Forecast of Actionable Radiation Belt Scenarios

Información del proyecto

FARBES

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101081772

DOI

10.3030/101081772

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 5 Octubre 2022

Fecha de inicio 1 Enero 2023

Fecha de finalización 31 Diciembre 2025

Financiado con arreglo a

• Digital, Industry and Space

Coste total

€ 816 236,25

Aportación de la UE

€ 816 236,00

Coordinado por

EOTVOS LORAND TUDOMANYEGYETEM
Hungary

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Documents, reports (17)

Validated new index of intensity of an ongoing event and risk of becoming an extreme one
Impacts on radiation belt dynamics in Salammbo runs from WP3 and/or WP4 resulting from using new diffusion coefficients for sample storms
Scenario definitions
Salammbo updates to use new boundary conditions and drivers

Salammbo updates to use new boundary conditions and drivers

Interim 2nd year report

Annual report

Validated VLF wave power
Calculated in-situ VLF wave power for selected events
Validated new metric specific tool to analyse the full forecasting procedure
Updating scenario forecasts during event
Validated Salammbô model

Validated Salammbô model

New empirical parameterisations of ULF wave power and hence for DLL
Quality assurance plan

Quality assurance plan serves for setting procedures, deadlines and responsibilitiesamong FARBES Consortium partners in the course of the production of deliverables as defined in the Grant Agreement. The Quality Assurance Plan will be maintained and updated during the project lifetime.

New algorithm for combining MLT separated ULF wave power data into a drift orbit averaged radial diffusion coefficient
Release the database of input and output scenarios
New optimised initial state
Prediction model for VLF wave power
Enhanced Salammbô model outer boundary and lower energy boundary models

Data Management Plan (1)

Data Management Plan

Other (1)

Project website set-up, then used and updated throughout the project

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (14)

Comprehensive analysis of the ionospheric response to the largest geomagnetic storms from solar cycle 24 over Europe

Autores: K. A. Berényi, B. Heilig, J. Urbář, D. Kouba, Á. Kis, V. Barta
Publicado en: Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, Edición 10, 2023, ISSN 2296-987X
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fspas.2023.1092850

Effects of a Solar Flare on Global Propagation of Extremely Low Frequency Waves

Autores: M. Ostrowski, M. Gołkowski, J. Kubisz, Z. Nieckarz, A. Michalec, J. Mlynarczyk, J. Lichtenberger, A. Maxworth
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Edición 129, 2024, ISSN 2169-9380
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024JA033083

High-Altitude Discharges and Whistlers of Volcanic Thunderstorms

Autores: Evgeniy I. Malkin, Boris M. Shevtsov, Nina V. Cherneva, Evgeniy A. Kazakov, János Lichtenberger
Publicado en: Atmosphere, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2073-4433
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/atmos15121503

Simultaneous ground-satellite observations of ELF/VLF emissions generated by a strong magnetospheric compression

Autores: Claudia Martinez-Calderon, Kazuo Shiokawa, Ondřej Santolík, Satoshi Kurita, Kunihiro Keika, Martin Connors, Ian Schofield, Miroslav Hanzelka, William S. Kurth
Publicado en: Earth, Planets and Space, Edición 77, 2025, ISSN 1880-5981
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/S40623-025-02170-4

Whistler echo trains triggered by energetic winter lightning

Autores: I. Kolmašová, O. Santolík, J. Manninen
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-51684-0

Ionospheric Absorption Variation Based on Ionosonde and Riometer Data and the NOAA D-RAP Model over Europe During Intense Solar Flares in September 2017

Autores: Veronika Barta, Tamás Bozóki, Dávid Péter Süle, Daniel Kouba, Jens Mielich, Tero Raita, Attila Buzás
Publicado en: Remote Sensing, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2072-4292
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/rs16213975

Lunar modulations

Autores: Balázs Heilig
Publicado en: Nature Physics, Edición 19, 2023, ISSN 1745-2473
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41567-022-01913-4

Strong Effects of Chorus Waves on Radiation Belts Expected for Future Magnetic Superstorms

Autores: Ondřej Santolík, Yuri Shprits, Ivana Kolmašová, Dedong Wang, Ulrich Taubenschuss, Marie Turčičová, Miroslav Hanzelka
Publicado en: AGU Advances, Edición 5, 2024, ISSN 2576-604X
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024AV001234

Subauroral and Auroral Conditions in the Mid- and Low-Midlatitude Ionosphere over Europe During the May 2024 Mother’s Day Superstorm

Autores: Kitti Alexandra Berényi, Veronika Barta, Csilla Szárnya, Attila Buzás, Balázs Heilig
Publicado en: Remote Sensing, Edición 17, 2025, ISSN 2072-4292
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/RS17142492

The Impact of Plasma Density Gradients on Lower Band Chorus Wave Propagation

Autores: D. P. Hartley, L. Chen, W. Gu, I. W. Christopher, O. Santolik
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113258

Quantification of Perturbation to the Daytime Lower Ionosphere From a Gamma Ray Burst Using ELF Remote Sensing

Autores: M. Gołkowski, Z. Nieckarz, J. Mlynarczyk, M. Ostrowski, J. Kubisz, A. Michalec, J. Lichtenberger, A. Klekociuk, P. Nicholson
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL117989

Ultra-Low Frequency Waves of Foreshock Origin Upstream and Inside of the Magnetospheres of Earth, Mercury, and Saturn Related to Solar Wind–Magnetosphere Coupling

Autores: Zsofia Bebesi, Navin Kumar Dwivedi, Arpad Kis, Antal Juhász, Balazs Heilig
Publicado en: Universe, Edición 10, 2024, ISSN 2218-1997
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/universe10110407

Automatic Identification of Past Radiation Belts Electron Enhancement Events Using a Ground‐Based Parameter

Autores: Bernoux, Guillerme; Nguyen, Gautier; Sicard, Angélica; Maget, Vincent
Publicado en: Earth and Space Science, 2025, ISSN 2333-5084
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024EA003945

Spatial Distribution of Pc1/EMIC Waves Relative to the Nightside Ionospheric Footprint of the Plasmapause

Autores: T. Bozóki, B. Heilig
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Edición 130, 2025, ISSN 2169-9380
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024JA033385

Conference proceedings (3)

Determining the Source Location of ELF-Transients Generated by Lightning During the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption

Autores: Németh Kolos, Bozóki Tamás
Publicado en: Szakál, Anikó IEEE 25th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Informatics (CINTI 2025) : Proceedings Budapest, Magyarország : IEEE Hungary Section (2025) 826 p. pp. 435-438. , 4 p., 2025
Editor: IEEE

Further Evidence for the Organizing Role of the Plasmapause in the Nightside Distribution of Pc1/EMIC Waves

Autores: Bozóki Tamás, Heilig Balázs
Publicado en: Szakál, Anikó IEEE 25th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Informatics (CINTI 2025) : Proceedings Budapest, Magyarország : IEEE Hungary Section (2025) 826 p. pp. 435-438. , 4 p., 2025
Editor: IEEE

Relation Between Sprites and Whistlers Based on AWDANET and WWLLN Data

Autores: Evgeniy Malkin, Evgeniy Kazakov, Nina Cherneva, Janos Lichtenberger, Dmitriy Sannikov, and David Koronczay
Publicado en: Solar-Terrestrial Relations and Physics of Earthquake Precursors, 2023, ISBN 978-3-031-50247-7
Editor: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-50248-4

Monographic books (1)

Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences Solar-Terrestrial Relations and Physics of Earthquake Precursors

Publicado en: Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences, 2023
Editor: SPRINGER