NET ZERO PATHWAY RESEARCH THROUGH INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL ADVANCEMENTS

Informations projet

PRISMA

N° de convention de subvention: 101081604

DOI

10.3030/101081604

Date de signature de la CE 7 Septembre 2022

Date de début 1 Janvier 2023

Date de fin 31 Decembre 2026

Financé au titre de

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Coût total

€ 4 457 810,00

Contribution de l’UE

€ 4 457 809,50

Coordonné par

FONDAZIONE CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEOSUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI
Italy

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Data sets, microdata, etc (3)

Database of up-to-date probabilistic technology cost forecasts

Database of up-to-date probabilistic technology cost forecastsRelated Tasks: 3.3

Open-source lifestyle change model and IAM linkage source code

Open-source lifestyle change model and IAM linkage source codeRelated Tasks: 4.2

Open Database of region- and technology-specific cost of capital

Open Database of region- and technology-specific cost of capitalRelated Tasks: 3.2

Documents, reports (4)

Critical risks analysis

Critical risks analysisRelated Tasks: 7.1, 7.3

Non-technical brief: What can our models deliver?

Non-technical brief: What can our models deliver?Related Tasks: 1.1

Mid-term project report

Mid-term project reportRelated Tasks: 7.1

Detailed nomenclature (list of variables including definitions and recommended units) for comparison of IAM scenario assumptions and reference data

Detailed nomenclature (list of variables including definitions and recommended units) for comparison of IAM scenario assumptions and reference dataRelated Tasks: 1.3

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (45)

A Multi-Model Assessment of Inequality and Climate Change

Auteurs: Johannes Emmerling; Pietro Andreoni; Ioannis Charalampidis; Shouro Dasgupta; Francis Dennig; Simon Feindt; Dimitris Fragkiadakis; Panagiotis Fragkos; Shinichiro Fujimori; Martino Gilli; Carolina Grottera; Celine Guivarch; Ulrike Kornek; Elmar Kriegler; Daniele Malerba; Giacomo Marangoni; Aurélie Méjean; Femke Nijsse; Franziska Piontek; Yeliz Simsek; Bjoern Soergel; Nicolas Taconet; Toon Vandyck; Marie Young-Brun; Shiya Zhao; Yu Zheng; Massimo Tavoni
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02151-7

The role of low carbon fuels towards net-zero in integrated assessment models and energy system models: A critical review

Auteurs: Zipeng Liu, Meixi Zhang, Christian Bauer, Russell McKenna
Publié dans: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numéro 215, 2026, ISSN 1364-0321
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RSER.2025.115608

CIRCEE, the CIRCular Energy Economy model: Bridging the gap between economic and industrial ecology concepts

Auteurs: Corbier, Darius; Pettifor, Hazel; Agnew, Maureen; Drouet, Laurent
Publié dans: Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2024, ISSN 1530-9290
Éditeur: Wiley-Blackwell
DOI: 10.1111/JIEC.13587

The effects of local interventions on global technological change through spillovers: A modeling framework and application to the road-freight sector

Auteurs: Bessie Noll, Bjarne Steffen, Tobias S. Schmidt
Publié dans: PNAS, Numéro 120 (42), 2023, ISSN 1091-6490
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2215684120

Technology innovation and environmental outcomes of road transportation policy instruments

Auteurs: Clara Ma, Cristina Peñasco, Laura Díaz Anadón
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-59111-8

International knowledge spillovers in energy technologies

Auteurs: Kim Y., Verdolini E.
Publié dans: Energy Strategy Reviews, 2023, ISSN 2211-467X
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2023.101151

Considering technology characteristics to project future costs of direct air capture

Auteurs: Katrin Sievert, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Publié dans: Joule, Numéro 8 (4), 2024, ISSN 2542-4351
Éditeur: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2024.02.005

Modelling induced innovation for the low-carbon energy transition: a menu of options

Auteurs: Roberto Pasqualino, Cristina Penasco, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Fernanda Senra De Moura, Sergey Kolesnikov, Sarah Hafner, Femke J M M Nijsse, Francesco Lamperti, Ben Hinder, Yaroslav Melekh, Simon Sharpe, Aled W Jones, Laura Díaz Anadón, Timothy M Lenton, M
Publié dans: ERL, Numéro 19, 073004, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad4c79

Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital

Auteurs: Bastien-Olvera, B.A., Conte, M.N., Dong, X., Briceno, T., Batker, D., Emmerling, J., Tavoni, M., Granella, F. and Moore, F.C.
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 625, 2024, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06769-z

Decarbonising the EU Buildings|Model-Based Insights from European Countries

Auteurs: Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleftheria Zisarou
Publié dans: Climate, Numéro 12(6), 85, 2024, ISSN 2078-2489
Éditeur: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/cli12060085

Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector

Auteurs: Andreas Andreou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Faidra Filippidou, Eleftheria Zisarou, Georgios Avgerinopoulos, Robert Pietzcker, Robin Hasse, Ricarda Rosemann
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, Numéro 7, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ADB9D8

Decarbonizing the cement industry: Findings from coupling prospective life cycle assessment of clinker with integrated assessment model scenarios

Auteurs: Müller Amelie, Carina Harpprecht, Romain Sacchi, Ben Maes, Mariësse van Sluisveld, Vassilis Daioglou, Branko Šavija, and Bernhard Steubing
Publié dans: Journal of Cleaner Production, Numéro 450, 2024, ISSN 1879-1786
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141884

Disentangling the carbon emissions impact of digital consumer innovations

Auteurs: Pettifor, H; Agnew, M; Wilson, C; Niamir, L
Publié dans: Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, ISSN 1879-1786
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2024.144412

Demand-side strategies enable rapid and deep cuts in buildings and transport emissions to 2050

Auteurs: van Heerden, Rik; Edelenbosch, Oreane; Daioglou, Vassilis; Le Gallic, Thomas; Baptista, Luiz; Di Bella, Alice; Colelli, Francesco; Emmerling, Johannes; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Hasse, Robin; Hoppe, Johanna; Kishimoto, Paul; Leblanc, Florian; Lefèvre, Julien; Luderer, Gunnar; Marangoni, Giacomo; Mastrucci, Alessio; Pettifor, Hazel; Pietzcker, Robert; Rochedo, Pedro; van Ruijven, Bas; Schaeffer, Roberto; Wilson, Charlie; Yeh, Sonia; Zisarou, Eleftheria; van Vuuren, Detlef
Publié dans: Nature Energy, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01703-1

Prospective analysis of external environmental costs of energy provision

Auteurs: David Bantje; Romain Sacchi; Rosalie Arendt; Christian Bauer; Gunnar Luderer
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/AE055A

A global dataset of the cost of capital for renewable energy projects

Auteurs: Bjarne Steffen, Florian Egli, Anurag Gumber, Mak Ðukan, Paul Waidelich
Publié dans: Scientific Data, Numéro 12, 2025, ISSN 2052-4463
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41597-025-05912-X

Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios

Auteurs: Kulkarni, Shridhar; Daioglou, Vassilis; Hof, Andries; Ambrósio, Geanderson; van Vuuren, Detlef
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/AE1C04

Incorporating biodiversity impacts in land use decisions

Auteurs: Cindy G. Azuero-Pedraza, Valerie M. Thomas
Publié dans: Ecological Modelling, Numéro 497, 2024, ISSN 0304-3800
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL.2024.110852

Sectoral investments to achieve water, energy and land SDG under climate change uncertainty

Auteurs: Adriano Vinca, Muhammad Awais, Edward Byers, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, Numéro 5, 2025, ISSN 2634-4505
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2634-4505/ADC0BC

Comparing economic impacts of net-zero transition with climate damage uncertainties using a dual-model approach

Auteurs: Aron Denes Hartvig, Marton Simo, Dora Fazekas, Panagiotis Fragkos, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Zoi Vrontisi
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Energy, Numéro 2, 2025, ISSN 2753-3751
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2753-3751/ADEF5E

Future environmental impacts of global iron and steel production

Auteurs: Carina Harpprecht, Romain Sacchi, Tobias Naegler, Marie¨sse van Sluisveld, Vassilis Daioglou, Arnold Tukker and Bernhard Steubing
Publié dans: Energy & Environmental Science, 2025, ISSN 1754-5706
Éditeur: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/D5EE01356A

Contextual LCIA without the overhead: an exchange-based framework for flexible impact assessment

Auteurs: Romain Sacchi, Alvaro Hahn Menacho, Georg Seitfudem, Maxime Agez, Joanna Schlesinger-Martinat, Anish Koyamparambath, Jair Santillan Saldivar, Philippe Loubet, Christian Bauer
Publié dans: The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Numéro 30, 2026, ISSN 0948-3349
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S11367-025-02551-7

The impact of financing structures on the cost of carbon dioxide transport

Auteurs: Katrin Sievert, Alexandru Stefan Stefanescu, Pauline Oeuvray, Bjarne Steffen
Publié dans: Energy Economics, Numéro 143, 2025, ISSN 0140-9883
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENECO.2025.108253

The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties

Auteurs: Alvaro J. Hahn Menacho, Romain Sacchi, Christian Bauer, Evangelos Panos, Russell McKenna, Peter Burgherr
Publié dans: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numéro 218, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108251

Endogenous simulation of low-carbon lifestyle change in global climate mitigation pathways

Auteurs: Hazel Pettifor, Alessio Mastrucci, Charlie Wilson, Bas van Ruijven, Maureen Agnew and Thomas Le Gallic
Publié dans: ERL, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acf6d6

Demand-side policies can significantly reduce emissions from energy use in buildings and transport

Auteurs: Rik van Heerden; Oreane Y. Edelenbosch; Vassilis Daioglou; Thomas Le Gallic; Luiz Bernardo Baptista; Alice Di Bella; Francesco Pietro Colelli; Johannes Emmerling; Panagiotis Fragkos; Robin Hasse; Johanna Hoppe; Paul Kishimoto; Florian Leblanc; Julien Lefèvre; Gunnar Luderer; Giacomo Marangoni; Alessio Mastrucci; Hazel Pettifor; Robert Pietzcker; Pedro Rochedo; Bas van Ruijven; Roberto Schaeffer; Charlie Wilson; Sonia Yeh; Eleftheria Zisarou; Detlef van Vuuren
Publié dans: Nature Energy, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01721-Z

Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions

Auteurs: Ploy Achakulwisut, Peter Erickson, Céline Guivarch, Roberto Schaeffer, Elina Brutschin, Steve Pye
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41105-z

Battery electric vehicles show the lowest carbon footprints among passenger cars across 1.5–3.0 °C energy decarbonisation pathways

Auteurs: Joris Šimaitis; Rick Lupton; Christopher Vagg; Isabela Butnar; Romain Sacchi; Stephen Allen
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02447-2

Estimating the cost of capital for solar PV projects using auction results

Auteurs: Florian Egli, Nikolai Orgland, Michael Taylor, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Publié dans: Energy Policy, Numéro 183, 2023, ISSN 1873-6777
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113849

Validation of climate mitigation pathways

Auteurs: Pascal Weigmann, Rahel Mandaroux, Fabrice Lécuyer, Anne Merfort, Tabea Dorndorf, Johanna Hoppe, Jarusch Muessel, Robert Pietzcker, Oliver Richters, Lavinia Baumstark, Elmar Kriegler, Nico Bauer, Falk Benke, Chen Chris Gong, Gunnar Luderer
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-9897-2025

Unlocking circular economy policies in integrated assessment models

Auteurs: Leticia Magalar, Elena Verdolini, Alexandre Szklo
Publié dans: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numéro 225, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108614

An assessment of different transition pathways to a green global economy

Auteurs: Soheil Shayegh; Severin Reissl; Elnaz Roshan; Matteo Calcaterra
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-023-01109-5

The global environmental footprint of Switzerland’s net-zero energy system uncovers impacts abroad

Auteurs: Alvaro Jose Hahn Menacho; Romain Sacchi; Christian Bauer; Christian Moretti; Evangelos Panos; Russell McKenna; Peter Burgherr
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000731101

Conservation outcomes of dietary transitions across different values of nature

Auteurs: Patrick von Jeetze, Isabelle Weindl, Justin Andrew Johnson, Pasquale Borrelli, Panos Panagos, Tobias Meyer, Florian Humpenöder, Pascal Sauer, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp
Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Numéro 8, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41893-025-01595-9

Improving the representation of cost of capital in energy system models

Auteurs: Katherine E. Lonergan, Florian Egli, Sebastian Osorio, Giovanni Sansavini, Michael Pahle, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Publié dans: Joule, Numéro 7 (3), 2023, ISSN 2542-4351
Éditeur: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2023.02.004

Domestic-first, climate second? Global consequences of the Inflation Reduction Act

Auteurs: Bessie Noll, Bjarne Steffen, Tobias S. Schmidt
Publié dans: Joule, 2024, ISSN 2542-4351
Éditeur: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2024.06.001

Shaping sustainable consumption practices: Changing consumers’ habits through lifestyle changes and Extended Producer Responsibility schemes

Auteurs: Darius Corbier, Hazel Pettifor, Maureen Agnew, Miyuki Nagashima
Publié dans: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numéro 217, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108214

Expanding scenario diversity in prospective LCA: Coupling the TIAM-UCL integrated assessment model with Premise and ecoinvent

Auteurs: Joris Šimaitis, Isabela Butnar, Romain Sacchi, Rick Lupton, Christopher Vagg, Stephen Allen
Publié dans: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numéro 211, 2025, ISSN 1364-0321
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RSER.2024.115298

Circular strategies for building sector decarbonization in China: A scenario analysis

Auteurs: Alessio Mastrucci; Fei Guo; Xiaoyang Zhong; Florian Maczek; Bas van Ruijven
Publié dans: Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2024, ISSN 1530-9290
Éditeur: Wiley-Blackwell
DOI: 10.1111/JIEC.13523

From net-zero to zero-fossil in transforming the EU energy system

Auteurs: Felix Schreyer, Falko Ueckerdt, Robert Pietzcker, Adrian Odenweller, Anne Merfort, Renato Rodrigues, Jessica Strefler, Fabrice Lécuyer, Gunnar Luderer
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66682-Z

pathways: life cycle assessment of energy transition scenarios

Auteurs: Romain Sacchi; Alvaro J. Hahn-Menacho
Publié dans: Journal of Open Source Software, 2024, ISSN 2475-9066
Éditeur: Open Journals
DOI: 10.21105/JOSS.07309

Multidimensional welfare indices and the IPCC 6th Assessment Report scenarios

Auteurs: Johannes Emmerling, Ulrike Kornek, Stéphane Zuber
Publié dans: Ecological Economics, 2024, ISSN 0921-8009
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108182

Multi-country evidence on societal factors to include in energy transition modelling

Auteurs: Vivien Fisch-Romito, Marc Jaxa-Rozen, Xin Wen, Evelina Trutnevyte
Publié dans: Nature Energy, Numéro 10, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01719-7

Climate change impacts increase economic inequality: evidence from a systematic literature review

Auteurs: Aurélie Méjean, Peron Collins-Sowah, Céline Guivarch, Franziska Piontek, Bjoern Soergel and Nicolas Taconet
Publié dans: ERL, Numéro 19, 043003, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad376e

Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries

Auteurs: M. Calcaterra; L. Aleluia Reis; P. Fragkos; T. Briera; H. S. de Boer; F. Egli; J. Emmerling; G. Iyer; S. Mittal; F. H. J. Polzin; M. W. J. L. Sanders; T. S. Schmidt; A. Serebriakova; B. Steffen; D. J. van de Ven; D. P. van Vuuren; P. Waidelich; M. Tavoni
Publié dans: Nature Energy, 2024, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000697868