NET ZERO PATHWAY RESEARCH THROUGH INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL ADVANCEMENTS

Informazioni relative al progetto

PRISMA

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101081604

DOI

10.3030/101081604

Data della firma CE 7 Settembre 2022

Data di avvio 1 Gennaio 2023

Data di completamento 31 Dicembre 2026

Finanziato da

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Costo totale

€ 4 457 810,00

Contributo UE

€ 4 457 809,50

Coordinato da

FONDAZIONE CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEOSUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI
Italy

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Data sets, microdata, etc (3)

Database of up-to-date probabilistic technology cost forecasts

Database of up-to-date probabilistic technology cost forecastsRelated Tasks: 3.3

Open-source lifestyle change model and IAM linkage source code

Open-source lifestyle change model and IAM linkage source codeRelated Tasks: 4.2

Open Database of region- and technology-specific cost of capital

Open Database of region- and technology-specific cost of capitalRelated Tasks: 3.2

Documents, reports (4)

Critical risks analysis

Critical risks analysisRelated Tasks: 7.1, 7.3

Non-technical brief: What can our models deliver?

Non-technical brief: What can our models deliver?Related Tasks: 1.1

Mid-term project report

Mid-term project reportRelated Tasks: 7.1

Detailed nomenclature (list of variables including definitions and recommended units) for comparison of IAM scenario assumptions and reference data

Detailed nomenclature (list of variables including definitions and recommended units) for comparison of IAM scenario assumptions and reference dataRelated Tasks: 1.3

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (45)

A Multi-Model Assessment of Inequality and Climate Change

Autori: Johannes Emmerling; Pietro Andreoni; Ioannis Charalampidis; Shouro Dasgupta; Francis Dennig; Simon Feindt; Dimitris Fragkiadakis; Panagiotis Fragkos; Shinichiro Fujimori; Martino Gilli; Carolina Grottera; Celine Guivarch; Ulrike Kornek; Elmar Kriegler; Daniele Malerba; Giacomo Marangoni; Aurélie Méjean; Femke Nijsse; Franziska Piontek; Yeliz Simsek; Bjoern Soergel; Nicolas Taconet; Toon Vandyck; Marie Young-Brun; Shiya Zhao; Yu Zheng; Massimo Tavoni
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02151-7

The role of low carbon fuels towards net-zero in integrated assessment models and energy system models: A critical review

Autori: Zipeng Liu, Meixi Zhang, Christian Bauer, Russell McKenna
Pubblicato in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numero 215, 2026, ISSN 1364-0321
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RSER.2025.115608

CIRCEE, the CIRCular Energy Economy model: Bridging the gap between economic and industrial ecology concepts

Autori: Corbier, Darius; Pettifor, Hazel; Agnew, Maureen; Drouet, Laurent
Pubblicato in: Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2024, ISSN 1530-9290
Editore: Wiley-Blackwell
DOI: 10.1111/JIEC.13587

The effects of local interventions on global technological change through spillovers: A modeling framework and application to the road-freight sector

Autori: Bessie Noll, Bjarne Steffen, Tobias S. Schmidt
Pubblicato in: PNAS, Numero 120 (42), 2023, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2215684120

Technology innovation and environmental outcomes of road transportation policy instruments

Autori: Clara Ma, Cristina Peñasco, Laura Díaz Anadón
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-59111-8

International knowledge spillovers in energy technologies

Autori: Kim Y., Verdolini E.
Pubblicato in: Energy Strategy Reviews, 2023, ISSN 2211-467X
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2023.101151

Considering technology characteristics to project future costs of direct air capture

Autori: Katrin Sievert, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Pubblicato in: Joule, Numero 8 (4), 2024, ISSN 2542-4351
Editore: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2024.02.005

Modelling induced innovation for the low-carbon energy transition: a menu of options

Autori: Roberto Pasqualino, Cristina Penasco, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Fernanda Senra De Moura, Sergey Kolesnikov, Sarah Hafner, Femke J M M Nijsse, Francesco Lamperti, Ben Hinder, Yaroslav Melekh, Simon Sharpe, Aled W Jones, Laura Díaz Anadón, Timothy M Lenton, M
Pubblicato in: ERL, Numero 19, 073004, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad4c79

Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital

Autori: Bastien-Olvera, B.A., Conte, M.N., Dong, X., Briceno, T., Batker, D., Emmerling, J., Tavoni, M., Granella, F. and Moore, F.C.
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 625, 2024, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06769-z

Decarbonising the EU Buildings|Model-Based Insights from European Countries

Autori: Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleftheria Zisarou
Pubblicato in: Climate, Numero 12(6), 85, 2024, ISSN 2078-2489
Editore: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/cli12060085

Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector

Autori: Andreas Andreou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Faidra Filippidou, Eleftheria Zisarou, Georgios Avgerinopoulos, Robert Pietzcker, Robin Hasse, Ricarda Rosemann
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero 7, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ADB9D8

Decarbonizing the cement industry: Findings from coupling prospective life cycle assessment of clinker with integrated assessment model scenarios

Autori: Müller Amelie, Carina Harpprecht, Romain Sacchi, Ben Maes, Mariësse van Sluisveld, Vassilis Daioglou, Branko Šavija, and Bernhard Steubing
Pubblicato in: Journal of Cleaner Production, Numero 450, 2024, ISSN 1879-1786
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141884

Disentangling the carbon emissions impact of digital consumer innovations

Autori: Pettifor, H; Agnew, M; Wilson, C; Niamir, L
Pubblicato in: Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, ISSN 1879-1786
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2024.144412

Demand-side strategies enable rapid and deep cuts in buildings and transport emissions to 2050

Autori: van Heerden, Rik; Edelenbosch, Oreane; Daioglou, Vassilis; Le Gallic, Thomas; Baptista, Luiz; Di Bella, Alice; Colelli, Francesco; Emmerling, Johannes; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Hasse, Robin; Hoppe, Johanna; Kishimoto, Paul; Leblanc, Florian; Lefèvre, Julien; Luderer, Gunnar; Marangoni, Giacomo; Mastrucci, Alessio; Pettifor, Hazel; Pietzcker, Robert; Rochedo, Pedro; van Ruijven, Bas; Schaeffer, Roberto; Wilson, Charlie; Yeh, Sonia; Zisarou, Eleftheria; van Vuuren, Detlef
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01703-1

Prospective analysis of external environmental costs of energy provision

Autori: David Bantje; Romain Sacchi; Rosalie Arendt; Christian Bauer; Gunnar Luderer
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/AE055A

A global dataset of the cost of capital for renewable energy projects

Autori: Bjarne Steffen, Florian Egli, Anurag Gumber, Mak Ðukan, Paul Waidelich
Pubblicato in: Scientific Data, Numero 12, 2025, ISSN 2052-4463
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41597-025-05912-X

Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios

Autori: Kulkarni, Shridhar; Daioglou, Vassilis; Hof, Andries; Ambrósio, Geanderson; van Vuuren, Detlef
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, 2025, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/AE1C04

Incorporating biodiversity impacts in land use decisions

Autori: Cindy G. Azuero-Pedraza, Valerie M. Thomas
Pubblicato in: Ecological Modelling, Numero 497, 2024, ISSN 0304-3800
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL.2024.110852

Sectoral investments to achieve water, energy and land SDG under climate change uncertainty

Autori: Adriano Vinca, Muhammad Awais, Edward Byers, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, Numero 5, 2025, ISSN 2634-4505
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2634-4505/ADC0BC

Comparing economic impacts of net-zero transition with climate damage uncertainties using a dual-model approach

Autori: Aron Denes Hartvig, Marton Simo, Dora Fazekas, Panagiotis Fragkos, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Zoi Vrontisi
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Energy, Numero 2, 2025, ISSN 2753-3751
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2753-3751/ADEF5E

Future environmental impacts of global iron and steel production

Autori: Carina Harpprecht, Romain Sacchi, Tobias Naegler, Marie¨sse van Sluisveld, Vassilis Daioglou, Arnold Tukker and Bernhard Steubing
Pubblicato in: Energy & Environmental Science, 2025, ISSN 1754-5706
Editore: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/D5EE01356A

Contextual LCIA without the overhead: an exchange-based framework for flexible impact assessment

Autori: Romain Sacchi, Alvaro Hahn Menacho, Georg Seitfudem, Maxime Agez, Joanna Schlesinger-Martinat, Anish Koyamparambath, Jair Santillan Saldivar, Philippe Loubet, Christian Bauer
Pubblicato in: The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Numero 30, 2026, ISSN 0948-3349
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S11367-025-02551-7

The impact of financing structures on the cost of carbon dioxide transport

Autori: Katrin Sievert, Alexandru Stefan Stefanescu, Pauline Oeuvray, Bjarne Steffen
Pubblicato in: Energy Economics, Numero 143, 2025, ISSN 0140-9883
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENECO.2025.108253

The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties

Autori: Alvaro J. Hahn Menacho, Romain Sacchi, Christian Bauer, Evangelos Panos, Russell McKenna, Peter Burgherr
Pubblicato in: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numero 218, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108251

Endogenous simulation of low-carbon lifestyle change in global climate mitigation pathways

Autori: Hazel Pettifor, Alessio Mastrucci, Charlie Wilson, Bas van Ruijven, Maureen Agnew and Thomas Le Gallic
Pubblicato in: ERL, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acf6d6

Demand-side policies can significantly reduce emissions from energy use in buildings and transport

Autori: Rik van Heerden; Oreane Y. Edelenbosch; Vassilis Daioglou; Thomas Le Gallic; Luiz Bernardo Baptista; Alice Di Bella; Francesco Pietro Colelli; Johannes Emmerling; Panagiotis Fragkos; Robin Hasse; Johanna Hoppe; Paul Kishimoto; Florian Leblanc; Julien Lefèvre; Gunnar Luderer; Giacomo Marangoni; Alessio Mastrucci; Hazel Pettifor; Robert Pietzcker; Pedro Rochedo; Bas van Ruijven; Roberto Schaeffer; Charlie Wilson; Sonia Yeh; Eleftheria Zisarou; Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01721-Z

Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions

Autori: Ploy Achakulwisut, Peter Erickson, Céline Guivarch, Roberto Schaeffer, Elina Brutschin, Steve Pye
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41105-z

Battery electric vehicles show the lowest carbon footprints among passenger cars across 1.5–3.0 °C energy decarbonisation pathways

Autori: Joris Šimaitis; Rick Lupton; Christopher Vagg; Isabela Butnar; Romain Sacchi; Stephen Allen
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02447-2

Estimating the cost of capital for solar PV projects using auction results

Autori: Florian Egli, Nikolai Orgland, Michael Taylor, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Pubblicato in: Energy Policy, Numero 183, 2023, ISSN 1873-6777
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113849

Validation of climate mitigation pathways

Autori: Pascal Weigmann, Rahel Mandaroux, Fabrice Lécuyer, Anne Merfort, Tabea Dorndorf, Johanna Hoppe, Jarusch Muessel, Robert Pietzcker, Oliver Richters, Lavinia Baumstark, Elmar Kriegler, Nico Bauer, Falk Benke, Chen Chris Gong, Gunnar Luderer
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-9897-2025

Unlocking circular economy policies in integrated assessment models

Autori: Leticia Magalar, Elena Verdolini, Alexandre Szklo
Pubblicato in: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numero 225, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108614

An assessment of different transition pathways to a green global economy

Autori: Soheil Shayegh; Severin Reissl; Elnaz Roshan; Matteo Calcaterra
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-023-01109-5

The global environmental footprint of Switzerland’s net-zero energy system uncovers impacts abroad

Autori: Alvaro Jose Hahn Menacho; Romain Sacchi; Christian Bauer; Christian Moretti; Evangelos Panos; Russell McKenna; Peter Burgherr
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000731101

Conservation outcomes of dietary transitions across different values of nature

Autori: Patrick von Jeetze, Isabelle Weindl, Justin Andrew Johnson, Pasquale Borrelli, Panos Panagos, Tobias Meyer, Florian Humpenöder, Pascal Sauer, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 8, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41893-025-01595-9

Improving the representation of cost of capital in energy system models

Autori: Katherine E. Lonergan, Florian Egli, Sebastian Osorio, Giovanni Sansavini, Michael Pahle, Tobias S. Schmidt, Bjarne Steffen
Pubblicato in: Joule, Numero 7 (3), 2023, ISSN 2542-4351
Editore: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2023.02.004

Domestic-first, climate second? Global consequences of the Inflation Reduction Act

Autori: Bessie Noll, Bjarne Steffen, Tobias S. Schmidt
Pubblicato in: Joule, 2024, ISSN 2542-4351
Editore: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2024.06.001

Shaping sustainable consumption practices: Changing consumers’ habits through lifestyle changes and Extended Producer Responsibility schemes

Autori: Darius Corbier, Hazel Pettifor, Maureen Agnew, Miyuki Nagashima
Pubblicato in: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Numero 217, 2025, ISSN 0921-3449
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2025.108214

Expanding scenario diversity in prospective LCA: Coupling the TIAM-UCL integrated assessment model with Premise and ecoinvent

Autori: Joris Šimaitis, Isabela Butnar, Romain Sacchi, Rick Lupton, Christopher Vagg, Stephen Allen
Pubblicato in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numero 211, 2025, ISSN 1364-0321
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.RSER.2024.115298

Circular strategies for building sector decarbonization in China: A scenario analysis

Autori: Alessio Mastrucci; Fei Guo; Xiaoyang Zhong; Florian Maczek; Bas van Ruijven
Pubblicato in: Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2024, ISSN 1530-9290
Editore: Wiley-Blackwell
DOI: 10.1111/JIEC.13523

From net-zero to zero-fossil in transforming the EU energy system

Autori: Felix Schreyer, Falko Ueckerdt, Robert Pietzcker, Adrian Odenweller, Anne Merfort, Renato Rodrigues, Jessica Strefler, Fabrice Lécuyer, Gunnar Luderer
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66682-Z

pathways: life cycle assessment of energy transition scenarios

Autori: Romain Sacchi; Alvaro J. Hahn-Menacho
Pubblicato in: Journal of Open Source Software, 2024, ISSN 2475-9066
Editore: Open Journals
DOI: 10.21105/JOSS.07309

Multidimensional welfare indices and the IPCC 6th Assessment Report scenarios

Autori: Johannes Emmerling, Ulrike Kornek, Stéphane Zuber
Pubblicato in: Ecological Economics, 2024, ISSN 0921-8009
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108182

Multi-country evidence on societal factors to include in energy transition modelling

Autori: Vivien Fisch-Romito, Marc Jaxa-Rozen, Xin Wen, Evelina Trutnevyte
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, Numero 10, 2025, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41560-025-01719-7

Climate change impacts increase economic inequality: evidence from a systematic literature review

Autori: Aurélie Méjean, Peron Collins-Sowah, Céline Guivarch, Franziska Piontek, Bjoern Soergel and Nicolas Taconet
Pubblicato in: ERL, Numero 19, 043003, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad376e

Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries

Autori: M. Calcaterra; L. Aleluia Reis; P. Fragkos; T. Briera; H. S. de Boer; F. Egli; J. Emmerling; G. Iyer; S. Mittal; F. H. J. Polzin; M. W. J. L. Sanders; T. S. Schmidt; A. Serebriakova; B. Steffen; D. J. van de Ven; D. P. van Vuuren; P. Waidelich; M. Tavoni
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, 2024, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000697868