Climate Tipping Points: Uncertainty-aware quantification of Earth system tipping potential from observations and models and assessment of associated climatic, ecological, and socioeconomic impacts

Información del proyecto

ClimTip

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101137601

DOI

10.3030/101137601

Fecha de la firma de la CE 20 Noviembre 2023

Fecha de inicio 1 Marzo 2024

Fecha de finalización 29 Febrero 2028

Financiado con arreglo a

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Coste total

Sin datos

Aportación de la UE

€ 5 868 639,19

Coordinado por

TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET MUENCHEN
Germany

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Data sets, microdata, etc (2)

Simulations of AMOC collapse under gradual CO2 increase

Simulations of AMOC collapse under gradual CO2 increase.

Simulations of ARF dieback under gradual CO2 increase

Simulations of ARF dieback under gradual CO2 increase.

Documents, reports (1)

Communication, Dissemination and Exploitation Plan Update I

Update I of the communication, dissemination and exploitation plan, with input from all partners.

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (63)

The Typicality of Regimes Associated with Northern Hemisphere Heatwaves

Autores: Christopher C. Chapman, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Abdelwaheb Hannachi, Valerio Lucarini, and Richard Matear
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 109, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0548.1

Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests

Autores: T. K. Akabane, C. M. Chiessi, M. Hirota, I. Bouimetarhan, M. Prange, S. Mulitza, D. J. Bertassoli Jr, C. Häggi, A. Staal, G. Lohmann, N. Boers, A. L. Daniau, R. S. Oliveira, M. C. Campos, X. Shi, P. E. De Oliveira
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 17, 2024, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01578-Z

Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent

Autores: Q. Liu, W. He, X. Xie, Y. Mei, H. Sun, N. Boers
Publicado en: Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Edición 52, 2024, ISSN 2590-0544
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.CHAOS.2024.115350

Glacial abrupt climate change as a multi-scale phenomenon resulting from monostable excitable dynamics

Autores: K. Riechers, G. Gottwald, N. Boers:
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 61, 2024, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0308.1

Surveys in Geophysics

Autores: Bathiany, Sebastian; Bastiaansen, Robbin; Bastos, Ana; Blaschke, Lana; Lever, Jelle; Loriani, Sina; de Keersmaecker, Wanda; Dorigo, Wouter; Milenković, Milutin; Senf, Cornelius; Smith, Taylor; Verbesselt, Jan; Boers, Niklas
Publicado en: Ecosystem resilience monitoring and early warning using EO data: challenges and outlook, Edición 2, 2024, ISSN 0169-3298
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/S10712-024-09833-Z

Anticipating Critical Transitions in Multi-Dimensional Systems Driven by Time- and State-Dependent Noise

Autores: Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Niklas Boers
Publicado en: APS Physical Review Research, Edición 13, 2024, ISSN 2643-1564
Editor: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.6.033251

Nature Geoscience

Autores: T. K. Akabane; C. M. Chiessi; M. Hirota; I. Bouimetarhan; M. Prange; S. Mulitza; D. J. Bertassoli Jr; C. Häggi; A. Staal; G. Lohmann; N. Boers; A. L. Daniau; R. S. Oliveira; M. C. Campos; X. Shi; P. E. De Oliveira
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 41, 2024, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Nature Geoscience
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01578-Z

Multichannel singular spectrum analysis of InSAR datasets: data-adaptive interpolation and decomposition of Sentinel-1 time series at Pacaya Volcano, Guatemala

Autores: D. Walwer, J. Gonzalez-Santana, C. Wauthier, E. Calais & M. Ghil
Publicado en: Geophysical Journal International, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 1365-246X
Editor: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.22541/ESSOAR.169566455.57890451/V1

Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfall between North India and the Sahel

Autores: Felix M. Strnad, Kieran M.R. Hunt, Niklas Boers, Bedartha Goswami
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Edición 28, 2025, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/QJ.4946

The role of edge states for early-warning of tipping points

Autores: J. Lohmann, A. B. Hansen, A. Lovo, R. Chapman, F. Bouchet, and V. Lucarini
Publicado en: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Edición 97, 2025, ISSN 1364-5021
Editor: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSPA.2024.0753

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

Autores: Maya Ben-Yami, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany, Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 1, 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adl4841

Resilience Indicators for Tropical Rainforests in a Dynamic Vegetation Model

Autores: Bathiany, Sebastian ; Nian, Da ; Drüke, Markus ; Boers, Niklas
Publicado en: Global Change Biology, Edición 3, 2024, ISSN 1354-1013
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.17613

Fast, scale-adaptive and uncertainty-aware downscaling of Earth system model fields with generative machine learning

Autores: Philipp Hess; Michael Aich; Baoxiang Pan; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Nature Machine Intelligence, Edición 37, 2025, ISSN 2522-5839
Editor: Nature Machine Intelligence
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2403.02774

Regularization of a conceptual model for Dansgaard–Oeschger events

Autores: Bryony Hobden; Peter Ashwin; Paul D. L. Ritchie
Publicado en: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Edición 93, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0244302

Collaboration between artificial intelligence and Earth science communities for mutual benefit

Autores: Min Chen, Zhen Qian, Niklas Boers, Felix Creutzig, Gustau Camps-Valls, Klaus Hubacek, Christophe Claramunt, John P. Wilson, Stefano Nativi, Anthony J. Jakeman, R. Dietmar Müller, Michael Batty, Chenghu Zhou, Fahu Chen, Qiao Wang, Fan Zhang, C. Michael Bar
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 20, 2024, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Springer Nature Limited
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01550-X

Wind-driven upwelling sustains weakened Atlantic overturning under climate extremes

Autores: Jonathan Baker; Michael Bell; Laura Jackson; Geoffrey K Vallis; Andrew Watson; Richard Wood
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 6, 2024, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Nature
DOI: 10.21203/RS.3.RS-4319650/V1

Multiple modes in tropical tree cover: a multi-dimensional perspective

Autores: S. Bathiany, E. J. Kim and N. Boers
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 57, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics & IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ADF7C2

Ecosystem evolution and drivers across the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions

Autores: Yiran Xie, Xu Wang, Yatong Qian, Teng Liu, Hao Fan, Xiaosong Chen
Publicado en: Journal of Environmental Management, Edición 38, 2025, ISSN 0301-4797
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2025.124885

Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming

Autores: A. Poltronieri, N.Bochow, N. Boers, M. Rypdal
Publicado en: Enviromental research climate, Edición 55, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/AD519D

Abrupt Changes in the Subpolar North Atlantic and Their Impact on the Climate of the British Isles

Autores: Matthew B. Menary, Laura C. Jackson, Richard A. Wood, Richard A. Betts
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 7, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113871

Quantifying tipping behavior: Geometric early warnings and quasipotentials for a box model of AMOC

Autores: Ruth R. Chapman; Peter Ashwin; Richard A. Wood
Publicado en: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Edición 29, 2025, ISSN 1089-7682
Editor: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0240959

Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades

Autores: A. Poltronieri, N. Bochow, N. Boers, P. K. Jakobsen, M. Rypdal:
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 56, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics & IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AD5194

Melancholia states of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Autores: Johannes Lohmann; Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en: Physical Review Fluids, Edición 104, 2024, ISSN 2469-990X
Editor: APS
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2405.13988

Observed regional impacts of marine heatwaves on sea-air CO2 exchange

Autores: Li, C., F. A. Burger, C. C. Raible, T. L. Frölicher
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 118, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL110379

Early warning skill, extrapolation and tipping for accelerating cascades

Autores: Peter Ashwin, Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna S von der Heydt and Paul Ritchie
Publicado en: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A, Edición 71, 2025, ISSN 1364-5021
Editor: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSPA.2025.0405

Synchronization of layer-counted paleoclimatic proxy archives using a Bayesian regression modeling framework

Autores: E. Myrvoll-Nilsen, K. Riechers, N. Boers
Publicado en: Bayesian Analysis, Edición 26, 2025, ISSN 1936-0975
Editor: Project euclid
DOI: 10.1214/25-BA1509

Physical Review X

Autores: Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers
Publicado en: SPS Physical Review X, Edición 5, 2024, ISSN 2160-3308
Editor: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevX.14.021037

Continued Atlantic overturning circulation even under climate extremes

Autores: Baker J.A., Bell M.J., Jackson L.C., Vallis G.K., Watson A.J., Wood R.A.
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-024-08544-0

Precipitation over northern South America and the far-eastern Pacific during ENSO: Phase synchronization at inter-annual time scales

Autores: Hernán D. Salas, Alejandro Builes-Jaramillo, Niklas Boers, Germán Poveda, Óscar J. Mesa, Jürgen Kurths
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, Edición 62, 2025, ISSN 1097-0088
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/JOC.8443

Chaos

Autores: L. Heck; M. Gelbrecht; M. T. Schaub; N. Boers
Publicado en: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Edición 73, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: Chaos
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2412.17499

Synchronization of Layer-Counted Paleoclimatic Proxy Archives Using a Bayesian Regression Modeling Framework

Autores: Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen; Keno Riechers; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Bayesian Analysis, Edición 26, 2025, ISSN 1936-0975
Editor: Project Euclid
DOI: 10.1214/25-BA1509

Entropy

Autores: Ningning Tao; Xiaosong Chen; Fei Xie; Yongwen Zhang; Yan Xia; Xuan Ma; Han Huang; Hongyu Wang
Publicado en: Entropy, Edición 35, 2025, ISSN 1099-4300
Editor: Entropy
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2503.19366

Annals of Geophysics

Autores: Michael Ghil
Publicado en: Annals of Geophysics, Edición 22, 2024, ISSN 1593-5213
Editor: Editrice Compositori srl
DOI: 10.4401/AG-9182

Mutual stabilization of AMOC and GrIS due to different transient response to warming

Autores: Frerk Pöppelmeier, Thomas Stocker
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 79, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics & IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ADF45A

On the predictability of possible storylines for forced complex systems

Autores: Johannes Lohmann, Bert Wuyts, Peter D Ditlevsen and Peter Ashwin
Publicado en: Journal of Physics: Complexity, Edición 25, 2024, ISSN 2632-072X
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/AD7B95

Projections of Precipitation and Temperatures in Greenland and the Impact of Spatially Uniform Anomalies on the Evolution of the Ice Sheet

Autores: N. Bochow; A. Poltronieri; N. Boers; N. Boers; N. Boers
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 8, 2024, ISSN 1994-0440
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/TC-18-5825-2024

A simple physical model for glacial cycles

Autores: S. Pérez-Montero; S. Pérez-Montero; J. Alvarez-Solas; J. Alvarez-Solas; J. Swierczek-Jereczek; D. Moreno-Parada; A. Robinson; M. Montoya; M. Montoya
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 33, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-1842

Saddle avoidance of noise-induced transitions in multiscale systems

Autores: Reyk Börner, Ryan Deeley, Raphael Römer, Tobias Grafke, Valerio Lucarini, Ulrike Feude
Publicado en: Physical Review Research, Edición 112, 2024, ISSN 2643-1564
Editor: APS
DOI: 10.1103/PHYSREVRESEARCH.6.L042053

Topological modes of variability in the wind-driven ocean circulation

Autores: Charó, G.D., D. Sciamarella, J. Ruiz, S. Pierini, and M. Ghil
Publicado en: Chaos, Edición 49, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: API Publishing
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2502.01782

Key propagation pathways of extreme precipitation events revealed by climate networks

Autores: K. Li, Y. Huang, M. Wang, F. Cai, J. Zhang, N.Boers
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 54, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature in partnership with Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research King Abdulaziz University
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-024-00701-6

Exponential stability for a forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics

Autores: Crisan, D., M. Ghil and R. Nuckchady
Publicado en: Chaos, Edición 46, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: API Publishing
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17116796

Spatial Correlation Increase in Single‐Sensor Satellite Data Reveals Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience

Autores: Lana L. Blaschke; Da Nian; Sebastian Bathiany; Maya Ben‐Yami; Taylor Smith; Chris A. Boulton; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 53, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: Advancing Earth and Space Sience
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2310.18540

Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook

Autores: Sebastian Bathiany, Robbin Bastiaansen, Ana Bastos, Lana Blaschke, Jelle Lever, Sina Loriani, Wanda De Keersmaecker, Wouter Dorigo, Milutin Milenković, Cornelius Senf, Taylor Smith, Jan Verbesselt & Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Surveys in Geophysics, Edición 2, 2024, ISSN 0169-3298
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/S10712-024-09833-Z

Nature Communications

Autores: Mingzhao Wang; Yu Huang; Christian L. E. Franzke; Naiming Yuan; Zuntao Fu; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 18, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-60104-W

Time-lagged recurrence: A data-driven method to estimate the predictability of dynamical systems

Autores: Chenyu Dong, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi, Valerio Lucarini, and Gianmarco Mengaldo
Publicado en: Proceedings National Academy of Sciences, Edición 102, 2025, ISSN 0027-8424
Editor: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2420252122

Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations

Autores: L. Heck; M. Gelbrecht; M. T. Schaub; N. Boers
Publicado en: Chaos, Edición 73, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0257224

Deep learning for predicting rate-induced tipping

Autores: Yu Huang; Sebastian Bathiany; Peter Ashwin; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Nature Machine Intelligence, Edición 23, 2024, ISSN 2037-416X
Editor: Nature Machine Intelligence
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2409.07590

Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling

Autores: Andreas Morr; Dörte Kreher; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Royal Society Open Science, Edición 74, 2025, ISSN 2054-5703
Editor: The Royal Society Publishing
DOI: 10.1098/RSOS.250573

Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition

Autores: Migliavacca, Mirco; Grassi, Giacomo; Bastos, Ana; Ceccherini, Guido; Ciais, Philippe; Janssens-Maenhout, Greet; Lugato, Emanuele; Mahecha, Miguel; Novick, Kimberly; Peñuelas, Josep; Pilli, Roberto; Reichstein, Markus; Avitabile, Valerio; Beck, Pieter; Barredo, José; Forzieri, Giovanni; Herold, Martin; Korosuo, Anu; Mansuy, Nicolas; Mubareka, Sarah; Orth, Rene; Rougieux, Paul; Cescatti, Alessandro
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 86, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08967-3

Geophysical Research Letteres

Autores: Matthew B. Menary; Laura C. Jackson; Richard A. Wood; Richard A. Betts
Publicado en: Abrupt Changes in the Subpolar North Atlantic and Their Impact on the Climate of the British Isles, Edición 7, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: advancing earth and space science
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113871

Intraseasonal atmospheric variability under climate trends

Autores: Maraldi, B., H. A. Dijkstra, and M. Ghil
Publicado en: Chaos, Edición 47, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: API Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0253103

Forecast error growth: A dynamic-stochastic model

Autores: Bach, E., D. Crisan, and M. Ghil
Publicado en: Chaos, Edición 45, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: API Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0248102

Evidence for preferred propagating terrestrial heatwave pathways due to Rossby wave activity

Autores: Mingzhao Wang, Yu Huang, Christian L. E. Franzke, Naiming Yuan, Zuntao Fu & Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 18, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-60104-W

Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems

Autores: Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers, Peter Ashwin
Publicado en: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Edición 14, 2024, ISSN 2643-1564
Editor: SIAM
DOI: 10.1137/24M1669104

Physics of AMOC multistable regime shifts due to freshwater biases in an EMIC

Autores: Amber A. Boot and Henk A. Dijkstra
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 119, 2025, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-1221-2025

Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model

Autores: Da Nian, Sebastian Bathiany, Boris Sakschewski, Markus Drüke, Lana Blaschke, Maya Ben-Yami, Werner von Bloh, Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Science of The Total Environment, Edición 10, 2025, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.SCITOTENV.2024.174378

A Revisit of Large-Scale Patterns in Middle Stratospheric Circulation Variations

Autores: Ningning Tao, Xiaosong Chen, Fei Xie, Yongwen Zhang, Yan Xia, Xuan Ma, Han Huang and Hongyu Wang
Publicado en: Entropy, Edición 35, 2025, ISSN 1099-4300
Editor: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/E27040327

Boolean Delay Equations: a dynamical approach to modeling complex systems

Autores: Michael Ghil
Publicado en: Annals of Geophysics, Edición 22, 2024, ISSN 1593-5213
Editor: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
DOI: 10.4401/AG-9182

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

Autores: Ben-Yami, Maya; Morr, Andreas; Bathiany, Sebastian; Boers, Niklas
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 1, 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2309.08521

Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi‐Model Comparison

Autores: Ben‐Yami, M.; Good, P.; Jackson, L. C.; Crucifix, M.; Hu, A.; Saenko, O.; Swingedouw, D.; Boers, N.
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 16, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2023EF003959

Entropy

Autores: Ningning Tao; Xiaosong Chen; Fei Xie; Yongwen Zhang; Yan Xia; Xuan Ma; Han Huang; Hongyu Wang
Publicado en: Entropy, Edición 35, 2025, ISSN 1099-4300
Editor: MDPI
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2503.19366

Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations

Autores: L. Heck; M. Gelbrecht; M. T. Schaub; N. Boers
Publicado en: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Edición 73, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editor: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2412.17499

Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences

Autores: Johannes Lohmann; Alfred B. Hansen; Alessandro Lovo; Ruth Chapman; Freddy Bouchet; Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Edición 97, 2025, ISSN 1364-5021
Editor: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2410.16277

Conference proceedings (4)

Uncertainities in Tipping Warning and Prediction

Autores: Maya Ben-Yami
Publicado en: TipESM & ClimTip Joint Conference, Edición 123, 2025
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15229274

Statistically Optimal Fingerprints for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the Sub-Polar Gyre

Autores: Bahar Emirzade
Publicado en: TipESM & ClimTip Joint Conference, Edición 122, 2025
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15229217

Collapse of the AMOC in a strongly eddying global ocean model

Autores: Henk Dijsktra
Publicado en: TipESM & ClimTip Joint Conference, Edición 124, 2025
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15266943

The Antarctic response to a 1% annual increase in atmospheric CO2

Autores: Javier Blasco Navarro; Britta Grusdt, Marisa Montoya, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Alexander Robinson
Publicado en: TipESM & ClimTip Joint Conference, Edición 125, 2025
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.15301712

Other (3)

Global Change Biology

Autores: Sebastian Bathiany; Da Nian; Markus Drüke; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Resilience indicators for tropical rainforests in a dynamic vegetation model, Edición 3, 2024, ISSN 1354-1013
Editor: Global Change Biology
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.17613

Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

Autores: Nils Bochow; Anna Poltronieri; Martin Rypdal; Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 19, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: Science Adva nce s
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU24-5103

Assessment of Abrupt Shifts in CMIP6 Models Using Edge Detection

Autores: Sjoerd Terpstra; Swinda K. J. Falkena; Robbin Bastiaansen; Sebastian Bathiany; Henk A. Dijkstra; Anna S. von der Heydt
Publicado en: AGU Advances, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 2576-604X
Editor: AGU Advances
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2410.19498