Open-Access Forecasting System of the Health Effects of Air Pollution

Project Information

FORECAST-AIR

Grant agreement ID: 101123382

DOI

10.3030/101123382

Project closed

EC signature date 29 June 2023

Start date 1 April 2024

End date 30 September 2025

Funded under

• European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost

No data

EU contribution

€ 150 000,00

Coordinated by

FUNDACION PRIVADA INSTITUTO DE SALUD GLOBAL BARCELONA
Spain

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (26)

The differential effect of ambient temperature on age-specific and sex-specific mortality in the 300 largest cities of Russia, 2000–19: a first national time-series study

Author(s): Timonin, Sergey; Shartova, Natalia; Wen, Bo; Wu, Yao; Andreev, Evgeny; Guo, Yuming; Ballester, Joan
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00084-1

Regional changes in temperature-related mortality before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a continental modelling analysis in 805 European regions

Author(s): Blanca Paniello-Castillo, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Elisa Gallo, Xavier Basagaña, Joan Ballester
Published in: Environmental Research, Issue 278, 2025, ISSN 0013-9351
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVRES.2025.121697

Temperature Exposure and Psychiatric Symptoms in Adolescents From 2 European Birth Cohorts

Author(s): Essers, Esmée; Kusters, Michelle; Granés, Laura; Ballester, Joan; Petricola, Sami; Lertxundi, Nerea; Arregi, Ane; Ballester, Ferran; Vrijheid, Martine; El Marroun, Hanan; Iñiguez, Carmen; Tiemeier, Henning; Guxens, Mònica
Published in: JAMA Network Open, Issue 8, 2025, ISSN 2574-3805
Publisher: American Medical Association
DOI: 10.1001/JAMANETWORKOPEN.2024.56898

Unbiased temperature-related mortality estimates using weekly and monthly health data: a new method for environmental epidemiology and climate impact studies

Author(s): Basagaña Flores, Xavier; Ballester, Joan
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 8(10), 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00212-2

Community-level risk factors for temperature-related mortality in France

Author(s): Hicham Achebak, Pierre Masselot, Elisa Gallo, Zhao-Yue Chen, Joan Ballester, Grégoire Rey, Antonio Gasparrini
Published in: Environmental Epidemiology, Issue 9, 2025, ISSN 2474-7882
Publisher: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
DOI: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000414

Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers

Author(s): Holmberg, Emma; QUIJAL-ZAMORANO, MARCOS; Ballester Claramunt, Joan; Messori, Gabriele
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 122(41), 2025, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2426516122

Countrywide analysis of heat- and cold-related mortality trends in the Czech Republic: growing inequalities under recent climate warming

Author(s): Janoš, Tomáš; Ballester, Joan; Čupr, Pavel; Achebak, Hicham
Published in: International Journal of Epidemiology, Issue 53(1), 2024, ISSN 1464-3685
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAD141

Unbiased estimates using temporally aggregated outcome data in time series analysis: generalization to different outcomes, exposures and types of aggregation

Author(s): Xavier Basagaña, Joan Ballester
Published in: Epidemiology, 2025, ISSN 1044-3983
Publisher: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001923

Ambient temperature and seasonal variation in inpatient mortality from respiratory diseases: a retrospective observational study

Author(s): Achebak, Hicham; Garcia-Aymerich, Judith; Rey, Grégoire; Chen, Zhaoyue; Méndez-Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando; Ballester, Joan
Published in: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Issue 35, 2023, ISSN 2666-7762
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2023.100757

The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study

Author(s): Joan Ballester; Kim Robin van Daalen; Zhao-Yue Chen; Hicham Achebak; Josep M. Antó; Xavier Basagaña; Jean-Marie Robine; François R. Herrmann; Cathryn Tonne; Jan C. Semenza; Rachel Lowe
Published in: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Issue 36, 2023, ISSN 2666-7762
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2023.100779

Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer

Author(s): Thessa M. Beck; Dominik L. Schumacher; Hicham Achebak; Ana M. Vicedo–Cabrera; Sonia I. Seneviratne; Joan Ballester
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 7, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-024-00783-2

Quantifying the short-term mortality effects of wildfire smoke in Europe: a multicountry epidemiological study in 654 contiguous regions

Author(s): Anna Alari, Joan Ballester, Carles Milà, Tarik Benmarhnia, Mikhail Sofiev, Andreas Uppstu, Risto Hänninen, Cathryn Tonne
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.101296

Heat Exposure and Cause-Specific Hospital Admissions in Spain: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study

Author(s): Hicham Achebak, Grégoire Rey, Zhao-yue Chen, Simon J. Lloyd, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates, Joan Ballester
Published in: Environmental Health Perspectives, Issue 132(5), 2024, ISSN 1552-9924
Publisher: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
DOI: 10.1289/EHP13254

Spatial Bayesian distributed lag non-linear models (SB-DLNM) for small-area exposure-lag-response epidemiological modelling

Author(s): QUIJAL-ZAMORANO, MARCOS; Martinez-Beneito, Miguel A; Ballester, Joan; Marí-Dell'Olmo, Marc
Published in: International Journal of Epidemiology, Issue 53(3), 2024, ISSN 1464-3685
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAE061

Trends in population exposure to compound extreme-risk temperature and air pollution across 35 European countries: a modelling study

Author(s): Zhao-Yue Chen, Hicham Achebak, Hervé Petetin, Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates, Yuming Guo, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Joan Ballester
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00048-8

Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2024 and health emergency forecasting to reduce preventable deaths

Author(s): Tomáš Janoš, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Natalia Shartova, Elisa Gallo, Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates, Nadia Denisse Beltrán Barrón, Fabien Peyrusse, Joan Ballester
Published in: Nature Medicine, 2025, ISSN 1078-8956
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-025-03954-7

National and transboundary contributions to surface ozone concentration across European countries

Author(s): Roger Garatachea; María Teresa Pay; Hicham Achebak; Oriol Jorba; Dene Bowdalo; Marc Guevara; Herve Petetin; Joan Ballester; Carlos Pérez García-Pando
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-024-01716-W

Nature Medicine

Author(s): Elisa Gallo; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates; Cathryn Tonne; Xavier Basagaña; Hicham Achebak; Joan Ballester
Published in: Nature Medicine, Issue 30, 2024, ISSN 1078-8956
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-024-03186-1

Nature Medicine

Author(s): Ballester, Joan; Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos; Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando; Pegenaute, Ferran; Herrmann, François; Robine, Jean Marie; Basagaña, Xavier; Tonne, Cathryn; Antó, Josep M.; Achebak, Hicham
Published in: Nature Medicine, Issue 29(7), 2023, ISSN 1078-8956
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-023-02419-Z

Spatial Bayesian distributed lag non-linear models with R-INLA

Author(s): Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Miguel A Martinez-Beneito, Joan Ballester, Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo
Published in: International Journal of Epidemiology, Issue 54, 2025, ISSN 1464-3685
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAF120

Nature Communications

Author(s): Zhao-Yue Chen; Hervé Petetin; Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates; Hicham Achebak; Carlos Pérez García-Pando; Joan Ballester
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-46103-3

Nature Medicine

Author(s): Hicham Achebak; Roger Garatachea; María Teresa Pay; Oriol Jorba; Marc Guevara; Carlos Pérez García-Pando; Joan Ballester
Published in: Nature Medicine, Issue 30(6), 2024, ISSN 1078-8956
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-024-02976-X

Environmental International

Author(s): Hicham Achebak; Grégoire Rey; Simon J Lloyd; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates; Joan Ballester
Published in: Environment International, Issue 182, 2023, ISSN 0160-4120
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVINT.2023.108284

Short-term effect of temperature on cause-specific, sex-specific, and age-specific ambulance dispatches in Czechia: a nationwide time-series analysis

Author(s): Tomáš Janoš; Joan Ballester; Raúl F Méndez-Turrubiates; Pavel Čupr; Hicham Achebak
Published in: International Journal of Epidemiology, Issue 54(3), 2025, ISSN 1464-3685
Publisher: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAF051

Forecast skill assessment of an operational continental heat-cold-health forecasting system: New avenues for health early warning systems

Author(s): Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Desislava Petrova; Èrica Martínez-Solanas; François R. Herrmann; Xavier Rodó; Jean-Marie Robine; Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo; Hicham Achebak; Joan Ballester
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 10(46), 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO5286

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology

Author(s): Hicham Achebak; Grégoire Rey; Simon J Lloyd; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates; Joan Ballester
Published in: European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 2024, ISSN 2047-4873
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/EURJPC/ZWAE021