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Getting Ahead of Landslides: Understanding Social and Environmental Interactions to Anticipate Future Urban Landslide Risk

Objective

"Global landslide casualties will rise due to greater exposure, lack of practical measures, and informed policies addressing growing landslide risks.
Global urban population has grown from 30% in 1950 to about 50% today and will likely reach 68% by 2050, increasing the number of people exposed to landslides to 90 million from today's 65 million. This surge in the urban population and associated landscape modifications, often unplanned, exacerbate landslide risk, especially in the tropics. For example, informal house construction could reduce slope stability, besides exposing inhabitants. In parallel, anthropogenic climate change could double landslide-relevant rainfall extremes, increasing landslide hazards. Essential interactions among urbanisation, demographic composition, rainfall, and landslides are well-known. Yet, traditional risk assessments ignore feedback between these risk drivers and discount their future states, hampering proactive risk management due to their focus on historical observations.
UrbanSlide aims to unravel the complex shaping of landslide risk by studying causal interactions between societal, environmental, and urbanisation risk drivers. Intending to ""get ahead of landslides"", UrbanSlide will develop a hybrid model integrating process-based and statistical models, both informed by empirical knowledge on social-environmental interactions. A key emphasis is on anticipating the diverse human actions shaping landslide riskscapes. Eventually, UrbanSlide will quantify potential future landslide risk in the rapidly expanding tropical urban centres to facilitate informed decision-making.
UrbanSlide will fill the fundamental knowledge gap regarding the dynamics of landslide risk emerging from the intricate interplay of the environment and society. The derived quantitative evidence will notably support the design of pro-poor urban landslide risk reduction practices by highlighting the scale and priority regions of future landslide risk."

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Topic(s)

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HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) ERC-2024-STG

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Host institution

UNIVERSITAT WIEN
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 499 153,00
Address
UNIVERSITATSRING 1
1010 Wien
Austria

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Region
Ostösterreich Wien Wien
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 499 153,00

Beneficiaries (1)

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