long-term impacts of global temperature stabilization and overshoot on exploited marine species

Autores: Anne L. Morée, Fabrice Lacroix, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Publicado en: Preprint, 2024
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3090

A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE project

Autores: Robin Lamboll; Joeri Rogelj; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Edición 1, 2022
Editor: Climate Analytics
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10511875.1

Recent observations and glacier modeling point towards near complete glacier loss in western Austria (Ötztal and Stubai mountain range) if 1.5 °C is not met

Autores: Lea Hartl, Patrick Schmitt, Lilian Schuster, Kay Helfricht, Jakob Abermann, Fabien Maussion
Publicado en: Preprint: The EGU interactive community platform, 2024
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-3146

What 1.5C overshoot would mean for climate impacts and adaptation

Autores: Dr Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Prof Rachel Warren; Dr Fabien Maussion; Dr Niels Souverijns; Dr Quentin Lejeune
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: Carbon Brief

Future evolution of glaciers

Autores: Fabien Maussion, Zora Schirmeister and Lilian Schuster
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: OGGM-Edu Developers

A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)

Autores: Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, G
Publicado en: Geosci. Model Dev., Edición 17, 4533–4559, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024

Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy

Autores: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 15, 307–322, 2024, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-307-2024

Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture

Autores: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publicado en: Earth Syst. Dynam., Edición 14, 1333–1362, 2023, 2023
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-1333-2023

The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty

Autores: Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2023
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023

Taking Earth’s Temperature: Will Zero Carbon Mean Zero Change?

Autores: Sofia Palazzo Corner, Joeri Rogelj
Publicado en: Frontiers for Young Minds, Edición 11, 2023, ISSN 2296-6846
Editor: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frym.2023.1248929

Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information

Autores: Peter Pfleiderer, Thomas Frölicher, Chahan Kropf, Robin Lamboll, Quentin Lejeune, Tiago Lourenco, Jamie McCaughey, Yann Quilcaille, Joeri Rogelj, Benjamin Sanderson, Christopher Smith, Jana Sillmann, Emily Theokritoff, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Preprint for Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.31223/x5r088

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Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs

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