Objective
Policymakers and governmental institutions rely every day on data to make important decisions that impact citizens’ quality of life. For instance, the availability of large amounts of time series data observed in many dimensions and levels of granularity requires the development of new techniques to model and draw conclusions from such complex systems. Multivariate time series data structures typically deal with time series and cross-sectional dimensions. Nowadays, much more complex data structures have appeared, requiring mathematical objects defined in higher dimensions and beyond continuous-valued measurements; e.g. time series of counts related to several types of crimes occurring in different cities. The final object is a three-dimensional data set of counts called a discrete tensor. This research proposal introduces new empirical, econometric models to describe and study such discrete tensor data. Although in social sciences many tensor data possess a discrete structure, the statistical theory for discrete tensors is still under development. These specific data cannot be accommodated by existing tensor models which are specifically tailored for continuous variables and are typically described by simple linear patterns. The goal of the project is to fill the existing gap in the literature by developing new models for discrete-valued tensor data that possess flexible cross-sectional and serial dependence structures. To this aim, we combine a multivariate copula framework for count data and non-linear score-driven models with the existing tensor literature; As a result, we obtain a new model class, called Integer-valued Matrix Autoregressive Score model (IMARS). We then successfully apply these new models to relevant empirical problems in key areas of interest to policymakers, like crime data, allowing to understand the distribution of different types of crimes across geographical areas, forecast their incidence and study spillover effects over a space-time grid.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2022-PF-01
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
1081 HV Amsterdam
Netherlands
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.