Forecast of Actionable Radiation Belt Scenarios

Project Information

FARBES

Grant agreement ID: 101081772

DOI

10.3030/101081772

Project closed

EC signature date 5 October 2022

Start date 1 January 2023

End date 31 December 2025

Funded under

• Digital, Industry and Space

Total cost

€ 816 236,25

EU contribution

€ 816 236,00

Coordinated by

EOTVOS LORAND TUDOMANYEGYETEM
Hungary

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Documents, reports (18)

Validated new index of intensity of an ongoing event and risk of becoming an extreme one
Impacts on radiation belt dynamics in Salammbo runs from WP3 and/or WP4 resulting from using new diffusion coefficients for sample storms
Scenario definitions
Salammbo updates to use new boundary conditions and drivers

Salammbo updates to use new boundary conditions and drivers

Interim 2nd year report

Annual report

Validated VLF wave power
Calculated in-situ VLF wave power for selected events
Validated new metric specific tool to analyse the full forecasting procedure
Updating scenario forecasts during event
Validated models by comparison with AARDDVARK/POES determined electron precipitation fluxes.
Validated Salammbô model

Validated Salammbô model

New empirical parameterisations of ULF wave power and hence for DLL
Quality assurance plan

Quality assurance plan serves for setting procedures, deadlines and responsibilitiesamong FARBES Consortium partners in the course of the production of deliverables as defined in the Grant Agreement. The Quality Assurance Plan will be maintained and updated during the project lifetime.

New algorithm for combining MLT separated ULF wave power data into a drift orbit averaged radial diffusion coefficient
Release the database of input and output scenarios
New optimised initial state
Prediction model for VLF wave power
Enhanced Salammbô model outer boundary and lower energy boundary models

Data Management Plan (1)

Data Management Plan

Other (1)

Project website set-up, then used and updated throughout the project

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (14)

Comprehensive analysis of the ionospheric response to the largest geomagnetic storms from solar cycle 24 over Europe

Author(s): K. A. Berényi, B. Heilig, J. Urbář, D. Kouba, Á. Kis, V. Barta
Published in: Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, Issue 10, 2023, ISSN 2296-987X
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fspas.2023.1092850

Effects of a Solar Flare on Global Propagation of Extremely Low Frequency Waves

Author(s): M. Ostrowski, M. Gołkowski, J. Kubisz, Z. Nieckarz, A. Michalec, J. Mlynarczyk, J. Lichtenberger, A. Maxworth
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 129, 2024, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024JA033083

High-Altitude Discharges and Whistlers of Volcanic Thunderstorms

Author(s): Evgeniy I. Malkin, Boris M. Shevtsov, Nina V. Cherneva, Evgeniy A. Kazakov, János Lichtenberger
Published in: Atmosphere, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/atmos15121503

Simultaneous ground-satellite observations of ELF/VLF emissions generated by a strong magnetospheric compression

Author(s): Claudia Martinez-Calderon, Kazuo Shiokawa, Ondřej Santolík, Satoshi Kurita, Kunihiro Keika, Martin Connors, Ian Schofield, Miroslav Hanzelka, William S. Kurth
Published in: Earth, Planets and Space, Issue 77, 2025, ISSN 1880-5981
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/S40623-025-02170-4

Whistler echo trains triggered by energetic winter lightning

Author(s): I. Kolmašová, O. Santolík, J. Manninen
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-51684-0

Ionospheric Absorption Variation Based on Ionosonde and Riometer Data and the NOAA D-RAP Model over Europe During Intense Solar Flares in September 2017

Author(s): Veronika Barta, Tamás Bozóki, Dávid Péter Süle, Daniel Kouba, Jens Mielich, Tero Raita, Attila Buzás
Published in: Remote Sensing, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2072-4292
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/rs16213975

Lunar modulations

Author(s): Balázs Heilig
Published in: Nature Physics, Issue 19, 2023, ISSN 1745-2473
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41567-022-01913-4

Strong Effects of Chorus Waves on Radiation Belts Expected for Future Magnetic Superstorms

Author(s): Ondřej Santolík, Yuri Shprits, Ivana Kolmašová, Dedong Wang, Ulrich Taubenschuss, Marie Turčičová, Miroslav Hanzelka
Published in: AGU Advances, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024AV001234

Subauroral and Auroral Conditions in the Mid- and Low-Midlatitude Ionosphere over Europe During the May 2024 Mother’s Day Superstorm

Author(s): Kitti Alexandra Berényi, Veronika Barta, Csilla Szárnya, Attila Buzás, Balázs Heilig
Published in: Remote Sensing, Issue 17, 2025, ISSN 2072-4292
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/RS17142492

The Impact of Plasma Density Gradients on Lower Band Chorus Wave Propagation

Author(s): D. P. Hartley, L. Chen, W. Gu, I. W. Christopher, O. Santolik
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113258

Quantification of Perturbation to the Daytime Lower Ionosphere From a Gamma Ray Burst Using ELF Remote Sensing

Author(s): M. Gołkowski, Z. Nieckarz, J. Mlynarczyk, M. Ostrowski, J. Kubisz, A. Michalec, J. Lichtenberger, A. Klekociuk, P. Nicholson
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL117989

Ultra-Low Frequency Waves of Foreshock Origin Upstream and Inside of the Magnetospheres of Earth, Mercury, and Saturn Related to Solar Wind–Magnetosphere Coupling

Author(s): Zsofia Bebesi, Navin Kumar Dwivedi, Arpad Kis, Antal Juhász, Balazs Heilig
Published in: Universe, Issue 10, 2024, ISSN 2218-1997
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/universe10110407

Automatic Identification of Past Radiation Belts Electron Enhancement Events Using a Ground‐Based Parameter

Author(s): Bernoux, Guillerme; Nguyen, Gautier; Sicard, Angélica; Maget, Vincent
Published in: Earth and Space Science, 2025, ISSN 2333-5084
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024EA003945

Spatial Distribution of Pc1/EMIC Waves Relative to the Nightside Ionospheric Footprint of the Plasmapause

Author(s): T. Bozóki, B. Heilig
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 130, 2025, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024JA033385

Conference proceedings (3)

Determining the Source Location of ELF-Transients Generated by Lightning During the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption

Author(s): Németh Kolos, Bozóki Tamás
Published in: Szakál, Anikó IEEE 25th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Informatics (CINTI 2025) : Proceedings Budapest, Magyarország : IEEE Hungary Section (2025) 826 p. pp. 435-438. , 4 p., 2025
Publisher: IEEE

Further Evidence for the Organizing Role of the Plasmapause in the Nightside Distribution of Pc1/EMIC Waves

Author(s): Bozóki Tamás, Heilig Balázs
Published in: Szakál, Anikó IEEE 25th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Informatics (CINTI 2025) : Proceedings Budapest, Magyarország : IEEE Hungary Section (2025) 826 p. pp. 435-438. , 4 p., 2025
Publisher: IEEE

Relation Between Sprites and Whistlers Based on AWDANET and WWLLN Data

Author(s): Evgeniy Malkin, Evgeniy Kazakov, Nina Cherneva, Janos Lichtenberger, Dmitriy Sannikov, and David Koronczay
Published in: Solar-Terrestrial Relations and Physics of Earthquake Precursors, 2023, ISBN 978-3-031-50247-7
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-50248-4

Monographic books (1)

Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences Solar-Terrestrial Relations and Physics of Earthquake Precursors

Published in: Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences, 2023
Publisher: SPRINGER