Open-Access Forecasting System of the Health Effects of Air Pollution

Información del proyecto

FORECAST-AIR

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101123382

DOI

10.3030/101123382

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 29 Junio 2023

Fecha de inicio 1 Abril 2024

Fecha de finalización 30 Septiembre 2025

Financiado con arreglo a

• European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

Sin datos

Aportación de la UE

€ 150 000,00

Coordinado por

FUNDACION PRIVADA INSTITUTO DE SALUD GLOBAL BARCELONA
Spain

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Data Management Plan (1)

Data Management Plan

Drafting of Data Management plan

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (26)

The differential effect of ambient temperature on age-specific and sex-specific mortality in the 300 largest cities of Russia, 2000–19: a first national time-series study

Autores: Timonin, Sergey; Shartova, Natalia; Wen, Bo; Wu, Yao; Andreev, Evgeny; Guo, Yuming; Ballester, Joan
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00084-1

Regional changes in temperature-related mortality before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a continental modelling analysis in 805 European regions

Autores: Blanca Paniello-Castillo, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Elisa Gallo, Xavier Basagaña, Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Environmental Research, Edición 278, 2025, ISSN 0013-9351
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVRES.2025.121697

Temperature Exposure and Psychiatric Symptoms in Adolescents From 2 European Birth Cohorts

Autores: Essers, Esmée; Kusters, Michelle; Granés, Laura; Ballester, Joan; Petricola, Sami; Lertxundi, Nerea; Arregi, Ane; Ballester, Ferran; Vrijheid, Martine; El Marroun, Hanan; Iñiguez, Carmen; Tiemeier, Henning; Guxens, Mònica
Publicado en: JAMA Network Open, Edición 8, 2025, ISSN 2574-3805
Editor: American Medical Association
DOI: 10.1001/JAMANETWORKOPEN.2024.56898

Unbiased temperature-related mortality estimates using weekly and monthly health data: a new method for environmental epidemiology and climate impact studies

Autores: Basagaña Flores, Xavier; Ballester, Joan
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 8(10), 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00212-2

Community-level risk factors for temperature-related mortality in France

Autores: Hicham Achebak, Pierre Masselot, Elisa Gallo, Zhao-Yue Chen, Joan Ballester, Grégoire Rey, Antonio Gasparrini
Publicado en: Environmental Epidemiology, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 2474-7882
Editor: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
DOI: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000414

Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers

Autores: Holmberg, Emma; QUIJAL-ZAMORANO, MARCOS; Ballester Claramunt, Joan; Messori, Gabriele
Publicado en: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Edición 122(41), 2025, ISSN 1091-6490
Editor: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2426516122

Countrywide analysis of heat- and cold-related mortality trends in the Czech Republic: growing inequalities under recent climate warming

Autores: Janoš, Tomáš; Ballester, Joan; Čupr, Pavel; Achebak, Hicham
Publicado en: International Journal of Epidemiology, Edición 53(1), 2024, ISSN 1464-3685
Editor: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAD141

Unbiased estimates using temporally aggregated outcome data in time series analysis: generalization to different outcomes, exposures and types of aggregation

Autores: Xavier Basagaña, Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Epidemiology, 2025, ISSN 1044-3983
Editor: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001923

Ambient temperature and seasonal variation in inpatient mortality from respiratory diseases: a retrospective observational study

Autores: Achebak, Hicham; Garcia-Aymerich, Judith; Rey, Grégoire; Chen, Zhaoyue; Méndez-Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando; Ballester, Joan
Publicado en: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Edición 35, 2023, ISSN 2666-7762
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2023.100757

The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study

Autores: Joan Ballester; Kim Robin van Daalen; Zhao-Yue Chen; Hicham Achebak; Josep M. Antó; Xavier Basagaña; Jean-Marie Robine; François R. Herrmann; Cathryn Tonne; Jan C. Semenza; Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Edición 36, 2023, ISSN 2666-7762
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2023.100779

Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer

Autores: Thessa M. Beck; Dominik L. Schumacher; Hicham Achebak; Ana M. Vicedo–Cabrera; Sonia I. Seneviratne; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 7, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-024-00783-2

Quantifying the short-term mortality effects of wildfire smoke in Europe: a multicountry epidemiological study in 654 contiguous regions

Autores: Anna Alari, Joan Ballester, Carles Milà, Tarik Benmarhnia, Mikhail Sofiev, Andreas Uppstu, Risto Hänninen, Cathryn Tonne
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.101296

Heat Exposure and Cause-Specific Hospital Admissions in Spain: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study

Autores: Hicham Achebak, Grégoire Rey, Zhao-yue Chen, Simon J. Lloyd, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates, Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Environmental Health Perspectives, Edición 132(5), 2024, ISSN 1552-9924
Editor: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
DOI: 10.1289/EHP13254

Spatial Bayesian distributed lag non-linear models (SB-DLNM) for small-area exposure-lag-response epidemiological modelling

Autores: QUIJAL-ZAMORANO, MARCOS; Martinez-Beneito, Miguel A; Ballester, Joan; Marí-Dell'Olmo, Marc
Publicado en: International Journal of Epidemiology, Edición 53(3), 2024, ISSN 1464-3685
Editor: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAE061

Trends in population exposure to compound extreme-risk temperature and air pollution across 35 European countries: a modelling study

Autores: Zhao-Yue Chen, Hicham Achebak, Hervé Petetin, Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates, Yuming Guo, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Joan Ballester
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(25)00048-8

Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2024 and health emergency forecasting to reduce preventable deaths

Autores: Tomáš Janoš, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Natalia Shartova, Elisa Gallo, Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates, Nadia Denisse Beltrán Barrón, Fabien Peyrusse, Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Nature Medicine, 2025, ISSN 1078-8956
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-025-03954-7

National and transboundary contributions to surface ozone concentration across European countries

Autores: Roger Garatachea; María Teresa Pay; Hicham Achebak; Oriol Jorba; Dene Bowdalo; Marc Guevara; Herve Petetin; Joan Ballester; Carlos Pérez García-Pando
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-024-01716-W

Nature Medicine

Autores: Elisa Gallo; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates; Cathryn Tonne; Xavier Basagaña; Hicham Achebak; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Nature Medicine, Edición 30, 2024, ISSN 1078-8956
Editor: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-024-03186-1

Nature Medicine

Autores: Ballester, Joan; Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos; Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando; Pegenaute, Ferran; Herrmann, François; Robine, Jean Marie; Basagaña, Xavier; Tonne, Cathryn; Antó, Josep M.; Achebak, Hicham
Publicado en: Nature Medicine, Edición 29(7), 2023, ISSN 1078-8956
Editor: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-023-02419-Z

Spatial Bayesian distributed lag non-linear models with R-INLA

Autores: Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Miguel A Martinez-Beneito, Joan Ballester, Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo
Publicado en: International Journal of Epidemiology, Edición 54, 2025, ISSN 1464-3685
Editor: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAF120

Nature Communications

Autores: Zhao-Yue Chen; Hervé Petetin; Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates; Hicham Achebak; Carlos Pérez García-Pando; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-46103-3

Nature Medicine

Autores: Hicham Achebak; Roger Garatachea; María Teresa Pay; Oriol Jorba; Marc Guevara; Carlos Pérez García-Pando; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Nature Medicine, Edición 30(6), 2024, ISSN 1078-8956
Editor: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41591-024-02976-X

Environmental International

Autores: Hicham Achebak; Grégoire Rey; Simon J Lloyd; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Environment International, Edición 182, 2023, ISSN 0160-4120
Editor: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVINT.2023.108284

Short-term effect of temperature on cause-specific, sex-specific, and age-specific ambulance dispatches in Czechia: a nationwide time-series analysis

Autores: Tomáš Janoš; Joan Ballester; Raúl F Méndez-Turrubiates; Pavel Čupr; Hicham Achebak
Publicado en: International Journal of Epidemiology, Edición 54(3), 2025, ISSN 1464-3685
Editor: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/IJE/DYAF051

Forecast skill assessment of an operational continental heat-cold-health forecasting system: New avenues for health early warning systems

Autores: Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Desislava Petrova; Èrica Martínez-Solanas; François R. Herrmann; Xavier Rodó; Jean-Marie Robine; Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo; Hicham Achebak; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 10(46), 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO5286

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology

Autores: Hicham Achebak; Grégoire Rey; Simon J Lloyd; Marcos Quijal-Zamorano; Raúl Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates; Joan Ballester
Publicado en: European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 2024, ISSN 2047-4873
Editor: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/EURJPC/ZWAE021

Derechos de propiedad intelectual

Other (1)

No specific title. Copyright registration of the source code performed on Coloriuris platform to reinforce proof of ownership, on 25 November 2025 (certificate of registration available).

Número de solicitud/publicación: n/a n/a
Fecha: 2025-11-25
Solicitante(s): FUNDACION PRIVADA INSTITUTO DE SALUD GLOBAL BARCELONA