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Ocean Cryosphere Exchanges in ANtarctica: Impacts on Climate and the Earth system

Descripción del proyecto

Predicción del destino de la capa de hielo más grande de la Tierra

La masa de hielo más grande de la Tierra, la capa de hielo de la Antártida, cubre más de catorce millones de kilómetros cuadrados. Su destino depende de cómo de rápido podamos detener el calentamiento del planeta. Su derretimiento provocaría un aumento catastrófico del nivel del mar. En el proyecto OCEAN ICE, financiado con fondos europeos, se mejorarán las evaluaciones del efecto del derretimiento de las capas de hielo en el clima europeo. Su equipo creará un modelo capa de hielo-clima que se podrá emplear para predecir cómo afectan los cambios en las capas de hielo de la Antártida y Groenlandia al clima mundial. Además, empleará datos existentes para realizar nuevos cálculos del derretimiento de las capas de hielo y el efecto en la circulación oceánica.

Objetivo

OCEAN:ICE will assess the impacts of key Antarctic Ice Sheet and Southern Ocean processes on Planet Earth, via their influence on sea level rise, deep water formation, ocean circulation and climate. An innovative and ambitious combination of observations and numerical models, including coupled ice sheet-climate model development, will be used to improve predictions of how changes in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets impact global climate. It will make new circumpolar and Atlantic observations in observational gaps. It will assimilate these and existing data into improved ice sheet boundary conditions and forcing, producing new estimates of ice sheet melt and impacts on ocean circulation, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning circulation. It will develop, calibrate and assess models used to predict the future evolution of the giant ice sheets. It will reduce the deep uncertainty in the impact of their melt on societally relevant environmental changes on decadal to multi-centennial time scales. OCEAN:ICE will assess the potential for passing ice sheet 'tipping points' and their consequences for ocean circulation and climate.

OCEAN:ICE will raise the profile of European research through its extensive network of international collaborators, who provide scientific and logistical support. It will directly contribute to the All-Atlantic Ocean Research Alliance through observations, logistical collaboration and analysis. It will significantly advance the state-of-the-art in coupled ice sheet-climate modelling and directly contribute to international climate assessments such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and World Ocean Assessment. It will link organically to European data centres to disseminate its data, following FAIR and INSPIRE principles. It will deliver improved assessments of European climate impacts from the melting ice sheets, with actionable risk and timescales, to policymakers and the public.

Coordinador

DANMARKS METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT
Aportación neta de la UEn
€ 380 177,50
Dirección
LYNGBYVEJ 100
2100 Kobenhavn
Dinamarca

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Región
Danmark Hovedstaden Byen København
Tipo de actividad
Research Organisations
Enlaces
Coste total
€ 380 177,50

Participantes (11)

Socios (6)