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Green tax reform for a just climate transition (GRETA)

Project description

A closer look at the climate challenge's unequal societal impact

As the EU strides boldly towards ambitious climate targets, it becomes increasingly important to consider the profound and often overlooked societal impacts of these climate policies. The challenge is to mitigate adverse effects without exacerbating inequality, a significant issue of our time. With this in mind, the ERC-funded GRETA project aims to advance climate policies by introducing an integrated methodology that not only aims to meet environmental targets but also strives for a more equitable distribution of the associated burdens and benefits across diverse segments of society. Well-designed tax policies can mitigate adverse distributional effects in consumption and labour markets in a way that is considered to be fair, while incentivising emission reductions and labour supply.

Objective

The European Unions ambitious climate policies will have wide-ranging distributional impacts in societies. Yet, it is poorly understood how to mitigate the adverse impacts and how compensation mechanisms can be designed to allocate funds to those most in need.

GRETA introduces an integrated approach for climate policies and inequality, and will increase our understanding on how to reach climate targets equitably.

In the theoretical part, we characterize a green tax reform that creates sufficient incentives to cut emissions, generates public revenue for the green transition, and ensures that costs are fairly distributed across the society. Individuals hold private information about their productivity and abatement costs. In this setting, income taxation and carbon pricing are not separable and, strikingly, effective carbon prices should vary by income-level. The theory shows that the optimal tax design depends on a limited set of sufficient statistics, including: (1) carbon price incidence per income group, (2) emission semi-elasticity per income group and (3) individuals perception of within- and across-income inequality.

In the empirical part, we quantify these sufficient statistics (1)-(3) using price variation created by the Energy Crisis of 2022 and a rich administrative data covering all Finnish firms and individuals. First, we estimate the within- and across-income inequalities created by the sudden rise in electricity prices and, using plausibly exogenous ending dates of fixed-term contract, estimate the individual-level emission semi-elasticities. Second, we study how the energy price spikes contribute to inequality though their different impacts on firm owners and workers, where our identification is based on a shift-share instrument approach. Third, we study the fairness perception by a large-scale survey where responses are linked to the administrative data. These empirical findings allow us to quantify the optimal tax design numerically.

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Funding Scheme

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HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) ERC-2023-STG

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Host institution

HELSINGIN YLIOPISTO
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 499 743,00
Address
FABIANINKATU 33
00014 HELSINGIN YLIOPISTO
Finland

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 499 743,00

Beneficiaries (1)

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