Descripción del proyecto
Estudio más detallado sobre la contención y la escalada nucleares
El mundo se enfrenta a un alarmante riesgo de conflicto nuclear. Secretario General de las Naciones Unidas, António Guterres, comparó recientemente la situación actual con los tensos días de la crisis de los misiles de Cuba. La guerra en Ucrania ha exacerbado los posibles riesgos. El equipo del proyecto WESUE, que cuenta con el apoyo de las Acciones Marie Skłodowska-Curie, elaborará un método novedoso para comprender la contención nuclear y las condiciones en las que podría fallar, dando lugar a una peligrosa escalada. Utilizando «software» geopolítico, creará juegos bélicos simplificados pero realistas que permitan repetir los experimentos y el aislamiento de variables críticas. El objetivo de la investigación es contribuir a la toma de decisiones estratégicas en materia nuclear, ofreciendo esperanzas en la comprensión del delicado equilibrio que hasta ahora nos ha mantenido alejados del borde del abismo.
Objetivo
We have no been this close to nuclear conflict since the Cuban missile crisis. U.N Secretary-General António Guterres, as reported by the BBC, acknowledged this fact recently at the 2022 Review Conference of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT): “Today, humanity is just one misunderstanding, one miscalculation away from nuclear annihilation.” Examples are many at present where the specter of nuclear escalation is real. In the context of the Ukrainian War, Foreign Minister Lavrov and President Putin have both made clear the help of NATO to Kiev increased made nuclear war a possibility. As reported by Bloomberg he stated “The danger is serious, real. It can’t be underestimated.” This followed the order by President Putin in February 2022 to put the nation’s nuclear forces on high alert. As such, it is now more than ever crucial to understand the causes of the nuclear restraint we have experienced until now so that we can understand what makes escalation more likely, and inform strategic nuclear decisions with this scholarship. This is the aim of Wargames as Experiments: Strategy and Unintended Escalation (WESUE): to understand how nuclear restraint could fail and lead to nuclear escalation. WESUE uses a geopolitical software as an experimental method to conduct causal research in the field of nuclear strategy, a novelty. This is an emerging field, which would place WESUE right at the cutting edge of research, with a strong emphasis on NATO and Asia, hence the choice of basing the operation of this research project in Denmark at the Centre for War Studies (CWS) at the University of Southern Denmark (SDU). WESUE will offer a simplified version of a war game that can be played repeatedly, easily, and can isolate
mechanisms through randomized treatment. According to the Doomsday clock, we are less than two minutes to midnight.
Ámbito científico (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS clasifica los proyectos con EuroSciVoc, una taxonomía plurilingüe de ámbitos científicos, mediante un proceso semiautomático basado en técnicas de procesamiento del lenguaje natural.
CORDIS clasifica los proyectos con EuroSciVoc, una taxonomía plurilingüe de ámbitos científicos, mediante un proceso semiautomático basado en técnicas de procesamiento del lenguaje natural.
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Palabras clave
Programa(s)
- HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) Main Programme
Régimen de financiación
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European FellowshipsCoordinador
5230 Odense M
Dinamarca